Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/19

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, December 19

Good Luck on day #353 of 2020!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

NFL rushing leaders:
1,532— Derrick Henry, Tenn
1,352— Dalvin Cook, Minn
1,035— James Robinson, Jax
907— Josh Jacobs, LV
900— Ronald Jones, TB
881— Nick Chubb, Clev

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 312,722
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) Oregon 31, USC 24:
— Ducks were outgained 358-243, but picked off three USC passes.
— Oregon wins Pac-12 title for second year in a row.
— Trojans are 5-1; they trailed four of the six games at halftime.
— Pac-12 North is now 9-1 in this game against the Pac-12 South.

12) UAB 22, Marshall 13:
— Blazers outgained Marshall 468-268.
— Tea Shropshire caught five passes for 180 yards for UAB.
— UAB didn’t field a football team in 2015-16; coach Bill Clark has done a great job.

11) Ball State 38, Buffalo 28
— David Letterman’s alma mater wins MAC title, as a 12-point dog.
— Cardinals held Buffalo’s star RB Patterson to 47 yards on 18 carries.
— Ball State led 35-21 at halftime.

10) NFL stuff:
— Drew Brees will start for the Saints against Kansas City Sunday.
— Redskins’ QB Alex Smith is out Sunday; Dwayne Haskins gets the start.
— Status of Giants QB Jones, Detroit QB Stafford are still unclear.

9) BYU 72, San Diego State 62:
— BYU blew a 17-point lead, then pulled away at the end to post the upset.
— Cougars shot 57.1% inside arc; Aztecs 37.5%.
— BYU was +14 on boards (40-26).

8) West Virginia 70, Iowa State 65:
— WVU was 25-37 on foul line; Cyclones were 6-9.
— Iowa State still led by 3, with 4:39 left.
— Cyclones turned ball over 21 times (-7)

7) Richmond 75, Loyola Chi 73:
— Spiders have played schedule 48 so far; in three of last four years, their non-conference schedule was outside top 200- they know they have a strong, veteran team.
— That said, Spiders led by 20 early in second half; Loyola’s rally fell just short.
— Ramblers start four seniors, could be a force in the MVC.

6) Couple of nights ago, Steve Lavin was talking about the transfer epidemic in college basketball; he said last spring there were 630 kids in the transfer portal. There are 357 Division I basketball teams, so there were 1.76 transfers for each team in the country. Lot of transfers.

5) Speaking of transfers, we mentioned yesterday how Temple’s QB transferred to Michigan State, which means that today, Michigan State’s QB Rocky Lombardi entered the transfer portal.

4) Ohio State was favored by 20 points over Northwestern in Saturday’s Big 14 title game; line dropped quickly to 18.5 late Friday afternoon. Someone with $$$ likes the Wildcats.

3) San Francisco 49ers play in Dallas Sunday, play their regularly scheduled game in Arizona in Week 16, then will stay in Arizona to finish the season in Week 17. All in all, 49ers will have had their last three home games moved to the desert, because of COVID.

2) Aloha Stadium, which has been home of the University of Hawaii football team since 1975, won’t be their home any longer. On Thursday, Aloha Stadium announced that it is ceasing operations indefinitely for fan-attended events- the stadium is facing condemnation and has been labeled as unsafe to hold any crowds.

1) Tua Tagovailoa plays against New England Sunday; here is how lefty QB’s have fared against Bill Belichick:
— Scott Mitchell 0-1
— Tyler Palko 0-1
— Chris Simms 0-1
— Tim Tebow 0-1

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 19

[Udog]

NCAAB

Saturday, December 19

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 19

Butler vs Indiana
Butler (1-1)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #239
— Butler beat Western Michigan by 4, lost by 19 at Villanova.
— There were three weeks between the two games.
— Butler’s two opponents made 19-41 on arc (46.3%).

Indiana (4-2)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #85
— Hoosiers split their four top 100 games.
— Indiana has #18 eFG% defense in country.
— Hoosiers start conference play Wednesday vs Northwestern.

— These teams split last four meetings, played every other year.

Gonzaga vs Iowa (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Gonzaga (3-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #212
— Continuity: #158
— Zags haven’t played in 17 days.
— Gonzaga has beaten three top 75 teams, two top 10 teams.
— Zags are shooting 65.3% inside arc (#2).

Iowa (6-0)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #31
— Experience: #240
— Continuity: #56
— Iowa has two top 100 wins, but has played schedule #282.
— Hawkeyes score lot of points (100.7 ppg)
— Iowa beat North Carolina 93-80, Iowa State 105-77.

Louisville @ Wisconsin
Louisville (4-0)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #280
— Experience: #314
— Continuity: #308
— Louisville hasn’t played in 18 days.
— Cardinals have top 100 wins over Seton Hall, Western Kentucky.
— This is a young team’s first game away from home.

Wisconsin (5-1)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #20
— Badgers’ one loss was by hoop at Marquette.
— Wisconsin has top 100 wins over Rhode Island, Loyola Chi
— Badgers are making 39.7% of their 3’s (#28)

Wright State @ Detroit
Wright State (2-1)
— ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #77
— Wright State won its first road game by 18 at Bowling Green.
— All three of their games were decided by 16+ points.
— Wright State won both its games vs teams outside top 100.

Detroit (1-3)
— ranked #199 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #234
— Two of Detroit’s three losses are to top 80 teams.
— Titans lost only home game, 80-66 to Kent State.
— Detroit it shooting only 28.9% of its 3’s (#255).

— Wright won last three series games, by 12-1-23 points.

Western Kentucky @ Alabama
Western Kentucky (5-2)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #36
— Continuity: #101
— Hilltoppers’ two losses are to top 25 teams (West Va/Louisville)
— WKU has three top 100 wins (No Iowa, Memphis, Rhode Island)
— WKU’s opponents are shooting 44.7% on arc (#313).

Alabama (4-2)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #151
— Alabama split its four top 100 games, losing to Stanford, Clemson
— Crimson Tide scored 64-56 points in its losses, 80+ in its wins.
— Alabama takes 46.8% of its shots on arc, but is making only 29.7% (#240).

North Carolina vs Kentucky (@ Cleveland)
North Carolina (4-2)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #305
— Continuity: #144
— UNC is 1-2 in top 100 games, losing 69-67 to Texas, 93-80 at Iowa.
— Tar Heels are turning ball over 22.8% of time (#267)
— Carolina’s best win is 67-63 over Stanford.

Kentucky (1-4)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #320
— Continuity: #320
— Kentucky lost its last four games, all to top 80 teams.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 23.8% of time (#284)
— Kentucky is shooting 24.4% on arc (#296).

— Kentucky won last meeting 80-72, two years ago.

Ole Miss @ Dayton
Ole Miss (4-0)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #250
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #207
— Ole Miss is 4-0 vs schedule #292; Middle Tennessee was their one road game.
— Rebels are forcing turnovers 30.2% of time (#4).
— Ole Miss is shooting 24% on the arc (#301).

Dayton (3-1)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #156
— Dayton’s two top 100 games were decided by total of 5 points.
— Flyers are turning ball over 25.9% of time (#306)
— All three Dayton wins were by six or fewer points.

Purdue vs Notre Dame (@ Indianapolis)
Purdue (5-2)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #303
— Continuity: #146
— Purdue is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Clemson (81-70), Miami (58-54).
— Boilers beat Ohio State in their conference opener Wednesday.
— Purdue is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#258)

Notre Dame (2-3)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #69
— Continuity: #11
— Notre Dame has played schedule #12 (four top 40 teams)
— ND lost its last game by 10 at home to Duke on Wednesday.
— Notre Dame is shooting 41.8% on the arc (#13).

— Notre Dame won last meeting 88-80, two years ago.

Baylor @ Kansas State
Baylor (4-0)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #46
— Baylor hasn’t played a game in ten days.
— Bears have scored 90.8 ppg vs schedule #98
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 27.1% of time (#12)

Kansas State (3-4, 1-0)
— ranked #147 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #307
— Continuity: #251
— K-State won its last two games, after a 1-4 start.
— Wildcats changed their lineup after losing to a D-II team.
— K-State’s defensive eFG% is #284 in country.

— Baylor beat K-State twice LY, by 19-6 points.

UCLA vs Ohio State (@ Cleveland)
UCLA (5-1)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #344
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #2
— Bruins won last five games after an opening loss at San Diego State.
— UCLA’s only top 100 win was by 9 over Marquette.
— Bruins’ defensive eFG% is #81 in country.

Ohio State (5-1)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #139
— Buckeyes just lost their Big 14 opener at Purdue.
— Ohio State has played schedule #218; their best win is over #78 Notre Dame.
— Buckeyes are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#81).

Colorado State @ Saint Mary’s
Colorado State (2-0)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #147
— Experience: #298
— Continuity: #45
— CSU won its first D-I game by 39 over Northern Arizona.
— Rams start three sophs, two juniors (#298 experience)
— State is stepping up in class here; Gaels have already played 8 games.

Saint Mary’s (7-1)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #216
— Gaels won their last seven games, after an opening loss to Memphis.
— Saint Mary’s has top 100 wins over Northern Iowa, South Dakota State.
— Gaels get good shots; they’ve got #55 eFG% in country.

Cincinnati @ Georgia
Cincinnati (2-3)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #155
— Experience: #173
— Continuity: #185
— Bearcats lost three of last four games; they’ve played schedule #56.
— Cincy’s only top 100 win was by 5 at home over Furman.
— Bearcats are shooting 26.9% on the arc (#277)

Georgia (5-0)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #247
— Dawgs have beaten four stiffs and #150 Montana.
— Georgia won its last game by 4, over #272 Samford
— Dawgs have forced turnovers 23.2% of time (#52)

Arizona vs Stanford (@ Santa Cruz, CA)
Arizona (5-0)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #303
— Arizona has played schedule #294; they’ve got lot of new players.
— This is Arizona’s first game away from home.
— Wildcats have #21 eFG% defense in country.

Stanford (3-2)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #244
— Continuity: #29
— Cardinal has played schedule #55, losing to UNC (67-63), Indiana (79-63).
— Stanford’s only top 100 win was by 18 over Alabama.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 20.9% of the time (#219).

— Arizona won last 20 series games; their last loss to Stanford was 12 years ago.

[Udog]

601INDIANA -602 BUTLER
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

603GONZAGA -604 IOWA
IOWA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

607LOUISVILLE -608 WISCONSIN
LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

609UNC-GREENSBORO -610 ELON
UNC-GREENSBORO is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997.

615WRIGHT ST -616 DETROIT
WRIGHT ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

617VALPARAISO -618 TOLEDO
VALPARAISO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games since 1997.

621JAMES MADISON -622 E CAROLINA
JAMES MADISON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

623WI-MILWAUKEE -624 WI-GREEN BAY
WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

625HOFSTRA -626 ST BONAVENTURE
HOFSTRA is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.

627MARIST -628 MANHATTAN
MARIST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a game with 9 or less assists in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, December 19