Announcement

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 09:35 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Six most experienced teams in college basketball this year:
6) Georgia Tech
5) Nicholls State
4) North Carolina Central
3) Detroit Mercy
2) Cal-Bakersfield
1) Eastern Illinois

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 329,792
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

13) New Orleans 52, Minnesota 33
— Vikings lost four of last six games; they’ve been eliminated.
— Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
— Minnesota allowed 32.2 ppg in its last six games.
— Minnesota is 9-14-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road dog.

— New Orleans had 36 first downs, ran ball for 264 yards.
— Kamara is first player since 1929 to rush for six TD’s in a game.
— Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games.
— New Orleans clinched NFC South title for 4th year in a row.

12) Troy Aikman was saying on TV how tackling in the NFL has gotten a lot worse, because teams don’t practice much in pads anymore, because of the collective bargaining agreement. Like any other skill, tackling takes practice.

11) Friday was the 50th anniversary of the Miami-Kansas City playoff game that went to double OT, the longest game in NFL history. Dolphins won 27-24; there were 16 future Hall of Famers in that game.

There were a total of 149 plays in that game; 61 passes, 87 runs, one sack. The game has changed a lot over the last fifty years.

10) Favorites covered five of the first seven college bowl games this fall; five of the seven games stayed under the total.

9) There are four unbeaten hoop teams in the SEC:
— Arkansas is 8-0, all home games, vs schedule #296.
— Missouri is 6-0, with 4 home games, vs schedule #54
— Tennessee is 6-0, all home games, vs schedule #244.
— Georgia is is 7-0, all home games, vs schedule #282.

Tough to project which of these teams will wind up the best, but Tennessee/Missouri would appear to be the favorites there- they’ve been tested more so far.

8) Wisconsin 85, Michigan State 76:
— Badgers start five seniors, only play eight guys. Their future is now.
— Wisconsin was 23-30 on line in this game, Spartans 14-16.

7) Western Carolina is off to a 7-2 start in basketball; coached my Mark Prosser, son of the late Wake Forest coach Skip Prosser, the Catamounts have already won four overtime games- their last three wins have all come in OT.

6) Purdue 73, Maryland 70:
— Terps never led in a game that was tied in last minute.
— Purdue was 10-22 on the arc; Maryland had only five turnovers.

5) it is a pleasure to listen to NBA games with Mark Jackson/Jeff Van Gundy as analysts; it is like eavesdropping on two friends talking ball. To me, that is the ultimate compliment when you’re talking about game analysts.

4) Nets 123, Celtics 95:
— Brooklyn won its first two games by 26-28 points.
— Steve Nash is going to think this coaching stuff is easy.

3) Golden State Warriors lost their first two games this season by 26-39 points, not a good sign that they’re any better than last year’s 15-50 disaster.

From 2013-19, Golden State averaged 62.2 wins a year. Now? Not so much.

2) Warriors have a player named Marquese Chriss; at age 23, he’s done a lot of moving:
2014-15: Pleasant Grove HS, Elk Grove, CA
2015-16: U of Washington, scored 13.7 ppg in 24.9 mpg.
2016-17: scored 9.2 ppg in all 82 games for the Phoenix Suns.
2017-18: scored 7.7 ppg in 77 games for the Suns.
2018-19: split season between Houston/Cleveland, scored 4.3 ppg in 11.6 mpg
2019-20: scored 9.3 ppg in 59 games for Golden State

At 6-foot-9, Chriss has a chance to eventually make himself a lot of money, but he needs to lock himself inside a gym and become a shooting threat. He has the ability; will he do the work?

1) Miami 111, New Orleans 98:
— Miami G Duncan Robinson scored 23 points in this game, made 7-13 3-pointers.

— Robinson started his college career a D-III Williams, before transferring to Michigan. The odds of a D-III player making it to the NBA are very, very long. He has an interesting story.

If Duncan Robinson can make a living in the NBA, Marquese Chriss should also be able to.

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 09:45 AM

761KENTUCKY -762 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game since 1997.

763YOUNGSTOWN ST -764 CLEVELAND ST
CLEVELAND ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

763YOUNGSTOWN ST -764 CLEVELAND ST
Dennis Gates is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots (Coach of CLEVELAND ST)

765OHIO ST -766 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

767HOUSTON -768 UCF
UCF is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

769WI-GREEN BAY -770 WRIGHT ST
WRIGHT ST is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% in the last 3 seasons.

771INDIANA -772 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

773VIRGINIA -774 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

777ROBERT MORRIS -778 IUPU-FT WAYNE
ROBERT MORRIS are 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

779OAKLAND -780 DETROIT
OAKLAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 09:47 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, December 26

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 09:51 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (1 - 5) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

YOUNGSTOWN ST (4 - 1) at CLEVELAND ST (2 - 3) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (7 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (5 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (6 - 0) at UCF (3 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-GREEN BAY (0 - 6) at WRIGHT ST (4 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
WRIGHT ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 3-2 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (5 - 3) at ILLINOIS (6 - 3) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 122-164 ATS (-58.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
INDIANA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (4 - 1) vs. GONZAGA (6 - 0) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ROBERT MORRIS (1 - 2) at IUPU-FT WAYNE (1 - 2) - 12/26/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
ROBERT MORRIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (0 - 9) at DETROIT (1 - 5) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
OAKLAND is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
OAKLAND is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
DETROIT is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DETROIT is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COPPIN ST (1 - 7) at TOWSON ST (0 - 4) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COPPIN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORFOLK ST (3 - 3) at GEORGE MASON (3 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NICHOLLS ST (2 - 3) at LSU (4 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NICHOLLS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against NICHOLLS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 09:54 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 26

Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky (1-5)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #327
— Kentucky is 1-5 for first time since 1926.
— Wildcats’ one win was over #291 Morehead State.
— Kentucky lost to Kansas/Notre Dame by a combined four points.
— All five of their losses are to top 90 teams (two top 25 losses)

Louisville (5-1)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #313
— Louisville’s only loss was by 37 at a veteran Wisconsin team.
— Cardinals have three top 100 wins (Seton Hall, WKU, Pitt)
— Louisville is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#39)

— Kentucky won last three games in this rivalry, by 13-8-29 points; last year’s loss was in OT.

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State (4-1, 1-1)
— ranked #187 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #59
— Penguins split pair of league games with Northern Kentucky.
— Youngstown beat #342 Binghamton, its only other D-I game.
— Penguins are shooting only 28.6% on arc (#274).

Cleveland State (2-3, 2-0)
— ranked #210 by KenPom
— Tempo: #208
— Experience: #147
— Continuity: #155
— Vikings scored only 56 ppg in its losses (Ohio St, 2 MAC teams)
— Cleveland State swept a pair from Horizon rival Fort Wayne LW.
— Vikings are turning ball over 22.7% of time (#263)

— Cleveland State won five of last six series games.
— Penguins lost last two visits to Cleveland, by 10-8 points.

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State (7-1, 1-1)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #147
— Buckeyes’ only loss was by 7 at Purdue.
— Ohio State have three top 100 wins (Notre Dame, UCLA, Rutgers)
— Buckeyes split two true road games (Notre Dame/Purdue).

Northwestern (5-1, 2-0)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #137
— Experience: #249
— Continuity: #55
— Wildcats upset Michigan St/Indiana to start conference play.
— Northwestern’s only loss was by a point to Pittsburgh.
— Wildcats are shooting 41.3% on arc (#11).

— Ohio State won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Buckeyes won their last seven visits to Evanston.

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston (6-0, 1-0)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #124
— Houston beat Temple by 26 in its AAC opener.
— Cougars are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#15)
— Houston has top 100 wins over Boise State/Texas Tech.

Central Florida (3-1, 1-0)
— ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #252
— UCF beat Florida St/Cincinnati in its last two games.
— Knights are forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#48)
— To this point, UCF has played #5 schedule- no stiffs.

— Houston won four of last five series games.
— Cougars won three of last four visits to Orlando.

Green Bay @ Wright State
Green Bay (0-6, 0-2)
— ranked #288 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #274
— Continuity: #283
— Green Bay lost pair of Horizon games to Milwaukee.
— Green Bay’s top 100 losses are by 30-40-14 points.
— Green Bay’s eFG% is #276; they’re shooting 43.7% inside arc.

Wright State (4-1, 2-0)
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #68
— Wright scored 89 ppg in sweeping pair from Detroit LW.
— Raiders’ only loss was 80-64 to #82 Marshall.
— Wright State is shooting 58.2% inside arc (#19)

— Wright State won seven of last nine series games.
— Green Bay lost its last five visits to Dayton.

Indiana @ Illinois
Indiana (5-3, 0-1)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #280
— Continuity: #74
— Hoosiers lost Big 14 opener 74-67 at Northwestern.
— Indiana split its six top 100 games.
— Hoosiers lost only true road game by hoop at Florida State.

Illinois (6-3, 2-1)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #37
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #41
— Illini split its last six games.
— To this point, Illinois has played schedule #15.
— Illini is shooting 43.6% on the arc (#5).

— Indiana won seven of last nine series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Virginia vs Gonzaga (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Virginia (4-1)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #150
— Virginia has only one top 200 win (Kent St); that was in OT.
— Cavaliers’ only loss was by a point to San Francisco.
— Virginia’s foes are shooting 38.6% inside arc (#6)

Gonzaga (6-0)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #5
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #178
— Gonzaga already has three top 15 wins (Kansas/Iowa/West Va).
— Zags are shooting 64.1% inside arc (#4).
— Gonzaga is getting 62.8% of its points inside arc (#8).

Robert Morris @ IUPUI
Robert Morris (1-2)
— ranked #253 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #135
— Continuity: #108
— This is Colonials’ first-ever game in Horizon League.
— Robert Morris lost its first two D-I games, by 20-14 points.
— Colonials are turning ball over 25.7% of time (#315)

IUPUI (1-0)
— ranked #263 by KenPom
— Tempo: #38
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #188
— IUPUI’s only game was a 69-66 win over Tennessee St, on December 12.
— Jaguars start two juniors, two seniors (#108 experience)
— IUPUI won its opener despite shooting 37.5% inside arc.

Oakland @ Detroit Mercy
Oakland (0-9, 0-2)
— ranked #289 by KenPom
— Tempo: #52
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #240
— Oakland lost Horizon openers by 2-17 points to UIC last week.
— Oakland allowed 80+ points in 7 of their 9 games.
— Oakland has played schedule #13; they over-scheduled.

Detroit Mercy (1-5, 0-2)
— ranked #221 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #230
— Detroit lost its Horizon openers to Wright State, by 23-13 points.
— Titans’ only win is over #252 Western Michigan.
— Detroit is shooting only 28.9% on arc (#269).

— Oakland won 7 in a row, 12 of last 14 series games.
— Grizzlies won last three visits to Detroit.

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 09:57 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, December 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Youngstown State's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland State
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Youngstown State's last 19 games when playing Cleveland State
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State
Cleveland State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State

Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Louisville
Louisville
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Northwestern
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio State
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Coppin State @ Towson
Coppin State
No trends to report
Towson
Towson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Coppin State
Towson is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Coppin State

Nicholls State @ LSU
Nicholls State
No trends to report
LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Nicholls State

Wisconsin-Green Bay @ Wright State
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wright State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Wright State
Wright State
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Green Bay
Wright State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Indiana @ Illinois
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois
Illinois
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home

Norfolk State @ George Mason
Norfolk State
No trends to report
George Mason
George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Gonzaga @ Virginia
Gonzaga
No trends to report
Virginia
No trends to report

Oakland @ Detroit
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Oakland

Robert Morris @ IPFW
Robert Morris
No trends to report
IPFW
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of IPFW's last 8 games at home
IPFW is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/26

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/26

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment