Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/25

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[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, December 25

Good Luck on day #359 of 2020!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some interesting college football bowl spreads:
— Iowa (-14.5) vs Missouri
— Florida (-3) vs Oklahoma
— West Virginia (-7) vs Army
— Tulsa (-2.5) vs Mississippi State
— San Jose State (-8.5) vs Ball State
— TCU (-5.5) vs Arkansas

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 328,481
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Friday's Den: Merry Christmas, everyone…….

13) NFL playoffs were expanded to 14 teams this year, so only the #1 seed in each conference gets a bye; over the last seven years, of the 14 teams to make the Super Bowl, 10 were one-seeds and four were 2-seeds. Having the bye has obviously been an advantage.

12) Last five years, teams that had the first round by e were 12-7-1 ATS on the second weekend, which was their first playoff game that year.

11) Over last three years, underdogs are 8-2-1 ATS on first weekend of the playoffs; one game was pick ‘em.

10) 2012 Ravens are last Super Bowl champ that didn’t have a first round bye.

9) Underdogs are 12-7 ATS in last 19 Super Bowls, though favorites covered the last two.

8) Baseball doings:
— Pirates traded 1B Josh Bell to Washington, for two young pitchers.
— Detroit signed free agent pitcher Jose Urena.

7) Atlanta Hawks led Chicago 83-59 at halftime Wednesday; are the Hawks that good, or are the Bulls terrible? (With Billy Donovan coaching, they won’t be bad for very long).

6) Charlotte Hornets C Cody Zeller broke his left hand Thursday, is out 4-6 weeks.

5) Pitt Panthers’ best player, Justin Champagnie, is out 6-8 weeks hurting his knee in practice this week. Pitt is off to 5-2 start, 1-1 in ACC games.

4) Hawai’i 28, Houston 14:
— Rainbows picked off three passes, jumped out to a 21-0 lead.
— After Houston but the lead to 21-14, Rainbows ran a kick back for a TD, sealing the deal.
— This was Hawai’i’s first bowl on the mainland since the Sugar Bowl after the ’08 season.

3) Wednesday’s UCLA-Oregon basketball game was postponed, not because any players or coaches had COVID, but because of COVID-19 testing protocols for the refs.

2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven’t scored a first quarter point in their last four games; they signed QB Drew Stanton to their practice squad, replacing the departed Josh Rosen. Stanton was with Bruce Arians in Arizona; he knows the offense.

1) Way back when, when Steve Alford was a great college player at Indiana, I was convinced that someday, he would be coach of the Hoosiers. His dad was a high school coach in Indiana, it just made sense that someday, Steve Alford would run the Hoosiers, but it hasn’t happened.

This is a goofy idea, but Indiana/Nevada should trade coaches; Indiana is 26-33 under Archie Miller in conference games, not very good. Alford has gone from Missouri State to Iowa to New Mexico to UCLA to Nevada- he’s made four Sweet 16’s, but no Elite 8’s.

Alford is 25-15 at Nevada, while totally remaking the roster after Eric Musselman left; it would be good theater if got to come home and coach Indiana.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 25

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 25

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WISCONSIN (7 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (6 - 1) - 12/25/2020, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 113-76 ATS (+29.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 186-145 ATS (+26.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 186-145 ATS (+26.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 115-81 ATS (+25.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (5 - 2) at PURDUE (6 - 3) - 12/25/2020, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 2-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (6 - 0) at NEBRASKA (4 - 4) - 12/25/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 3-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA (7 - 1) at MINNESOTA (7 - 1) - 12/25/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 25

Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Wisconsin (7-1, 1-0)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #329
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #19
— Badgers’ only loss was by a hoop at Marquette.
— Wisconsin won its last four games, giving up 56.5 ppg.
— Wisconsin has made 41.8% of its 3’s (#9).

Michigan State (6-1, 0-1)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #172
— Continuity: #62
— Spartans lost their Big 14 opener 79-65 at Northwestern.
— State has top 100 wins, over Duke/Notre Dame.
— Spartans are playing lot of guys (#17 bench minutes)

— Michigan State won 8 of last 9 series games.
— Badgers lost their last 12 visits to East Lansing, last six by 10+ points.

Maryland @ Purdue
Maryland (5-2, 0-1)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #139
— Continuity: #92
— Maryland lost its Big 14 opener 74-60 to Rutgers.
— Best teams Terps have beaten so far is #119 Old Dominion.
— Maryland is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Rutgers/Clemson.

Purdue (6-3, 1-1)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #132
— Boilers lost three of five top 100 games, beating Ohio St/Notre Dame
— Purdue split its two Big 14 games, losing by 15 at Iowa.
— Purdue is turning ball over 21.0% of time (#218)

— Purdue is 5-4 vs Maryland in conference games.
— Terps lost last three games in Mackey Arena, by 4-8-2 points.

Michigan @ Nebraska
Michigan (6-0, 1-0)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #130
— Michigan hasn’t played in 12 days.
— Wolverines are 3-0 in top 100 games, winning by 22-20-4 points.
— Michigan won its conference opener 62-58 over Penn State.

Nebraska (4-4, 0-1)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #296
— Nebraska lost its last three D-I games.
— Cornhuskers lost their Big 14 opener 67-53 at Wisconsin.
— Nebraska is shooting 31.5% on arc (#213), 47.8% inside arc (#207)

— Michigan won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Wolverines won four of last five visits to Lincoln.

Iowa @ Minnesota
Iowa (7-1, 1-0)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #48
— Iowa’s only loss was by 11 to Gonzaga on a neutral floor.
— Hawkeyes have three top 100 wins.
— Iowa’s eFG% is #16 in country.

Minnesota (7-1, 0-1)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #16
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #166
— Gophers lost Big 14 opener 92-65 at Illinois.
— Minnesota’s only top 100 win was by 8 over Saint Louis.
— Gophers are getting 28.3% of their points on foul line (#6)

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Hawkeyes lost three of last four visits to Minnesota.

[Udog]

NCAAB

Friday, December 25

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Trend Report
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Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Wisconsin's last 16 games on the road
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Maryland @ Purdue
Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 6 games when playing Purdue
Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Purdue
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing Maryland

Michigan @ Nebraska
Michigan
Michigan is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Nebraska
Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nebraska
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing at home against Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 8 games when playing Michigan

Iowa @ Minnesota
Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa


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[Udog]

751WISCONSIN -752 MICHIGAN ST
WISCONSIN is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

753MARYLAND -754 PURDUE
PURDUE is 93-63 ATS (23.7 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1997.

755MICHIGAN -756 NEBRASKA
NEBRASKA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after scoring 60 points or less in the last 3 seasons.