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Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/23

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  • Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, December 23

    Good Luck on day #357 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    But groundless hope, like unconditional love, is the only kind worth having.


    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Over/under NBA win totals (72-game season):
    — Portland Trailblazers 40.5
    — Sacramento Kings 28.5
    — San Antonio Spurs 28.5
    — Toronto Raptors 41.5
    — Utah Jazz 41.5
    — Washington Wizards 29.5

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 321,968
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Much like the 49ers did in September, Cleveland Browns are playing back/back games in the Meadowlands, playing the Jets this week after beating the Giants last week.

    12) Speaking of the 49ers, San Francisco QB Nick Mullens may need Tommy John surgery on his elbow; the 49ers added QB Josh Rosen to their roster, plucking him off Tampa Bay’s practice squad. He will back up CJ Beathard for the 49ers’ last two games.

    11) Monday night was first time since 1986 the Steelers didn’t have any first downs in their first five series of a game- they had only two first downs the whole first half.

    10) NBA teams have skill development coaches who work with players on improving shooting, passing, all kinds of skills; it makes a huge difference. Take Kawhi Leonard.

    In two years at San Diego State, Leonard shot 20.5%/29.1% behind the arc; he shot 49.7% inside the arc in two years as an Aztec. He was the 15th pick in the 2001 pick. Go figure.

    In the NBA, Leonard is a 38.3% shooter behind the arc, a longer shot than in college and he is a 53.3% shooter inside the arc. San Antonio had a shooting coach named Chip Engelland- he played for Duke- who worked wonders with Leonard and helped make him really, really rich.

    9) NC State 79, North Carolina 76:
    — State beat Carolina for only 4th time in last 30 series games.
    — Wolfpack led 46-29 in first half.
    — State’s freshman G Moore scored 17 points off the bench.

    8) Texas Tech 69, Oklahoma 67:
    — Tech’s first two Big X games (1-1) were decided by total of three points.
    — Oklahoma was 17-27 on the foul line, Tech 9-10.

    7) Kansas 79, West Virginia 65:
    — Jayhawks were 16-37 behind the arc; they’ve won their last eight games.

    6) Iowa 70, Purdue 55:
    — Hawkeyes bounce back from their Gonzaga loss with strong effort here.
    — Iowa was 10-14 on foul line, Purdue 1-3.

    5) Wichita State 82, South Florida 77 OT
    — Shockers win first two AAC games, by 5-4 points.
    — USF jumped out to a 27-14 lead.
    — Lot of whistles: Bulls were 27-41 on foul line; Wichita 22-33.

    4) Former big league OF Sam Fuld was named general manager of the Phillies; Fuld played in the majors as recently as 2015. 39 years old is young to be a major league GM, but the guy who will make the final decisions in Philly is Dave Dombrowski.

    3) College football coaches lead a nomadic existence; LSU had a lousy year, so they’re shuffling lot of their coaches. Same thing at Michigan, where they fired their defensive coordinator, who had been there five years, which is a long time for a college assistant.

    2) Nevada 38, Tulane 27:
    — Nevada QB Strong threw for 271 yards, five TD’s.
    — Wolf Pack had two guys run for 100+ yards each.

    1) BYU 49, Central Florida 23:
    — Cougars rang up 655 yards, led 35-10 at halftime.
    — BYU QB Wilson threw for 425 yards, three TD’s.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-23-2020, 12:15 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, December 23


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-23-2020, 12:16 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Wednesday, December 23


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        Trend Report
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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-23-2020, 12:18 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Wednesday, December 23


          Xavier @ Creighton
          Xavier (8-0, 1-0)
          — ranked #47 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #267
          — Experience: #110
          — Continuity: #165
          — Xavier won its Big East opener, 91-88 over Marquette Sunday.
          — Musketeers have four top 100 wins, two top 50 wins.
          — Xavier has made 41.5% of their 3’s (#10).

          Creighton (6-2, 2-1)
          — ranked #13 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #107
          — Experience: #53
          — Continuity: #17
          — Bluejays are 2-1 in Big East, winning last game in OT over UConn.
          — Creighton’s two losses are by total of six points.
          — Bluejays are shooting 59.9% of their shots inside arc (#11).

          — Teams split last 14 meetings.
          — Xavier lost last two visits to Omaha, by 22-11 points.

          UCLA @ Oregon
          UCLA (5-2)
          — ranked #29 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #341
          — Experience: #189
          — Continuity: #2
          — UCLA allowed 73-77 points in its two losses.
          — Bruins are 5-0 when they allow fewer than 73 points.
          — UCLA beat Cal 76-56 in its Pac-12 opener.

          Oregon (6-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #19 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #184
          — Experience: #33
          — Continuity: #293
          — Ducks won their last six games, since an opening loss to Missouri.
          — Oregon won its Pac-12 opener, 74-71 at Washington.
          — Ducks have top 100 wins over Seton Hall, San Francisco.

          — UCLA won three of last four series games, with two wins in OT.
          — Bruins lost five of last six visits to Eugene.

          Towson @ George Mason
          Towson (0-3)
          — ranked #221 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #321
          — Experience: #134
          — Continuity: #176
          — Towson hasn’t played since November 27
          — Tigers scored 62.3 ppg in first three games.
          — Towson is shooting only 41.0% on the arc (#309).

          George Mason (3-1)
          — ranked #126 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #286
          — Experience: #218
          — Continuity: #13
          — Patriots’ only loss was by 10 to Belmont.
          — Mason is shooting only 58.5% on foul line (#317)
          — Patriots’ two D-I wins are over teams ranked #318/#240

          Rutgers @ Ohio State
          Rutgers (5-0, 2-0)
          — ranked #18 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #146
          — Experience: #176
          — Continuity: #54
          — Rutgers beat Maryland/Illinois to start Big 14 play.
          — Scarlet Knights also have a home win over Syracuse.
          — 74-60 win at Maryland was Rutgers’ only road game.

          Ohio State (6-1, 0-1)
          — ranked #20 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #324
          — Experience: #94
          — Continuity: #145
          — Buckeyes lost Big 14 opener 67-60 at Purdue.
          — Ohio State has top 100 wins over Notre Dame, UCLA.
          — Buckeyes are #8 in country at protecting the ball.

          — Ohio State won eight of last ten series games.
          — Rutgers lost last five trips to Columbus, by 26-6-27-14-6 points.

          Georgetown @ Seton Hall
          Georgetown (3-4, 1-2)
          — ranked #104 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #78
          — Experience: #24
          — Continuity: #236
          — Hoyas split pair with St John’s, lost by 13 to Villanova.
          — Georgetown is turning ball over 22.1% of time (#253)
          — Hoyas lost only road game 94-83 at St John’s.

          Seton Hall (5-4, 2-1)
          — ranked #51 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #232
          — Experience: #20
          — Continuity: #115
          — Pirates are 3-4 in top 100 games (schedule #34)
          — Seton Hall lost last game in OT to Providence.
          — Pirates are getting 23.4% of their points on foul line (#39)

          — Seton Hall won four of last five series games.
          — Hoyas lost their last five visits to Seton Hall.

          Providence @ Butler
          Providence (5-2, 1-0)
          — ranked #59 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #318
          — Experience: #143
          — Continuity: #206
          — Friars won Big East opener in OT at Seton Hall.
          — Providence is 3-2 in top 100 games, losing to Indiana/Alabama.
          — Friars won last three games overall, scoring 79-79-80 points.

          Butler (1-3, 0-1)
          — ranked #73 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #281
          — Experience: #254
          — Continuity: #251
          — Butler lost its last three games, giving up 76.3 ppg.
          — Bulldogs lost their Big East opener, 85-66 at Villanova.
          — Butler’s one win was November 25, over Western Michigan.

          — Providence won six of last eight series games.
          — Friars won last two games in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

          Cal-Bakersfield @ Pepperdine
          Cal-Bakersfield (3-3)
          — ranked #201 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #314
          — Experience: #2
          — Continuity: #23
          — Roadrunners’ three losses are by 6-25-13 points.
          — Bakersfield’s only D-I win was by 10 over Idaho.
          — Bakersfield is turning ball over 24.4% of time (#299)

          Pepperdine (4-4)
          — ranked #114 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #89
          — Experience: #90
          — Continuity: #75
          — Waves have D-I wins over California, Cal-Irvine.
          — Pepperdine has Big West losses: UCSB, Northridge.
          — Waves lost their last two D-I home games.

          Illinois @ Penn State
          Illinois (5-3, 1-1)
          — ranked #11 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #42
          — Experience: #214
          — Continuity: #38
          — Illini is shooting 45% on the arc (#2)
          — Illinois allowed 82-81-91 points in their losses.
          — Illini has played schedule #23 so far.

          Penn State (3-2, 0-1)
          — ranked #44 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #173
          — Experience: #47
          — Continuity: #46
          — Penn State hasn’t played in ten days.
          — Nittany Lions split their four top 100 games.
          — Penn State is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#48).

          — Penn State won six of last seven series games.
          — Illinois won 62-56 here LY, their first win in last four visits to PSU.

          Weber State @ BYU
          Weber State (3-2)
          — ranked #253 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #96
          — Experience: #67
          — Continuity: #299
          — Weber lost by 11 at Boise State, by 2 at Portland State.
          — Wildcats’ only D-I win was 94-66 at Portland State.
          — Weber is forcing turnovers over 22.4% of time (#71).

          BYU (8-2)
          — ranked #85 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #104
          — Experience: #74
          — Continuity: #255
          — BYU won its last three games, beating Utah/San Diego State.
          — Cougars allowed 74-79 points in their two losses; they allowed 71 or fewer points in their wins.
          — BYU is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#247)- they’ve already played 10 games.

          — BYU hammered Weber State 91-61 LY.

          Villanova @ Marquette
          Villanova (7-1, 2-0)
          — ranked #4 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #351
          — Experience: #126
          — Continuity: #8
          — Villanova won first two Big East games, by 13-19 points.
          — Wildcats have road wins at Texas/Georgetown.
          — Villanova is #2 team in country at protecting the ball.

          Marquette (5-4, 1-2)
          — ranked #54 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #256
          — Experience: #182
          — Continuity: #162
          — Marquette lost three of its last three games.
          — Golden Eagles are shooting 38.6% on arc (#30)
          — To this point, Marquette has played schedule #40.

          — Home side won last four series games.
          — Villanova lost last two trips to Milwaukee, by 1-11 points.

          Western Illinois @ DePaul
          Western Illinois (2-4)
          — ranked #338 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #66
          — Experience: #65
          — Continuity: #324
          — WIU’s only D-I win is over #340 Tenn-Martin.
          — Leathernecks lost only top 100 game by 41 at Iowa.
          — WIU is shooting 43.8% inside arc (#275), 55.8% on line (#324).

          DePaul (0-0)
          — ranked #85 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #xx
          — Experience: #***
          — Continuity: #***
          — This is DePaul’s season opener.
          — DePaul has 3 starters back from LY’s 16-16 (3-15) team.
          — DePaul hasn’t been in NCAA Tournament since 2004.

          Northwestern @ Indiana
          Northwestern (4-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #56 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #127
          — Experience: #255
          — Continuity: #62
          — Wildcats upset Michigan State 79-65 in their opener.
          — Northwestern’s only loss was by a point to Pittsburgh.
          — Wildcats have #3 eFG% defense, having played schedule #303.

          Indiana (5-2)
          — ranked #17 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #234
          — Experience: #283
          — Continuity: #74
          — Indiana’s two losses are to Texas/Florida State.
          — Hoosiers have #19 eFG% defense in country.
          — Indiana has three top 100 wins: Providence, Stanford, Butler.

          — Indiana won six of last eight series games.
          — Wildcats lost their last five visits to Bloomington.

          New Mexico @ Boise State
          New Mexico (3-1, 0-1)
          — ranked #216 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #132
          — Experience: #220
          — Continuity: #291
          — Lobos are playing their fifth game in 11 days.
          — New Mexico won their opener by 11 at Rice, lost by 24 at Boise Monday.
          — Lobos are shooting 28.1% inside arc (#280).

          Boise State (5-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #84 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #244
          — Experience: #81
          — Continuity: #233
          — Boise’s one loss was by 10 at Houston, in their opener.
          — Broncos have a top 100 win, at BYU.
          — Boise shot 68% inside arc in Monday’s win over New Mexico.

          — Boise State won four of last six series games.
          — Lobos lost last three games here, by 28-13-24 points.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-23-2020, 12:20 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            701XAVIER -702 CREIGHTON
            XAVIER is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

            703UCLA -704 OREGON
            OREGON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

            707UTAH VALLEY ST -708 AIR FORCE
            AIR FORCE is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) as a home fav of 3.5 to 6 since 1997.

            709IDAHO ST -710 N COLORADO
            IDAHO ST is 22-49 ATS (-31.9 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.

            711TOWSON ST -712 GEORGE MASON
            GEORGE MASON is 38-17 ATS (19.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

            713RUTGERS -714 OHIO ST
            RUTGERS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

            715GEORGETOWN -716 SETON HALL
            SETON HALL is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

            717PROVIDENCE -718 BUTLER
            BUTLER is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

            719CS-BAKERSFIELD -720 PEPPERDINE
            CS-BAKERSFIELD is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

            723WEBER ST -724 BYU
            WEBER ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-23-2020, 12:21 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Wednesday, December 23


              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-23-2020, 12:22 PM.

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