Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/11

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, December 11

Good Luck on day #345 of 2020!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds for the college football conference title games:
— Ohio St (-20, 59.5) vs Northwestern
— Oklahoma (-6, 57.5) vs Iowa State
— Coastal Carolina (-4, 53.5) vs Louisiana
— Clemson (-11, 60.5) vs Notre Dame
— Cincinnati (-17, 47.5) vs Tulsa
— Alabama (-12, 72.5) vs Florida

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 291,307
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


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Armadillo: Friday's Den: Random stuff with the weekend here………

13) Rams 24, New England 3
— Rams drove 75 yards for a TD on the game’s opening drive.
— Kenny Young had 79-yard pick-6 on first play of 2nd quarter.
— Rams had a 16-play, 90-yard TD drive that took up 9:42 of 3rd quarter.
— Akers ran ball for 171 yards, most by any NFL rookie this year.

— Rams won four of their last five games.
— LA has outscored opponents 164-82 in second half of games.
— Rams won five of six home games SU (4-2 ATS)
— Eight of LA’s last ten games stayed under the total.

12) With this win, the Rams clinch their 4th straight winning season for first time since 1983-86, when John Robinson coached the team, which played its home games in Anaheim Stadium.

11) San Diego State 80, Arizona State 68— Aztecs went to Tempe and whipped up on ASU; San Diego State is 5-0 already, with Pac-12 wins over ASU, UCLA.

10) Portland 87, Oregon State 86 OT— Rough night for the Pac-12. Portland was a 16-point underdog in this game.

9) Next week’s NFL schedule is interesting; league flexed the Browns-Giants into the Sunday night slot., replacing 49ers-Cowboys. In the 15 years that NBC has had the Sunday night game, the Cowboys have never been flexed out of a prime-time slot. Until now.

8) Dave Dombrowski is finalizing a deal to take over as president of baseball operations for the Philadelphia Phillies, which would be very good news for Phillies fans. Dombrowski had been mentioned as trying to help Nashville land an expansion franchise, but running the Phillies is a way better gig than that.

7) P Chris Flexen signed a 2-year, $4.75M deal with the Mariners, fueling speculation that Seattle may be toying with the idea of using a 6-man rotation this season. Flexen pitched in the KBO this season, posting a 2.79 ERA. He had previously pitched for the Mets, going 3-11, 8.07 in 27 games (11 starts) from 2017-19.

6) Duke’s basketball team has already lost home games to Michigan State, Illinois; they haven’t hit the road yet, but the Blue Devils cancelled their remaining three non-league games and sent their players home for five days, for the holidays.

All of a sudden Mike Krzyzewski isn’t so fond of playing thru a pandemic with experience team #301- they’re turning ball over 21.5% of time, shooting 32.7% on the arc- they look ordinary, and there is no home crowd in Cameron Indoor Stadium to get behind them.

5) Southern Miss 45, Florida Atlantic 31:
— Just third loss in eight game for the Owls.
— Southern Miss outgained FAU 514-326.
— USM ran a kickoff back for a TD.
— FAU scored a defensive TD.

4) Pitt 34, Georgia Tech 20:
— Panthers somehow got 11 games in, finished 6-5.
— Pitt ran the ball for 311 yards.

3) ESPN and SEC announced Thursday that they’ve reached a 10-year deal beginning in 2024 that will make ESPN/ABC the exclusive rights holder of SEC football and basketball, so the 3:30 SEC Game of the Week will be on ABC, but not until 2024.

2) NHL is aiming for a January 13 start, with a 54-game schedule, give or take a fewThey’re going to shuffle the divisions some just for this season, which will be interesting.

1) Want to win a bar bet? In the history of major league baseball, the record for most pickoffs by a right-handed pitcher is held by knuckleballer Charlie Hough, with 73.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 11

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 11

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 11

Northeastern @ UMass
Northeastern
— 2 starters back from LY’s 17-16 team
— picked 6th in CAA by Blue Ribbon.
— ranked #173 by KenPom
— This is Northeastern’s season opener.
— Huskies played in CAA title game the last three years.
— Northeastern was 6-9 LY in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

UMass
— 3 starters back from LY’s 14-17 team
— picked 8th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #126 by KenPom
— This is also the season opener for UMass
— Minutemen haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2014.
— Have more depth this year, should press more.

— Huskies lost 80-71 at UMass last year.

St John’s @ Seton Hall
St John’s (5-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 9th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #83 by KenPom
— Red Storm already has three wins by 3 or fewer points.
— St John’s is forcing turnovers 26.6% of the time (#17)
— Red Storm is playing pace #10, very fast.

Seton Hall (3-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
— picked 4th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Pirates are 1-3 vs top 100 teams, beating Penn State in OT.
— Seton Hall is experience team #23, starting 3 seniors, 2 juniors.
— Pirates are turning ball over 19.3% of time (#155).

— Seton Hall won five of last six series games.

Rider @ Manhattan
Rider (0-2)
— 0 starters back from LY’s 18-12 team
— picked 10th in MAAC by KenPom
— ranked #275 by KenPom
— Rider lost by 35 at Syracuse, by 3 at St John’s.
— Broncs are shooting only 42.2% inside arc.
— Rider was up 6 with 4:07 left at St John’s Tuesday.

Manhattan
— 2 starters back from LY’s 13-18 team
— picked 5th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #287 by KenPom
— This is Manhattan’s season opener.
— Jaspers had 3 starters transfer out after last season.
— New point guard is a transfer from Seton Hall.

— Rider won seven of last eight series games.

North Dakota vs South Dakota State (@ Sioux Falls)
North Dakota (1-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 15-18 team
— picked 4th in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #246 by KenPom
— UND is 1-3, beating South Dakota by 4 last night.
— Fighting Hawks played three starters 31:00+ Thursday.
— UND is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#218).

South Dakota State (4-2)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 22-10 team
— picked 1st in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Jackrabbits won last three games, beating ND State by a hoop Thursday.
— South Dakota State is making 42.9% of its 3’s (#16)
— Jackrabbits played three starters 35:00 last night.

— South Dakota State won last five series games, by average of 18 points.

Villanova @ Georgetown
Villanova (4-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 1st in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Villanova has played schedule #34, winning last game at Texas.
— Wildcats are playing pace #346, very slow.
— Villanova gets good shots; their eFG% is #47 in country.

Georgetown (2-2)
— 1 starters back from LY’s 15-17 team
— picked last in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #97 by KenPom
— Hoyas lost by 9 to West Virginia, in only top 100 game.
— Georgetown is turning ball over 24.8% of time (#271)
— Two teams Georgetown beat are ranked #194, #326.

— Villanova won 10 of last 11 series games.

Iona @ Fairfield
Iona (1-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 12-17 team
— picked 6th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #266 by KenPom
— Iona is turning ball over 24.7% (#270) of time.
— Gales got upset 83-72 at home by Morgan State Tuesday.
— New coach, lot of new players; they’re #266 in minutes continuity.

Fairfield (0-4)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team
— picked 7th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #299 by KenPom
— Fairfield is scoring only 60 ppg, vs schedule #205.
— Stags are shooting 26.1% on arc (#263), 44.9% inside arc (#221)
— Fairfield lost its only home game by 5 to Hartford.

— Iona won five of last seven series games.

North Dakota State vs South Dakota (@ Sioux Falls)
North Dakota State (0-5)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 25-8 team
— picked 3rd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Bison has played schedule #27; they lost by 4 at Kansas.
— Bison made 10-22 on arc in 77-75 loss to SD State Thursday.
— ND State played four starters 31:00+ last night.

South Dakota (0-4)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 2nd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #232 by KenPom
— Coyotes are 0-4, with three foes ranked in top 130
— South Dakota is 20-81 (24.7%) on arc so far (#276).
— Coyotes played only two guys more than 27:00 last night.

— Bison won both series games LY, by total of five points.

Marist @ Canisius
Marist (2-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 7-23 team
— picked last in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #252 by KenPom
— Marist beat #341 Binghamton twice LW, by 4-3 points.
— Red Foxes start two seniors, two juniors.
— Marist played first two games at pace #328, very slow.

Canisius
— 3 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team
— picked 8th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #225 by KenPom
— This is the Canisius season opener.
— Griffins lost eight MAAC games LY by 5 or fewer points.
— Canisius returns 72.6% of last year’s scoring.

— Canisius won five of last six series games.

Nebraska @ Creighton
Nebraska (3-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 7-25 team
— picked last in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #111 by KenPom
— Nebraska lost its two top 150 games, by 3-11 points.
— This will be Cornhuskers’ first road game.
— Nebraska forces turnovers 23.5% of time (#46)

Creighton (3-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Creighton lost by a point at Kansas Tuesday.
— Bluejays are shooting 65.4% inside arc (#4)
— Creighton is #59 experience team, turning ball over 12.9% of time (#9).

— Creighton won eight of last nine series games.

Murray State @ Southern Illinois
Murray State (3-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 23-9 team
— picked 2nd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Racers lost only road game by 17 at Middle Tennessee.
— Murray is #213 in experience, but #52 in minutes continuity.
— Racers are turning ball over 21.9% of time (#226).

Southern Illinois (2-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-17 team
— picked 6th in MVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #190 by KenPom
— Salukis won only D-I game, in OT at SE Missouri State.
— SIU starts four sophs and a senior.
— Salukis were down 9 with 4:32 left in their win at SE Missouri State.

— Murray State won last three meetings, by average of 16 points.

Niagara @ Saint Peter’s
Niagara (0-1)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team
— picked 4th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #255 by KenPom
— Niagara lost 75-45 in their opener 8 days ago, at Syracuse.
— Purple Eagles were 6-36 on arc, 12-29 inside arc in Carrier Dome.
— Niagara starts 2 juniors, 3 seniors.

Saint Peter’s (2-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-12 team
— picked 3rd in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #165 by KenPom
— Peacocks split first four games, beating LaSalle, Stony Brook.
— Saint Peter’s losses are to St John’s/Maryland.
— Peacocks start three sophs, two juniors.

— Saint Peter’s won four of last five series games.

Iowa State @ Iowa
Iowa State (1-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team
— picked 7th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #72 by KenPom.
— Cyclones split two home games, losing to South Dakota State.
— Iowa State shot 63.4% inside arc in its first two games.
— Cyclones start 3 juniors, 2 seniors; they’re not very deep.

Iowa (4-0)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
— picked 2nd in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #8 by KenPom.
— Iowa beat North Carolina 93-80 Tuesday, making 17-40 on arc.
— Hawkeyes scored 98 ppg in first four games.
— Iowa’s eFG% is #23 in country.

— Iowa beat Cyclones last two years, by 16-14 points.

Marquette @ UCLA
Marquette (4-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-12 team
— picked 7th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Marquette is 4-1, splitting top 50 games with Oklahoma St/Wisconsin.
— This is their first road game.
— Opponents are shooting 38.9% inside arc (#17).

UCLA (4-1)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 2nd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— UCLA is back to its 8-man rotation; they had been missing couple guys.
— Bruins lost at San Diego St, beat Pepperdine in triple OT in top 100 games.
— UCLA is shooting 37.8% on arc (#54).

[Udog]

NCAAB

Friday, December 11

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

603ST JOHNS -604 SETON HALL
ST JOHNS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

605APPALACHIAN ST -606 CHARLOTTE
APPALACHIAN ST is 48-26 ATS (19.4 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.

607RIDER -608 MANHATTAN
RIDER is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

609S DAKOTA ST -610 N DAKOTA
S DAKOTA ST is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

609S DAKOTA ST -610 N DAKOTA
Eric Henderson is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season (Coach of S DAKOTA ST)

611VILLANOVA -612 GEORGETOWN
GEORGETOWN is 38-66 ATS (-34.6 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game since 1997.

613NEBRASKA-OMAHA -614 KANSAS
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

615IONA -616 FAIRFIELD
IONA is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

617GA SOUTHERN -618 DAVIDSON
DAVIDSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

621NEBRASKA -622 CREIGHTON
CREIGHTON is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.