Announcement

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:22 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the Stanley Cup this season:
6-1— Colorado, Vegas
7-1— Tampa Bay
12-1— Boston
16-1— Philadelphia, Toronto, Washington
20-1— Pittsburgh, St Louis
25-1— Carolina, Dallas. Islanders, Rangers, Vancouver

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 287,985
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) When voters choose NFL Coach of the Year this season, it’ll be a tough choice:
— Kevin Stefanski has the Browns at 9-3; Cleveland last made the playoffs in 2002.
— Brian Flores has Miami at 8-4; Dolphins have been in playoffs once since 2008.
— Mike Tomlin has Pittsburgh at 11-1 after going 17-14-1 the last two years.
— Ron Rivera has Washington at 5-7 but they’ve won three in a row and are tied for first in the NFC East. Not only that, but Rivera hasn’t missed a game while undergoing cancer treatment this season- tough guy. He won’t win the award, but he deserves recognition for his courage.

12) Ben Roethlisberger threw 51-53 passes in his last two games; it is the first time in his career that Big Ben threw 50+ passes in consecutive games.

11) When the Giants upset Seattle Sunday, it was the first NFL win for backup QB Colt McCoy since 2014, when his Redskins won 20-17 in Dallas.

McCoy has started 29 games in his 10-year NFL career; backup QB’s make good bank, even if you go six years between wins.

10) Defending national champ LSU is 3-5 this season, not a great year; takes lot of onions for them to self-impose a one-year bowl ban for this season on Wednesday, right before the end of the season. Who the hell would want them in a bowl game this season?

There is an NCAA investigation going on into alleged rules violations at LSU; when a school slaps itself with a bowl ban, they’re trying to get a slap on the wrist from the NCAA.

9) Then there is the Big 14, which put in rules before this season about having to play six regular season games in order to play in the conference title game. Ohio State has only played in five regular season games, but the league wants the Buckeyes to play on national TV in the conference title game, so they waived the rule Wednesday and Ohio State is in. Go figure.

8) Memphis Tigers’ basketball team is off to a 4-2 start; weird thing is, Temple is in their league, the AAC— the Owls haven’t played a game yet- their first game appears to be December 22.

Similar thing in the Atlantic 14, where Rhode Island is 3-3; three of their conference rivals, UMass, Fordham and St Bonaventure haven’t played a game yet.

7) Iowa 93, North Carolina 80— Hawkeyes hit 17-40 on the arc Tuesday night, jumping out to a 25-9 lead. Tar Heels got within a point at 66-65 with 9:52 left, but Iowa pulled away at the end.

Connor McCaffery is a junior guard for Iowa; he is also the coach’s son. He played 17:00 in this game with two assists, no turnovers; he also didn’t take a shot. Sounds like a future coach.

6) Disappointing that major league baseball is shrinking the minor leagues by 40+ teams this season; minor league baseball is fun, and in lot of smaller towns, minor league teams provide jobs and entertainment all summer long.

MLB is cutting the number of minor league teams from 160 to 120 to save money; one of the teams that is a victim of the reduction is the Tri-City ValleyCats, who were an affiliate of the Astros for the last 18 years, playing in the NY-Penn League, which no longer exists.

ValleyCats played at Hudson Valley CC, which is just over the river from where I live, here in the Albany/Troy are of upstate New York. They averaged over 4,000 fans a game from 2008-18, but lot of independently-owned teams were ones phased out of existence.

5) Xavier 99, Oklahoma 77— Xavier made 19-32 on the arc; that doesn’t happen much; Musketeers are 7-0 already.

4) Clemson 67, Maryland 51— 4-0 Tigers led this game 44-19 at one point; they’ve beaten Purdue and Maryland, are forcing turnovers 29.7% of the time.

3) Florida State 69, Indiana 67 OT— Seminoles survived 11-21 foul shooting and wins at home in overtime. Florida State had 19 offensive rebounds.

2) Pepperdine 74, California 62— Waves made 12-26 on the arc; they only played seven guys, which is why they’ve struggled at end of games, but Pepperdine will challenge BYU for the #2 spot in the WCC, behind Gonzaga. .

1) Cincinnati 78, Furman 73— Paladins might be pretty good in Southern Conference.

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:24 AM

849N DAKOTA -850 S DAKOTA
N DAKOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

849N DAKOTA -850 S DAKOTA
Paul Sather is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% (Coach of N DAKOTA)

851MERCER -852 VMI
VMI is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

853PORTLAND -854 OREGON ST
PORTLAND is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

855MISSOURI-KC -856 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

857UC-RIVERSIDE -858 N ARIZONA
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

859LONG BEACH ST -860 SAN FRANCISCO
LONG BEACH ST is 39-14 ATS (23.6 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games since 1997.

861N DAKOTA ST -862 S DAKOTA ST
S DAKOTA ST is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

863SAN DIEGO ST -864 ARIZONA ST
SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

1601NEW ORLEANS -1602 JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:26 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 10

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:30 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 10

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N DAKOTA (0 - 3) vs. S DAKOTA (0 - 3) - 12/10/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA is 4-1 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MERCER (5 - 0) at VMI (3 - 2) - 12/10/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MERCER is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MERCER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MERCER is 3-1 against the spread versus VMI over the last 3 seasons
MERCER is 3-1 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (3 - 1) at OREGON ST (2 - 2) - 12/10/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSOURI-KC (2 - 2) at MINNESOTA (5 - 0) - 12/10/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 1) at N ARIZONA (0 - 1) - 12/10/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
N ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (1 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 2) - 12/10/2020, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 108-143 ATS (-49.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 105-142 ATS (-51.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N DAKOTA ST (0 - 4) vs. S DAKOTA ST (3 - 2) - 12/10/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 119-80 ATS (+31.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 116-79 ATS (+29.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 80-52 ATS (+22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
S DAKOTA ST is 3-1 straight up against N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 0) at ARIZONA ST (3 - 1) - 12/10/2020, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (1 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 2) - 12/10/2020, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N FLORIDA (0 - 6) at E CAROLINA (4 - 0) - 12/10/2020, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N FLORIDA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N FLORIDA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N FLORIDA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N FLORIDA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
N FLORIDA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TROY (1 - 3) at N ALABAMA (2 - 0) - 12/10/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TROY is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N ALABAMA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus N ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against N ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSON ST (0 - 1) at OLE MISS (0 - 0) - 12/10/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTRGV (3 - 2) at TEXAS A&M CC (1 - 3) - 12/10/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M CC is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M CC is 3-2 against the spread versus UTRGV over the last 3 seasons
UTRGV is 3-2 straight up against TEXAS A&M CC over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GARDNER WEBB (0 - 0) at W KENTUCKY (3 - 2) - 12/10/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GARDNER WEBB is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:32 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 10

North Dakota @ South Dakota
North Dakota (0-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 15-18 team
— picked 4th in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #252 by KenPom
— UND is 0-3, including a 74-73 loss to D-I newcomer Dixie State.
— Fighting Hawks are turning ball over 23.7% of time.
— UND doesn’t play any seniors; they lost last game by only 9 at Minnesota.

South Dakota (0-3)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 2nd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #221 by KenPom
— Coyotes are 0-3, but all three foes are ranked in top 130
— South Dakota is 12-60 (20%) on arc so far.
— Coyotes haven’t played in nine days.

— South Dakota won four of last five series games, but lost to UND in Summit tourney LY.

Mercer @ VMI
Mercer (5-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 6th in SoCon by Blue Ribbon.
— ranked #144 by KenPom
— Mercer has three non-D-I wins; they also beat Ga Tech, Georgia State.
— Bears are shooting 45.1% on the arc (#9)
— Mercer starts two juniors, two seniors.

VMI (3-2)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 9-24 team
— picked 9th in SoCon by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #251 by KenPom
— Keydets’ losses are both to top 60 teams.
— VMI has turned ball over 23.7% of time.
— VMI’s only D-I win was by 13 over Longwood.

— Mercer beat VMI twice LY, by 11-3 points.

Portland @ Oregon State
Portland (3-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 9-22 team
— picked last in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #281 by KenPom
— Pilots split couple D-I games, beating Portland State by 13.
— Portland is experience team #55, starting 2 seniors, 3 juniors.
— This is Portland’s first road game.

Oregon State (2-2)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked last in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Beavers lost last two games by total of 7 points)
— Oregon State is shooting only 40.7% inside arc (#272)
— OSU is experience team #51, starting 3 seniors, 2 juniors.

UMKC @ Minnesota
UMKC (2-2)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
— picked 7th in Summit by KenPom
— ranked #283 by KenPom
— UMKC whipped two NAIA stiffs, then scored 62 ppg in two D-I losses.
— Kangaroos haven’t played for 11 days.
— UMKC is turning ball over 25.5% of time.

Minnesota (5-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 15-16 team
— picked 7th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Gophers played three guys 36:00+ in Tuesday’s OT win over BC.
— Minnesota beat North Dakota of Summit League by 9.
— Gophers are experience team #98, starting 4 juniors, 1 senior.

Cal-Riverside @ Northern Arizona
Cal-Riverside (2-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 3rd in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #166 by KenPom
— Riverside beat Washington, Denver; lost by 6 at Pacific.
— Highlanders are playing pace #321, very slow.
— Riverside is giving up 57 ppg thru three games.

Northern Arizona (0-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 10-10 team
— picked 9th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #313 by KenPom
— Lumberjacks lost opener 96-53 at Arizona Monday.
— NAU starts 4 juniors and a soph.
— Lumberjacks won 63-56 at Riverside last year.

Long Beach State @ San Francisco
Long Beach State (1-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 11-21 team
— picked 6th in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #238 by KenPom
— 49ers lost by 24 at LMU, beat Seattle by 5.
— Long Beach is playing #27 pace in country, very fast.
— 49ers start three juniors, two seniors.

San Francisco (4-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 22-12 team
— picked 3rd n WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Dons beat Virginia, lost to Mass-Lowell; go figure.
— USF is experience team #73; they start 2 juniors, 2 seniors.
— This is USF’s first home game.

North Dakota State @ South Dakota State
North Dakota State (0-4)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 25-8 team
— picked 3rd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #180 by KenPom
— Bison has played schedule #22; they lost by 4 at Kansas.
— Bison was outscored 7-0 over final 3:57 in Lawrence Saturday.
— ND State is shooting 37.3% inside arc, 27.8% on arc.

South Dakota State (3-2)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 22-10 team
— picked 1st in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Jackrabbits are 3-2 vs schedule #34, losing to West Va, Saint Mary’s.
— South Dakota State is making 45.9% of its 3’s (#7)
— Jackrabbits are #7 team in minutes continuity.

— South Dakota State won six of last seven series games.

San Diego State @ Arizona State
San Diego State (4-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 30-2 team
— picked 1st in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— San Diego State has quality wins, over UCLA/Pepperdine.
— Aztecs are forcing turnovers 27.8% of the time.
— This is the first road game for the Aztecs.

Arizona State (3-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
— picked 3rd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— ASU beat Rhode Island/Cal, lost by 9 to Villanova.
— Sun Devils are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#53)
— ASU hasn’t played in a week.

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:36 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 10

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Trend Report
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Purdue Calumet @ Ohio
Purdue Calumet
No trends to report
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Mercyhurst @ Buffalo
Mercyhurst
No trends to report
Buffalo
Buffalo is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games at home

North Florida @ East Carolina
North Florida
No trends to report
East Carolina
East Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Transylvania @ Morehead State
Transylvania
No trends to report
Morehead State
Morehead State is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

South Dakota @ North Dakota
South Dakota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Dakota's last 5 games when playing North Dakota
South Dakota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Dakota
North Dakota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Dakota's last 5 games when playing South Dakota
North Dakota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing South Dakota

Troy @ North Alabama
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 7 games on the road
Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
North Alabama
No trends to report

UNC Greensboro @ Coppin State
UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Coppin State
No trends to report

UTRGV @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
UTRGV
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UTRGV's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UTRGV's last 5 games when playing Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No trends to report

UMKC @ Minnesota
UMKC
No trends to report
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Portland @ Oregon State
Portland
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Portland is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Oregon State
Oregon State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Jackson State @ Mississippi
Jackson State
No trends to report
Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Mississippi's last 14 games at home
Mississippi is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

UC Riverside @ Northern Arizona
UC Riverside
UC Riverside is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
UC Riverside is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games at home
Northern Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Gardner-Webb @ Western Kentucky
Gardner-Webb
No trends to report
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games at home

Long Beach State @ San Francisco
Long Beach State
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Long Beach State's last 17 games on the road
Long Beach State is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

North Dakota State @ South Dakota State
North Dakota State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Dakota State's last 6 games when playing South Dakota State
North Dakota State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing South Dakota State
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing North Dakota State
South Dakota State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing North Dakota State

San Diego State @ Arizona State
San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 5 games at home
Arizona State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

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**tommofo4** · 12-13-2020, 11:21 AM

anythin for sundays games?

Some good spreads and overs today surely...

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/10

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/10

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