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Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/3

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  • Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 3

    Good Luck on day #337 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Odds to win the golf tournament in Mexico this week:
    +725— Justin Thomas
    +1900— Brooks Koepka, Harris English
    +1950— Russell Henley
    +2000— Abraham Ancer, Daniel Berger, Viktor Hovland
    +2900— Tony Finau, Corey Conners
    +3200— Brendan Todd

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 271,247
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) Pittsburgh 19, Ravens 14
    — Ravens had ball on 1-yard line at end of first half, but didn’t score.
    — RGIII threw a pick-6 for first score of the game in first quarter.
    — Baltimore lost four of last five games, after a 5-1 start.
    — Ravens are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

    — Steelers won first 11 games (8-3 ATS), scoring 27.9 ppg.
    — Pittsburgh scored only 13 points on four red zone drives.
    — Only 2nd time in 12 years Steelers swept season series from Baltimore.
    — Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

    12) Last NFL team to start a season 11-0? The 2015 Carolina Panthers.

    11) NFL teams with worst records in games decided by 6 or fewer points:
    0-5-1: Cincinnati
    0-3: Atlanta, Washington
    0-2: Jets
    1-5: Baltimore

    10) NFL teams with best records in games decided by 6 or fewer points:
    5-0: Cleveland, Pittsburgh
    4-0: Kansas City, New Orleans
    5-1: Tennessee
    3-1: Buffalo, Seattle

    Browns-Titans play Sunday; two team that have won lot of close games.

    9) Texas 69, North Carolina 67:
    — Longhorns win the Maui Classic
    — UNC took 32 foul shots, Texas 14; Bill Walton wasn’t happy about that.
    — Texas was 9-22 on the arc, Carolina 1-9.

    8) Speaking of Walton, I say every year how I learn things from listening to him, but the things I learn usually aren’t basketball-related.
    — Maui Classic was held in Asheville, NC; veteran umpire Joe West was born in Asheville.
    — Davidson had the first college of forestry in this country.

    7) Robert Griffin III was the 2nd pick in the 2012 NFL Draft, taken with a pick acquired from the Rams, who parlayed the draft picks they got from Washington into other picks, until they had essentially added eight players from trading that pick.

    Griffin went 14-21 in three years as a starter for Washington- they made the playoffs his rookie year, but it was all downhill from there. When you trade four draft picks to take a QB, he damn well better be really good.

    As for the Rams and the eight players they added, well, there’s a reason they sucked from 2013-16; except for Michael Brockers, those picks didn’t pan out. Janoris Jankins, Alec Ogletree were contributors, but the others didn’t do so well.

    6) People on MLB Network were debating Hall of Fame possibilities this week, and Todd Helton’s name came up. Helton played his whole career for the Rockies, so the question of how playing at Coors Field helped him. Here are some facts:

    Career at home: 4,841 PA, 874 runs scored, 859 RBI, 1.048 OPS
    Career on road: 4,612 PA, 527 runs scored, 547 RBI, .855 OPS

    His .386 career on-base %age on the road is still impressive, but he may have a hard time getting those lesser power numbers on the road into Cooperstown.

    5) Kyle Schwarber (Cubs), Hansel Alberto (Orioles) were two of the more prominent players who were non-tendered Wednesday, which makes them free agents.

    4) Gonzaga 87, West Virginia 82:
    — Mountaineers led 39-34 at halftime
    — Gonzaga shot 56.6% inside arc.
    — Teams combined to make 9-33 on the arc; a brickfest.

    High-level game, two NCAA-level teams.

    3) Houston Rockets traded Russell Westbrook to the Washington Wizards for John Wall and a lottery-protected 1st-round pick. Westbrook is reunited with coach Scott Brooks, who was also one of his coaches in Oklahoma City.

    2) NBA season will start December 22, with two games:
    Warriors-Nets and Clippers-Lakers.

    The next night, Bucks-Celtics, Mavericks-Suns will have the spotlight.

    1) Baylor 82, Illinois 69— Flagler scored 18 off the bench for a Baylor team whose head coach is back in Waco, with COVID. This game easily could’ve passed for a Final Four game; Baylor plays Gonzaga next, which should be a very good matchup.

    Comment


    • #3
      741CHICAGO ST -742 E ILLINOIS
      CHICAGO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

      743WASHINGTON -744 UTAH
      WASHINGTON is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

      745TENNESSEE TECH -746 N KENTUCKY
      Darrin Horn is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 (Coach of N KENTUCKY)

      745TENNESSEE TECH -746 N KENTUCKY
      N KENTUCKY is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

      747MARSHALL -748 WRIGHT ST
      WRIGHT ST is 18-8 ATS (9.2 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

      751CONNECTICUT -752 USC
      USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

      753NIAGARA -754 SYRACUSE
      SYRACUSE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the last 3 seasons.

      755LA-MONROE -756 LOUISIANA TECH
      LOUISIANA TECH is 17-7 ATS (9.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.

      757VMI -758 VIRGINIA TECH
      Mike Young is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game (Coach of VIRGINIA TECH)

      757VMI -758 VIRGINIA TECH
      VIRGINIA TECH is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2020, 04:01 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, December 3


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2020, 04:02 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Thursday, December 3


          Washington vs Utah
          Washington (0-2)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 15-17 team
          — picked 10th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #99 by KenPom
          — Huskies scored only 47 ppg in losing first two games.
          — Washington made 8 of its first 44 shots on the arc.
          — Losing by 15 at home to Cal-Riverside is a major red flag.

          Utah
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 16-15 team
          — picked 5th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #56 by KenPom
          — This is Utah’s season opener.
          — Utes have 8 of their top 9 guys back from last year.

          — Utah won seven of its last nine games with Washington.
          — Huskies lost six of last seven visits to Salt Lake City.

          Marshall vs Wright State
          Marshall (1-0)
          — 5 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
          — picked 4th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #94 by KenPom
          — Marshall won its opener 70-56 over Arkansas State.
          — Thundering Herd shot 58.5% inside arc, 5-25 on arc.
          — Marshall’s opener was 77 possessions, a very fast pace.

          Wright State
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 25-7 team
          — picked 1st in Horizon by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #113 by KenPom
          — This is Wright State’s season opener.
          — Raiders won 111 games the last five years.

          UConn vs USC
          UConn (2-0)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
          — picked 4th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #53 by KenPom
          — UConn beat a couple stiffs, by 27-12 points.
          — Huskies rebounded 48.6% of their own missed shots so far.
          — UConn is moving up in class with this opponent.

          USC (3-0)
          — 1 starter back from LY’s 22-9 team
          — picked 8th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #45 by KenPom
          — USC won its first three games, beating BYU by 26.
          — Opponents are shooting only 36% inside arc against the Trojans
          — USC starts a freshman, two sophs.

          Niagara @ Syracuse
          Niagara
          — 5 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team
          — picked 4th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #248 by KenPom
          — This is Niagara’s season opener.
          — Purple Eagles lost 71-57 here last year.
          — Niagara coach Paulus played hoop at Duke, but played QB at Syracuse after that.

          Syracuse (1-0)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 18-14 team
          — picked 9th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #47 by KenPom
          — beat Bryant 85-84 in their opener; they were down 7 at half.
          — Syracuse played five guys 33:00+; not a lot of depth.
          — Last six years, Syracuse is 56-56 in ACC games.

          UL-Monroe @ Louisiana Tech
          UL-Monroe
          — 1 starter back from LY’s 9-20 team
          — picked 11th in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #262 by KenPom
          — This is ULM’s season opener.
          — Had 3 guys transfer out, have several good JC players now.

          Louisiana Tech (2-0)
          — 1 starter back from LY’s 22-8 team
          — picked 9th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #109 by KenPom
          — Tech scored 83.5 ppg in wins over Tex-Arlington, Northwestern State.
          — Bulldogs made 20 of their first 46 3-point shots.
          — Tech was 22-8, tied for 2nd in C-USA last year.

          Western Illinois @ Iowa
          Western Illinois
          — 0 starters back from LY’s 5-21 team
          — picked last in Summit by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #345 by KenPom
          — This is Western Illinois’ season opener.
          — Leathernecks’ new coach is Rob Jeter, who used to coach Milwaukee.
          — WIU brought in five JC kids, three freshmen.

          Iowa (2-0)
          — 5 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
          — picked and in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #12 by KenPom
          — Scored 100 ppg in beating couple stiffs, by 30-27 points.
          — Hawkeyes made 40.7% of their 3’s so far.
          — Iowa’s next game is against North Carolina Tuesday.

          Omaha @ Drake
          Omaha (1-3)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
          — picked 5th in Summit by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #204 by KenPom
          — Mavericks turned ball over 23.1% of time so far.
          — Mavericks are shooting only 45.6% inside arc, 24.1% on arc.
          — Omaha played nine guys 10:00+ in Tuesday’s 94-67 loss at Creighton.

          Drake (2-0)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 20-14 team
          — picked 7th in MVC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #134 by KenPom
          — Upset K-State in Manhattan, beat South Dakota by 16.
          — Bulldogs start two seniors, three juniors.
          — Drake is 46-24 SU the last 2+ seasons.

          Tex-San Antonio @ Oklahoma
          Tex-San Antonio (1-1)
          — 4 starters back from LY’s 13-19 team
          — picked 7th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #164 by KenPom
          — UTSA beat up on a stiff, then lost to Rio Grande Valley by 17.
          — Roadrunners lost 84-67 at Oklahoma last year.
          — 8 of their 13 scholarship players are in their 4th year of college.

          Oklahoma
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
          — picked 6th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #32 by KenPom
          — This is Oklahoma’s season opener.
          — Shot 31.8% on arc LY, still went 19-12.
          — Sooners are expected to be better this year.

          Idaho @ Sacramento State
          Idaho
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 8-24 team
          — picked last in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #338 by KenPom
          — This is Idaho’s season opener.
          — Idaho has three seniors, who all started 15+ games last year.
          — Vandals brought in three recruits, but they never saw any of them play in person before they were signed.

          Sacramento State (1-0)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
          — picked 8th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #235 by KenPom
          — Hornets beat an NAIA stiff by 44 in their opener.
          — Sacramento was 5th in country in scoring defense (59.7 ppg) LY.
          — May trap/press more than in past.

          — Teams split last four series games.
          — Teams split last four series games played here.
          — Teams will meet again here on Saturday.

          Montana @ Southern Utah
          Montana (0-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
          — picked 3rd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #162 by KenPom.
          — Fell behind 32-8, lost their opener 76-62 at USC.
          — Grizzlies have lot of sophomores, several transfers.
          — Last three years, Montana is 46-16 in Big Sky games.

          Southern Utah (1-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
          — picked 7th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #187 by KenPom.
          — Thunderbirds lost at buzzer at LMU, then beat a stiff by 48.
          — SUU starts three seniors, two juniors.
          — Thunderbirds were 11-25 on arc, led by 12 in the 85-83 loss at LMU.

          — Montana is 13-1 vs Southern Utah in Big Sky play, but Thunderbirds beat the Griz in Missoula last year.
          — Montana won its last seven visits here, five by 10+ points.
          — Teams will meet again here on Saturday.

          Florida vs Boston College (@ Mohegan Sun)
          Florida (1-0)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
          — picked 5th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #110 by KenPom
          — Florida beat Army 76-69 in their opener yesterday; they were down 8 at half.
          — Gators outscored Army 24-11 on foul line; no one played 30:00.
          — Florida started three juniors, two sophs.

          Boston College (1-2)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 13-19 team
          — picked 14th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #80 by KenPom
          — BC lost by 9 to Villanova, 4 to St John’s; beat URI by 5.
          — Eagles shot 59.6% inside arc so far; their last game was Monday.
          — BC shot 65.6% inside arc vs St John’s, but had 19 turnovers.

          Arizona State @ California
          Arizona State (2-1)
          — 2 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
          — picked 3rd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #28 by KenPom
          — Arizona St beat URI by 6, lost to Villanova by 9 at Mohegan Sun LW.
          — ASU scored 89.3 ppg in its first three games.
          — Sun Devils have played a very fast pace (#12) so far this season.

          California (2-1)
          — 3 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
          — picked 9th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
          — ranked #123 by KenPom
          — Cal lost by 8 at Oregon State, then beat Nicholls State by 11.
          — Golden Bears have turned ball over 23.3% of time so far, while playing pace #313.
          — Cal starts three seniors and a junior.

          — Arizona State won last five series games.
          — Sun Devils won last two visits to Berkeley, by 8-14 points.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2020, 04:03 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Thursday, December 3


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            Trend Report
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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2020, 04:04 PM.

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            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Thursday, December 3


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