Announcement

**Udog** · 12-29-2020, 08:10 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads:
— New Orleans (-6.5) @ Carolina
— NJ Jets @ New England (-3.5)
— Minnesota (-6.5) @ Detroit
— Atlanta @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
— Baltimore (-11.5) @ Cincinnati
— Seattle (-4.5) @ San Francisco

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 334,116
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……

13) An ethical question to start off today: if you owned an NFL team (an average NFL team is worth $3B), and your team had the worst record in the league in December, would you to tell the coach to make sure the squad kept losing, to make sure you get the #1 pick in the draft?

Drafting Trevor Lawrence will sell a lot of tickets, when fans can go to games again; trading the first pick would bring a back a big haul of draft picks, which would fill a lot of holes that a bad team obviously has.

Lot of money at stake; these conversations would have been interesting to hear.

12) CBS analyst/former NFL QB Rich Gannon had the Bears-Jaguars game Sunday; he was very critical of the Jacksonville coaches as Chicago pulled ahead and routed the Jaguars, but it has to be a possibility that Doug Marrone was doing his job, making sure Jacksonville lost and clinched the #1 pick in the draft, which they did Sunday.

For the long-term success of the Jaguars, having that #1 pick is probably the best way for them to become good again.

11) An unnamed someone bet $500,000 on the Carolina Panthers’ money line Sunday; that person mustn’t think much of Dwayne Haskins as a quarterback. Panthers won 20-13, and the gambler had a big day, just in time, too. Washington released Haskins Monday.

It takes a lot of onions to wager $500,000 on the Panthers to win straight up- they had lost eight of their previous nine games.

10) Haskins was Washington first round draft pick LAST YEAR, the 15th pick in the draft, and they freakin’ cut him before his second year was over, making him the only QB in the last 20 years who was drafted in the first round, then cut before his second year was over.

Four 1st round QBs in the last twenty years were traded/cut after their second year in the NFL: Paxton Lynch, Johnny Manziel, Josh Rosen and Brandon Weeden.

9) Mike Glennon played QB for Jacksonville Sunday; he’s had a nomadic career:
2009-12: NC State, started last two years, replacing Russell Wilson
2013-16: Tampa Bay- Was 5-13 as a starter, with 30 TD’s, 15 INTs
2017: Chicago- Went 1-3 as a starter, with 4 TD’s, 5 INT’s
2018: Arizona- Threw 21 passes in two relief stints.
2019: Oakland: Threw 10 passes in two relief stints.
2020: Jacksonville: 0-4 as a starter, with 5 TD’s, 5 INT’s

6-20 as a starter, still making seven figures a year ($1.19M this year)

8) Was a little odd Sunday, watching NFL games on the dish, and CBS get doing promos for the Ball State-San Jose State bowl game, but both teams have really good years. San Jose is actually undefeated; good for them!!!

7) Baseball stuff:
— Texas Rangers signed Japanese P Kohei Arihara.
— San Diego signed Korean IF Ha-seong Kim

6) RIP to Phil Niekro, the knuckleballer pitcher who won 318 games in a 24-year career, mostly for the Braves. Niekro pitched until he was 48 years old; he passed away this weekend. RIP, sir.

5) College hoop scores of note:
— Maryland 70, Wisconsin 64
— Drake 66, Indiana State 63 (Drake is 11-0)
— Evansville 84, Southern Illinois 72

4) In their 52-33 win over Minnesota Christmas Day, the Saints had 11 first downs on their first 14 plays, which is incredibly bad defense by the Vikings (and good offense by the Saints).

52 points the Saints scored are the most points the Vikings gave up since 1963, when the Cardinals drilled them 56-14.

3) Rams’ QB Jared Goff had his broken right thumb surgically repaired Monday, is out for this week’s game with Arizona. Backup QB John Wolford will get his first NFL start; he started for four years at Wake Forest, then played for the Arizona Hotshots in the AAF in 2018- they were 5-3 when the league stopped playing, and Wolford was leading the league in TD passes.

2) Minnesota Timberwolves’ star Karl-Anthony Towns dislocated his left wrist, will be evaluated every week. Timberwolves are obviously hoping for a short absence for their star.

Nets’ Spencer Dinwiddie partially tore his ACL, is out for the season.

1) Bills 38, New England 9
— Bills sweep New England for first time since 1999.
— Buffalo won eight of last eight games, covered last seven.
— Bills outscored last six opponents 128-61 in first half.
— Over is 11-4 in their games this season.

— New England lost last three games, are out of playoffs for first time since ‘08.
— Last three games, Patriots scored only one touchdown.
— Patriots converted only 9 of last 34 third down plays.
— This was Buffalo’s 7th win in last 42 series games.

**Udog** · 12-29-2020, 08:15 AM

NBA

Tuesday, December 29

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Trend Report
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New York @ Cleveland
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Golden State @ Detroit
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

Boston @ Indiana
Boston
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
Toronto is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home

Chicago @ Washington
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 25 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Chicago

Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Orlando @ Oklahoma City
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Orlando's last 16 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

Minnesota @ LA Clippers
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home

New Orleans @ Phoenix
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Denver @ Sacramento
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 12-29-2020, 08:18 AM

551BOSTON -552 INDIANA
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

551BOSTON -552 INDIANA
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

553CHICAGO -554 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

555GOLDEN STATE -556 DETROIT
GOLDEN STATE is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

557TORONTO -558 PHILADELPHIA
TORONTO is 147-110 ATS (26 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

559NEW YORK -560 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 44-75 ATS (-38.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 since 1996.

561MILWAUKEE -562 MIAMI
MIAMI is 45-26 ATS (16.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

563ORLANDO -564 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 76-57 ATS (13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

565MINNESOTA -566 LA CLIPPERS
MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

567NEW ORLEANS -568 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-29-2020, 10:18 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 29

**Udog** · 12-29-2020, 12:17 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 29

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BOSTON (1 - 2) at INDIANA (3 - 0) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (0 - 3) at WASHINGTON (0 - 3) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 348-408 ATS (-100.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (1 - 2) at DETROIT (0 - 3) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 74-95 ATS (-30.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-56 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 72-106 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (0 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-7 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-5 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (1 - 2) at CLEVELAND (3 - 0) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (1 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 100-79 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (3 - 0) at OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (2 - 1) at PHOENIX (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 2) at SACRAMENTO (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 191-235 ATS (-67.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-29-2020, 12:19 PM

Hoop Trends for Tuesday December 29
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Oklahoma City (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Thunder are 12-0 ATS (7.25 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest off a game as a dog.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 0-10 ATS (-8.45 ppg) as a home favorite with less than two days rest after they scored fewer than 85 points last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 19-0 OU (15.84 ppg) after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-11 OU (-13.59 ppg) off a loss as a favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/29

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/29

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