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Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/4

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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, December 4

    Good Luck on day #338 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    NBA regular season win totals:
    42.5— Dallas Mavericks
    41.5— Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz
    40.5— Portland Trailblazers
    39.5— Indiana Pacers
    38.5— Phoenix Suns
    36.5— Atlanta, Golden State, Milwaukee

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 275,201
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's Den: Random stuff with the weekend here

    13) If the entire NCAA basketball tournament is going to be in the Indianapolis area in March, CBS should hire Maris Valainis to do the lead-in to the show when they release the brackets on Selection Sunday.

    Maris Valainis played Jimmy Chitwood in Hoosiers; would be fitting for a tournament being held in Indiana for one of Hickory High’s stars to play a role in introducing the 68-team field.

    12) Dick Vitale is 81 years old now; over the last 25-27 years, he has helped raise over $100M to fund cancer research, thru the V Foundation, which came to be after Jim Valvano’s death from cancer in 1993.

    Coach Vitale has amazing energy, especially for an octogenarian; he deserves a ton of credit for working so hard to save people’s lives. Thank you, coach.

    11) Liberty-Coastal Carolina were supposed to play football on ESPN this weekend; ESPN is having College Gameday in Conway, SC, on the Coastal campus, but then Liberty had COVID issues, and the game was scratched. Not good.

    ESPN got to work and BYU was quickly signed up to come to Conway for a 5:30 game on ESPNU Saturday. Two undefeated teams going at it; will the winner get invited to the college playoff?

    10) NBA will increase active rosters from 12 to 15 players, because of COVID.

    9) UConn 61, USC 58:
    — Trojans were 3-19 on arc, had only one guy score double figures.
    — Bouknight scored 18 for UConn; Huskies were +11 on the boards.
    — Last 10:00 of this game, teams combined to score only 11 points.

    8) Florida 90, Boston College 70:
    — Gators struggled with Army Wednesday, but they hammered the Eagles here, shooting 62.2% inside the arc.
    — One of the big variables this season is how much these teams have/have not practiced; unlike a normal season, teams are going to progress at different rates.

    7) This past offseason, two great college basketball coaches passed away, Lute Olson and John Thompson, two guys who both won a hell of a lot of games. Here are their resumes:

    John Thompson (596-239)
    — All 27 years as a head coach were at Georgetown.
    Made it to three Final Fours, won 1984 national title.

    Lute Olson (776-285):
    — 24-2 at Long Beach State
    — 165-93 at Iowa
    — 587-190 at Arizona.
    Made it to four Final Fours, won 1997 national title.

    Two guys who were regulars on TV in the 80’s/90’s. Big loss for the sport.

    6) Big week for the Lakers’ accountants:
    — Lebron James singed a 2-year, $85M extension
    — Anthony Davis signed a 5-year, $190M extension.

    5) Houston Rockets dropped from 40-1 to 30-1 to win the NBA title, after they traded Russell Westbrook to the Wizards.

    4) Utah 76, Washington 62:
    — Huskies are off to a dreadful 0-3 start, scoring 52 ppg, making 14-74 on the arc.

    3) Arizona State 70, California 62
    — Sun Devils improve to 3-1 by beating their conference rival.
    — Bears have now already lost to both ASU, Oregon State

    2) This football season, St Louis Cardinals’ pitcher Adam Wainwright formed a “Players Only” fantasy league that benefits not only his own foundation but 31 other charities; Each participant, 32 major leaguers, played for the charity of his choice.

    League is down to its Final Four:
    Wainwright vs Sonny Gray and Matt Holliday vs Nick Ahmed.

    Winner of the league gets $50,000 for their charity. Good for them.

    1) More people died each of the last two days than died on September 11, 2001; we need to be careful for the next few months, until there is a vaccine in place. It is truly a matter of life and death; wearing a mask isn’t so bad (I actually look better in a mask). Please wear a mask.

    Comment


    • #3
      791UNC-GREENSBORO -792 LOUISVILLE
      UNC-GREENSBORO is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% since 1997.

      793ST PETERS -794 MARYLAND
      ST PETERS are 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) as a dog over the last 2 seasons.

      795TX-ARLINGTON -796 TULSA
      TX-ARLINGTON is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) vs. losing teams in the last 3 seasons.

      797DETROIT -798 MICHIGAN ST
      DETROIT is 65-90 ATS (-34 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.

      801KENT ST -802 VIRGINIA
      KENT ST is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) in road games after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less since 1997.

      803TOLEDO -804 E MICHIGAN
      E MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

      805WISCONSIN -806 MARQUETTE
      WISCONSIN is 19-8 ATS (10.2 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

      807VALPARAISO -808 PURDUE
      PURDUE is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

      809JACKSONVILLE ST -810 FLA INTERNATIONAL
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 43-20 ATS (21 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games since 1997.

      815LONG BEACH ST -816 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT
      LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2020, 12:58 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Friday, December 4


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2020, 01:00 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Friday, December 4


          Detroit @ Michigan State
          Detroit
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 11-23 team
          — picked 11th in Horizon by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #219 by KenPom
          — This is Detroit’s season opener.
          — Titans added three grad transfers, should be deeper.

          Michigan State (3-0)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 22-9 team
          — picked 4th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #10 by KenPom
          — Spartans won at Duke Tuesday, playing nine guys 10:00+.
          — State has #22 eFG% defense, without forcing lot of turnovers.
          — MSU starts three three juniors and a senior.

          Tex-Arlington @ Tulsa
          Tex-Arlington (1-3)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
          — picked 8th in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #157 by KenPom
          — UTA lost three of four games, losing by 7-5-12 points.
          — Mavericks are shooting only 43% inside arc, 63.8% on foul line.
          — UTA played only two guys more than 18:00 in Wednesday’s loss at Arkansas.

          Tulsa (0-2)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
          — picked 4th in AAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #96 by KenPom
          — Tulsa went 0-2 on trip to KC, scoring 61.5 ppg.
          — Golden Hurricane shot 22.9% on arc, turned ball over 25.8% of time in first two games.
          — Tulsa starts three seniors and a junior.

          Kent State @ Virginia
          Kent State (1-0)
          — 1 starter back from LY’s 20-12 team
          — picked 6th in MAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #174 by KenPom
          — Kent beat a stiff by 49 in its opener.
          — Kent started three seniors, one junior in its opener.
          — Last six years, Golden Flashes are 61-47 in MAC games.

          Virginia (2-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 23-7 team
          — picked 1st in ACC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #14 by KenPom
          — Virginia beat Towson by 35, St Francis by 25, but lost to San Francisco.
          — Cavaliers are playing slowest tempo in country right now.
          — No one played more than 23:00 in Tuesday’s 76-51 win over St Francis.

          Georgia State @ Charlotte
          Georgia State (2-1)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 19-13 team
          — picked 2nd in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #115 by KenPom
          — Panthers upset Ga Tech in four OT’s, but also lost by 17 at Mercer.
          — State starts two juniors, two seniors.
          — Panthers beat Charlotte 81-78 at home in OT last season

          Charlotte (0-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-13 team
          — picked 5th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #185 by KenPom
          — 49ers lost their opener 66-57 at East Carolina, after leading by 10 early.
          — Charlotte starts three seniors, two sophs.
          — Last year was first time in 10 years Charlotte had winning record in league play.

          Wisconsin @ Marquette
          Wisconsin (3-0)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
          — picked 1st in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #7 by KenPom
          — Badgers gave up 55.7 ppg in beating on three stiffs, by 10-34-40.
          — First three opponents shot 33.3% inside the arc.
          — Wisconsin starts five seniors, is playing pace #346.

          Marquette (2-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 18-12 team
          — picked 7th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #34 by KenPom
          — Marquette beat two stiffs by 42-25, then lost at home to Oklahoma State.
          — Golden Eagles turned ball over 23.5% of time so far.
          — Marquette is playing pace #43; contrast of styles here.

          — Marquette beat the Badgers two of last three years.

          Valparaiso @ Purdue
          Valparaiso (0-2)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 19-16 team
          — picked 9th in MVC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #167 by KenPom
          — Valpo lost by 6 at Vandy, by 16 at Ill-Chicago.
          — Crusaders are shooting 24.5% on arc, 54.2% on foul line.
          — Valpo starts a freshman, two sophs.

          Purdue
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 16-15 team
          — picked 11th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #25 by KenPom
          — Purdue won 2 of 3 games, losing by 11 to Clemson in Florida.
          — Boilers have turned ball over 24.3% of time, while playing pace #268
          — Purdue starts three juniors, no seniors- their top four subs are freshmen.

          Jacksonville State @ FIU
          Jacksonville State (3-1)
          — 1 starter back from LY’s 13-19 team
          — picked 6th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #268 by KenPom
          — Gamecocks lost by 24 at Alabama, then beat FAU, South Alabama.
          — JSU is turning ball over 25.6% of time.
          — These are playing here again on Sunday.

          FIU (3-0)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 19-13 team
          — picked 12th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #175 by KenPom
          — Panthers beat Central Michigan by 20 in only D-I game.
          — FIU starts two juniors, two seniors.

          Toledo @ Eastern Michigan
          Toledo (2-2)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
          — picked 4th in MAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #113 by KenPom
          — Toledo split first four games, with losses by total of 5 points.
          — Rockets are shooting 42.5% on arc, 35.3% inside arc. Go figure.
          — Toledo starts two juniors, two seniors.

          Eastern Michigan (0-1)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
          — picked 10th in MAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #158 by KenPom
          — EMU lost by 16 at Michigan St in its one game, 9 days ago.
          — Eagles played only seven guys against MSU.
          — EMU starts two juniors, two seniors.

          — Teams split last 10 meetings; home side won last four.
          — Toledo lost last three visits to Ypsilanti, by 6-7-4 points.

          South Dakota State @ Bradley
          South Dakota State (2-2)
          — 5 starters back from LY’s 22-10 team
          — picked 1st in Summit by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #80 by KenPom
          — Jackrabbits open 2-2 against schedule #29; they beat Iowa State Wednesday.
          — South Dakota State is shooting 39.2% on arc thru four games.
          — Jackrabbits played four starters 32:00+ in Wednesday’s upset win.

          Bradley (3-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 23-11 team
          — picked 3rd in MVC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #116 by KenPom
          — Bradley’s only loss was by a point, at Xavier.
          — Braves are shooting 44.2% inside arc, 55.2% on foul line.
          — Opponents are shooting only 30.8% inside arc.

          North Texas @ Mississippi State
          North Texas (1-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
          — picked 2nd in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #108 by KenPom.
          — UNT pounded on a stiff, then lost by 15 at Arkansas.
          — Mean Green made 21-33 on arc in first game, 2-13 in second.
          — UNT starts four seniors and a junior.

          Mississippi State (1-2)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
          — picked 10th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #83 by KenPom.
          — Bulldogs lost a pair in Florida, beat Texas State by 17 at home.
          — MSU turned ball over 24.8% of time in first three games, shot 55.2% on line.
          — State starts two freshmen, two sophs.

          Troy @ Texas Tech
          Troy (1-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 9-22 team
          — picked last in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #293 by KenPom
          — Troy beat Western Carolina by hoop, lost by 23 to UNCW last weekend.
          — Trojans shot only 33.8% inside arc in those games.
          — Troy started two juniors, two seniors.

          Texas Tech (2-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
          — picked 3rd in Big X by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #9 by KenPom
          — Tech beat two stiffs by 43-32, then lost by 11 to Houston.
          — Other than McClung, Tech was 3-10 on foul line vs Houston.
          — As I type this, Tech has #11 eFG% defense in country.

          Oregon vs Seton Hall (@ Omaha)
          Oregon (0-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
          — picked 1st in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #27 by KenPom
          — Oregon lost its opener by 8 to Missouri Wednesday.
          — Three Ducks played 34:00+ in Wednesday’s game.
          — Ducks start three seniors and a junior, but they’ve got several transfers, so it takes some time to develop chemistry.

          Seton Hall (1-2)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
          — picked 3rd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #57 by KenPom
          — Pirates lost two of first three games, losing by 13 to URI Wednesday.
          — Seton Hall’s only win was by 22 over rebuilding Iona.
          — Pirates start three seniors, two juniors.

          South Alabama @ Auburn
          South Alabama (3-1)
          — 1 starter back from LY’s 20-11 team
          — picked 6th in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #212 by KenPom
          — USA split two D-I games, beating FAU by 2, losing by 4 to Jacksonville State.
          — Jaguars are shooting 46.9% on the arc.
          — USA already played two games against non-D-I teams.

          Auburn (1-2)
          — 0 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
          — picked 7th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #75 by KenPom
          — Auburn scored 61 ppg in losing last two games, to Gonzaga/UCF
          — Tigers’ only win was in OT over St Joe’s.
          — Auburn is shooting 26.7% on arc, turning ball over 24.1% of time.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2020, 01:00 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Friday, December 4


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            Trend Report
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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2020, 01:02 PM.

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            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Friday, December 4


              Last edited by Udog; 12-04-2020, 11:47 AM.

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