Announcement

**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 08:28 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Spreads on some of the early bowl games:
— North Texas (-19) vs Appalachian State (Myrtle Beach Bowl)
— Tulane (-3) vs Nevada (Idaho Potato Bowl)
— BYU (-3.5) vs Central Florida (Boca Raton Bowl)
— Louisiana Tech (-4.5) vs Georgia Southern (New Orleans Bowl)
— Florida Atlantic (-10) vs Memphis (Montgomery Bowl)
— Georgia State (-5) vs Western Kentucky (First Responder Bowl)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 314,572
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Bills 48, Denver 19
— Bills win AFC East for first time in 25 years.
— Buffalo won seven of its last eight games, covered last six.
— Bills outscored last five opponents 104-52 in first half.
— Diggs/Beasley both had 100+ receiving yards for Buffalo

— Denver lost seven of its last nine games.
— Broncos lost five of their seven home games.
— Denver turned ball over 19 times (-11) in their last nine games.
— Broncos were outgained, 534-255.

12) Green Bay 24, Panthers 16:
— Carolina lost eight of its last nine games overall.
— Panthers are 4-10 despite a +4 turnover ratio.
— Panthers covered their last six games as road underdogs.
— Carolina is 0-10 when they allow 23+ points, 4-0 when they allow 21 or fewer.

— Packers’ first three drives: 27 plays, 203 yards, 21 points.
— Green Bay won six of last seven games, scoring 31.0 ppg in last five.
— Under is 8-3 in last 11 Green Bay games.
— Packers were outscored in second half in 9 of their last 11 games.

11) San Jose State 34, Boise State 20:
— Brent Brennan has done one of the best coaching jobs in the history of man; two years ago, San Jose went 1-11. Now they’re Mountain West champs.

— Spartans finish regular season 7-0, their best record since 1939.
— All seven of San Jose’s wins are by 10+ points.

10) Clemson 34, Notre Dame 10:
— Tigers outgained Notre Dame, 541-263; this wasn’t very interesting.
— Etienne carried the ball 10 times for 124 yards.
— Now the playoff selection committee has the drama they crave; who gets the 4th bid?

9) LSU 53, Ole Miss 48:
— LSU receiver Kayshon Boutte caught 14 passes for 308 yards, three TD’s.
— Ole Miss QB Corral threw for 251 yards, ran for 158 more, but threw five INT’s.
— How do you turn the ball over six times and still score 48 points?
— LSU QB Johnson threw for 435 yards, three TD’s.

8) Utah 45, Washington State 28:
— Coogs (+11) led 28-7 at halftime, didn’t even cover the spread.

7) Gonzaga 99, Iowa 88:
— Zags spanked Iowa; this was their first game in 17 days.
— Gonzaga was minus-6 in turnovers, made only 14-24 on line, still scored 99 points.
— Iowa G Connor McCaffery is the coach’s son; he’s played 156:00 in seven games, has taken a total of 19 shots- you don’t have to guard him much.

6) Western Kentucky 73, Alabama 71:
— Big man Bassey had 27 points, 12 boards; why is he playing in Conference USA?
— Hilltoppers are 6-2, with three top 80 wins- they’re #43 in experience.
— 46.7% of Alabama’s shots are 3’s, but they’re only making 29.3% of them (#254).

5) North Carolina 75, Kentucky 63:
— Kentucky is 1-5 for first time since 1927.
— Wildcats played 7 freshmen, a soph, two seniors; they’re #324 in continuity.
— Teams combined to shoot 8-33 on the arc.
— Kentucky was up 11 early in this game, led by 4 at the half, died down the stretch.

4) Ohio State 77, UCLA 70:
— OSU outscored the Bruins 29-16 over final 12:40 of this game.
— Buckeyes shot 60.7% inside the arc.
— UCLA is playing a Cronin-like #343 pace; the locals ain’t going to like that, especially when you lose the more visible games, like this one.

3) Iona 72, Rider 64:
— Rick Pitino’s Gaels are off to a 3-1 start in the MAAC.
— Iona has given up only 57.1 ppg in their league games.
— Iona has a new coach, all new players (#265 in continuity) but he is a great coach.

2) Stanford 78, Arizona 75:
— Arizona made 11-23 on the arc, only 12-23 on foul line.
— Arizona has an almost whole new team (continuity #307).
— Stanford, on the other hand, is #32 in continuity.

1) Big college football news around 11pm; the Rose Bowl is relocating from Pasadena to Arlington, TX. Rose Bowl is also one of the semi-finals in the playoffs.

**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 08:31 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 20

**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 08:33 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, December 20

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 08:36 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 20

Creighton @ UConn
Creighton (5-2, 1-1)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #17
— Bluejays split two road games, winning at St John’s, losing by 1 at Kansas.
— Creighton is 1-2 in top 100 games; their best win is over #91 St John’s.
— Bluejays have #3 eFG% in country; they’re shooting 39.8% on arc.

UConn (3-0)
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #319
— Experience: #172
— Continuity: #129
— This is UConn’s first game in 17 days.
— Huskies beat USC by 3, pounded on couple of stiffs.
— UConn is rebounding 45.9% of its own missed shots (32).

— UConn is back in Big East this year; they haven’t played Creighton recently.

Illinois @ Rutgers
Illinois (5-2, 1-0)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #218
— Continuity: #45
— Illinois split its four top 100 games.
— Illini allowed 80+ points in its losses, to Baylor/Missouri.
— Illinois is shooting 43.2% on arc (#7).

Rutgers (5-0, 1-0)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #168
— Experience: #204
— Continuity: #69
— Rutgers is giving up only 64.6 ppg.
— Scarlet Knights have two top 100 wins (Syracuse/Maryland)
— Rutgers is shooting only 57.3% on foul line (#319).

— Illinois won four of last five series games.

Oklahoma State @ Texas
Oklahoma State (6-1, 0-1)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #276
— OSU has three road wins, at Marquette, Wichita, Tex-Arlington.
— Cowboys lost their Big X opener, at home to TCU.
— OSU’s last three games were decided by total of 9 points.

Texas (6-1)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #9
— Texas is 3-1 in top 100 games, losing by 4 to Villanova.
— Longhorns have #12 eFG% defense in country.
— To this point, Texas has played #71 schedule in country.

— These teams split last eight meetings (home teams 6-2)

Marquette @ Xavier
Marquette (5-3, 1-1)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #261
— Experience: #180
— Continuity: #163
— Marquette lost two of its last three games.
— Golden Eagles are 2-3 in top 100 games, beating Wisconsin/Creighton.
— Marquette is 1-1 in true road games, winning by 5 at Creighton, losing by 9 at UCLA.

Xavier (7-0)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #264
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #264
— Xavier has three top 100 wins (Toledo, Cincinnati, Oklahoma)
— Musketeers haven’t played in 11 days.
— Xavier gets good shots; their eFG% is #9 in country.

— Marquette won last four series games, winning last meeting in double OT.

Weber State @ Portland State
Weber State (3-1, 1-0)
— ranked #253 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #59
— Continuity: #282
— Weber split two D-I games, hammering Portland St yesterday.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#242).
— Weber played eight guys 16:00+ yesterday; no one played 30:00.

Portland State (4-2, 0-1)
— ranked #318 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #317
— Vikings are 0-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 15-9-28 points,
— Portland State is shooting 21.3% on arc (#321)
— Vikings were down 17 at half Saturday; no one played more than 26:00.

— Weber hammered Portland State 94-66 yesterday (48-31 at half)
— Vikings beat Weber State twice LY, by 19-9 points.

Providence @ Seton Hall
Providence (4-2)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #203
— Providence hasn’t played in 11 days.
— Friars protect ball well, but are shooting 24.3% on arc (#308)
— Providence split four top 100 games, beating Davidson, TCU.

Seton Hall (5-3, 2-0)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #114
— Seton Hall won its last four games, after a 1-3 start.
— Pirates allowed 65.5 ppg in winning first two Big East games.
— To this point, Seton Hall has played schedule #37.

— Seton Hall won five of last seven series games.
— Home side won last four series meetings.

Air Force @ Nevada
Air Force (2-3, 0-1)
— ranked #266 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #79
— Continuity: #212
— Falcons’ two wins are over teams ranked #284/#301
— Air Force is running Princeton offense (#356 pace)
— Air Force lost 74-57 here Friday (41-39 at half).

Nevada (6-2, 1-0)
— ranked #125 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #312
— Continuity: #277
— Nevada gave up 85-87 points in their two losses.
— Wolf Pack is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#212)
— Nevada shot 61.5% inside arc, turned ball over 19 times Friday.

— Nevada won last 11 series games, last seven by 11+ points.

Georgetown @ St John’s
Georgetown (3-3, 1-1)
— ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #237
— Hoyas are 1-2 in top 100 games, beating Johnnies in OT last Sunday
— This is Georgetown’s first game away from home.
— Georgetown is turning ball over 22.9% of time (#274)

St John’s (5-4, 0-3)
— ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #201
— Red Storm lost last three games, after a 5-1 start.
— Johnnies are 0-4 vs top 100 teams; Georgetown is #100.
— St John’s is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#34).

— St John’s led by 7 with 2:37 left in last Sunday’s meeting, lost in OT.
— Georgetown won four of last five series games.

Michigan State @ Northwestern
Michigan State (6-0)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #168
— Continuity: #63
— Spartans won their only road game by 6 at Duke.
— MSU has top 100 wins over Duke, Notre Dame.
— Spartans are #63 in continuity; their bench plays minutes #19.

Northwestern (3-1)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #249
— Continuity: #55
— Wildcats won two of three games vs schedule #325.
— Northwestern lost by point at home to Pittsburgh.
— Wildcats beat two Bottom 10 teams and an NAIA squad.

— Michigan State won last 12 series games; their last two wins here were by 5-5 points.

Grand Canyon vs San Francisco (@ Las Vegas)
Grand Canyon (4-1)
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #192
— Antelopes’ only loss was by point to Arizona State.
— Grand Canyon beat Nevada; they’ve played schedule #301.
— Antelopes are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#230)

San Francisco (5-4)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #156
— Dons won four of six games vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— USF is 4-0 when it scores 72+ points, 1-4 when it doesn’t.
— Erratic team; they beat Virginia, lost to Mass-Lowell.

Saint Louis @ Minnesota
Saint Louis (6-0)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #244
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #19
— Saint Louis has top 100 wins, over LSU/NC State.
— This is Billikens’ first game away from home.
— Saint Louis is shooting 44.6% on arc (#3)

Minnesota (6-1)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #120
— Continuity: #161
— Gophers just lost their Big 14 opener by 27 at Illinois.
— Minnesota has played schedule #216; their best win is over #103 Boston College
— Gophers are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#81).

Washington vs Colorado (@ Las Vegas)
Washington (1-5, 0-2)
— ranked #108 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #102
— Continuity: #199
— Washington already has losses to Cal-Riverside, Montana.
— Huskies’ only win was 73-41 over #297 Seattle.
— Washington is struggling on offense; their eFG% is #283.

Colorado (4-1)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #212
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #133
— Colorado’s only loss was 56-47 at Tennessee.
— Buffs scored 76+ points in all four of their wins.
— Dawgs have forced turnovers 23.4% of time (#49)

— Washington won five of last six series games; they lost 76-62 to Colorado LY.

Robert Morris @ Marshall
Robert Morris (1-1)
— ranked #256 by KenPom
— Tempo: #277
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #98
— Colonials lost by 20 at home to Bowling Green Friday.
— Robert Morris won its opener over an NAIA team.
— Colonials are jumping up in class from NEC to Horizon.

Marshall (4-1)
— ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #21
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #4
— Marshall won its two games vs teams outside top 200, by 14-12 points.
— Marshall lost its last game in overtime, to Toledo.
— Thundering Herd plays fast tempo; 40.9% of their shots are 3’s

**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 08:38 AM

701CREIGHTON -702 CONNECTICUT
CREIGHTON is 18-5 ATS (12.5 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1997.

703ILLINOIS -704 RUTGERS
ILLINOIS are 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

705WRIGHT ST -706 DETROIT
WRIGHT ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

707OKLAHOMA ST -708 TEXAS
TEXAS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

709ORAL ROBERTS -710 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

711MARQUETTE -712 XAVIER
XAVIER is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

715WI-MILWAUKEE -716 WI-GREEN BAY
WI-MILWAUKEE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the last 3 seasons.

719CHICAGO ST -720 DRAKE
CHICAGO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a road dog of >=30.5 in the last 3 seasons.

723PROVIDENCE -724 SETON HALL
SETON HALL is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

725OAKLAND -726 IL-CHICAGO
OAKLAND is 66-41 ATS (20.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.

**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 09:31 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, December 20

Announcement

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/20

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/20

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