Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/15

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Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, December 15

Good Luck on day #349 of 2020!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Interesting spreads for Week 15 in NFL:
— New England @ Miami (-2.5)
— Seattle (-5) @ Washington
— Chicago @ Minnesota (-3)
— Jacksonville @ Baltimore (-13)
— Cleveland (-3.5) @ NJ Giants
— Philadelphia @ Arizona (-6.5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 300,904
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Baltimore 47, Browns 42:
— Lamar Jackson was in locker room (cramps), came out when his backup got hurt and tossed a 44-yard TD pass with 1:51 left that gave Baltimore a 42-35 lead
— Tucker kicked 55-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Ravens scored six TD’s on their first ten drives.
— Ravens won eight of last nine games with Cleveland.
— Jackson threw for 163 yards, ran ball for 124 yards.

— 20 points were scored in last 1:51 of this wild game.
— First time since 1922 there were a combined 9 rushing TD’s in a game.
— Mayfield threw for 343 yards, two TD’s.
— Browns gained 493 yards, had 33 first downs, but lost.

— Spread was Ravens -3; there was a safety on the last play, with ton of laterals, that made Baltimore backers the winners.
— One of the strangest and most entertaining games in NFL history..

12) Marquette 89, Creighton 84:
— Marquette made 12-21 on arc; they played only seven guys.
— Both teams scored 1.25+ points/possession.
— Creighton was 14-32 on the arc, 14-26 inside arc.

11) Rutgers 74, Maryland 60:
— Rutgers hasn’t been in NCAA’s since 1991; this looks like the year.
— Ron Harper Jr scored 27 points for the winners.

10) Felt bad when I saw that Gus Malzahn was fired as football coach at Auburn, then I read where his buyout is $21.45M, that’s million, with an M. Now I’m envious of the freakin’ guy.

Fact of the matter, Auburn is a bad job until Nick Saban retires, because you ain’t going to beat Alabama enough to satisfy whoever it is that makes decisions at Auburn. Malzahn was 68-35 at Auburn, 39-25 in SEC games, 2-5 in bowl games.

15 years ago, Malzahn was football coach at Springdale HS in Arkansas; now he can get a TV gig, kick back, count his money and see if he wants to coach again.

9) If you think college football coaches are overpaid, check this out; found this on the Interweb a few days ago— these are all college presidents, whose win/loss records aren’t published:

— Former Bryant U President Ronald Machtley made $6,283,616 in 2017.
— Former Johnson & Wales President John Bowen made $5,363,616 in 2017; he retired the next year.
— RPI’s President is Dr Shirley Jackson; she made $5,155,038 in 2017. RPI is an engineering school in Troy, NY, across the river from Armadillo World HQ.
— U of Pennsylvania’s President Amy Gutmann made $2,390,315 three years ago.

Must be nice.

8) Back to Malzahn for a minute; he is one of six coaches who has beaten Nick Saban three times as a head coach (no one has beaten him 4+ times):
Lloyd Carr, Malzahn, Les Miles, Joe Paterno, Joe Tiller, Tommy Tuberville

Active coaches with 2+ wins vs Saban: Hugh Freeze, Miles, Dabo Swinney

7) Washington Huskies pulled out of the Pac-12 football title game because of COVID-19 issues in their program; Oregon takes Washington’s place, will play USC Friday night in LA.

6) Frank Gore Jr scored on a 73-yard TD run for Southern Miss Thursday night, in the Golden Eagles’ 45-31 win over Florida Atlantic. Whats remarkable about this is that his father is still playing in the NFL; not a lot of 37-year old running backs still carrying the ball.

5) Las Vegas Raiders fired defensive coordinator Paul Guenther after the Raiders got drilled 44-27 by the Colts Sunday. Las Vegas allowed 37.5 ppg in its last four games, and right now is on the outside, looking in at the playoff picture.

4) Nebraska Cornhuskers are 2-5 this season, their 4th consecutive losing season; this is the first time since 1956-61 that Nebraska’s football team has had four years in a row under .500.

3) College football coaching changes:
— Arizona fired Kevin Sumlin
— As we talked about, Auburn fired Gus Malzahn
— Illinois fired Love Smith

2) Word leaked out over the weekend that the Cleveland Indians will change their nickname soon, but apparently not this coming season. Lot of money involved in choosing that next nickname; do it right and if the team contends, they will clean up financially selling apparel with the new logo(s) on it.

Problem is, the Indians seem to be dumping salary; Carlos Santana already left town, and Francisco Lindor may be the next one traded away. Losing teams don’t sell many souvenirs.

1) If you bet over on the Kansas City Chiefs’ season win total the last eight years, you would’ve won all eight bets, that’s how good a coach Andy Reid is. Hard to exceed expectations every year, really, really hard.

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 15

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 15

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 15

St Bonaventure @ Akron
St Bonaventure
— 5 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
— picked 5th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— First game this year for St Bonaventure
— Deep, experienced, talented team.
— Last five years: 62-28 in A-14 games.

Akron (1-0)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 2nd in MAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #144 by KenPom
— Akron beat an NAIA team by 48 in their opener.
— Zips went 24-7 LY, with four senior starters.
— Akron won 21+ games 13 of last 15 years.

Stanford @ Cal-Northridge
Stanford (2-2)
— Experience: #225
— Tempo: #121
— Continuity: #23
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Cardinal won by 32 in only game vs team ranked outside top 100.
— Stanford’s two losses were to North Carolina, Indiana

Cal-Northridge (3-1)
— Experience: #273
— Tempo: #79
— Continuity: #220
— ranked #278 by KenPom
— Matadors beat Seattle by by 11, Pepperdine by 5.
— Northridge is #32 in ball security; they’re shooting 27.9% on arc (#260).

Buffalo @ Miami OH
Buffalo (2-2)
— Experience: #31
— Tempo: #30
— Continuity: #90
— ranked #134 by KenPom
— Buffalo lost by 4 to Army, by 8 at Bowling Green.
— Bulls are shooting 26.4% on arc (#276), 60.5% on foul line (#283).

Miami OH (3-1)
— Experience: #113
— Tempo: #295
— Continuity:#48
— ranked #230 by KenPom
— Miami beat two Summit teams at home; lost by 24 at Wright State.
— Miami is shooting 29.5% on arc (#233), 41.8% inside arc (#283).

— Buffalo had won four in row vs Miami, but lost to RedHawks in MAC tourney LY.

Clemson @ Virginia Tech
Clemson (5-0)
— Experience: #187
— Tempo: #312
— Continuity: #74
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Clemson is forcing turnovers 27.8% of time (#12)
— Tigers have #36 eFG% defense in country.
— Clemson already has four top 90 wins.

Virginia Tech (4-1)
— Experience: #172
— Tempo: #343
— Continuity: #129
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tech lost its last game, by 20 at home to Penn State.
— Hokies were over .500 in ACC four of last five years.

— Virginia Tech won six of last seven games with Clemson.

Charlotte @ Davidson
Charlotte (1-3)
— Experience: #171
— Tempo: #345
— Continuity: #178
— ranked #192 by KenPom
— Charlotte’s three losses are by 9-11-4 points.
— 49ers have played schedule #265; this is best team they’ve played.

Davidson (3-2)
— Experience: #170
— Tempo: #352
— Continuity: #40
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Davidson’s three wins are by 9-4-32 points.
— Wildcats are shooting 40.2% on the arc (#23)

— Schools are 22 miles apart; local rivalry.
— Charlotte beat Davidson LY, ending 6-game series skid.

Minnesota @ Illinois
Minnesota (6-0)
— Experience: #114
— Tempo: #66
— Continuity: #158
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Gophers have played schedule #244, not very strong.
— This is Minnesota’s first game away from home.

Illinois (4-2)
— Experience: #211
— Tempo: #94
— Continuity: #38
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Illini’s losses are to Baylor/Missouri, giving up 82-81 points.
— Illinois won by 15 at Duke; beat Ohio U by a hoop.

— Illinois won five of last eight series games.

Wichita State @ Tulsa
Wichita State (1-2)
— Experience: #87
— Tempo: #232
— Continuity: #203
— ranked #100 by KenPom
— Shockers lost last two games, scoring 62-64 points.
— Wichita’s only win was 85-80 over Oral Roberts.

Tulsa (1-2)
— Experience: #42
— Tempo: #257
— Continuity: #188
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tulsa is turning ball over 23.3% of time (#271)
— Tulsa scored 65-58 points in losses to South Carolina/TCU

Indiana State @ Saint Louis
Indiana State (1-1)
— Experience: #165
— Tempo: #150
— Continuity: #89
— ranked #137 by KenPom
— Sycamores lost only D-I game by 12 at Purdue.
— Purdue shot 63% inside arc vs Indiana State.

Saint Louis (4-0)
— Experience: #150
— Tempo: #260
— Continuity: #28
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Billikens beat LSU by 4; whacked three stiffs.
— Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 28.7% of time (#8)
— Billikens have made 46.4% of their 3’s (#5)

Georgia Tech @ Florida State
Georgia Tech (2-2)
— Experience: #6
— Tempo: #235
— Continuity: #13
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tech beat Kentucky/Nebraska in last two games.
— Tech lost a 4OT game to Georgia State in its opener.

Florida State (3-0)
— Experience: #102
— Tempo: #139
— Continuity: #93
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— FSU beat Indiana/Florida in its last two games.
— Seminoles are forcing turnovers 26.6% of time (#15)

— Florida State won last four series games, all by 10+ points.

Furman @ Alabama
Furman (5-1)
— Experience: #100
— Tempo: #185
— Continuity: #18
— ranked #67 by KenPom.
— Only two of Furman’s wins are against D-I teams.
— Furman’s two wins are over teams #315/#201.

Alabama (3-2)
— Experience: #80
— Tempo: #9
— Continuity: #150
— ranked #51 by KenPom.
— Alabama was held to 64-56 points in its two losses (Stanford/Clemson).
— Crimson Tide scored 81+ points in its wins.
— Almost half (46.9%) of their shots are 3-pointers.

Kansas State @ Iowa State
Kansas State (2-4)
— Experience: #297
— Tempo: #347
— Continuity: #239
— ranked #156 by KenPom
— K-State’s wins are over teams #287/#255
— Wildcats lost to a D-II team, Ft Hays State.
— K-State is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#239)

Iowa State (1-2)
— Experience: #109
— Tempo: #205
— Continuity: #256
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Cyclones lost last two games, to South Dakota State/Iowa.
— Iowa State is shooting 58.3% inside arc.

— Iowa State won three of last five series games.

Eastern Washington @ Saint Mary’s
Eastern Washington (1-3)
— Experience: #125
— Tempo: #43
— Continuity: #32
— ranked #138 by KenPom
— Eagles’ losses are to Pac-12 teams, by 3-3-17 points.
— EWU’s only win was over an NAIA team.
— Eagles are shooting 27.6% on arc (#262).

Saint Mary’s (6-1)
— Experience: #255
— Tempo: #353
— Continuity:#202
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Gaels won last six games; they lost their opener to Memphis.
— Saint Mary’s best two wins: Northern Iowa, South Dakota State

Loyola Chi @ Wisconsin
Loyola Chi (3-0)
— Experience: #59
— Tempo: #300
— Continuity: #17
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Ramblers’ D-I wins are by 37-11 points.
— Loyola made 42.1% of its 3’s so far (#15)

Wisconsin (4-1)
— Experience: #45
— Tempo: #338
— Continuity: #22
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Badgers’ only loss was by hoop at #31 Marquette.
— Badgers’ best win was by 11 over #73 Rhode Island.

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NCAAB

Tuesday, December 15

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