Announcement

**Udog** · 12-30-2020, 07:32 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Money made by Nevada casinos in November:
— Penny slots: $224.3M
— Sports betting: $61.8M
— Blackjack: $58.1M
— Baccarat: $42M
— Dollar slots: $36M
— Roulette: $14.2M

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 336,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……

13) Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen is having a great season, which makes college football recruiting gurus look even dumber. Recruiting/drafting are fascinating, because no one KNOWS. They THINK they know, but no one knows for sure.

When Allen was coming out of Reedley College, a JC in California, he got two scholarship offers; Eastern Michigan and Wyoming. Now he’s an All-Pro quarterback; go figure.

12) Washington told QB Dwayne Haskins to take a hike Monday, then he went unclaimed on the waiver wire. SOMEONE will take a chance on him; he was a first-round draft pick last year, so someone will take a shot at developing him as a QB of the future. Good luck there.

— It is an underreported thing how many totally obscure guys are backup QBs in the NFL:

11) John Wolford is making his NFL debut when he starts for the Rams Sunday; he started for four years at Wake Forest, starting as a true freshman, which ain’t easy. He went 15-11 the last two years at a school that isn’t a football factory. Not a lot of QB’s are 4-year college starters.

Wolford also played for the Arizona Hotshots in the AAF in the spring of 2018; he was leading the AAF in touchdown passes when the league shut down. Rick Neuheisel was his coach, an old QB himself. Wolford is mobile; will be fascinating to see how he does Sunday.

10) Rams have other issues; two of their three running backs have ankle injuries, WR Cooper Kupp is on the COVID list (status unknown). LA signed QB Blake Bortles to back up Wolford.

9) Social media is funny; people are so damn fickle; everyone is either great or needs to be cut, no middle ground. The typical fan is like “We’re with you win or tie and we aren’t crazy about ties”

But when I woke up Tuesday morning, and I’m scrolling thru Instagram, someone had posted these film packages on Wolford playing in the AAF— I probably saw 30-40 of his plays, which was interesting.

8) Arizona Cardinals’ backup QB is Chris Streveler, who helped the Winnipeg Blue Bombers win the Grey Cup before coming to Arizona; he played college ball at Minnesota for two years, where he threw 11 passes, ran ball 40 times, before he transferred to I-AA South Dakota. Reading about him, he seems like the Taysom Hill of Canada; he played some WR for Winnipeg.

7) Tennessee Titans’ backup QB is Logan Woodside, who was a 3-year starter at Toledo; he’s thrown three passes this season, landing with Tennessee after hanging around with the Bengals for a while in 2018.

6) Seattle’s backup is Geno Smith, who went 12-19 as a starter in New Jersey. Smith had a great college career at West Virginia, where his WR’s were Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey, both of whom wound up with the Rams (Austin is with Green Bay now).

5) I’m going to do a whole thing pretty soon on how Ohio State quarterbacks have fared in the NFL; the results, up to now, have not been good. Justin Fields could turn the whole thing around, but so far, the best Buckeye to play QB in the NFL seems to be Joe Burrow, who transferred out of Columbus and starred at LSU.

4) NFL stuff:
— Washington outscored its last ten opponents in 2nd half (total 152-44)
— Last three weeks, Buffalo outscored opponents 58-14 in second half.
— Last three weeks, New England was outscored 43-6 in second half.

3) Until couple days ago, I had no idea that Ron Reiner was the director of A Few Good Men, which is a great movie. I usually associate the Reiner family with comedies, but that movie is no comedy. The courtroom scene at the end with Jack Nicholson is a classic.

2) Oklahoma State 37, Miami 34:
— OSU stormed out to a 21-0 lead, had to hang on for dear life.
— WR Presley caught six passes for 118 yards, three TD’s for the Cowboys.
— Miami QB King (knee) got hurt in 2nd quarter, didn’t return.
— Backup QB Perry threw for 228 yards, two TD’s; Miami gained 512 yards.

1) Alamo Bowl was in San Antonio last night; I was in San Antonio for a couple days, maybe in 2003, anyway it was a while ago, but San Antonio is a cool place. There is a river that goes right thru part of the city, and they have restaurants with patios where you can sit by the water on either side and watch boats go by while you eat.

The actual Alamo is very small; it looks like an old convenience store. People were nice enough, I enjoyed my brief time there. Should’ve gone during basketball season, I guess.

**Udog** · 12-30-2020, 07:51 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 30

**Udog** · 12-30-2020, 07:53 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 30

SMU @ Temple
SMU (5-0, 1-0)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #164
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #67
— SMU’s last game was two weeks ago.
— Mustangs won only road game 66-64 at Dayton.
— SMU is forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#40).

Temple (1-1, 0-1)
— ranked #160 by KenPom
— Tempo: #107
— Experience: #236
— Continuity: #278
— Temple lost its AAC opener 76-50 at Houston.
— Owls haven’t played in eight days.
— Temple’s win was 72-60 over #187 NJIT.

— Temple won three of last four series games.
— Mustangs lost last two visits here, by 8-7 points.

St Bonaventure @ Rhode Island
St Bonaventure (2-0)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #121
— Continuity: #21
— Bonnies’ wins are over teams ranked #124/#140
— St Bonaventure hasn’t played in 11 days.
— This is the Bonnies’ first true road game.

Rhode Island (3-5, 0-1)
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #288
— Rhode Island over-scheduled (#20) with last-minute games.
— Rams haven’t played in 12 days.
— URI lost its last three games, scoring 61.7 ppg.

— Rhode Island won last of last seven series games.
— Bonnies lost last four visits to URI, by 5-12-8-17 points.

Fresno State @ Colorado State
Fresno State (2-1, 0-1)
— ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #285
— Fresno starts three sophs and a junior (experience #257)
— Bulldogs shot 4-23 on the arc in Monday’s loss here.
— Fresno has couple wins over NAIA teams.

Colorado State (4-1, 1-0)
— ranked #99 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #36
— Rams’ only loss was 53-33 at Saint Mary’s.
— Colorado State allowed 54 ppg in their three D-I wins.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 24.1% of time (#28).

— Rams made 12-28 on arc in Monday’s 75-53 win.
— Colorado State won last four series games, all by 9+ points.
— Bulldogs lost seven of last eight visits to Fort Collins.

Butler @ Providence
Butler (2-3, 1-1)
— ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #259
— Continuity: #261
— Butler lost its one true road game by 19 at Villanova.
— Bulldogs lost three of their last four games.
— 6-7 frosh Coles had 14 points in 14:00 off bench in LW’s win.

Providence (6-3, 2-1)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #204
— Friars’ two Big East wins were both in overtime.
— Providence is 4-3 in top 100 games (schedule #45)
— Friars are shooting 25.9% on arc (#308)

— Butler (+1.5) beat Providence 70-64 at home last week.
— Providence won six of last nine series games.
— Bulldogs lost four of their last five visits here.

Murray State @ Belmont
Murray State (4-3, 1-1)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #217
— Continuity: #59
— Murray split pair with Austin Peay to open OVC play.
— Racers are 0-3 in true road games, scoring 65.7 ppg.
— Murray is turning ball over 23.5% of time (#291)

Belmont (8-1, 2-0)
— ranked #107 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #196
— Bruins opened OVC play with wins over Tennessee St, by 15-25.
— Belmont is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#18)
— Belmont hasn’t played in nine days.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Racers lost their last five visits to Belmont.

Mississippi State @ Georgia
Mississippi State (5-3)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #346
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #251
— Miss State lost its top 100 games by 11-3 points.
— Bulldogs haven’t played in nine days.
— MSU won five of its last six games after an 0-2 start.

Georgia (7-0)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #19
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #246
— Georgia is 7-0; they’ve played schedule #289.
— Dawgs’ best win was 83-68 over #76 Cincinnati.
— Georgia is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#18).

— Miss State won last three series games, by 15-1-32 points.
— MSU lost four of its last six visits to Athens.

Arkansas @ Auburn
Arkansas (8-0)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #57
— Experience: #200
— Continuity: #319
— Arkansas is 8-0 vs schedule #303; this is their first road game.
— Hogs’ best win was 69-54 over #102 North Texas.
— Arkansas has #5 eFG% defense in country.

Auburn (2-2, 0-1)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #229
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #303
— Auburn scored 67-55 points in losses to Gonzaga/UCF.
— Tigers won last five games, since the Central Florida loss.
— Auburn is turning ball over 23% of time (#276).

— Auburn won four of last six series games.
— Hogs lost last two visits to Auburn, by 11-3 points.
— Neither team has played in last eight days.

Tulane @ UCF
Tulane (5-2, 0-2)
— ranked #203 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #317
— Continuity: #290
— Green Wave lost first two AAC games, by 6-10 points.
— Tulane’s non-conference slate is ranked #319.
— Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#41).
— Green Wave hasn’t played in eight days.

UCF (3-2, 1-1)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #244
— Continuity: #255
— Golden Knights split a pair to open AAC play.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— To this point, UCF has played schedule #5 in country.
— Golden Knights were held to 58-54 points in their losses.

— UCF won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Tulane won 75-74 here LY, snapping 7-game skid at UCF.

Richmond @ Davidson
Richmond (6-2)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #112
— Continuity: #8
— Spiders are 2-1 in top 100 games, losing by 16 to West Virginia.
— Spiders lost their last game at home to #140 Hofstra.
— Richmond is shooting 58.5% inside arc (#17)

Davidson (5-3, 1-0)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #34
— Davidson won four of its last five games.
— Wildcats won their A-14 opener, 67-58 at Rhode Island.
— Davidson is shooting 37.3% on arc (#56).

— Neither team has played in eight days.
— Richmond won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

Seton Hall @ Xavier
Seton Hall (6-4, 3-1)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #118
— Pirates won five of last six games after a 1-3 start.
— Seton Hall’s only Big East loss was in OT to Providence.
— To this point, Pirates have played schedule #41.

Xavier (8-1, 1-1)
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #163
— Xavier’s lone loss was 66-61 at Creighton, their last game.
— Musketeers won four of five top 100 games.
— Xavier has #20 eFG% in country.

— Teams split their last 14 meetings.
— Seton Hall won by 10-12 points in last two visits here.
— Road team won last four series games.

North Carolina @ Georgia Tech
North Carolina (5-3, 0-1)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #83
— Experience: #314
— Continuity: #141
— Carolina lost three of its last five games.
— UNC hasn’t played in eight days.
— Tar Heels lost ACC opener 79-76 at NC State.

Georgia Tech (4-3, 0-1)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #12
— Tech lost ACC opener 74-61 at Florida State.
— Yellow Jackets haven’t played in ten days.
— Tech’s only top 100 win was 79-62 over Kentucky.

— North Carolina in 9-2 in last 11 series games, 2-2 in last four.
— Tar Heels won four of last five visits to Atlanta.

Penn State @ Indiana
Penn State (3-3, 0-2)
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #198
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #47
— Penn State lost first two Big 14 games, to Michigan/Illinois.
— To this point, Nittany Lions have played schedule #7.
— Penn State has top 100 wins over VCU, Virginia Tech.

Indiana (5-4, 0-2)
— ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #76
— Indiana scored 63.5 ppg in Big 14 losses to Northwestern, Illinois.
— To this point, Hoosiers have played schedule #21.
— Indiana has #45 eFG% defense in country.

— Indiana won five of last six series games.
— Penn St lost last four visits here, by 4-8-8-3 points.

Tennessee @ Missouri
Tennessee (6-0)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #213
— Continuity: #86
— Vols have played schedule #256; this is their first road game.
— Tennessee has top 10 wins over Colorado/Cincinnati.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#12).

Missouri (6-0)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #219
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #5
— To this point, Mizzou has played schedule #50.
— Tigers have two top 20 wins, over Oregon/Illinois.
— Mizzou has #23 eFG% defense in country.

— Tennessee won six of last eight series games.
— Vols won by 24-10 points in last two trips to Columbia.

**Udog** · 12-30-2020, 07:57 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, December 30

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 12-30-2020, 09:33 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 30

**Udog** · 12-30-2020, 11:46 AM

643VA COMMONWEALTH -644 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

645FURMAN -646 UT-CHATTANOOGA
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 27-14 ATS (11.6 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

647GEORGE WASHINGTON -648 FORDHAM
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists in the last 3 seasons.

649BOWLING GREEN -650 OHIO U
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

653ST BONAVENTURE -654 RHODE ISLAND
ST BONAVENTURE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the last 3 seasons.

655FRESNO ST -656 COLORADO ST
FRESNO ST is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

657BUTLER -658 PROVIDENCE
BUTLER is 116-81 ATS (26.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts since 1997.

659GEORGE MASON -660 MASSACHUSETTS
MASSACHUSETTS are 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

661VIRGINIA -662 NOTRE DAME
VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) on the road when the total is 120-129.5 in the last 3 seasons.

663NEBRASKA -664 OHIO ST
NEBRASKA is 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

Announcement

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/30

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/30

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