Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, December 13

Good Luck on day #347 of 2020!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

NFL leaders in passing yardage:
3,815— Mahomes, KC
3,542— Watson, Hst
3,509— Goff, Rams (13 games)
3,479— Wilson, Sea
3,436— Ryan, Atl
3,403— Allen, Buff

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 297,697
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) USC 43, UCLA 38:
— Trojans beat their crosstown rivals for 5th time in six years.
— USC trailed this game 28-10; three of their five wins are by 5 or fewer points.
— USC drove 43 yards in 0:36, scoring game-winning TD with 0:16 left.
— UCLA had taken the lead on a 43-yard FG with 0:51 left.

12) Utah 38, Colorado 21— Ohio State-Michigan got cancelled, so this game got moved to the noon slot, which meant a 10am local time kickoff on a snowy day in Boulder.

Colorado’s loss put USC in the Pac-12 title game, even before the Trojans beat UCLA.

11) Ball State 30, Western Michigan 27:
— Cardinals win MAC West, play Buffalo for MAC title next week.
— WMU led 27-13 after three quarters; big comeback for the Cardinals, who scored two TD’s 1:05 apart early in 4th quarter, then kicked game-winning FG with 0:29 left.

10) LSU 37, Florida 34:
— Tigers kicked a 57-yard FG with 0:23 left.
— Florida missed a 51-yard FG wide left at the gun.
— Gators outgained LSU 609-418, but were minus-5 in turnovers.

9) North Carolina 62, Miami 26:
— Tar Heels ran ball for 554 yards; Michael Carter had 308 of them.
— UNC gained total of 778 yards; Miami allowed a total of 539 yards in their last two games, combined.

8) Coastal Carolina 42, Troy 38:
— Chanticleers drove 75 yards in 0:45, scored game-winning TD with 0:35 left to avoid an upset that would’ve ruined their undefeated season.
— Coastal led 14-0 after 6:27 of play, but this final score won’t impress any of the pollsters.

7) Army 15, Navy 0:
— This rivalry game stayed under total for 15th year in a row .
— This was first time since World War II the game was played at West Point.

6) Memphis 30, Houston 27:
— Memphis kicked a 47-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Tigers led 27-6 after three quarters; Houston tied game with 0:28 left.

5) College football upsets:
— LSU (+23) 37, Florida 34
— Minnesota (+9.5) 24, Nebraska 17
— Southern Miss (+9.5) 35, Florida Atlantic 31
— Memphis (+4.5) 30, Houston 27

4) Dayton 85, Mississippi State 82, 2 OT:
— Bulldogs went 9-22 on foul line and lost by 3; no bueno.
— Miss State led by 8 early in second half.
— Three guys on Dayton played 48 out of 50:00.

3) Missouri 81, Illinois 78:
— Mizzou will likely join Tennessee as only SEC teams in top 25.
— This was first time since late 70’s this annual matchup wasn’t played in St Louis.
— Tigers were 26-31 on foul line, Illinois 17-28.

2) Notre Dame 64, Kentucky 63:
— Kentucky has now lost four games in a row.
— Notre Dame was up 22 at the half; Kentucky had an open 15-footer at the buzzer for the win.
— Wildcats were 5-23 on arc, 4-6 on line; they lack perimeter shooting.

1) Villanova 76, Georgetown 63:
— 12-point dog Hoyas were up 18 in first half Friday night; they didn’t even cover.
— Villanova was 15-39 on the arc, 10-21 inside arc.
— Since Big East reorganized few years ago, Villanova is 104-23 in Big East games.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 13

Wright State @ Bowling Green
Wright State (1-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 25-7 team
— picked 1st in Horizon by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #111 by KenPom
— Wright lost by 16 to Marshall, beat Miami OH by 24, both at hone.
— Raiders haven’t played in eight days.
— Opponents shot 38.1% inside arc in Wright’s first two games.

Bowling Green (4-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 1st in MAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Falcons won last four games, winning MAC opener last Sunday.
— Bowling Green’s only loss was by 14 at Michigan.
— Falcons are shooting 37.6% on arc (#62).

Rhode Island @ Western Kentucky
Rhode Island (3-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
— picked 7th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon.
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Rams are 3-3 vs schedule #27;
— URI is getting 27.3% of its points on foul line (#11).
— Rams start two juniors, two seniors (experience #111).

Western Kentucky (4-2)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 20-10 team
— picked 1st in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— WKU is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to two top 25 teams.
— Hilltoppers’ opponents are shooting 46.2% on arc (#303)
— WKU starts four seniors, one junior (#33 experience).

UMass @ Northeastern
UMass (1-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 14-17 team
— picked 8th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #120 by KenPom
— UMass beat Northeastern 94-79 in their opener Friday.
— Minutemen start three sophs, one freshman.
— UMass starts conference play Wednesday vs LaSalle.

Northeastern (0-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 17-16 team
— picked 6th in CAA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #181 by KenPom
— Friday’s game was also Northeastern’s opener.
— Huskies start three juniors, don’t play any seniors.
— Northeastern shot 58% inside arc Friday, took only 13 3’s.

— Minutemen beat Northeastern 80-71 at home LY.

Richmond @ West Virginia
Richmond (4-0)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 1st in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Spiders have two top 100 wins, over Kentucky/Northern Iowa.
— Richmond starts four seniors (#16 in experience)
— Spiders protect ball well (#26 in ball security)

West Virginia (5-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 4th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #6 by KenPom
—#106 North Texas is worst team WVU has played so far.
— Mountaineers are rebounding 40.4% of their own missed shots (#4)
— West Virginia is #20 in minutes continuity.

Penn State @ Michigan
Penn State (3-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 12th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Lions’ last three games were all against top 60 teams.
— Penn State’s only loss was in OT to Seton Hall.
— Lions are forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#53).

Michigan (5-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
— picked 9th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Best team Michigan has beaten? #109 Central Florida.
— Wolverines are shooting 62.4% inside arc (#9).
— Michigan starts four seniors (#54 in experience)

— Penn State won last two series games, by 6-9 points.

Loyola, Chi @ Ill-Chicago
Loyola, Chi (2-0)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 1st in MVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Loyola beat an NAIA team and #355 Chicago State.
— Loyola starts four seniors, is experience team #81.
— Ramblers are 40-14 in MVC games the last three years.

Ill-Chicago (3-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-17 team
— picked 4th in Horizon by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #217 by KenPom
— UIC’s only loss was by hoop at Ball State, 8 days ago.
— Three of Flames’ four games were decided by 4 or fewer points.
— UIC starts three juniors and a senior (experience team #51).

San Francisco @ California
San Francisco (5-2)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 22-12 team
— picked 3rd in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Dons won five of last six games, with a win over Virginia.
— USF has #31 eFG% defense in country.
— Dons allowed 76-84 points in losses; 68 or fewer in wins.

California (2-4)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
— picked 9th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Three of Cal’s four losses are to Pac-12 rivals.
— Cal’s only win was 60-49 over #237 Nicholls State.
— Golden Bears are turning ball over 24.2% of time (#274)

New Mexico @ Rice
New Mexico
— 1 starter back from LY’s 19-14 team
— picked 7th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #216 by KenPom
— This is New Mexico’s season opener.
— Lobos have 11 new players this season.
— 10 of New Mexico’s guys are frosh/sophs.

Rice (4-0)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 15-17 team
— picked last in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #228 by KenPom
— Owls are 4-0, beating an impressive array of stiffs.
— Rice hasn’t played in eight days.
— Owls were 14-38 on arc, 17-27 inside arc in last game.

San Jose State @ Cal Poly
San Jose State (1-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 7-24 team
— picked 10th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #279 by KenPom
— Spartans lost by 35 at Saint Mary’s Friday, their first D-I game.
— San Jose beat an NAIA team 87-79 in its opener Wednesday.
— San Jose is 5-49 in conference play, the last three years.

Cal Poly (1-2)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 7-23 team
— picked 8th in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #325 by KenPom
— Cal Poly allowed 82 ppg in its two D-I losses.
— Cal Poly is shooting 25% on the arc (#285).
— Mustangs are 10-38 in Big West play, the last three years.

Weber State @ Boise State
Weber State (2-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team
— picked 6th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #290 by KenPom.
— Weber beat two NAIA teams; this is their D-I opener.
— Wildcats start three seniors, but they’re still #314 in experience.
— Weber has brought in seven transfers to play this year.

Boise State (3-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 4th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #90 by KenPom.
— Boise State had a big win at BYU Wednesday.
— Broncos’ only loss was by 10 at Houston.
— Boise State is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#37).

Jacksonville State @ Tennessee Tech
Jacksonville State (3-2)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 13-19 team
— picked 6th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #265 by KenPom
— JSU split four D-I games; they haven’t played in nine days.
— Gamecocks are turning ball over 24.4% of time (#278)
— JSU won both its games vs teams ranked outside top 200.

Tennessee Tech (0-5)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 9-22 team
— picked 10th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #310 by KenPom
— Tech lost its only home game by 8 to Chattanooga.
— This is Tech’s first game against a team ranked outside top 200.
— Golden Eagles are turning ball over 26.3% of time (#290)

— Jacksonville State won six of last seven series games.

St John’s @ Georgetown
St John’s (5-2)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 9th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— St John’s lost two of its three top 100 games.
— Red Storm is playing pace #12, very fast.
— St John’s is forcing turnovers 25.8% of time (#20)

Georgetown (2-3)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 15-17 team
— picked last in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #96 by KenPom
— Hoyas lost by 13 to Villanova Friday; they were up 18 in first half.
— Georgetown lost its two top 100 games, by 9-13 points.
— Hoyas are turning ball over 23.7% of time (#268)

— Georgetown is 5-3 in last eight series games; Johnnies beat them in Big East tourney LY.

Stanford @ USC
Stanford (2-2)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 4th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Stanford lost two of three top 100 games, all at Maui Classic.
— Cardinal is forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#59)
— Stanford is #22 in country in minutes continuity.

USC (4-1)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 22-9 team
— picked 8th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Trojans’ only loss was by 3 to UConn at Mohegan Sun.
— USC is rebounding 38.4% of its missed shots (#13)
— Trojans are #20 in country in defensive eFG%.

— USC is 4-2 in last six series games; four of last five were decided by 5 or fewer points.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 13

[Udog]

NCAAB

Sunday, December 13

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, December 13

[Udog]

751OAKLAND -752 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 26-10 ATS (15 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

753WRIGHT ST -754 BOWLING GREEN
WRIGHT ST is 57-37 ATS (16.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

755RHODE ISLAND -756 W KENTUCKY
RHODE ISLAND is 57-35 ATS (18.5 Units) in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997.

757MASSACHUSETTS -758 NORTHEASTERN
NORTHEASTERN is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) off a road loss since 1997.

761OHIO U -762 MARSHALL
MARSHALL is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

763N KENTUCKY -764 KENT ST
KENT ST is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less since 1997.

765N ILLINOIS -766 IOWA
IOWA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

769PENN ST -770 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 78-48 ATS (25.2 Units) in home games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) since 1997.

771WI-MILWAUKEE -772 W MICHIGAN
WI-MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest in the last 3 seasons.

773AIR FORCE -774 DRAKE
DRAKE is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.