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  • Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/9

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, January 9

    Good Luck on day #9 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Conference records in bowl games this year:
    5-0— Big X
    2-0— MAC
    4-1— Sun Belt
    6-2— SEC
    3-1— Big 14
    2-1— Mountain West
    1-5— AAC
    0-2— PAC-12
    0-6— ACC, C-USA

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 365,625
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) Houston Texans’ QB Deshaun Watson offered input on potential GM candidates to the team’s owner, but the Texans neither considered nor consulted with those people, and now Watson is annoyed, which isn’t good when he has a 4-year, $156M contract.

    Watson was justifiably unhappy when the Texans traded WR DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona; when the team’s owner says Watson will have input on hiring decisions, then he has to be listened to, even if you don’t agree with his choices. But he wasn’t listened to, and now the team has a big problem on their hands.

    12) When the late Al Davis was running the Raiders and was looking to hire coaches, he would often interview coaches he had no intention of hiring, because he wanted to pick their brains.

    11) Dallas Cowboys fired DC Mike Nolan Friday, so they’ll have their third defensive coordinator in three years next season.

    10) Saw an amazing video the other day, of Steph Curry making 105 3-pointers in a row at a recent practice. Curry has made shooting cool, and has proven that you can really rich by being a great shooter, which has made basketball a lot more fun to watch.

    9) Get well soon to Curry’s brother Seth, who plays for the 76ers and recently tested positive for COVID. 76ers finally got out of New York Friday night; they’ll only have six guys available for their next game, Saturday against Denver.

    8) Xavier did something unusual Wednesday night; they beat St John’s 69-61, but were 0-12 on the arc. Not often does a team win when they go empty outside the arc. Xavier outscored the Red Storm 21-8 on foul line; Johnnies were only 8-15 on the charity stripe.

    7) Stat that surprised the hell out of me: Indiana Hoosiers have now lost 18 games in a row at Wisconsin. Then again, Indiana has been above .500 in conference play in only three of the last 12 seasons. Still think they should hire Steve Alford as coach.

    6) Purdue 55, Michigan State 54:
    — Spartans lost despite leading 31-16 at halftime.
    — Purdue won despite going 3-24 on the arc.
    — Purdue outscored MSU 5-0 over the last 0:19.

    5) Dayton 89, Davidson 78, OT— High quality game in the Atlantic 14. Flyers had been stunned in their last game, losing as an 11-point favorite at Fordham, so this is a good bounce back.

    4) Green Bay 84, Oakland 81, OT— Green Bay started the season 0-9, but has now won its last two games, both in overtime.

    3) Quinnipiac 84, Manhattan 79, 2OT— Jaspers led 60-49 with 6:25 left in this game, but let it get away. Teams combined to make 11-49 on the arc, a total brickfest.

    2) As I type this, underdogs are 77-51 ATS in the NBA this season, with three games still going on Friday night. Thats 60.2%; not having crowds helps the road teams.

    1) Last three years, in this round of the NFL playoffs, underdogs went 8-2-1 ATS; one game was a pick ‘em. This will be the first time #2 seeds don’t have a bye in this round.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2021, 11:39 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Saturday, January 9


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2021, 11:42 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Saturday, January 9


        Ohio State @ Rutgers
        Ohio State (8-3, 2-3)
        — ranked #21 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #315
        — Experience: #99
        — Continuity: #149
        — Buckeyes lost two of their last three games overall.
        — Ohio State is 1-3 in true road games, winning at Notre Dame.
        — Buckeyes split their six top 100 games.

        Rutgers (7-3, 3-3)
        — ranked #29 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #189
        — Experience: #125
        — Continuity: #25
        — Rutgers lost three of its last four games.
        — You’re reading ***************.com
        — To this point, Scarlet Knights have played schedule #22.
        — Rutgers is shooting 58.4% on foul line (#334).

        — Ohio State won eight of last ten series games.
        — Buckeyes won three of last four visits here, losing last one 64-61, two years ago.

        Texas @ West Virginia
        Texas (7-4, 1-1)
        — ranked #7 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #188
        — Experience: #121
        — Continuity: #5
        — Texas scored 79.7 ppg in winning first three Big X games.
        — Longhorns won only true road game 84-59 at Kansas.
        — Texas has #8 eFG% defense in country.

        West Virginia (9-3, 2-2)
        — ranked #13 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #212
        — Experience: #156
        — Continuity: #28
        — WVU split first four Big X games, after a 7-1 non-league slate.
        — To this point, West Virginia played schedule #15.
        — WVU is grabbing 38.6% of its own missed shots (#8)

        — Texas won four of last five series games.
        — Longhorns are 3-4 in last seven visits to Morgantown.

        Tennessee @ Texas A&M
        Tennessee (8-1, 2-1)
        — ranked #9 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #292
        — Experience: #222
        — Continuity: #90
        — Vols won their only true road game, 73-53 at Missouri.
        — Tennessee’s only loss was 71-63 at home to Alabama.
        — Vols are forcing turnovers 25.6% of the time (#11).

        Texas A&M (6-3, 1-2)
        — ranked #98 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #290
        — Experience: #231
        — Continuity: #64
        — Aggies are 6-0 at home, 0-3 on the road.
        — A&M is turning ball 25.0% of time (#329).
        — Aggies lost three of four top 100 games, beating Auburn by 2.

        — Tennessee won three of last four series games.
        — Vols won last two visits here, by 10-17 points.

        Rhode Island @ VCU
        Rhode Island (5-6, 2-2)
        — ranked #79 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #117
        — Experience: #114
        — Continuity: #291
        — URI over scheduled last month; they’ve played schedule #33.
        — Rams are 0-3 in true road games, by 11-3-7 points.
        — URI lost six of its nine top 100 games.

        VCU (9-2, 2-0)
        — ranked #53 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #109
        — Experience: #299
        — Continuity: #272
        — Both VCU losses are to top 50 teams (West Va, Penn State)
        — Rams won their last seven games.
        — VCU won its first two A-14 games, 80-64/66-61.

        — Rhode Island won seven of last eight series games.
        — URI won two of its last three visits here.

        Baylor @ TCU
        Baylor (10-0, 3-0)
        — ranked #2 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #148
        — Experience: #140
        — Continuity: #60
        — Baylor won its first three Big X games, by 31-11-15 points.
        — Bears are 2-0 in true road games, beating K-State by 31, Iowa State by 11.
        — Baylor is forcing turnovers 26.2% of time (#10).

        TCU (9-3, 2-2)
        — ranked #82 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #255
        — Experience: #318
        — Continuity: #119
        — TCU won five of its last six games.
        — Horned Frogs gave up 82-79-93 points in their three losses.
        — TCU split its six top 100 games.

        — Home side won last five series games.
        — Baylor lost last three visits here, by 10-4-3 points.

        UConn @ Butler
        UConn (5-1, 2-1)
        — ranked #24 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #330
        — Experience: #158
        — Continuity: #115
        — UConn’s only loss was in OT to Creighton.
        — Huskies won their only true road game, by 11 at Marquette.
        — UConn has #11 eFG% defense in country.

        Butler (3-5, 2-3)
        — ranked #86 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #298
        — Experience: #263
        — Continuity: #277
        — Butler won its two Big East home games (Providence/Georgetown)
        — Bulldogs have #299 eFG% defense in country.
        — Butler lost four of its five top 100 games.

        Oklahoma @ Kansas
        Oklahoma (6-3, 2-2)
        — ranked #44 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #173
        — Experience: #65
        — Continuity: #45
        — Sooners lost two of three three true road games, winning at TCU.
        — Oklahoma lost three of its five top 100 games.
        — Opponents are shooting 39.8% on arc (#323)

        Kansas (9-2, 3-1)
        — ranked #12 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #190
        — Experience: #276
        — Continuity: #129
        — Jayhawks gave up 102-84 points in their two losses.
        — Kansas is rebounding 36.1% of their missed shots (#21).
        — Jayhawks’ Big X wins are by 1-14-29 points.

        — Kansas won eight of last ten series games.
        — Since 2004, Sooners are 0-13 in Lawrence, with three of last four losses here by 10+ points.

        Kentucky @ Florida
        Kentucky (3-6, 2-0)
        — ranked #52 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #208
        — Experience: #340
        — Continuity: #340
        — Kentucky won its last two games, by 5-3 points.
        — Wildcats lost two of three true road games, winning at 2 OTs at Miss State.
        — Kentucky has #288 eFG% in country.

        Florida (5-2, 2-1)
        — ranked #23 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #77
        — Experience: #247
        — Continuity: #127
        — Florida scored 81.7 ppg in its first three SEC games.
        — Gators are shooting 37.5% on the arc (#44).
        — Florida is forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#43).

        — Kentucky won four in row, 10 of last 13 series games.
        — Teams split last four meetings played here.

        Washington State @ Stanford
        Washington State (9-1, 2-1)
        — ranked #114 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #217
        — Experience: #314
        — Continuity: #189
        — Coogs’ only loss was in double OT to Arizona.
        — Wazzu won its only road game, 71-60 at Cal.
        — To this point, Wazzu has played schedule #311.

        Stanford (7-3, 3-1)
        — ranked #40 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #45
        — Experience: #280
        — Continuity: #53
        — All three Stanford losses are to top 30 teams.
        — Stanford is turning ball over 22.4% of time (#285)
        — To this point, Cardinal has played schedule #48.

        — Stanford won last eight series games.
        — Coogs lost last seven visits to Stanford.

        Nevada @ San Diego State
        Nevada (8-4, 3-2)
        — ranked #116 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #111
        — Experience: #331
        — Continuity: #299
        — Nevada split its four true road games.
        — Wolf Pack lost its two top 100 games, by 5-25 points.
        — Nevada was outscored 7-0 in last 2:05 of Thursday’s 65-60 loss here.

        San Diego State (8-2, 2-1)
        — ranked #34 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #331
        — Experience: #8
        — Continuity: #138
        — Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#50).
        — San Diego State is shooting 38.3% on the arc (#32).
        — Aztecs were held to 62-67 points in their two losses.

        — Aztecs won seven of last eight series games.
        — Nevada lost its last seven games in Viejas Center.

        USC @ Arizona State
        USC (7-2, 2-1)
        — ranked #20 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #198
        — Experience: #180
        — Continuity: #327
        — USC was held to 58-62 points in their two losses.
        — Trojans won only true road game, 87-73 at Arizona.
        — USC has #5 eFG% defense in country.

        Arizona State (4-4, 1-1)
        — ranked #59 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #11
        — Experience: #169
        — Continuity: #145
        — ASU lost to UCLA in OT Thursday, its first game in 22 days.
        — 4 ASU starters played 41:00+ in Thursday’s game; they have some injury issues
        — Sun Devils lost three of their last four games overall.

        — Home side won last nine series games.
        — Trojans lost their last seven visits to Tempe.

        UCLA @ Arizona
        UCLA (8-2, 4-0)
        — ranked #32 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #339
        — Experience: #217
        — Continuity: #4
        — UCLA won three in row, eight of last nine games.
        — Bruins won last three games, by total of 11 points.
        — UCLA’s two losses: at San Diego State, vs Ohio State in Cleveland.

        Arizona (9-2, 3-2)
        — ranked #38 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #152
        — Experience: #282
        — Continuity: #318
        — Arizona is grabbing 36.7% of its missed shots (#17)
        — Wildcats gave up 78-87 points in their two losses.
        — Arizona scored 80+ points in its three Pac-12 wins.

        — UCLA won five of last seven series games.
        — Bruins won last three visits to Tucson, by 5-8-13 points.

        Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky
        Louisiana Tech (8-4, 1-2)
        — ranked #112 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #124
        — Experience: #61
        — Continuity: #117
        — Tech was outscored 24-9 on foul line in last nite’s 66-64 loss here.
        — Bulldogs lost their last two games, after an 8-2 start.
        — Tech is 1-3 in true road games, losing by 31-5-2 points.

        Western Kentucky (9-3, 2-1)
        — ranked #89 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #156
        — Experience: #51
        — Continuity: #96
        — WKU won seven of its last eight games
        — Hilltoppers survived 2-17 shooting on arc in last nite’s win.
        — Two of WKU’s three losses are to top 30 teams.

        — Home side won last eight series games.
        — Tech lost last five visits here, by 6-1-11-4-2 points (2 were in OT).
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2021, 11:43 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Saturday, January 9


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          Trend Report
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          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2021, 11:44 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            601ST JOHNS -602 CREIGHTON
            ST JOHNS are 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

            603WAKE FOREST -604 DUKE
            WAKE FOREST is 121-165 ATS (-60.5 Units) in road games vs. winning teams since 1997.

            605MIAMI -606 NC STATE
            MIAMI is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

            607ALABAMA -608 AUBURN
            ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

            611RICHMOND -612 GEORGE MASON
            GEORGE MASON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

            613GEORGE WASHINGTON -614 ST BONAVENTURE
            GEORGE WASHINGTON is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game since 1997.

            615OHIO ST -616 RUTGERS
            RUTGERS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons.

            619HOFSTRA -620 NORTHEASTERN
            HOFSTRA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

            621S ILLINOIS -622 INDIANA ST
            INDIANA ST is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

            623N ILLINOIS -624 MIAMI OHIO
            MIAMI OHIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-09-2021, 11:45 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Saturday, January 9




              Last edited by Udog; 01-09-2021, 12:40 PM.

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