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Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/22

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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, December 22

    Good Luck on day #356 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    NCAAB Database


    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
    — Cincinnati @ Houston (-9)
    — Indianapolis @ Pittsburgh (-2.5)
    — Chicago (-7.5) @ Jacksonville
    — Carolina @ Washington (-2.5)
    — NJ Giants @ Baltimore (-10)
    — Atlanta @ Kansas City (-10.5)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 319,086
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Its never fun to lose your job, but losing it four days before Christmas as to be especially bad; Carolina Panthers fired GM Marty Hurney Monday- the teams wants someone who is more analytical and data-driven to be their GM.

    12) Detroit Lions fired special teams coach Brayden Coombs Monday; apparently he called a fake punt Sunday without consulting any of the other coaches. When you do that, the play damn well better work, but it did not, and now Coombs is unemployed.

    Lions trailed 32-18 when they faked the punt; game ended with Tennessee winning 46-25.

    Coombs is son of Ohio State defensive coordinator Kerry Coombs, who was the defensive backs coach for the Titans last year.

    11) Kentucky Wildcats are 1-5 so far this basketball season, their worst start since 1927; the last time a team got an at-large bid to the NCAAs after starting a season 1-5 or worse was 1999, when the Texas Longhorns went 19-13 (13-3 in Big X) in Rick Barnes’ first year in Austin.

    10) NHL will have a 56-game regular season, starting January 13.

    NBA starts its regular season with two games Tuesday, a full slate of games Wednesday.

    9) Was interesting to hear how some college teams have opted out of bowl games because their players just want to go home for the holidays. Kids have been in a routine since June/July where they have been tested for COVID three times a week, and isolated from their families.

    8) Tennessee Vols’ senior QB Jarrett Guarantano will transfer away from Knoxville; he got benched in favor of younger guys recently. Guarantano winds up with 6,174 yards passing, 38 touchdowns and 17 interceptions in 41 games played for the Vols.

    Guarantano has another year to play due to this year being a free year for all the players, it doesn’t count against their eligibility.

    Speaking of Tennessee, they opted out of the Liberty Bowl because of COVID issues; Army takes their place and will play West Virginia in Memphis Saturday.

    7) RIP to Hall of Fame linebacker Kevin Greene, who passed away Monday at age 58. Greene was a great player for the Steelers/Rams/Panthers. RIP, sir.

    6) 9 of the 32 current NFL head coaches grew up in Pennsylvania, which seems like a lot.

    5) Eagles coach Doug Pederson baffles me; he loves to go for two points when the Eagles score a TD, but trailing 16-0 in Arizona Sunday, Philly scores a TD and they kick the PAT instead of trying for a 2-point play that would’ve cut the lead in half. Go figure.

    4) Anyone who tells you that Randy Moss was a better receiver than Jerry Rice is wrong, and this is coming from a Rams’ fan who has no love for anything 49er-related. Rice was the best wide receiver ever, and he did it quietly. Nothing wrong with that.

    3) Washington is only NFL team this season that hasn’t scored a point on their first drive of a game, but with two weeks left in the season, they lead the NFC East.

    2) Appalachian State 56, North Texas 28:
    — App State ran ball for 502 yards (12.9 yards/carry)
    — Cameron Peoples ran ball 22 times for 319 yards.
    — Both teams had 100+ yards in penalties.
    — App State won its last six bowls, scoring 31+ points in all five.
    — North Texas lost last four bowls, giving up 49.0 ppg.

    1) Cincinnati 27, Steelers 17:
    — Steelers were 11-0 at one point; now they’re 11-3.
    — Last four games, Steelers scored 17 ppg.
    — Pittsburgh in first half: 30 plays, 119 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
    — Steelers are now only game ahead of Cleveland in AFC North.

    — Cincinnati gets its first win over Steelers in last dozen tries.
    — Bengals had lost previous five games overall by combined 124-50.
    — Bengals’ first two TD drives were 38-26 yards.
    — Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS this season as a home underdog.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2020, 12:49 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, December 22


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2020, 12:49 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Tuesday, December 22


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        Trend Report
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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2020, 12:50 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Tuesday, December 22


          Ohio @ Akron
          Ohio (4-2)
          — ranked #110 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #133
          — Experience: #245
          — Continuity: #58
          — Ohio lost both road games, by 2 at Illinois, 14 at Marshall.
          — Bobcats haven’t played in nine days.
          — Ohio is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#60).

          Akron (2-1)
          — ranked #146 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #80
          — Experience: #104
          — Continuity: #220
          — Akron beat two NAIA teams, lost by 7 to St Bonaventure.
          — Zips shot 64% inside arc vs St Bona, but were 6-32 on arc.
          — Akron starts three seniors, two sophs.

          — Akron won eight of last 11 series games.
          — Bobcats lost five of last six visits to Akron.

          Northern Illinois @ Toledo
          Northern Illinois (1-5, 0-1)
          — ranked #301 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #346
          — Experience: #154
          — Continuity: #210
          — Huskies got their first win Friday, over #356 Chicago State
          — NIU lost its road games, at Pitt/Iowa, by 30-53 points.
          — Huskies lost their MAC opener in OT to Ball State.

          Toledo (6-3, 1-0)
          — ranked #93 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #311
          — Experience: #194
          — Continuity: #181
          — Toledo won last three games, including a win at Marshall.
          — Rockets won MAC opener, by 17 at Eastern Michigan.
          — Toledo is shooting 38.3% on the arc (#38).

          — NIU won last three series games, by 4-5-21 points.
          — Huskies won four of last six visits to Toledo.

          Ball State @ Western Michigan
          Ball State (3-3, 1-0)
          — ranked #138 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #129
          — Experience: #90
          — Continuity: #149
          — Ball State won MAC opener in OT at Western Michigan.
          — Cardinals are 3-2 vs teams outside top 100, losing to Northern Kentucky, Indiana State.
          — Ball State is shooting 28.3% on the arc (#273).

          Western Michigan (2-4, 1-0)
          — ranked #248 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #332
          — Experience: #186
          — Continuity: #94
          — WMU won its MAC opener by 15 over Central Michigan.
          — Broncos are 1-4 vs D-I teams, losing top 200 games by 4-18 points.
          — WMU forces turnovers only 14.1% of time (#320).

          — Ball State won three of last four series games.
          — Cardinals lost three of last four visits to Kalamazoo.
          — Home side won seven of last nine series games.

          Tulane @ East Carolina
          Tulane (5-1, 0-1)
          — ranked #202 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #298
          — Experience: #315
          — Continuity: #288
          — Tulane has beaten five stiffs (schedule #318)
          — Green Wave lost AAC opener 80-74 at home to Memphis.
          — Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.6% of time (#48)

          East Carolina (6-1, 0-1)
          — ranked #128 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #234
          — Experience: #110
          — Continuity: #1
          — Best team Pirates have beaten is #169 Charlotte.
          — ECU lost its conference opener by 15 at SMU.
          — ECU starts 3 juniors and a senior; they’re #1 in minutes continuity.

          — ECU won five in row, eight of last nine series games.
          — Green Wave lost four of last five visits to ECU, losing last two by 1-19 points.

          Cincinnati @ Central Florida
          Cincinnati (2-4, 0-1)
          — ranked #70 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #107
          — Experience: #184
          — Continuity: #198
          — Cincinnati lost last three games, scoring 65 ppg.
          — Bearcats lost AAC opener by 3 at home to South Florida.
          — Cincinnati is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#233)

          Central Florida (2-1)
          — ranked #94 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #226
          — Experience: #265
          — Continuity: #248
          — UCF upset Florida State Saturday, its first game in 13 days.
          — Knights’ only loss was by 22 at Michigan.
          — To this point, UCF has played #2 schedule in country.

          — Cincinnati is 4-3 in last seven series games.
          — Teams split last four meetings played here.
          — UCF won last meeting 89-87 in double OT.

          Louisville @ Pitt
          Louisville (4-1)
          — ranked #32 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #277
          — Experience: #324
          — Continuity: #314
          — Louisville lost by 37 at Wisconsin Saturday, its first game in 18 days.
          — Cardinals have top 100 wins over Seton Hall, Western Kentucky.
          — Louisville played four frosh, four sophs in their last game. No one else.

          Pitt (5-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #72 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #76
          — Experience: #306
          — Continuity: #103
          — Pitt won its ACC opener by 15 at Miami.
          — Panthers have played schedule #207; they won 71-70 at #57 Northwestern.
          — Pitt’s eFG% defense is #26.

          — Louisville won 15 of last 16 series games.
          — Cardinals won six of last seven visits here, winning 73-68 in OT last year.

          Wichita State @ South Florida
          Wichita State (3-2, 1-0)
          — ranked #97 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #272
          — Experience: #105
          — Continuity: #218
          — Shockers won their AAC opener 69-65 at Tulsa.
          — Wichita’s two losses are to top 50 teams (Mizzou/Oklahoma State).
          — Wichita’s win at Tulsa was their only road game so far.

          South Florida (5-2, 1-0)
          — ranked #99 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #250
          — Experience: #118
          — Continuity: #91
          — Bulls won their AAC opener, 74-71 at Cincinnati
          — USF’s two losses: #78 Rhode Island, #34 Virginia Tech
          — Bulls are turning ball over 21.0% of time (#223)

          — Wichita State won three of four AAC meetings.
          — Bulls lost 95-57/65-55 in last two visits here.

          Texas Tech @ Oklahoma
          Texas Tech (6-2, 0-1)
          — ranked #10 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #334
          — Experience: #270
          — Continuity: #276
          — Tech lost its Big X opener by a point to Kansas.
          — Red Raiders lost by 10 to #11 Houston; they’ve beaten all stiffs.
          — This is Tech’s first true road game; they split two neutral court games.

          Oklahoma (5-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #40 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #125
          — Experience: #71
          — Continuity: #46
          — Oklahoma split two top 60 games, losing by 22 at Xavier.
          — Sooners won Big X opener, by 4 at TCU.
          — Oklahoma’s eFG% is #50 in country.

          — Texas Tech won four of last five series games.
          — Red Raiders lost five of last six visits to Norman.

          North Carolina @ NC State
          North Carolina (5-2)
          — ranked #22 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #100
          — Experience: #309
          — Continuity: #138
          — Carolina split its four top 50 games, beating Kentucky Saturday.
          — Tar Heels’ two losses are to Texas by 2, Iowa by 13.
          — Young team; UNC is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#245).

          NC State (4-1)
          — ranked #41 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #71
          — Experience: #195
          — Continuity: #96
          — Wolfpack lost by 11 at #31 Saint Louis, its only top 200 game.
          — State is forcing turnovers 30.4% of time (#3).
          — State starts two juniors, two seniors; they’ve played schedule #282.

          — North Carolina won 26 of last 29 series games.
          — Tar Heels won their last seven visits to Raleigh.

          West Virginia @ Kansas
          West Virginia (7-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #7 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #179
          — Experience: #144
          — Continuity: #24
          — WVU beat Iowa State 70-65 in its Big X opener.
          — Mountaineers have played schedule #25, with win at Georgetown.
          — WVU rebounds 38.2% of their missed shots (#12).

          Kansas (7-1, 1-0)
          — ranked #9 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #103
          — Experience: #263
          — Continuity: #114
          — Jayhawks won their Big X opener by point at Texas Tech.
          — Kansas lost to Gonzaga by 12, beat Creighton by a point, Kentucky by 3.
          — Jayhawks are shooting 37.2% on arc (#61).

          — Kansas won eight of last nine series games.
          — West Virginia lost its last eight visits to Lawrence (60-53 LY)

          Temple @ Houston
          Temple (1-0)
          — ranked #144 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #90
          — Experience: #252
          — Continuity: #281
          — Owls beat NJIT 72-60 in their much-delayed opener Saturday.
          — Temple starts two frosh, two seniors (#252 experience).
          — Owls were under .500 in AAC three of last four years.

          Houston (5-0)
          — ranked #11 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #291
          — Experience: #188
          — Continuity: #124
          — Houston has three top 100 wins, by 10-11-10 points.
          — Cougars are forcing turnovers 25.4% of time (#18).
          — Houston has #16 eFG% defense in country.

          — Houston won five of last six series games.
          — Owls lost last three visits here, by 13-3-7 points.

          Purdue @ Iowa
          Purdue (6-2, 1-0)
          — ranked #26 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #258
          — Experience: #307
          — Continuity: #136
          — Purdue won Big 14 opener, 67-60 over Ohio State.
          — Boilers lost their one true road game, 58-54 at Miami.
          — Purdue split four top 100 games, losing by 11 to Clemson.

          Iowa (6-1)
          — ranked #5 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #19
          — Experience: #236
          — Continuity: #49
          — Iowa lost by 10 to Gonzaga on a neutral floor Saturday.
          — Hawkeyes have wins over North Carolina, Iowa State by 13-28 points.
          — Iowa has #12 eFG% in country- their 88 points vs Gonzaga was least amount of points they’ve scored this season.

          — Purdue won last four series games, all by 9+ points.

          Saint Mary’s vs San Diego State (@ San Luis Obispo)
          Saint Mary’s (8-1)
          — ranked #60 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #353
          — Experience: #259
          — Continuity: #217
          — Gaels won eight in row since a 73-56 loss to Memphis.
          — Saint Mary’s best win was by 13 over #95 South Dakota State.
          — This is Gaels’ first game away from home since November 27.

          San Diego State (5-1)
          — ranked #39 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #330
          — Experience: #10
          — Continuity: #134
          — Aztecs lost 72-62 at home to BYU Friday, their first loss.
          — San Diego State has top 100 wins over UCLA, Arizona State.
          — Aztecs are forcing turnovers 25.3% of time (#20)
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2020, 12:51 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            603SE MISSOURI ST -604 INDIANA ST
            INDIANA ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

            605APPALACHIAN ST -606 AUBURN
            APPALACHIAN ST is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games since 1997.

            609CHARLOTTE -610 GEORGE WASHINGTON
            CHARLOTTE is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

            611N ARIZONA -612 DENVER
            DENVER is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

            613N ILLINOIS -614 TOLEDO
            TOLEDO is 40-23 ATS (14.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.

            617HOFSTRA -618 RICHMOND
            HOFSTRA is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.

            619WM & MARY -620 VIRGINIA
            WM & MARY is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) as a dog over the last 2 seasons.

            619WM & MARY -620 VIRGINIA
            Dane Fischer is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) as a dog (Coach of WM & MARY)

            621MONTANA ST -622 PORTLAND
            MONTANA ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

            623TULANE -624 E CAROLINA
            TULANE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2020, 12:54 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Tuesday, December 22



              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2020, 12:52 PM.

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