Announcement

**Udog** · 12-17-2020, 08:32 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Updated odds to win the Super Bowl (from Action Network):
9-5- Kansas City
13-2- Green Bay
7-1- New Orleans
11-1- LA Rams
12-1- Buffalo
13-1- Pittsburgh

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 306,363
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) One thing that is understated in sports is how tough pro football players are; it is a violent game where guys get hurt a lot, but I had never heard of someone having a fractured throat.

Lions’ center Frank Ragnow fractured his throat during Sunday’s loss to Green Bay, but he finished the game. His breathing is fine, but he has been told not to speak until doctors figure out what’s up with his throat.

A “fractured throat” used to be known as a “laryngeal fracture”; Ragnow couldn’t make line calls Sunday after the injury, but he kept snapping the ball and finished the game. Tough guy.

12) There is an increasing trend in college football; it is not a problem really, just disappointing, I guess. Of the top 50 QB recruits from 2014-18, 171 of those kids (68.4%) have either quit, transferred or changed positions. If a young QB ain’t starting, he’ll likely be departing.

Speaking of which, Temple QB Anthony Russo will transfer from the Owls to Michigan State.

11) Virginia Tech opted not to play in a bowl game this season, ended their streak of playing in a bowl for 27 straight seasons, which was the longest active streak in the country. Tech had a ton of issues with COVID this fall; 8 of their 10 full-time coaches, 75% of their players were touched by the virus.

10) ESPN’s Monday Night Football analyst Louis Riddick will interview for NFL GM jobs; he has already interviewed with the Houston Texans for their general manager position.

9) FOX football analyst Chris Spielman is leaving the network to become an advisor for the Detroit Lions, where he played linebacker. Spielman’s brother is GM of the Minnesota Vikings.

8) High school basketball coaches in Texas can coach their teams for as much as nine months every year, by having them sign up for “phys ed” classes. Very unusual.

7) Scheduling-on-the-fly is a very 2020 thing. Gonzaga/Iowa hooked up for a basketball game this Saturday; should be a good one. #1-ranked Gonzaga hasn’t played since December 2nd.

6) Six kickers have tried a field goal or PAT for the Jacksonville Jaguars this season, which is the most by any NFL team in the last 50 years. Jaguars are also the only team in NFL history to have a different kicker try a field goal or PAT five weeks in a row.

5) Gordon Hayward recently signed a 4-year, $120M contract with Charlotte Hornets; he broke a bone in his right (shooting) hand during a preseason game Monday night. Hayward’s return apparently will be based on how much pain he can tolerate, which doesn’t sound good.

4) Baseball stuff:
— Giants are signing P Anthony DeSclafani to a 1-year, $6M deal.

3) Seattle Mariners are committing to a 6-man pitching rotation for next season, which is something that is done in Japanese baseball.

2) 48-year old Manny Ramirez is playing in the Australian Baseball League this winter; those games usually show up somewhere on TV. Might be interesting to see if Ramirez can still hit.

1) Was watching an old movie late Tuesday night; Three Days of the Condor, starring Robert Redford, Faye Dunaway. Redford plays a CIA employee who stumbles into criminal activity; good movie, with two actors playing smaller roles who are better known for other things.

— Russell Johnson is in this movie briefly; he had played the Professor on Gilligan’s Island, 7-8 years before this movie was made.
— Richard Sanders also had a small role; years later, he would play Les Nessman in the comedy WKRP in Cincinnati.

**Udog** · 12-17-2020, 08:40 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 17

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N DAKOTA (1 - 5) at S ILLINOIS (3 - 0) - 12/17/2020, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CREIGHTON (4 - 2) at ST JOHNS (5 - 3) - 12/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOHNS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 3-1 against the spread versus CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 3-1 straight up against CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST JOSEPHS (0 - 2) at DREXEL (3 - 2) - 12/17/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOSEPHS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS (6 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (6 - 1) - 12/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 3-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA-OMAHA (2 - 5) at WYOMING (5 - 1) - 12/17/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SETON HALL (4 - 3) at MARQUETTE (5 - 2) - 12/17/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SETON HALL is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SETON HALL is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
SETON HALL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 5-0 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
SETON HALL is 4-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DIXIE ST (3 - 0) at SOUTHERN UTAH (4 - 1) - 12/17/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UC-IRVINE (1 - 3) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (3 - 3) - 12/17/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 119-156 ATS (-52.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 119-156 ATS (-52.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 3) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 12/17/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NC STATE (3 - 0) at SAINT LOUIS (5 - 0) - 12/17/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LONG ISLAND (0 - 0) at SACRED HEART (0 - 1) - 12/17/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRED HEART is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LONG ISLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRED HEART is 3-2 against the spread versus LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
SACRED HEART is 3-2 straight up against LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAGNER (0 - 1) at BRYANT (4 - 2) - 12/17/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAGNER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAGNER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAGNER is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WAGNER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WAGNER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAGNER is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WAGNER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRYANT is 4-0 against the spread versus WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
BRYANT is 4-0 straight up against WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DELAWARE ST (0 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (4 - 1) - 12/17/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSON ST (0 - 3) at BRADLEY (4 - 2) - 12/17/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSON ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
JACKSON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
BRADLEY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTN BAPTIST (1 - 5) at N TEXAS (2 - 3) - 12/17/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 12-17-2020, 08:42 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 17

North Dakota @ Southern Illinois
North Dakota (1-5)
— Experience: #275
— Tempo: #296
— Continuity: #248
— ranked #243 by KenPom
— UND already has two losses by a single point.
— Fighting Hawks are shooting 30.1% on arc (#224).

Southern Illinois (3-0)
— Experience: #311
— Tempo: #259
— Continuity: #219
— ranked #179 by KenPom
— Salukis beat SE Missouri in OT, beat Murray State by 4.
— These teams play here again on Friday night.

Creighton @ St John’s
Creighton (4-2, 0-1)
— Experience: #55
— Tempo: #112
— Continuity: #17
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Creighton’s two losses are by total of five points.
— Bluejays’ best win was 98-74 over #118 Nebraska.
— Creighton is shooting 61.9% inside arc (#8).

St John’s (5-3, 0-2)
— Experience: #9
— Tempo: #61
— Continuity: #47
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Johnnies gave up 87 ppg in losing first two Big East games.
— Red Storm also lost to BYU; they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams.

— St John’s won three of last four series games, after losing previous six.

St Joe’s @ Drexel
St Joe’s (0-2)
— Experience: #250
— Tempo: #21
— Continuity: #212
— ranked #160 by KenPom
— Hawks lost by 5 to Auburn, by 24 to Kansas; they last played Nov 27.
— St Joe’s was down 11 in 2nd half vs Auburn, rallied to force OT.

Drexel (3-2)
— Experience: #174
— Tempo: #331
— Continuity:#8
— ranked #156 by KenPom
— Drexel beat three stiffs, lost to Pitt by 9, city rival LaSalle by 10.
— Dragons allowed 58 or fewer points in their last four games.

Kansas @ Texas Tech
Kansas (6-1)
— Experience: #257
— Tempo: #111
— Continuity: #263
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Jayhawks won last six games, beating Kentucky/Creighton.
— Kansas is shooting 37.8% on arc (#56).
— Jayhawks have 3 neutral court wins; this is their first true road tilt.

Texas Tech (6-1)
— Experience: #260
— Tempo: #322
— Continuity: #272
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tech has played schedule #284; their best win is over #123 Abilene Christian.
— Tech’s only loss was 64-53 to Houston on a neutral floor.
— Red Raiders’ eFG% defense is #14 in country.

— Kansas won 20 of last 22 series games; their two wins over Tech last year were by a total of seven points.

Neb-Omaha @ Wyoming
Neb-Omaha (2-6)
— Experience: #15
— Tempo: #76
— Continuity: #71
— ranked #247 by KenPom
— Mavericks lost by 42 at Colorado last nite; this is their 6th straight road game.
— Omaha’s last four losses were all by 21+ points.
— Omaha’s two wins were over teams #202, #331.

Wyoming (5-1)
— Experience: #300
— Tempo: #206
— Continuity: #200
— ranked #168 by KenPom
— Cowboys won last four games, including a win at Oregon State.
— Wyoming’s one loss was at home to #223 Texas Southern.

Seton Hall @ Marquette
Seton Hall (4-3, 1-0)
— Experience: #23
— Tempo: #224
— Continuity: #113
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Pirates won last three games; they’re 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
— Hall lost two of three true road games, winning in OT at Penn State.

Marquette (5-2, 1-0)
— Experience: #181
— Tempo: #252
— Continuity: #161
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Marquette won three of last four games, winning at Creighton Monday
— Golden Eagles split four top 100 games, losing to UCLA/Oklahoma State.

— Seton Hall won last four series games.

Cal-Irvine @ LMU
Cal-Irvine (2-3)
— Experience: #316
— Tempo: #177
— Continuity: #186
— ranked #157 by KenPom
— Anteaters are 0-3 vs D-I teams; all three of those are ranked #103 or better.
— Irvine’s subs are playing most minutes of any bench in country.
— Antearers have given up 84.7 ppg in their three D-I games.

LMU (3-3)
— Experience: #156
— Tempo: #207
— Continuity: #231
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Lions won 2 of 3 games vs Big West teams, splitting pair with UCSB.
— LMU is turning ball over 22.9% of time (#264)

San Francisco @ Oregon
San Francisco (5-3)
— Experience: #84
— Tempo: #154
— Continuity: #152
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— This is USF’s 9th game; they’ve played one home game.
— Dons split two top 100 games, beating Virginia, losing to Rhode Island.

Oregon (4-1)
— Experience: #42
— Tempo: #197
— Continuity: #285
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Oregon won its last four games, beating Washington by 3 last game.
— Ducks are 2-1 vs top 100 teams, losing by 8 to Missouri.
— Oregon is shooting 55.1% inside arc, vs schedule #85.

**Udog** · 12-17-2020, 08:47 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 17

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Trend Report
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North Dakota @ Southern Illinois
North Dakota
North Dakota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Dakota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Greensboro @ Appalachian State
Greensboro
No trends to report
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Saint Joseph's @ Drexel
Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drexel
Saint Joseph's is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Drexel
Drexel
Drexel is 12-5-1 SU in its last 18 games at home
Drexel is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saint Joseph's

Purdue Calumet @ Valparaiso
Purdue Calumet
No trends to report
Valparaiso
Valparaiso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Creighton @ St. John's
Creighton
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Creighton's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Creighton's last 8 games when playing St. John's
St. John's
St. John's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. John's's last 5 games at home

Kansas @ Texas Tech
Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Kansas's last 15 games on the road
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas Tech's last 8 games when playing Kansas

Campbellsville-Harrodsburg @ Eastern Kentucky
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
No trends to report
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Dallas Christian @ Texas-Arlington
Dallas Christian
No trends to report
Texas-Arlington
Texas-Arlington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Doane @ Nebraska
Doane
No trends to report
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games at home
Nebraska is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home

Jackson State @ Bradley
Jackson State
No trends to report
Bradley
Bradley is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

Houston Baptist @ North Texas
Houston Baptist
No trends to report
North Texas
North Texas is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games at home

San Francisco @ Oregon
San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
Oregon
Oregon is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games at home

North Carolina State @ Saint Louis
North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games on the road
North Carolina State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Saint Louis
Saint Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Saint Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Seton Hall @ Marquette
Seton Hall
Seton Hall is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Marquette
Seton Hall is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Marquette
Marquette
Marquette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marquette's last 8 games when playing at home against Seton Hall

American Indian College @ Idaho State
American Indian College
No trends to report
Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Idaho State's last 7 games at home
Idaho State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Nebraska-Omaha @ Wyoming
Nebraska-Omaha
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska-Omaha's last 8 games on the road
Nebraska-Omaha is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Wyoming
Wyoming is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 6 games at home

Dixie State @ Southern Utah
Dixie State
No trends to report
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

UC Irvine @ Loyola Marymount
UC Irvine
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UC Irvine's last 5 games on the road
UC Irvine is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against UC Irvine
Loyola Marymount is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing UC Irvine

College of Idaho @ Seattle
College of Idaho
No trends to report
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-17-2020, 08:50 AM

781N DAKOTA -782 S ILLINOIS
S ILLINOIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

781N DAKOTA -782 S ILLINOIS
Bryan Mullins is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days (Coach of S ILLINOIS)

783CREIGHTON -784 ST JOHNS
CREIGHTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

785ST JOSEPHS -786 DREXEL
DREXEL is 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less since 1997.

787KANSAS -788 TEXAS TECH
KANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

789NEBRASKA-OMAHA -790 WYOMING
WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

791SETON HALL -792 MARQUETTE
SETON HALL is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

795UC-IRVINE -796 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

797SAN FRANCISCO -798 OREGON
OREGON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

799NC STATE -800 SAINT LOUIS
SAINT LOUIS are 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-17-2020, 09:00 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 17

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/17

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/17

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