Announcement

**Udog** · 01-04-2021, 08:52 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

NFL Wild Card games next week:
Saturday:
— Indianapolis @ Buffalo (-6.5)
— LA Rams @ Seattle (-4.5)
— Tampa Bay (-7.5) @ Washington
Sunday:
— Baltimore (-3.5) @ Tennessee
— Chicago @ New Orleans (-9.5)
— Cleveland @ Pittsburgh (-3.5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 349,625
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up Week 17 of the NFL

Buffalo 56, Miami 26
— Dolphins get hammered here, don’t make the playoffs.
— Total yardage: 455-454, Buffalo
— Miami lost its last five games against the Bills.
— In two games vs Miami this year, Buffalo threw for 790 yards.

— Bills’ first three drives: 15 plays, 37 yards, zero points:
— Bills’ next nine drives: 43 plays, 420 yards, six TD’s.
— Buffalo won nine of its last ten games, covered last eight.
— Bills host Indianapolis in playoffs Saturday afternoon.

Indianapolis 28, Jacksonville 14
— Colts win, pass Miami and make the playoffs.
— Indy ran ball for 273 yards, outgained Jaguars 437-283.
— Colts are 9-0 when they score 27+ points. 2-5 when they do not.
— Colts visit Buffalo Saturday afternoon in the first Wild Card game.

— In two games vs Indy this year, Jaguars were outgained 882-524.
— Jacksonville lost its last 15 games, going 5-9 ATS in last 14.
— Jacksonville gave up 35 ppg in their last four games.
— Jaguars can start negotiating with Trevor Lawrence’s agent.

Green Bay 35, Chicago 16
— Packers’ win gets them the #1 seed, and a bye next week.
— Green Bay won six in row, eight of last nine games.
— Packers scored five touchdowns on seven drives.
— Green Bay won 19 of its last 22 games with the Bears.

— Chicago made the playoffs when the Cardinals lost in LA.
— In two games vs Green Bay TY, Bears allowed 10 TD’s on 14 drives.
— In five trips to red zone, Chicago scored one TD, kicked three FG’s.
— Bears visit New Orleans for a Wild Card game Sunday.

Cleveland 24, Pittsburgh 22
— Browns win, make playoffs for first time since 2002.
— These two teams meet again Sunday night in Pittsburgh.
— Cleveland won six of its last eight games.
— Browns are 3-13-1 in last 17 games vs Pittsburgh.

— Steelers scored TD with 1:23 left, but 2-point conversion failed.
— Backup QB Rudolph threw for 315 yards in a losing cause.
— Last four games, Pittsburgh was outscored 57-20 in first half.
— Steelers lost four of last five games, thought this result didn’t matter.

Tennessee 41, Houston 38
— Sloman banked in 37-yard FG off right upright for game-winning points at gun.
— Henry carried ball 34 times for 250 yards, went over 2,000 yards for season.
— Tennessee converted 7 of 10 third down plays.
— Titans are a home underdog to Baltimore in Sunday’s early game.

— Tennessee scored 22 TD’s on their last 51 drives.
— Houston tied game on a 51-yard FG with 0:18 left.
— Texans lost last five games, giving up 32.4 ppg.
— Tennessee ran ball for 571 yards in two games vs Houston this year.

New Orleans 33, Carolina 7
— Saints picked off five passes, three in red zone.
— New Orleans ran for 156 yards, despite most of their RB’s missing game.
— Saints won eight of last nine series games
— In two games vs Carolina TY, New Orleans converted 18-28 third down plays.

— Carolina lost four of last five, nine of its last 11 games.
— Last three weeks, Panthers were outscored 30-0 in second half.
— Carolina was 0-11 when they allowed 23+ points, 5-0 if allowing 21 or fewer.
— Panthers covered two of eight home games this season.

New England 28, NJ Jets 14
— Jets fired coach Adam Gase Sunday night.
— Jets lost their last ten games with New England.
— Jets went 2-6 ATS on the road this season.
— Jets were outscored 148-84 in 2nd half of their last 11 games.

— Game was 14-14: Patriots scored TD’s 2:14 apart early in 4th quarter.
— In two wins against Jets this year, Patriots ran ball for 159-166 yards.
— Only one of New England’s four TD drives was longer than 58 yards.
— Jets lost their last ten visits to Foxboro, last five by 14+ points.

Minnesota 37, Detroit 35
— Vikings went 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
— This was only second time all year Minnesota won field position.
— Cousins threw for 405 yards, three TD’s.
— Vikings won last seven series games, winning last four visits here.

— Detroit scored TD with 4:26 left, but tying 2-point play failed.
— Lions allowed 27+ points in nine of their last ten games.
— Detroit lost four in row, eight of last ten games.
— Last three weeks, Lions were minus-7 in turnovers

Tampa Bay 44, Atlanta 27
— Falcons lost their last five games, only one by more than 5 points.
— Last four games, Atlanta was outscored 72-27 in second half.
— Falcons lost field position in this game, by 15 yards.
— Average total in last ten series games, 59.0

— Buccaneers won their last four games, scoring 37 ppg.
— Last six games, Bucs converted 39-81 third down plays.
— Tampa Bay is 11-0 when it scores 25+ points, 0-5 when it does not.
— Buccaneers visit Washington in Wild Card game Saturday night.

Baltimore 38, Cincinnati 3
— Ravens ran ball for 404 yards in this game; not sure I’ve seen that before.
— At one point in this game, total yardage was 255-7.
— Ravens’ first seven drives: 58 plays, 440 yards, five TD’s and a FG.
— Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite at Tennessee Sunday.

— Bengals’ first three drives: nine plays, minus-3 yards, three punts.
— Cincinnati completed only 6-21 passes, threw two INT’s.
— 3rd down conversions: Ravens 11-17, Bengals 1-9
— Last eight games. Cincinnati was outscored 121-47 in 2nd half.

LA Chargers 38, Kansas City 21
— Chargers won their last four games, after a 3-9 start.
— Bolts scored five touchdowns on eight drives.
— Chargers won field position by 11 yards.
— This was only Chargers’s 2nd win in last 14 games against KC.

— Chiefs scored TD’s on first two drives; ran 30 plays for 143 yards rest of game.
— Kansas City already had top seed clinched, Mahomes didn’t play.
— In two games vs Chargers TY, KC trailed 14-6/24-14 at the half.
— Last time Chiefs covered was November 1st against the Jets.

Seattle 26, San Francisco 23
— Seattle’s first seven drives: 39 plays, 120 yards, two FG’s.
— Seattle’s last three drives: 25 plays, 177 yards, three TD’s.
— Seattle won 13 of last 15 games against the 49ers.
— Seahawks host the Rams in a Wild Card game Saturday.

— 49ers’ first four drives: 15 plays, 24 yards, four punts.
— With 12:00 left in this game, SF led 16-6.
— 49ers lost seven of their last nine games SU.
— SF is 6-17 SU in last 23 games Garoppolo didn’t play

Las Vegas 32, Denver 31
— Trailing 31-24, Raiders scored TD with 0:24 left, went for 2 and got it.
— Las Vegas was minus-5 in turnovers, had 14 penalties for 111 yards but still won.
— Raiders turned ball over 16 times in last six games (-12)
— Last seven games, Raiders gave up 20.1 ppg, just in second half.

— Lock threw a 92-yard TD pass to Jeudy, passed for 339 yards.
— Denver lost eight of its last ten games.
— Broncos gave up 37 ppg in their last three home games.
— Raiders won four of their last five games with Denver.

Rams 18, Arizona 7
— Arizona’s only TD came on a 14-yard drive after an INT.
— Murray sprained ankle on first drive, didn’t return until 14:25 left in game.
— Cardinals covered twice in their last nine games.
— Last three games, Redbirds converted 9-35 third down plays.

— Hill had an 84-yard pick-6 with 0:20 left in first half that put LA ahead.
— Wolford threw for 231 yards, ran for 56 more in his NFL debut.
— Rams won last eight series games, seven of them by 10+ points.
— Rams visit Seattle Saturday for a Wild Card game.

Washington 20, Philadelphia 14
— Last seven weeks, Washington allowed 15.9 ppg.
— Washington outscored last 11 opponents 155-44 in second half.
— Washington won five of its last seven games. (5-2 ATS) overall.
— Washington hosts Tampa Bay in a playoff game Saturday night.

— Trailing 17-14 in 3rd quarter, Eagles passed up easy FG to tie game, went for it on 4th down, and never came close to scoring again.
— Philly replaces QB Hurts with 3rd-stringer Sudfeld after that; it didn’t go well.
— Eagles lost seven of their last eight games overall.
— Last four games, Eagles were outscored 48-13 in second half.

NY Giants 23, Dallas 19
— Loss ends Cowboys’ 7-game win streak against the Giants.
— Dallas had four red zone drives, scored only 13 points.
— Cowboys had 12 takeaways in their last four games (+10)
— Dallas is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.

— Giants won despite converting 0-7 third down plays.
— Giants had six sacks, held Dallas to 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Giants were 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS inside their division.
— Under was 9-1-1 in Giants’ last eleven games.

**Udog** · 01-04-2021, 09:12 AM

575CLEVELAND -576 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 37-67 ATS (-36.7 Units) off 2 or more consecutive home losses since 1996.

577OKLAHOMA CITY -578 MIAMI
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

579NEW YORK -580 ATLANTA
NEW YORK is 29-50 ATS (-26 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

581BOSTON -582 TORONTO
BOSTON is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

583DALLAS -584 HOUSTON
DALLAS are 75-55 ATS (14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

585INDIANA -586 NEW ORLEANS
INDIANA is 173-132 ATS (27.8 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.

587DETROIT -588 MILWAUKEE
DETROIT is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

589SACRAMENTO -590 GOLDEN STATE
SACRAMENTO is 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-04-2021, 09:17 AM

NBA

Monday, January 4

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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ Orlando
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland

Charlotte @ Philadelphia
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

New York @ Atlanta
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing at home against New York

Oklahoma City @ Miami
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Boston

Dallas @ Houston
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

Detroit @ Milwaukee
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Indiana @ New Orleans
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Indiana is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home

Sacramento @ Golden State
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
Golden State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Sacramento

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**Udog** · 01-04-2021, 10:30 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 4

**Udog** · 01-04-2021, 12:36 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 4

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CHARLOTTE (2 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 1) - 1/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (4 - 2) at ORLANDO (4 - 2) - 1/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (2 - 3) at MIAMI (2 - 3) - 1/4/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (3 - 3) at ATLANTA (4 - 2) - 1/4/2021, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (4 - 3) at TORONTO (1 - 4) - 1/4/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 4) at HOUSTON (2 - 2) - 1/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 459-374 ATS (+47.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 269-217 ATS (+30.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 206-149 ATS (+42.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 215-172 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 75-56 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (4 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 2) - 1/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 98-69 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (1 - 5) at MILWAUKEE (3 - 3) - 1/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 102-80 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 90-70 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-7 ATS (+19.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 10-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 11-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (3 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (3 - 3) - 1/4/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 7-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-04-2021, 12:38 PM

Hoop Trends for Monday Jan. 4
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oklahoma City at Miami (7:35 p.m.)

-- The Heat are 11-0 ATS (8.50 ppg) after they shot no more than 40% from the field last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m.)

-- The Bucks are 0-11 ATS (-13.32 ppg) with rest off a win in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Atlanta (7:35 p.m.)

-- The Hawks are 10-0 OU (8.75 ppg) at home off a loss in which they led after the third quarter.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Toronto (7:35 p.m.)

-- The Raptors are 0-10 OU (-8.70 ppg) at home off a loss in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/4

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/4

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