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  • Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/21

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, December 21

    Good Luck on day #355 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
    — Minnesota @ New Orleans (-7.5)
    — Tampa Bay (-8) @ Detroit
    — San Francisco @ Arizona (-3.5)
    — Miami (-2.5) @ Las Vegas
    — Denver @ LA Chargers (-3)
    — Cleveland (-10) @ NJ Jets

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 316,013
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

    Indianapolis 27, Texans 20:
    — WR Coutee fumbled on Colts’ 1-yard line in last minute.
    — Texans in red zone: 4 drives, 13 points. Indy: 4 drives, 24 points.
    — Houston is 0-9 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
    — Texans’ last five drives: 50 plays, 363 yards, 2 TDs, 2 FGs, one fumble.

    — Colts won seven of their last nine games overall.
    — Indy/Tennessee are tied for first in AFC South.
    — Indianapolis won seven of last nine series games.
    — Last five games, Colts outscored opponents 92-33 in 2nd half.

    Tennessee 46, Lions 25:
    — Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.
    — Detroit allowed 27+ points in seven of its last eight games.
    — Detroit scored 27.0 ppg the last four weeks.
    — Six of last eight Lion games went over the total.

    — Titans converted nine of 11 third down plays.
    — Tennessee won four of last five games, is tied for first in AFC South.
    — First three drives: 21 plays, 243 yards, three TD’s.
    — Last three drives: 25 plays, 160 yards, three TD’s.

    Buccaneers 31, Atlanta 27
    — Buccaneers trailed this game 17-0 at halftime.
    — Bucs’ first three drives in third quarter: 22 plays, 231 yards, three TD’s.
    — Last five games, Bucs converted 29-60 third down plays.
    — Bucs won last four road games, scoring 37.0 ppg.

    — Falcons lost four of their last five games.
    — Atlanta lost six of its eight home games.
    — Atlanta led seven of its last nine games at halftime.
    — Falcons’ last five drives: 19 plays, 33 yards, 3 points.

    Miami 22, Patriots 12:
    — New England misses playoffs for first time since 2008.
    — Last two Patriot games: no TD’s, five FG’s on 19 drives.
    — New England lost five of its last seven visits to Miami.
    — Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

    — Dolphins won eight of their last ten games.
    — Dolphins covered nine of their last ten games.
    — Miami is 9-1-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
    — Dolphins have 16 takeaways in last seven games (+9)

    Seahawks 20, Washington 15:
    — Seattle won four of its last five games overall.
    — Seahawks take over first place in NFC West.
    — Last five games, Seahawks outscored foes 71-21 in first half.
    — Last six Seattle games stayed under the total.
    — Seahawks won field position by ten yards.

    — Backup QB Haskins was 38-55/295 passing; he is 3-9 as an NFL starter.
    — Loss snaps Washington’s four-game win streak.
    — Washington outscored last seven opponents 120-37 in second half.
    — Washington converted 10-17 third down plays, outgained Seattle 353-302.

    Bears 33, Minnesota 27
    — Bears ran for 199 yards, scored seven of nine times they had ball.
    — Last four games, Chicago scored 31.0 ppg.
    — Bears won field position by 13 yards in this game.
    — Bears won five of their last six games with Minnesota.

    — Vikings split last four games, giving up 27 ppg.
    — Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last four games.
    — Vikings won field position in only one game so far this year (1-12-1)
    — Minnesota is 1-6 ATS as a home favorite TY.
    — Seven of eight Viking home games went over the total.

    Baltimore 40, Jaguars 14
    — Jaguars lost their last 13 games; they’re now in line for #1 pick in draft.
    — Last four weeks, Jacksonville gave up 190 rushing yards/game.
    — On first series, Jaguars picked off pass on 1-yard line, then gave up a safety on offense.
    — Jacksonville in first half: 5 drives, 61 yards, outscored 2-0 by Ravens’ defense.

    — Baltimore won last three games, scoring 34-47-40 points.
    — On their first eight drives, Ravens scored 5 TD’s, tried 2 FG’s.
    — Ravens lost field position in only one game this season.
    — Over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s last five games.

    Arizona 33, Eagles 26:
    — Eagles lost five of last six games; they’re 1-6 SU on road.
    — Philly is 2-7-1 SU outside their division.
    — Eagles are 4-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-9-1 if they allow more than 21.
    — Eagles trailed 16-0 after first quarter, would’ve led had they not failed on 2-point plays when it was 26-20/26-26.

    — Cardinals drove 86 yards for game-winning TD with 7:17 left.
    — Arizona has a one-game lead for the #7-seed (last playoff spot)
    — Murray threw ball for 406 yards, three TD’s.
    — Hopkins caught nine passes for 169 yards.

    NJ Jets 23, Rams 20
    — Jets scored TD on first drive of each half.
    — Jets scored on first drive in their last eight games, best in NFL.
    — Jets blocked punt in 2nd quarter, started consecutive drives on LA’s 27/22-yard line.
    — Third down conversions: Jets 7-17, Rams 2-11.

    — Rams fall out of first place in NFC West.
    — LA’s first six series: 23 plays, 68 yards, zero points.
    — Rams lost three of four games vs AFC East this year.
    — LA had only two plays that gained 20+ yards.

    Chiefs 32, New Orleans 29:
    — Chiefs won their last nine games, are 0-5-1 ATS in last six.
    — Kansas City won all eight of its road games this year (3-4-1 ATS)
    — Chiefs outgained Saints 411-285; they had 34 first downs, Saints 15.
    — Last six games, Kansas City allowed 26.3 ppg.

    — New Orleans lost its last two games, both by 3 points.
    — Saints ran only 52 plays; Chiefs ran 92 plays.
    — Third down conversions: Chiefs 9-18, Saints 1-11.
    — Saints scored only once on seven first half drives.

    Dallas 41, 49ers 33:
    — 49ers lost six of their last seven games SU.
    — SF is 5-16 SU in last 21 games Garoppolo didn’t play.
    — Last seven games, SF was outscored 101-55 in first half.
    — 49ers are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite away from home.

    — Dallas was outgained 458-291, but was +4 in turnovers.
    — Cowboys won field position by 17 yards.
    — Dallas was leading at halftime in five of last seven games.
    — Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.

    Browns 20, NJ Giants 6:
    — Cleveland won five of their last six games.
    — Browns converted 9-13 third down plays.
    — First three drives, Cleveland ran 33 plays for 219 yards, 14 points.
    — Cleveland won five of seven road games SU.

    — Giants had ball in red zone on first three drives, scored 3 points.
    — Big Blue is 0-6 SU when they run ball for less than 100 yards.
    — Giants are 3-14 ATS in last 17 games as a home dog, 2-4 TY.
    — Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

    Sunday’s key college basketball scores:
    — Creighton 76, UConn 74 OT
    — Rutgers 91, Illinois 88
    — Texas 77, Oklahoma State 74
    — Xavier 91, Marquette 88
    — Providence 80, Seton Hall 77 OT
    — Northwestern 79, Michigan State 65
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-21-2020, 12:10 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Monday, December 21


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-21-2020, 12:12 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Monday, December 21


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-21-2020, 12:13 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Monday, December 21


          Wofford @ Texas A&M
          Wofford (3-2)
          — ranked #134 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #291
          — Experience: #220
          — Continuity: #227
          — Wofford is 1-2 vs D-I teams, losing to Richmond by 5, South Florida by 2.
          — Terriers won their last game, 88-77 over Coastal Carolina.
          — 60.3% of Wofford’s shots have been 3’s, highest %age in country.

          Texas A&M (4-1)
          — ranked #80 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #273
          — Experience: #203
          — Continuity: #53
          — Aggies beat four stiffs, lost by 18 to TCU.
          — A&M is turning ball over 26.4% of time (#314)
          — Aggies are also forcing turnovers 27.5% of time (#9)

          Northern Arizona vs Texas State (@ Denver)
          Northern Arizona (0-4)
          — ranked #336 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #293
          — Experience: #287
          — Continuity: #170
          — NAU is 0-4 vs schedule #81, scoring 54.8 ppg.
          — All the Lumberjacks’ losses are by 16+ points.
          — NAU is shooting 24.7% on arc (#308), 38.2% inside arc (#319)

          Texas State (5-3)
          — ranked #165 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #330
          — Experience: #27
          — Continuity: #40
          — Bobcats’ last three games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
          — Texas State lost to two top 80 teams and an NAIA team.
          — Bobcats are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 300.

          San Diego @ Arizona
          San Diego (1-3)
          — ranked #190 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #110
          — Experience: #58
          — Continuity: #188
          — Toreros lost by 27 at UCLA of Pac-12.
          — San Diego is shooting 39.4% inside arc (#313)
          — Toreros lost by 32 at Cal-Irvine Saturday, shooting 34.4% inside arc.

          Arizona (5-1)
          — ranked #43 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #200
          — Experience: #270
          — Continuity: #307
          — Arizona lost its Pac-12 opener at Stanford Saturday.
          — Three of Wildcats’ five wins are by 19+ points.
          — Arizona is shooting 39.3% on arc (#25); they’re #307 in continuity.

          Eastern Illinois @ SIU-Edwardsville
          Eastern Illinois (3-4)
          — ranked #181 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #216
          — Experience: #1
          — Continuity: #30
          — EIU won three of last four games, after an 0-3 start.
          — Panthers haven’t played in nine days.
          — EIU’s last three games were decided by total of nine points.

          SIU-Edwardsville (3-4, 1-0)
          — ranked #325 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #119
          — Experience: #156
          — Continuity: #223
          — SIU won its OVC opener at Morehead State Friday.
          — Cougars split their four games vs teams ranked outside top 100.
          — SIU is turning ball over 24.7% of time (#299).

          — Panthers won five of last six series games.

          St Joe’s @ Tennessee
          St Joe’s (0-4)
          — ranked #164 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #18
          — Experience: #261
          — Continuity: #218
          — Hawks are 0-4 vs schedule #6, losing by 22-20 to top 10 teams.
          — St Joe’s is giving up 89.8 ppg.
          — 51% of the shots they take are 3-pointers (#15).

          Tennessee (4-0)
          — ranked #9 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #317
          — Experience: #207
          — Continuity: #81
          — Vols are giving up 47.5 ppg,
          — Tennessee won its games vs teams ranked outside top 100, by 41-54 points.
          — Vols are forcing turnovers 27.3% of time (#11).

          Charleston @ Georgia State
          Charleston (2-4)
          — ranked #206 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #340
          — Experience: #63
          — Continuity: #193
          — Three of Charleston’s four losses are to top 100 teams..
          — Cougars’ only win is over #355 South Carolina State.
          — Charleston lost its last game in OT to Western Carolina Friday.

          Georgia State (5-1)
          — ranked #111 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #35
          — Experience: #199
          — Continuity: #142
          — State’s only loss was by 17 at Mercer.
          — Panthers have a 4-OT win at Ga Tech, avenged the Mercer loss.
          — State is shooting 61.2% on foul line (#298).

          Southern Illinois @ Butler
          Southern Illinois (5-0)
          — ranked #161 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #234
          — Experience: #316
          — Continuity: #206
          — Salukis’ best win is 70-66 over #103 Murray State.
          — SIU won its only road game, in OT at SE Missouri State.
          — Salukis are shooting 43.6% on arc (#5).

          Butler (1-2)
          — ranked #65 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #289
          — Experience: #247
          — Continuity: #244
          — Butler scored 63 ppg in losing its last two games (Villanova/Indiana)
          — Bulldogs are shooting 38.9% on arc (#32).
          — Butler’s opponents are shooting 45.6% on arc (#322)

          Ark-Little Rock @ Missouri State
          Ark-Little Rock (4-2)
          — ranked #140 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #181
          — Experience: #112
          — Continuity: #136
          — Trojans split four neutral court games; this is their first true road game.
          — Little Rock is turning ball over 25% of time (#304).
          — Trojans are 1-2 vs teams ranked in top 125, beating #84 Duquesne.

          Missouri State (2-0)
          — ranked #159 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #179
          — Experience: #240
          — Continuity: #273
          — Missouri State is playing its third game in six nights.
          — Bears beat an NAIA team, then whacked a stiff by 27.
          — Bears start two sophs, two juniors; they open MVC play Sunday.

          Tulsa @ Memphis
          Tulsa (2-3, 0-1)
          — ranked #96 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #283
          — Experience: #34
          — Continuity: #180
          — Tulsa lost its AAC opener 69-65 at home to Wichita.
          — Golden Hurricane is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5-11-4 points.
          — Tulsa is turning ball over 21.6% of time (#239), shooting 30.3% on arc (#234).

          Memphis (5-3, 1-0)
          — ranked #57 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #14
          — Experience: #309
          — Continuity: #39
          — Memphis won its AAC opener 80-74 at Tulane last week.
          — Tigers lost three of four games vs top 100 teams, beating Saint Mary’s by 17.
          — Memphis is forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#54).

          — Memphis lost its last four visits to Tulsa, all by 10+ points; they lost 80-40 here LY.

          Murray State @ Austin Peay
          Murray State (4-2, 1-0)
          — ranked #103 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #240
          — Experience: #214
          — Continuity: #65
          — Murray lost its two road games, scoring 61-66 points.
          — Racers are turning ball over 22.8% of time (#271).
          — Murray waxed Austin Peay by 30 December 8th, shooting 70% inside arc.

          Austin Peay (4-3, 0-1)
          — ranked #187 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #145
          — Experience: #229
          — Continuity: #123
          — Governors are 2-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 8-30-6 points.
          — Austin Peay allowed 66-66 points in its D-I wins; they gave up 81 ppg in losses.
          — Governors are turning ball over 24.3% of time (#292).

          — Murray State won last three series games, all by 12+ points.
          — Racers whacked Austin Peay 87-57 at home December 8th.

          Cal-Bakersfield @ Stanford
          Cal-Bakersfield (3-2)
          — ranked #202 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #323
          — Experience: #2
          — Continuity: #28
          — Roadrunners lost by 6 at Santa Clara, 25 at Arizona.
          — Bakersfield’s one D-I win was by 10 over Idaho.
          — Roadrunners start five seniors; they play lot of guys.

          Stanford (4-2)
          — ranked #32 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #138
          — Experience: #241
          — Continuity: #32
          — Stanford won its Pac-12 opener Saturday, upsetting Arizona.
          — Cardinal is 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 32-11 points.
          — Stanford is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#77)

          San Jose State @ Utah State
          San Jose State (1-2)
          — ranked #279 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #23
          — Experience: #210
          — Continuity: #162
          — Spartans are playing for first time in eight days.
          — San Jose lost its first two D-I games, by 35-4 points- they beat an NAIA team.
          — San Jose is struggling on offense; their eFG% is #311.

          Utah State (3-3)
          — ranked #85 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #230
          — Experience: #256
          — Continuity: #137
          — Aggies beat Northern Colorado by 13, their only game vs a team outside top 100.
          — Utah State lost three of four games to top 100 teams.
          — Utah State is also struggling on offense; their eFG% is #271.

          — Utah State won last four series games, all by 12+ points; they won last meeting 94-56 LY.

          New Mexico @ Boise State
          New Mexico (3-0)
          — ranked #204 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #101
          — Experience: #223
          — Continuity: #188
          — Lobos beat Rice by 11, then beat couple NAIA teams.
          — New Mexico starts three sophs, two juniors
          — These teams play here again on Wednesday.

          Boise State (4-1)
          — ranked #90 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #193
          — Experience: #80
          — Continuity: #231
          — Boise hasn’t played in eight days.
          — Broncos’ only loss was by 10 at Houston.
          — Boise is forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#37)

          — New Mexico won four of last seven series games.
          — Lobos lost last two visits here, by 28-13 points.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-21-2020, 12:14 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Monday, December 21


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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-21-2020, 12:16 PM.

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