Announcement

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 09:19 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Interesting pointspreads for Week 14 games:
— New England @ LA Rams (-6)
— Green Bay (-7.5) @ Detroit
— Tennessee (-7.5) @ Jacksonville
— Dallas (-3.5) @ Cincinnati
— Arizona (-2.5) @ NJ Giants
— Houston (-2.5) @ Chicago

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 283,326
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Bills 34, San Francisco 24
— Buffalo won five of its last six games, covered last four.
— At one point, Bills scored on six consecutive possessions.
— Allen threw for 375 yards; why did the Vikings trade Shelton Diggs?
— 10 of their 12 games went over the total.

— 49ers lost four of their last five games.
— First two series of game: both teams were stopped on other team’s 1-yard line.
— 49ers in 2nd half: 5 drives- 2 TD’s, a FG, two INTs.
— 49ers allowed 20 or fewer points in their wins, 32 ppg in their losses.

12) Washington 23, Pittsburgh 17
— Washington won four of last six games, covered five of last seven.
— Washington outscored last five opponents 95-22in second half.
— Washington is 18-12-1 ATS in last 31 games as a road underdog.
— Washington/Giants are 5-7, tied atop NFC East.

— Steelers led this game 14-0 early, 14-3 at halftime.
— Pittsburgh is now 78-2-1 at Heinz Field, when they led by 14+ points.
— Roethlisberger threw for 305 yards; Steelers ran ball for only 21 yards.
— Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

11) Mack Brown is the football coach at North Carolina, a very good coach, but apparently he isn’t the smartest person in his family. Brown’s daughter Katherine Ryan won $22,801 on Jeopardy! Friday night and returned this week to defend her title.

Jeopardy! trivia: Apparently they give you some areas of knowledge that might appear on the show you’re going to be on, so you can study up in advance. Didn’t know that.

10) New Jersey Jets fired defensive coordinator Gregg Williams Monday morning, after the Jets got burned on a 46-yard TD pass with 0:05 left in a 31-28 loss to the Raiders. Receiver who caught the game-winning pass was single-covered, which is very unusual in that situation.

9) Kendall Hinton is a practice squad WR for the Broncos, but he had to play QB last week, when the NFL ruled all of Denver’s QB’s ineligible because of COVID protocols. Things did not go well for Hinton or the Broncos, but Hinton got a nice note a few days ago.

Tom Matte was a good running back for the Baltimore Colts from 1961-75, but in 1965, he had to play three games at QB for the Colts, after Johnny Unitas and Gary Cuozzo were both injured. Matte wrote Kendall Hinton a 2-page letter last week, which is pretty cool.

Back in 1965, Matte wore a writstband with the team’s plays on it; he is thought to be the first player to do that. His coach with the Colts was Don Shula, whose son Mike is now QB coach in Denver.

8) Iowa State is playing in the Big X title game; the Cyclones haven’t won a league title in football since 1912. 19-freakin’-12!!! How does some big $$$ school not hire Matt Campbell?

7) An NFL oddity:
— 2014 Carolina Panthers went 7-8-1, but made the playoffs- they beat Arizona 26-16, then lost 31-17 to the Seahawks.
— The next season, the 2015 Panthers went 15-1 and won NFC title; before losing Super Bowl to Denver. Before this year’s Steelers, they were the last NFL team to start a season 11-0.

6) Random obscure knowledge: I’m watching a college football game late Saturday night, and it turns out one of the players raises alpacas in his hometown. Alpacas look like llamas, but they are smaller than llamas; it turns out that alpacas have a three-chambered stomach, to enhance digestion. Just thought you’d like to know.

5) Montana Grizzlies are usually one of the best basketball teams in the Big Sky, but their season got off to a rocky start when they went to Southern Utah for two games and lost both of them, both by a single point (64-63/75-74).

Several conferences have scheduled like that this season, to reduce travel; a team goes to half the schools for 2-game series, and the other half of the teams come to their gym for 2-game series.

4) When 24-point underdog Rice won 20-0 at Marshall Saturday, it was the 3rd-biggest upset this season, and also the first time since 1982 that Marshall was shut out at home.

3) San Jose State’s football team is 5-0 this season, first time Spartans are 5-0 since 1939.

2) Unusual career change: Cubs TV guy Len Kasper, who worked for the Cubs for 16 years, quit his post to become the new radio voice of the crosstown White Sox.

Seems like an odd move, but apparently Kasper preferred to be a radio voice. Very curious who the Cubs name to take his place; I watch lot of Cubs games in the summer.

1) RIP to Dick Allen, the slugger for Phillies/White Sox who hit 351 home runs and was AL MVP in 1972. He made seven All-Star Games, but passed away this week at age 78.

Dick Allen played for the A’s in 1977, his last year in the majors; a 1960 graduate of Wampum HS in Pennsylvania, Allen wore uniform #60 that year, with WAMPUM where his name was supposed to be. Allen was an excellent hitter and a bit of a character. RIP sir.

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 09:24 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 8

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 09:26 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 8

Creighton @ Kansas
Creighton (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Creighton scored 85.3 ppg in its first three games.
— Bluejays are shooting 66.3% inside arc.
— Creighton starts 3 seniors, 2 juniors (#25 in minutes continuity)

Kansas (4-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 29-3 team
— picked 2nd in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Jayhawks beat Kentucky by 3, lost by 12 to Gonzaga.
— Kansas was down 3 with 3:57 left vs North Dakota State Saturday.
— Kansas is #230 in experience, has one senior who plays.

Purdue @ Miami
Purdue (3-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 16-15 team
— picked 11th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon.
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Purdue lost to Clemson by 11; best team they beat is #121 Liberty.
— Boilers made 43.6% of their 3’s in four games.
— Purdue plays three juniors, three frosh, a soph; they’re #280 in experience.

Miami (2-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 15-16 team
— picked 10th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Miami beat a couple stiffs, by 18-22 points.
— Hurricanes start three seniors; they’re #139 in experience.
— Miami was 12-26 in ACC last two years; supposed to be better this year.

Colorado @ Tennessee
Colorado (2-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Colorado beat South Dakota, K-State, hasn’t played in 11 days.
— Buffs already have one road win; they shot 62.5% inside arc vs K-State
— Colorado starts three seniors, two juniors; they’re #64 in experience.

Tennessee
— 4 starters back from LY’s 17-14 team
— picked 1st in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— This is Tennessee’s season debut.
— Vols had COVID issues; coach Barnes had it.
— Tennessee is supposed to be deeper, more experienced, play faster

Montana @ Georgia
Montana (0-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked 3rd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #161 by KenPom
— Griz lost by 14 at USC, lost twice at SUU by one point each.
— Montana is shooting 46.2% inside arc (#197), 63.8% on line (#215)
— Montana starts two frosh, two sophs (experience #253)

Georgia (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-17 team
— picked 5th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— Dawgs beat pair of stiffs by 10-33 points in first two D-I games.
— Georgia is shooting 60.8% inside so far.
— Georgia is #116 in experience, only #216 in minutes continuity.

Boston College @ Minnesota
Boston College (1-3)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 13-19 team
— picked 14th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— BC lost three of four so far; they’ve played schedule #16.
— Eagles lost by 9 to Villanova, 4 to St John’s, 20 to Florida.
— Opponents are shooting 59.4% inside arc vs BC (#272)

Minnesota (4-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 15-16 team
— picked 7th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Gophers allowed 68.8 ppg in winning first four games.
— Minnesota is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#40)
— schedule (#223) hasn’t been great so far.

North Carolina @ Iowa
North Carolina (3-1)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 11-21 team
— picked 8th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #131 by KenPom
— UNC won three of four games, losing by 2 to Texas in Maui Classic final.
— Tar Heels allowed 60.3 ppg in first four games.
— UNC is experience team #271 has turned ball over 22.1% of time.

Iowa (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 1st in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #130 by KenPom
— Iowa beat three stiffs, scoring 99.7 ppg.
— Hawkeyes are playing pace #40, have #19 eFG%.
— Iowa starts two juniors, two seniors; is Garza best player in country?

Ohio State @ Notre Dame
Ohio State (3-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
— picked 9th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #306 by KenPom
— Buckeyes beat up on three stiffs, by 27-10-33 points.
— Ohio St allowed 58.3 ppg so far; opponents are shooting 30.9% inside arc.
— OSU’s starts 2 juniors, 2 seniors, are playing pace #308.

Notre Dame (1-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 13th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Irish lost by 10 at Michigan State, beat Detroit by 8.
— Notre Dame is shooting 43.2% outside arc, 39.5% inside arc.
— Irish start four juniors and a senior; they played six guys vs Detroit.

Austin Peay @ Murray State
Austin Peay (3-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-12 team
— picked 3rd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Governors won two of first three D-I games (vs schedule #175)
— Austin Peay turned ball over 24.6% of time in those games.
— Governors rebounded 38% of their own missed shots (#20)

Murray State (2-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 23-9 team
— picked 2nd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #111 by KenPom
— Racers beat Illinois State by 11, lost to MTSU by 17.
— Murray turned ball over 24.2% of time so far.
— Racers start 3 juniors, 2 seniors; they’re #211 in experience.

— Murray State won 7 of last 8 series games.
— Racers beat Austin Peay by 12 in OVC tourney LY.

Penn State @ Virginia Tech
Penn State (2-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 12th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Lions blew 18-point lead in OT loss to Seton Hall Sunday.
— PSU beat VCU by 3; they’re forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#50)
— Lions start two juniors, two seniors (#40 in experience).

Virginia Tech (4-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
— picked 12th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Hokies won first four games, with an OT win over Villanova.
— Tech allowed only 62.5 ppg in four games so far.
— Hokies have played slow (#331) pace.

Illinois @ Duke
Illinois (3-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 3rd in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Illini won three of four games, losing by 13 to Baylor, its only top 100 game.
— Illinois is #2 in country on offensive boards, #6 on defensive end.
— Illini shot 45.1% on arc in its first four games.

Duke (2-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
— picked 2nd in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #6 by KenPom- they start 3 frosh, 2 sophs.
— Duke lost 75-69 at home to Michigan St last week.
— #286 experience team turned ball over 23.3% of time so far.
— Duke beat Coppin St by 10, Bellarmine by 22 for its wins.

Syracuse @ Rutgers
Syracuse (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 18-14 team
— picked 9th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Syracuse scored 82,3 ppg in three wins over stiffs.
— Orange is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#58).
— Syracuse is #247 experience team; their subs play minutes #257

Rutgers (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
— picked 6th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #32 by KenPom
— Rutgers allowed 64.7 ppg in its three wins, best of which is #160.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 55.1% on foul line, 29.3% on arc.
— Rutgers has #39 eFG% defense in country.

Cal-Irvine @ USC
Cal-Irvine (1-2)
— 1 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 2nd in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #149 by KenPom.
— Irvine allowed 81.5 ppg in losing first two D-I games, to Pepperdine, San Diego St
— Anteaters turned ball over 25.7% of time so far.
— UCI is #285 in experience; they start three sophs and a junior.

USC (3-1)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 22-9 team
— picked 8th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #50 by KenPom.
— USC is 3-1 this year, splitting pair at Mohegan Sun last week.
— Opponents are shooting 35.3% inside arc against the Trojans.
— USC won its two games vs teams outside top 100, by 8-14 points.

UTEP @ Saint Mary’s
UTEP (2-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 10th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #197 by KenPom
— UTEP beat couple NAIA teams by 19 points each.
— Miners scored 92 ppg in first two games; how good were the opponents?
— UTEP is 11-25 in C-USA the last two years.

Saint Mary’s (4-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 26-8 team
— picked 5th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #68 by KenPom
— Gaels lost by 17 to Memphis, beat South Dakota State by 13.
— St Mary’s is playing pace #354, very slow.
— Gaels’ senior PG is only senior who plays (experience #225)

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 09:30 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, December 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 10:19 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 8

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 10:20 AM

791PURDUE -792 MIAMI
PURDUE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

793CREIGHTON -794 KANSAS
CREIGHTON is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

795IDAHO ST -796 UTAH
UTAH is 74-49 ATS (20.1 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

797COLORADO -798 TENNESSEE
COLORADO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

799N KENTUCKY -800 DAYTON
N KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

799N KENTUCKY -800 DAYTON
Darrin Horn is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games (Coach of N KENTUCKY)

801BOSTON COLLEGE -802 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

805BALL ST -806 N ILLINOIS
N ILLINOIS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 85 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

807MONTANA -808 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 99-64 ATS (28.6 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds since 1997.

809RIDER -810 ST JOHNS
RIDER is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

Announcement

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment