Announcement

**Udog** · 01-07-2021, 09:57 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Order for the 2021 NFL Draft:
1) Jacksonville
2) NJ Jets
3) Miami (from Houston)
4) Atlanta
5) Cincinnati
6) Philadelphia

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 354,106
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

I feel kind of stupid posting this article about sports on such a depressing day for our country, but this is what I do, and maybe it can provide some distraction for a couple of minutes.

Prayers go out to police and military who are trying to keep the peace. We appreciate you.

13) I mention this every now and then because I’m fascinated by how nomadic some football coaches are. This is the career path of Jedd Fisch, new coach of the Pac-12’s Arizona Wildcats.

1997: PK Yonge HS (Florida)— Defensive coordinator
1998: New Jersey Red Dogs, Arena League— WR coach
1999-2000: U of Florida— Graduate assistant
2002-03: Houston Texans— Defensive quality control
2004-07: Baltimore Ravens— Offensive assistant
2008: Denver Broncos— WR coach
2009-10: U of Minnesota— Offensive coordinator/QBs coach

2010: Seattle Seahawks— QBs coach
2011-12: Miami, FL— Offensive coordinator/QBs coach
2013-14: Jacksonville Jaguars— Offensive coordinator
2015-16: U of Michigan— Passing game coordinator/QB-WR coach
2017: UCLA— Offensive coordinator/QBs coach, then interim head coach
2018-19: Los Angeles Rams— Assistant offensive coordinator
2020: New England Patriots— QBs coach

The guy must be great at packing. Now he makes $2.2M a year.

12) Quite a stat about the Green Bay Packers this year:
— Aaron Rodgers threw 48 TD passes.
— Green Bay’s punter punted 46 times.

11) Stephen Curry missed a foul shot the other night, ending a streak of 80 consecutive makes; last time an NBA player had made 80+ free throws in a row was Dirk Nowitzki, in 2010.

10) Washington QB Alex Smith is just the 5th quarterback in NFL history to lead three different teams to the playoffs; Chiefs, 49ers were the others.

9) Random fact of the day: More people live in DeKalb County (Georgia) than in the whole state of Wyoming.

8) QB JT Daniels will come back to play for the Georgia Bulldogs next fall.

7) OF Robbie Grossman banks $10M for two years from Detroit. The 8-year veteran has a .350 career on-base percentage. Detroit will be his fourth MLB team.

6) Miami Dolphins’ offensive coordinator Chan Gailey resigned/got fired Wednesday, meaning Miami will have its third OC in three years next season. Continuity helps NFL teams, especially where young QB’s are concerned.

5) NFL teams who played rookies the most snaps on offense this season:
1,130— Chargers, Cowboys
1,077— Broncos

4) PGA Tour starts Thursday, with the Sentry Tournament of Champions, so daytime TV gets a little bit better on Thursdays/Fridays.

3) Wednesday would’ve been Ralph Branca’s 94th birthday; Branca pitched in the major leagues for 12 years, going 88-68, mostly for the Brooklyn Dodgers. He made three All-Star teams, but is best known for giving up a walk-off homer to Bobby Thomson in a 1951 NL playoff game.

2) My dad grew up in New York City, was a huge Brooklyn Dodger fan; when I was a young person, I knew way too much about the Brooklyn Dodgers, seeing how they moved to LA three years before I was born. There is a still a ceramic dish on my kitchen wall, painted with the field at Ebbets Field on it.

1) One of the coolest things I ever did was in 1990 or so, on a weekday afternoon. Ralph Branca was doing an appearance at Mohawk **** in Niskayuna, a **** that no longer exists. So I call my dad and tell him to get ready, I was taking him somewhere, but didn’t tell him where.

It was eight miles from my dad’s house to Mohawk ****; on the way, I tell him we’re going to meet Ralph Branca, and confirm if all the stories he told me over the years were true.

We get to the ****, and Mr Branca is sitting at a card table, not many people around, which was perfect. I introduce my dad to Mr Branca, and then stepped back and watched them talk for the next 15-20 minutes, about Ebbets Field, the Dodgers, Ernie Lombardi, old baseball stuff. It was tremendously tremendous.

He confirmed all of my dad’s stories, and then when some other people showed up, we said our goodbyes and went home. It couldn’t have gone any better. Happy birthday, Mr Branca.

**Udog** · 01-07-2021, 10:02 AM

533PHILADELPHIA -534 BROOKLYN
PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

537MINNESOTA -538 PORTLAND
MINNESOTA is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

539DALLAS -540 DENVER
DENVER is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 120 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

541SAN ANTONIO -542 LA LAKERS
SAN ANTONIO is 47-21 ATS (23.9 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 7

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PHILADELPHIA (7 - 1) at BROOKLYN (4 - 4) - 1/7/2021, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (4 - 4) at MEMPHIS (2 - 5) - 1/7/2021, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 229-277 ATS (-75.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 5) at PORTLAND (3 - 4) - 1/7/2021, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (3 - 4) at DENVER (3 - 4) - 1/7/2021, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 460-374 ATS (+48.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 76-56 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (3 - 4) at LA LAKERS (6 - 2) - 1/7/2021, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1128-1001 ATS (+26.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-25 ATS (+24.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 6-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Thursday, January 7

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Brooklyn
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
Brooklyn is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

Cleveland @ Memphis
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games at home

Dallas @ Denver
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

San Antonio @ LA Lakers
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games

Minnesota @ Portland
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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**Udog** · 01-07-2021, 10:25 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 7

**Udog** · 01-07-2021, 01:35 PM

Hoop Trends for Thursday January 7
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Nets are 12-0 ATS (8.58 ppg) as a dog with rest off a win as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS (-7.80 ppg) off a game as a dog where their opponent scored more than 1.5 points per field goal attempt.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 10-0 OU (21.75 ppg) with rest after their opponent made at least 10 more free throws than they did last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Nets are 0-17-1 OU (-8.58 ppg) off a win in which they shot over 53.25% from the field.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/7

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/7

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