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Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/5

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  • Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, December 5

    Good Luck on day #339 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Interesting college football spreads for today:
    — Oregon State @ Utah (-11.5)
    — Colorado (-7) @ Arizona
    — UCLA @ Arizona State (-3)
    — Stanford @ Washington (-11.5)
    — Fresno State @ Nevada (-6.5)
    — Texas A&M (-5.5) @ Auburn

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 276,513
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) Tough year for high school athletes trying to get college scholarships; how do you get recruited when no one can watch you play? Will there be tryout camps this spring/summer?

    Also tough for coaches who need to win to keep their jobs; hard to win without good players. We’ll see how this shakes out once things hopefully settle down some in the spring.

    12) When the SEC originally made their football schedule, they left December 12 blank; now there are six games slotted in that day, as teams postpone games because of COVID. The SEC title game is December 19, but now the league has four other games scheduled that day, too.

    11) Couple of friends and I were debating the best days of the year to have a birthday; I came up with these three days:
    — December 31— Lot of people throw parties, everyone stays up late for you and the next day is a day off.
    — January 1— You have the day off, and there are lot of football games on.
    — July 4— Good weather, and people shoot off fireworks to celebrate your big day.

    10) Over their last four games, Washington’s NFL team has outscored opponents 78-19 in the second half. Alex Smith has provided stability at quarterback.

    9) Marquette 67, Wisconsin 65:
    — Marquette tapped in a missed foul shot at the buzzer for the win.
    — 6-7 freshman Lewis scored 18 points off the bench for Marquette.

    8) Virginia 71, Kent State 64 OT:
    — Kent State hit a 3-pointer at buzzer to send the game to OT
    — Virginia outscored the Golden Flashes 22-5 on the foul line.

    7) Japanese pitching ace Tomoyuki Sugano will become a free agent soon; will be the fourth Asian player posted for bidding this offseason. Sugano has been the best starting pitcher in Japan’s NPB since Masahiro Tanaka left Japan seven years ago.

    6) Southern Mississippi hired Tulane’s offensive coordinator Will Hall as its new football coach.

    5) There have already been nine bowl games cancelled, including the Sun Bowl in El Paso, which had been played every year since 1935.

    4) Louisiana 24, Appalachian State 21:
    — Ragin’ Cajuns beat App State for first time in nine tries.
    — ASU missed a 30-yard FG on last play that would’ve tied game.

    3) Going to be lot of basketball on TV Christmas Day; NBA has five games on ESPN/ABC, while there are also four college games from the Big 14 that day.

    2) Baltimore Ravens put Robert Griffin III on IR Friday, leaving Trace McSorley as the only QB on their active roster; Lamar Jackson can come off the COVID list Sunday- Baltimore’s next game is Tuesday. Utah alum Tyler Huntley is on their practice squad, if Jackson isn’t activated.

    1) Felt terrible Friday reading about Timberwolves’ star Karl-Anthony Towns losing seven of his relatives to COVID-19, including his mother, who passed in March and an uncle, who died two days ago. Towns’ father also had COVID, but thankfully he recovered.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2020, 11:35 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      617CHICAGO ST -618 NORTHWESTERN
      NORTHWESTERN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

      619NC STATE -620 CONNECTICUT
      NC STATE is 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

      621GONZAGA -622 BAYLOR
      BAYLOR is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

      623E WASHINGTON -624 ARIZONA
      E WASHINGTON is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) as a dog over the last 2 seasons.

      625IDAHO -626 SACRAMENTO ST
      IDAHO is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

      627IL-CHICAGO -628 BALL ST
      BALL ST is 28-63 ATS (-41.3 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

      629MONTANA -630 SOUTHERN UTAH
      SOUTHERN UTAH is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) at home when the total is 135-139.5 since 1997.

      631SMU -632 DAYTON
      DAYTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

      635E ILLINOIS -636 WI-GREEN BAY
      WI-GREEN BAY is 120-82 ATS (29.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

      637NEBRASKA-OMAHA -638 SIU EDWARDSVL
      SIU EDWARDSVL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2020, 11:38 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, December 5


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2020, 11:39 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Saturday, December 5


          Gonzaga vs Baylor (@ Indianapolis)
          Gonzaga (3-0)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 31-2 team
          — picked 1st in country by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #1 by KenPom
          — Zags are 3-0 vs schedule #13, scoring 93 ppg.
          — Gonzaga has already beaten Kansas, Auburn, West Virginia.
          — Zags are shooting 65.3% inside the arc.

          Baylor (3-0)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 26-4 team
          — picked 1st in Big X by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #2 by KenPom
          — Baylor won first three games, by 30-34-13 points.
          — Bears have made 47.3% of their 3’s so far, only 56.2% of foul shots.
          — Baylor starts three seniors, two juniors.

          Idaho @ Sacramento State
          Idaho (0-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 8-24 team
          — picked last in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #341 by KenPom
          — Idaho lost its opener 77-55 here Thursday.
          — Vandals started four seniors, played 8 guys 14:00+.
          — Idaho led by 5 with 18:32 left in game.

          Sacramento State (2-0)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
          — picked 8th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #215 by KenPom
          — Hornets beat a stiff by 44, then beat Idaho by 22 Thursday.
          — Sac State shot 57.1% inside arc, were +14 on boards (38-24).
          — Hornets have five senior starters.

          Montana @ Southern Utah
          Montana (0-2)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
          — picked 3rd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #161 by KenPom
          — Montana lost 64-63 here Thursday, after leading by 11 early.
          — Bobcats scored 62-63 points in losing first two games.
          — Griz was outscored 26-9 on foul line in Thursday’s loss.

          Southern Utah (2-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
          — picked 7th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #184 by KenPom
          — SUU split two D-I games, decided by total of three points.
          — Thunderbirds were 26-40 on foul line Thursday, Montana 9-17.
          — SUU starts three seniors, two juniors.

          SMU @ Dayton
          SMU (3-0)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 19-11 team
          — picked 3rd in AAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #56 by KenPom
          — SMU beat up on three stiffs, by 30-37-27 points.
          — Mustangs start two seniors, three juniors; they’re stepping up in class here.
          — SMU has forced turnovers 22.6% of time so far.

          Dayton (1-0)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 29-2 team
          — picked 3rd in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #58 by KenPom
          — Dayton beat Eastern Illinois 66-63 in their opener Tuesday.
          — Flyers played four starters 34:00+ ,basically played seven guys.
          — Dayton starts four seniors and a junior.

          Washington State @ Colorado
          Washington State (3-0)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
          — picked 11th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #136 by KenPom
          — Wazzu won its first three games, by 4-3-4 points; this is their first road game.
          — Coogs rallied back from down 10 to nip Oregon St 59-55 Wednesday.
          — Wazzu starts two freshmen and a soph.

          Colorado (2-0)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
          — picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #49 by KenPom
          — Colorado scored 80 ppg in wins over South Dakota, K-State.
          — Buffs were down 13 early at K-State, but shot 62.5% inside arc.
          — Colorado starts three seniors, two juniors.

          — Teams split a pair LY; Coogs beat Colorado 82-68 in Pac-12 tourney.

          Iona @ Hofstra
          Iona (0-1)
          — 2 starter back from LY’s 12-17 team
          — picked 6th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #267 by KenPom
          — Iona has a new coach (Pitino), is #248 in minutes continuity.
          — Gaels were outscored 51-27 in 2nd half of their 86-64 loss at Seton Hall.
          — Iona turned ball over 22 times (-7) in Monday’s loss.

          Hofstra (1-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 26-8 team
          — picked 2nd in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #147 by KenPom
          — Pride lost by 14 at Rutgers, beat FDU by 15.
          — Hofstra has an interim coach this season.
          — Hofstra shot 6-27 on arc in both games; not good.

          North Dakota State @ Kansas
          North Dakota State (0-3)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 25-8 team
          — picked 3rd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #198 by KenPom
          — Bison scored 54.3 ppg in its 0-3 start, vs schedule #40.
          — ND State lost its first three games, by 14-22-11 points.
          — Bison are shooting 35.6% inside arc, 26.2% on arc.

          Kansas (3-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 28-3 team
          — picked 2nd in Big X by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #5 by KenPom
          — Jayhawks lost by 12 to Gonzaga, beat Kentucky by 3.
          — Kansas beat up on a stiff Thursday, after beating Kentucky Tuesday.
          — Jayhawks are #225 in experience, figure to improve as season goes along.

          South Carolina @ Houston
          South Carolina (1-1)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
          — picked 9th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #66 by KenPom
          — Carolina lost to Liberty by 16, beat Tulsa by 11.
          — Gamecocks are scoring 65.5 ppg, turning ball over 26.2% of time.
          — Carolina starts four juniors; they haven’t played since Sunday.

          Houston (3-0)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 23-8 team
          — picked 1st in AAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #10 by KenPom
          — Cougars allowed 52 ppg in their 3-0 start.
          — Houston beat Boise St by 10, Texas Tech by 11.
          — Cougars are forcing turnovers 25.4% of time.

          UNLV @ Kansas State
          UNLV (0-4)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
          — picked 3rd in MW by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #146 by KenPom
          — Rebels allowed 83 ppg in their 0-4 start.
          — UNLV is thin (#264 in bench minutes); over half their shots have been 3’s.
          — Rebels lost 60-56 in OT at home to K-State last year.

          Kansas State (1-2)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 11-21 team
          — picked last in Big X by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #139 by KenPom
          — K-State beat UMKC by 4 Monday, after losses to Drake, Colorado.
          — Wildcats are turning ball over 25.6% of time.
          — Opponents are shooting 57.9% inside arc vs K-State.

          BYU @ Utah State
          BYU (4-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 24-8 team
          — picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #90 by KenPom.
          — BYU split pair in Connecticut Tues/Wed.
          — Cougars are experience team #59; their subs play minutes #37.
          — BYU has turned ball over 22.9% of time; this is already their 6th game.

          Utah State (1-2)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 26-8 team
          — picked 2nd in MW by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #84 by KenPom.
          — Aggies haven’t played in 8 days, since their 1-2 stint in Sioux Falls.
          — Utah State allowed 79.7 ppg in those three games.
          — Opponents shot 44.3% on arc last week.

          — BYU won last eight series games; it was 68-64 on a neutral floor LY.

          Portland State @ Portland
          Portland State
          — 0 starters back from LY’s 18-14 team
          — picked 5th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #298 by KenPom
          — This is Portland State’s season opener.
          — Vikings lost their top 7 scorers from LY, have 9 newcomers.
          — Portland State wants to press, play fast.

          Portland (2-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 9-22 team
          — picked last in WCC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #296 by KenPom
          — Tech beat two stiffs by 10-5 points, after losing 84-72 to Seattle.
          — Pilots turned ball over 26.5% of time so far.
          — Portland starts three juniors, two seniors

          — Vikings beat Portland three of last four years.

          Illinois State @ Murray State
          Illinois State (2-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 10-21 team
          — picked 8th in MVC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #232 by KenPom
          — Redbirds beat Mass-Lowell by 10, after losing by 27 to Ohio State.
          — Illinois State is #275 in experience; they start a freshman, three sophs.
          — ISU beat up on a stiff team Wednesday, making 62-67 from floor— they scored 177 freakin’ points!!! Not sure how that helps them here.

          Murray State (1-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 23-9 team
          — picked 2nd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #111 by KenPom
          — Murray lost its only D-I game, by 17 at Middle Tennessee.
          — Racers start three juniors, two sophs; they were 3-16 on arc vs MTSU.
          — Murray played that same stiff team, scored 173 points, making 72-92 from floor.

          Furman @ Charleston
          Furman (3-0)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 25-7 team
          — picked 1st in SoCon by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #71 by KenPom
          — Furman won 91-63 over SC Upstate, its only D-I game.
          — Paladins have pounded on two NAIA stiffs, scoring 95-89 points.
          — Furman starts three juniors, three seniors.

          Charleston (1-1)
          — 1 starter back from LY’s 17-14 team
          — picked 3rd in CAA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #175 by KenPom
          — Charleston lost 79-60 at North Carolina., its only D-I game.
          — Cougars beat up on a stiff by 40 last Saturday.
          — Charleston starts four seniors and a junior, are #19 in experience.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2020, 11:40 AM.

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          • #6
            NCAAB

            Saturday, December 5


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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2020, 11:42 AM.

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            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Saturday, December 5


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