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Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/30

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  • Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, December 30

    Good Luck on day #364 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Money made by Nevada casinos in November:
    — Penny slots: $224.3M
    — Sports betting: $61.8M
    — Blackjack: $58.1M
    — Baccarat: $42M
    — Dollar slots: $36M
    — Roulette: $14.2M

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 336,529
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……

    13) Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen is having a great season, which makes college football recruiting gurus look even dumber. Recruiting/drafting are fascinating, because no one KNOWS. They THINK they know, but no one knows for sure.

    When Allen was coming out of Reedley College, a JC in California, he got two scholarship offers; Eastern Michigan and Wyoming. Now he’s an All-Pro quarterback; go figure.

    12) Washington told QB Dwayne Haskins to take a hike Monday, then he went unclaimed on the waiver wire. SOMEONE will take a chance on him; he was a first-round draft pick last year, so someone will take a shot at developing him as a QB of the future. Good luck there.

    — It is an underreported thing how many totally obscure guys are backup QBs in the NFL:

    11) John Wolford is making his NFL debut when he starts for the Rams Sunday; he started for four years at Wake Forest, starting as a true freshman, which ain’t easy. He went 15-11 the last two years at a school that isn’t a football factory. Not a lot of QB’s are 4-year college starters.

    Wolford also played for the Arizona Hotshots in the AAF in the spring of 2018; he was leading the AAF in touchdown passes when the league shut down. Rick Neuheisel was his coach, an old QB himself. Wolford is mobile; will be fascinating to see how he does Sunday.

    10) Rams have other issues; two of their three running backs have ankle injuries, WR Cooper Kupp is on the COVID list (status unknown). LA signed QB Blake Bortles to back up Wolford.

    9) Social media is funny; people are so damn fickle; everyone is either great or needs to be cut, no middle ground. The typical fan is like “We’re with you win or tie and we aren’t crazy about ties”

    But when I woke up Tuesday morning, and I’m scrolling thru Instagram, someone had posted these film packages on Wolford playing in the AAF— I probably saw 30-40 of his plays, which was interesting.

    8) Arizona Cardinals’ backup QB is Chris Streveler, who helped the Winnipeg Blue Bombers win the Grey Cup before coming to Arizona; he played college ball at Minnesota for two years, where he threw 11 passes, ran ball 40 times, before he transferred to I-AA South Dakota. Reading about him, he seems like the Taysom Hill of Canada; he played some WR for Winnipeg.

    7) Tennessee Titans’ backup QB is Logan Woodside, who was a 3-year starter at Toledo; he’s thrown three passes this season, landing with Tennessee after hanging around with the Bengals for a while in 2018.

    6) Seattle’s backup is Geno Smith, who went 12-19 as a starter in New Jersey. Smith had a great college career at West Virginia, where his WR’s were Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey, both of whom wound up with the Rams (Austin is with Green Bay now).

    5) I’m going to do a whole thing pretty soon on how Ohio State quarterbacks have fared in the NFL; the results, up to now, have not been good. Justin Fields could turn the whole thing around, but so far, the best Buckeye to play QB in the NFL seems to be Joe Burrow, who transferred out of Columbus and starred at LSU.

    4) NFL stuff:
    — Washington outscored its last ten opponents in 2nd half (total 152-44)
    — Last three weeks, Buffalo outscored opponents 58-14 in second half.
    — Last three weeks, New England was outscored 43-6 in second half.

    3) Until couple days ago, I had no idea that Ron Reiner was the director of A Few Good Men, which is a great movie. I usually associate the Reiner family with comedies, but that movie is no comedy. The courtroom scene at the end with Jack Nicholson is a classic.

    2) Oklahoma State 37, Miami 34:
    — OSU stormed out to a 21-0 lead, had to hang on for dear life.
    — WR Presley caught six passes for 118 yards, three TD’s for the Cowboys.
    — Miami QB King (knee) got hurt in 2nd quarter, didn’t return.
    — Backup QB Perry threw for 228 yards, two TD’s; Miami gained 512 yards.

    1) Alamo Bowl was in San Antonio last night; I was in San Antonio for a couple days, maybe in 2003, anyway it was a while ago, but San Antonio is a cool place. There is a river that goes right thru part of the city, and they have restaurants with patios where you can sit by the water on either side and watch boats go by while you eat.

    The actual Alamo is very small; it looks like an old convenience store. People were nice enough, I enjoyed my brief time there. Should’ve gone during basketball season, I guess.

    Comment


    • #3
      571MEMPHIS -572 BOSTON
      BOSTON is 29-50 ATS (-26 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

      573MILWAUKEE -574 MIAMI
      MIAMI is 48-29 ATS (16.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

      575ATLANTA -576 BROOKLYN
      ATLANTA is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

      575ATLANTA -576 BROOKLYN
      Lloyd Pierce is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 (Coach of ATLANTA)

      577CHARLOTTE -578 DALLAS
      CHARLOTTE is 58-90 ATS (-41 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

      579LA LAKERS -580 SAN ANTONIO
      SAN ANTONIO is 284-217 ATS (45.3 Units) in home games after playing a road game since 1996.

      581PORTLAND -582 LA CLIPPERS
      LA CLIPPERS are 51-34 ATS (13.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-30-2020, 12:08 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Wednesday, December 30


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        Trend Report
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        Memphis @ Boston
        Memphis
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
        Boston
        Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
        Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

        Atlanta @ Brooklyn
        Atlanta
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
        Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Brooklyn
        Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
        Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

        Milwaukee @ Miami
        Milwaukee
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
        Miami
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

        Charlotte @ Dallas
        Charlotte
        Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        Dallas
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
        Dallas is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Charlotte

        LA Lakers @ San Antonio
        LA Lakers
        LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
        LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
        San Antonio
        San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

        Portland @ LA Clippers
        Portland
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
        The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 19 games on the road
        LA Clippers
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing Portland


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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-30-2020, 12:09 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Wednesday, December 30


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          MEMPHIS (1 - 2) at BOSTON (2 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BOSTON is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
          BOSTON is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
          BOSTON is 144-186 ATS (-60.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          MILWAUKEE (2 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MILWAUKEE is 101-79 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MIAMI is 7-6 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
          MIAMI is 7-6 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          ATLANTA (3 - 0) at BROOKLYN (2 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
          BROOKLYN is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) at DALLAS (1 - 2) - 12/30/2020, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHARLOTTE is 58-90 ATS (-41.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
          CHARLOTTE is 200-250 ATS (-75.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          DALLAS is 74-54 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA LAKERS (2 - 2) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 1) - 12/30/2020, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN ANTONIO is 1126-999 ATS (+27.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 574-483 ATS (+42.7 Units) in home games since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN ANTONIO is 3-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
          LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          PORTLAND (2 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (3 - 1) - 12/30/2020, 10:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA CLIPPERS are 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA CLIPPERS is 3-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
          LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-30-2020, 12:09 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Wednesday, December 30




            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-30-2020, 12:11 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Hoop Trends for Wednesday Dec. 30
              Vince Akins

              ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Portland at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

              -- The Trail Blazers are 9-0 ATS (8.83 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Damian Lillard had at least 5 turnovers.

              ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Portland at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

              -- The Clippers are 0-14 ATS (-8.50 ppg) at home with no rest when they won at least 2 straight vs current opponent.

              OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Charlotte at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

              -- The Mavericks are 12-0 OU (19.29 ppg) at home off a road game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

              OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Charlotte at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

              -- The Hornets are 0-10-1 OU (-16.91 ppg) with rest after they had less than 10%

              Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-30-2020, 12:11 PM.

              Comment

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