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  • Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, January 3

    Good Luck on day #3 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    NFL leaders in rushing yardage:
    1,777— Derrick Henry, TN
    1,557— Dalvin Cook, Minn
    1,070— James Robinson, Jax
    1,062— Aaron Jones, GB
    1,001— David Montgomery, Chi
    976— Josh Jacobs, LV

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 349,625
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Kentucky 78, Mississippi State 73 2OT:
    — Kid named Dontaie Allen scored 23 points off the bench for Kentucky, as they broke a 6-game losing skid.
    — Thing is, in Kentucky’s first seven games, Allen had played a TOTAL of 19:00, scored 7 points. Good things happen to people who work hard and don’t complain.

    12) Must’ve been a bad day for SEC refs; John Calipari, Eric Musselman both got tossed out of their games. Either that, or refs can just hear better in the mostly-empty gyms.

    There were 73 free throws almost evenly divided in the Arkansas game; lot of whistles.

    11) What does it say about a mid-major program when its head coach quits to become an assistant at a bigger school? When Musselman got tossed out of the Arkansas game, associate coach David Patrick took the reins.

    Patrick had been head coach at Cal-Riverside; they had their first winning season in 11 years LY, but Patrick bolted to become an SEC assistant. Couple years ago, Doc Sadler quit at Southern Miss to be an assistant for Fred Hoiberg at Nebraska.

    Maybe being a mid-major head coach ain’t all it is cracked up to be.

    10) Marquette 64, Georgetown 60:
    — Hoyas led this game 52-37 with 9:55 left to play.
    — This is Patrick Ewing’s fourth year as Georgetown’s coach; he is now 20-42 in Big East games.

    9) Colorado State 70, San Diego State 67— Aztecs led this game 33-7 with 8:57 left before halftime. Biggest comeback win in Mountain West history. Rams are 6-1, 3-0 in conference.

    8) Oklahoma 75, West Virginia 71— Sooners were up 38-20 at halftime; Mountaineers tied game in second half- they made 14-24 3-pointers, but shot only 27.8% inside the arc.

    7) There were lot of upsets Saturday:
    — Morehead State (+13.5) 61, Murray State 56
    — Oakland (+11) 81, Wright State 71
    — Alabama (+10) 71, Tennessee 63
    — Colorado State (+9) 70, San Diego State 67
    — Oklahoma State (+8) 82, Texas Tech 77 OT
    — Northern Colorado (+8) 64, Montana 62
    — Wichita State (+7.5) 83, Ole Miss 79

    6) Boise State 87, San Jose State 86:
    — Thursday night, Boise hammered the Spartans 106-54, dropping San Jose to 1-5, but San Jose junior Jalen Dalcourt made his debut Saturday. Dalcourt scored 23 points in 24:00 off the bench, as this game went right down to the wire. It’ll probably be last time he doesn’t start.

    5) Iowa 77, Rutgers 75:
    — Rutgers will make the NCAAs this year for first time since 1991, but they better improve their free throw shooting if they want to advance. Scarlet Knights were 4-12 on the line in this game.

    4) There is a freshman on Mississippi State who is 1-11 on the foul line this season; I’m 61 years old, have been holed up in my house here for the last ten months, but I’m pretty sure I could go to a playground today and, after a little warmup, make half my foul shots, and I’d be annoyed if I only made half of them.

    If you go to college on a basketball scholarship, 1-11 ain’t getting it done.

    3) Texas Longhorns fired football coach Tom Herman replaced him with Steve Sarkisian; Herman was 32-18 at Texas, 22-13 in Big X games, 4-0 in bowls, but it wasn’t enough. School ate $21M to terminate his contract.

    Sarkisian knows Nick Saban and all, but he also went 46-35 as head coach at Washington/USC, 31-26 in conference games. No way is this an upgrade, it is change for the sake of change.

    2) Dallas Cowboys’ offensive coordinator Kellen Moore turned down Boise State’s offer to become its new football coach; he’ll be staying with Dallas. Moore played QB at Boise State not that long ago; where do they turn now?

    1) Defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz is the scapegoat for the Eagles’ bad year; he is “taking next year off” while head coach Doug Pederson appears to be keeping his job. Always has to be someone’s fault. Eagles won the Super Bowl three years ago; people have a short memory.

    Comment


    • #3
      557BOSTON -558 DETROIT
      BOSTON is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

      559WASHINGTON -560 BROOKLYN
      WASHINGTON is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

      561LA LAKERS -562 MEMPHIS
      LA LAKERS are 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after 2+ road games in the last 3 seasons.

      563UTAH -564 SAN ANTONIO
      UTAH is 425-361 ATS (27.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.

      565DENVER -566 MINNESOTA
      MINNESOTA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

      569DALLAS -570 CHICAGO
      DALLAS are 75-55 ATS (14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

      571PORTLAND -572 GOLDEN STATE
      GOLDEN STATE is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Sunday, January 3


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-03-2021, 11:07 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Sunday, January 3


          Monmouth @ Siena
          Monmouth (3-2, 3-1)
          — ranked #168 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #7
          — Experience: #101
          — Continuity: #50
          — This is Monmouth’s first road game.
          — Hawks scored 76+ points in all five games.
          — Monmouth’s only MAAC loss was 78-76 to Saint Peter’s.

          Siena (0-0)
          — ranked #143 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #xx
          — Experience: #xx
          — Continuity: #xx
          — This is Siena’s season opener.
          — Siena was preseason choice to win this league.
          — Last two years, Saints are 26-12 in MAAC games.

          — Siena swept Monmouth LY, after losing 10 of previous 11 meetings.
          — Hawks won five of last seven visits to Albany.

          St Joe’s @ Rhode Island
          St Joe’s (0-6, 0-1)
          — ranked #179 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #9
          — Experience: #288
          — Continuity: #234
          — Hawks lost A-14 opener by 14 to VCU.
          — 49.1% of their shots are 3’s; they’re shooting 28.2% (#293)
          — St Joe’s is giving up 90.2 ppg.

          Rhode Island (4-5, 1-1)
          — ranked #75 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #121
          — Experience: #118
          — Continuity: #290
          — Rams lost three of their last four games.
          — URI has played schedule #25; they over-scheduled.
          — Worst team URI has played: #105 Boston College; St Joe’s is #179.

          — Rhode Island won six of last seven series games.
          — Teams split last four series games played here.

          Ohio State @ Minnesota
          Ohio State (8-2, 2-2)
          — ranked #11 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #307
          — Experience: #86
          — Continuity: #148
          — Buckeyes are 0-2 on Big 14 road, losing by 1-7 points.
          — Ohio State does have one road win, at Notre Dame.
          — Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#39).

          Minnesota (9-2, 2-2)
          — ranked #33 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #37
          — Experience: #132
          — Continuity: #281
          — Gophers are 2-0 at home in Big 14, beating Iowa/Michigan State.
          — Minnesota was held to 65-59 points in their losses.
          — Gophers are 3-2 in top 50 games.

          — Teams split last six series games.
          — Buckeyes lost last two visits here, by 10-13 points.

          Southern Illinois @ Drake
          Southern Illinois (7-1, 1-1)
          — ranked #174 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #202
          — Experience: #329
          — Continuity: #204
          — To this point, Salukis have played schedule #312.
          — SIU lost its last game, 84-72 at home to Evansville.
          — Salukis have toad wins, at SE Missouri State, Butler.

          Drake (11-0, 2-0)
          — ranked #78 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #239
          — Experience: #96
          — Continuity: #165
          — To this point, Drake has played schedule #296.
          — Bulldogs swept pair from Indiana State, by 18-7 points.
          — Drake is shooting 41.9% on arc (#6).

          — Underdogs covered last six series games.
          — Teams split last eight series games.
          — Teams split last six meetings played here.

          Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech
          Wake Forest (3-0)
          — ranked #117 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #195
          — Experience: #98
          — Continuity: #298
          — Wake’s only two D-I games were in November.
          — Those two games were against teams #353/#310
          — Deacons beat an NAIA team 70-62 Thursday.

          Georgia Tech (5-3, 1-1)
          — ranked #73 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #301
          — Experience: #6
          — Continuity: #9
          — Tech won five of its last six games.
          — Two of their three losses are to teams ranked outside top 100.
          — Tech doesn’t sub much (#328 bench minutes).

          — Tech won 11 of last 14 series games.
          — Deacons lost their last 13 visits here.

          Houston @ SMU
          Houston (7-1, 2-1)
          — ranked #9 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #313
          — Experience: #189
          — Continuity: #103
          — Houston lost its last game by a point at Tulsa.
          — Houston allowed 55 or fewer points in three of last four games.
          — Cougars are forcing turnovers 25.5% of time (#15)

          SMU (6-0, 2-0)
          — ranked #48 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #149
          — Experience: #63
          — Continuity: #72
          — To this point, SMU has played schedule #290.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — SMU won its only top 10 game by hoop at Dayton.
          — Mustangs won first two AAC games, by 15-8 points.

          — Houston won five of last six series games.
          — Cougars lost five of last seven visits to SMU.

          Elon @ Northeastern
          Elon (3-2, 0-1)
          — ranked #220 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #292
          — Experience: #204
          — Continuity: #39
          — Elon was 6-26 on arc in a 75-52 loss here yesterday.
          — Yesterday’s loss was Elon’s first game in two weeks.
          — To this point, Elon has played schedule #276.

          Northeastern (2-5, 1-1)
          — ranked #161 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #276
          — Experience: #309
          — Continuity: #211
          — Huskies are 0-4 when they score fewer than 75 points.
          — Northeastern turns ball over 22.4% of time (#275).
          — To this point, Northeastern has played schedule #44.

          — Huskies won eight of last nine series games; three of those wins were in OT.
          — Elon lost last three visits here, by 12-12-9-23 points.

          Duquesne @ George Washington
          Duquesne (2-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #82 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #242
          — Experience: #79
          — Continuity: #12
          — Dukes won 75-63 here yesterday, their first game in a month.
          — Duquesne starts two seniors, two juniors (#79 experience).
          — Dukes force turnovers 22.6% of time (#50).

          George Washington (2-7, 1-1)
          — ranked #210 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #165
          — Experience: #262
          — Continuity: #191
          — Colonials lost five of their last six games.
          — GW’s only two wins are over teams #335/#255
          — To this point, GW has played schedule #301.

          — Duquesne won six of last seven series games.
          — Dukes won last four visits here, by 2-6-5-12 points.

          William & Mary @ Hofstra
          William & Mary (2-4, 0-1)
          — ranked #292 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #297
          — Experience: #291
          — Continuity: #242
          — Tribe lost 61-56 here yesterday, going 8-30 on arc.
          — Wm & Mary lost its last three games, scoring 51.7 ppg.
          — Tribe has #264 eFG% in country.

          Hofstra (5-3, 1-0)
          — ranked #146 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #203
          — Experience: #180
          — Continuity: #83
          — Hofstra won four of its last five games.
          — Pride doesn’t sub much (#325 bench minutes)
          — 42.1% of their shots are 3’s (#69); they’re shooting 29.6% (#273)

          — Hofstra won nine of last 12 series games.
          — Wm & Mary lost three of last five games on Long Island.

          Charleston @ Delaware
          Charleston (2-6, 0-1)
          — ranked #222 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #344
          — Experience: #95
          — Continuity: #229
          — Cougars’ only D-I win is over #355 South Carolina State
          — Charleston lost last three games, giving up 72.7 ppg.
          — Charleston’s eFG% defense has been in top 150 nine of last ten years; right now, they’re #301.

          Delaware (3-3, 1-0)
          — ranked #72 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #346
          — Experience: #294
          — Continuity: #252
          — Blue Hens never trailed in yesterday’s 70-67 win over Charleston.
          — Yesterday was Delaware’s first game in 12 days.
          — To this point, Delaware has played schedule #295.

          — Charleston won nine of last 11 series games, but lost last two.
          — Cougars had won four in row here, before yesterday.

          Indiana State @ Missouri State
          Indiana State (3-5, 0-3)
          — ranked #165 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #105
          — Experience: #153
          — Continuity: #76
          — Sycamores are 0-3 in MVC games, giving up 79.3 ppg.
          — Indiana State was down 20 at half in yesterday’s 84-74 loss.
          — Opponents are shooting 56.7% inside arc (#307)

          Missouri State (5-1, 2-1)
          — ranked #132 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #120
          — Experience: #232
          — Continuity: #282
          — Bears’ only loss was by 10 at Northern Iowa.
          — Missouri State is shooting 63.4% inside arc (#4)
          — Bears scored 79.3 ppg in first three MVC games.

          — Missouri State won 10 of last 11 series games.
          — Indiana State lost eight of last nine visits here.

          Northern Iowa @ Evansville
          Northern Iowa (2-6, 1-2)
          — ranked #109 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #69
          — Experience: #268
          — Continuity: #156
          — Panthers were 0-11 on arc in yesterday’s 65-61 loss here.
          — Northern Iowa lost six of its seven D-I games.
          — To this point, UNI has played schedule #78.

          Evansville (4-5, 2-1)
          — ranked #276 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #354
          — Experience: #64
          — Continuity: #220
          — Evansville was 11-33 on arc, 11-22 inside arc in yesterday’s win.
          — Purple Aces are shooting 38.1% on arc (#38).
          — Evansville won four of last six games, after an 0-3 start that included two losses to teams ranked outside the top 300.

          — Evansville snapped 6-game series skid yesterday.
          — Teams split last six series games played here.

          Northwestern @ Michigan
          Northwestern (6-2, 3-1)
          — ranked #54 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #160
          — Experience: #253
          — Continuity: #53
          — Wildcats scored 74 ppg in their four Big 14 games.
          — Northwestern lost by 15 at Iowa, won their other road game, at Indiana.
          — Northwestern has #18 eFG% in country, vs schedule #51.

          Michigan (8-0, 3-0)
          — ranked #10 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #217
          — Experience: #60
          — Continuity: #140
          — Michigan won first three league games, by 4-11-11 points.
          — Four of their last five games were against top 100 teams.
          — Oregon is shooting 62.6% inside arc (#5).

          — Michigan won six of last eight series games.
          — Wildcats lost their last eight visits to Ann Arbor.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Sunday, January 3


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            Trend Report
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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-03-2021, 11:08 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              817WM & MARY -818 HOFSTRA
              HOFSTRA is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

              819DUQUESNE -820 GEORGE WASHINGTON
              DUQUESNE is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

              821COLL OF CHARLESTON -822 DELAWARE
              COLL OF CHARLESTON is 34-19 ATS (13.1 Units) in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997.

              823MONMOUTH -824 SIENA
              MONMOUTH is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

              825INDIANA ST -826 MISSOURI ST
              INDIANA ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

              827N IOWA -828 EVANSVILLE
              EVANSVILLE is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

              827N IOWA -828 EVANSVILLE
              Todd Lickliter is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game (Coach of EVANSVILLE)

              829ST JOSEPHS -830 RHODE ISLAND
              ST JOSEPHS are 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

              831MISSOURI-KC -832 N DAKOTA
              N DAKOTA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

              831MISSOURI-KC -832 N DAKOTA
              Paul Sather is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game (Coach of N DAKOTA)
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-03-2021, 11:10 AM.

              Comment

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