Announcement

**Udog** · 12-12-2020, 08:39 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Odds to win the Super Bowl this year:
2-1— Kansas City
6-1— New Orleans
7-1— Green Bay, Pittsburgh
12-1— LA Rams, Seattle
14-1— Buffalo, Tampa Bay
20-1— Cleveland

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 294,144
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: 13 quarterbacks who started a game for Bill Belichick

13) Brian Hoyer (0-1)— Started 39 games in his 11-year career (16-23), playing for seven different teams. His only start for New England was a 26-10 loss at Kansas City in Week 4 this year.

12) Eric Zeier (1-3)— Georgia alum started 12 games (4-8) in a 6-year NFL career, playing four games for the ’95 Browns, Belichick’s last year there. He later played for Baltimore. Tampa Bay.

11) Drew Bledsoe (5-13)- Was the New England starter ahead of Brady when he got hurt in 2001; Bledsoe was was 101-98 as an NFL starter in his 14-year career, throwing for 45,946 yards, 257 TD’s. He finished his career with Buffalo, then Dallas.

10) Bernie Kosar (11-18)— Went 56-58-1 as an NFL starter in his 12-year career, going 3-4 in playoff games. Cleveland released him after six starts in 1993; Dallas picked him up and he backed up Troy Aikman as the Cowboys won a Super Bowl. Cowboys’ other backup that year was future NFL coach Jason Garrett.

9) Todd Philcox (2-3)— Syracuse alum played five years in the NFL, for three teams; he went 2-3 in five starts for Cleveland in 1992-93, throwing for 7 TD’s, running for one.

8) Jacoby Brissett (1-1)— Is 12-20 as an NFL starter; went 1-1 for the 2016 Patriots, including a 16-0 loss in Buffalo, which is the last time New England didn’t score in the first half of a game. Brissett is still the backup QB for the Colts; this is his 5th year in the NFL.

7) Mike Tomczak (4-4)— Played 15 years in NFL for four teams, going 4-4 as the starter for the ’92 Browns, his only year in Cleveland. The Ohio State alum was 42-31 as a starter in the NFL, and was 3-2 in playoff games (2-1 with Chicago, 1-1 with Pittsburgh).

6) Cam Newton (6-6)— Is 74-61-1 as an NFL starter; this is already his 10th year in the NFL. Is 3-4 in career playoff games, winning 2015 NFC title; he’s won more playoff games than Joe Namath, Tony Romo, Matthew Stafford, Kirk Cousins. Is 6-6 as New England’s starter this year.

5) Mark Rypien (2-1)— Went 47-31 as a starter in a 10-year career, winning the Super Bowl with the ’91 Redskins. Rypien went 2-1 in three starts for the ’94 Browns. His nephew Brett Rypien started a game at QB this year for the Broncos.

4) Jimmy Garoppolo (2-0)— Is 26-9 as an NFL starter, going 15-4 for the 49ers last year; he is in 7th NFL season. 2016 Patriots won both games he started for them. New England got a 2nd round draft pick for him when they traded him to San Francisco in October, 2017.

3) Vinny Testaverde (16-15)— Played 21 years in the NFL for seven teams; he could write a hell of a book. Went 9-4 as starter for the ’94 Browns, winning a playoff game against, ironically, New England. Cleveland’s defensive coordinator that year? Nick Saban. Testaverde was later a backup for the 2006 Patriots, but threw only three passes in three relief stints.

2) Matt Cassel (10-5)— Wound up 36-45 as an NFL starter in his 14-year career, but didn’t make the playoffs in his one year (2008) as New England’s starter. He started one playoff game for the Chiefs, a 30-7 loss to Baltimore in the 2010 postseason.

1) Tom Brady (249-75)— You may have heard of him; he’s won six Super Bowls and currently lives in Tampa. He was also a 6th round draft choice, meaning New England passed on drafting him five times before they finally took him.

If you’re scoring at home, that is 249-75 with Brady, 60-70 with everyone else.

**Udog** · 12-12-2020, 08:45 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 12

Florida @ Florida State
Florida (3-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
— picked 5th in CAA by Blue Ribbon.
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Gators won first three games, beating Boston College 90-70.
— Florida is forcing turnovers 26.8% of time (#13)
— Gators start three juniors, two sophs; they don’t have a senior.

Florida State (2-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 26-5 team
— picked 4th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Seminoles beat Indiana by a hoop in OT Wednesday.
— FSU is shooting only 44.2% inside arc (#240)
— State is forcing turnovers 26.8% of time (#14).

— FSU won last six series games, by an average of 10 points.

Cincinnati @ Tennessee
Cincinnati (2-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 20-10 team
— picked 6th in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Cincy won two of three games, losing 77-69 to rival Xavier.
— Bearcats are shooting 23.2% on arc (#293)
— This is first road game of year for Cincinnati.

Tennessee (1-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 17-14 team
— picked 1st in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Vols jumped out to 26-10 lead, won opener 56-47 over Colorado.
— Tennessee forced 23 turnovers on only 64 possessions.
— Vols start two sophs, two seniors (experience #155).

TCU @ Texas A&M
TCU (4-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
— picked 9th in Big X by KenPom
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— TCU lost last two games, giving up 80.5 ppg to Oklahoma/Providence.
— Horned Frogs are playing pace #348, very slow.
— TCU starts three juniors, three frosh (experience #283)

Texas A&M (3-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
— picked 11th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Aggies whacked three stiffs, giving up 62.3 ppg.
— A&M is forcing turnovers 28.4% of time
— Aggies have turned ball over 25.2% of time themselves.

Oklahoma State @ Wichita State
Oklahoma State (5-0)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 18-14 team
— picked 8th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— OSU won first five games, winning 70-62 at Marquette.
— Cowboys have one of best frosh in country (Cunningham, 20.3 ppg)
— OSU is playing pace #54, pretty fast.

Wichita State (1-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 23-8 team
— picked 7th in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #101 by KenPom
— Wichita has an interim coach this year; Marshall got fired.
— Shockers beat Oral Roberts by 5, lost to Missouri by 10.
— Wichita is shooting only 38.8% inside arc.

Memphis @ Auburn
Memphis (4-2)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 2nd in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Memphis lost two of three top 100 games, beating Saint Mary’s.
— Tigers are playing pace #19, very fast.
— Memphis is experience team #292 that forces turnovers 24.1% of time (#38)

Auburn (2-2)
— 0 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
— picked 7th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Auburn scored 67-55 in losses, 90+ in its wins.
— Tigers are turning ball over 24.4% of time (#274)
— Rebuilding Auburn is #308 in experience.

Old Dominion @ VCU
Old Dominion (2-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 13-19 team
— picked 6th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #104 by KenPom
— Monarchs lost by 18 at Maryland, beat a couple stiffs.
— ODU starts two seniors, three juniors (experience #19).
— As usual, ODU is poor behind arc (28.2%, #248)

VCU (4-2)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked 10th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— VCU split four top 100 games already.
— Rans force turnovers 25.2% of time (#24)
— VCU plays lot of guys (bench minutes #13)

— VCU won four of last five games vs their old conference rival.

Cal-Santa Barbara @ LMU
UCSB (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 1st in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #123 by KenPom
— Gauchos beat LMU 69-58 at home Monday, holding Lions to 30.5% from floor.
— UCSB also beat couple of NAIA stiffs.
— Gauchos start 3 seniors, 2 juniors (experience team #16)

LMU (2-3)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 11-21 team
— picked 8th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #138 by KenPom
— LMU scored 85 points in both wins; 73-64-58 in losses.
— Lions are turning ball over 22.9% of time (#246)
— LMU beat Southern Utah, Long Beach in their two home games.

Utah @ BYU
Utah (2-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-15 team
— picked 5th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Utah beat Washington by 14, Idaho State by 16.
— Utes are #246 in experience, starting a junior, three sophs
— Utah is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#41).

BYU (5-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 24-8 team
— picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— BYU is already playing its 8th game, their 5th top 100 game.
— Cougars are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#227)
— BYU’s last three games were all decided by 6 or fewer points.

— Utah won four of last six series games.

Clemson vs Alabama (@ Atlanta)
Clemson (4-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-15 team
— picked 8th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #23 by KenPom
— Clemson already has three top 100 wins (Miss St, Purdue, Maryland)
— Tigers are forcing turnovers 29.7% of time (#6)
— Clemson allowed 50.3 ppg in its first four games.

Alabama (3-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-15 team
— picked 3rd in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Alabama hasn’t played in 10 days, since Maui Classic.
— Crimson Tide has played at pace #9 so far, very fast.
— Alabama starts three seniors, two sophs.

Oregon @ Washington
Oregon (3-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 1st in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #25 by KenPom.
— Ducks beat Seton Hall by 13, lost to Missouri by 8
— Oregon is shooting 57.8% inside the arc (#33)
— Oregon is #40 in experience, but only #274 in continuity.

Washington (1-3)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 15-17 team
— picked 10th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #95 by KenPom.
— Huskies lost two top 100 games, by 34 to Baylor, 14 to Utah.
— Washington is shooting 24.7% on arc (#282)
— Huskies lost to Cal-Riverside on a neutral floor, a red flag.

— Oregon won last nine series games, winning last four visits here.

Illinois @ Missouri
Illinois (4-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 3rd in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Illini lost to Baylor by 13; won by 15 at Duke Tuesday.
— Illinois has made 47.3% of its 3’s so far (#4)
— Illini starts conference play Tuesday, vs Minnesota.

Missouri (4-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 15-16 team
— picked 13th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Mizzou already has wins over Oregon, Wichita State.
— Tigers are shooting 60.9% inside arc (#13)
— Mizzou starts 3 seniors and a junior (#9).

— Missouri won this game the last two years, by 7-16 points.

North Dakota vs North Dakota State (@ Sioux Falls)
North Dakota (1-4)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 15-18 team
— picked 4th in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #247 by KenPom
— UND is 1-4, splitting games last two nights.
— Fighting Hawks played 3 starters 31:00+ Thursday, 4 starters 31:00+ Friday.
— UND is experience team #260; they have no seniors.

North Dakota State (1-5)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 25-8 team
— picked 3rd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #166 by KenPom
— Bison has played schedule #45; they lost by 4 at Kansas.
— Bison got their first win of year last nite, shooting 77% inside arc.
— ND State played four starters 30:00+ last two nights.

— State beat North Dakota by 36 in Summit tourney LY.

South Dakota State vs South Dakota (@ Sioux Falls)
South Dakota (0-5)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 2nd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #238 by KenPom
— Coyotes are 0-5; last three losses were by 7 or fewer points.
— South Dakota is 28.3% on arc so far (#246).
— Coyotes start three sophs and a junior (#185 experience)

South Dakota State (5-2)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 22-10 team
— picked 1st in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Jackrabbits are 3-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 4-2-12 points. .
— South Dakota State is making 40.8% of its 3’s (#24)
— Jackrabbits are #7 in country in minutes continuity.

— State won five of last six series games.

**Udog** · 12-12-2020, 08:46 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 12

**Udog** · 12-12-2020, 08:54 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, December 12

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 12-12-2020, 08:58 AM

651FLORIDA -652 FLORIDA ST
FLORIDA ST is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) after a close win by 3 points or less since 1997.

653MISSOURI-KC -654 TOLEDO
MISSOURI-KC is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

655NOTRE DAME -656 KENTUCKY
NOTRE DAME is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

657DAYTON -658 MISSISSIPPI ST
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

659TENNESSEE ST -660 IUPUI
IUPUI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.

661WI-GREEN BAY -662 N IOWA
N IOWA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

663CINCINNATI -664 TENNESSEE
CINCINNATI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

665SYRACUSE -666 BOSTON COLLEGE
SYRACUSE is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% since 1997.

667LASALLE -668 DREXEL
DREXEL is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

669TEXAS A&M -670 TCU
TCU is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-12-2020, 11:39 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, December 12

Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/12

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/12

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