Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/2

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, December 2

Good Luck on day #336 of 2020!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Week 13 NFL spreads:
— Cleveland @ Tennessee (-5.5)
— NJ Giants @ Seattle (-10)
— LA Rams (-3) @ Arizona
— Philadelphia @ Green Bay (-9.5)
— New England @ LA Chargers (even)
— Denver @ Kansas City (-14)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 270,369
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…

13) Trevor Ariza has played for nine teams in his 16-year NBA career; he’s scored 11,215 points, banked over $103M in salary, but it had to be strange when he was traded twice Nov 24-27.

Rockets traded him to Detroit November 24, but his career as a Piston lasted around 72 hours- they dealt him to Oklahoma City. Its good to be wanted, if you look on the bright side.

Ariza has been involved in ten different NBA trades, more than any player ever; he’s been around so long, he was traded with Penny Hardaway in 2006— Hardaway is in his third year as a college head coach— he was a high school coach before that!!!

Bottom line is this: be a good teammate, shoot the ball well, be a good defender and you can last a long time/make serious money in the NBA, even if you’re not one of the biggest stars.

12) NBA training camps started Tuesday; the league’s health/safety protocol handbook is 139 pages long- they take this stuff very seriously.

11) Texas 66, Indiana 44– Longhorns held Indiana to 23.9% from the floor, advance to face North Carolina in the finals of the Maui Classic. Texas outrebounded the Hoosiers, 48-29.

10) North Carolina 67, Stanford 63— Cardinal led by 8 late in first half, but UNC had all five starters score in double figures, winning in their home state. Teams combined to made 9-32 on the arc; playing on consecutive days early in season can result in brickfests. Tar Heels controlled the boards 43-23, which is important in a brickfest.

9) Michigan State 75, Duke 69— Spartans were down 13-3 early, but they pulled ahead by the half, and then hung on at the end for a solid road win. Julius Marble scored 12 points in 12:00 off the bench, making all five of his shots from the floor.

8) Kansas 65, Kentucky 62:
— Kentucky was up 28-15 early, but couldn’t maintain it.
— Kentucky is 0-2 this season, shooting 3-31 on arc.
— Teams combined to go 8-42 behind the arc.
— Two proud programs who both might be little down this year.

7) Providence 63, Davidson 62: With 1:20 left in this game, Providence up 2, kid goes to line for Davidson for two shots, and play-by-play guy points out that he hasn’t missed a foul shot yet this year. No bueno.

Analyst Cory Alexander calls him out for saying that, without saying the word “jinx” but you could tell he was thinking it. Kid made first shot, missed the second. Davidson missed a driving layup with 0:03 left, lost by a point.

This season, Davidson has players from six different countries; in his career with the Wildcats, Bob McKillop has coached players from 24 different countries.

6) Navy 78, Georgetown 71— Patrick Ewing is in his 4th year as Georgetown’s coach; his Hoyas are 19-35 in Big East games the last three years. Losing to a service academy team here doesn’t help; losing Mac MacClung as a transfer to Texas Tech was a disaster.

5) Buffalo Bills are having a great season, but three weeks ago, they lost 32-30 in Arizona, on a Hail Mary TD on the last play of the game. Now, because of COVID rules in northern California, Bills will find themselves back in the desert Monday night to play the 49ers, who are sharing the Cardinals’ facilities for the next few weeks. What a weird year this is.

4) It is important to keep your nose pointed in a positive direction; Most baseball fans know that Don Larsen pitched a perfect game in the 1956 World Series, but that was only two years after he went 3-21 pitching for the Orioles. Talk about going from the outhouse to the penthouse; its a long way from 3-21 to winning a World Series game, much less tossing a perfect game.

3) Shaquille O’Neal tried 22 3-point shots in his Hall of Fame career but made only one of them, which came in the 4th year of his 19-year career; apparently he also made two treys in exhibition games. In 216 career playoff games, Shaq never tried a 3-pointer.

2) Denver Broncos signed QB Kyle Shurmur, son of Denver OC Pat Shurmur; Kyle Shrmur played QB at Vanderbilt, was on the Chiefs’ practice squad previously. He gives Denver insurance in case COVID ravages their QB room again this season.

1) Current odds to win the NFC East:
+180— Giants
+225— Washington
+300— Eagles
+475— Cowboys

[Udog]

651DUQUESNE -652 UNC-GREENSBORO
DUQUESNE is 39-23 ATS (13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.

659MOREHEAD ST -660 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

661MONTANA ST -662 PACIFIC
MONTANA ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

661MONTANA ST -662 PACIFIC
Danny Sprinkle is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after playing a game as a road underdog (Coach of MONTANA ST)

663VA COMMONWEALTH -664 PENN ST
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

667SIU EDWARDSVL -668 N ILLINOIS
SIU EDWARDSVL is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

669TENNESSEE TECH -670 XAVIER
XAVIER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

671ORAL ROBERTS -672 WICHITA ST
WICHITA ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 since 1997.

673SETON HALL -674 RHODE ISLAND
RHODE ISLAND is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1997.

675W VIRGINIA -676 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 2

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 2

Maui Classic (@ Asheville, NC)
Texas vs North Carolina
Texas (3-0)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
— picked 5th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Texas breezed past Indiana by 22 Tuesday, holding Indiana to 23% from floor.
— Texas allowed 58.3 ppg in its first three games.
— Longhorns start two juniors, two seniors; they played nine guys 12:00+ Tuesday.

North Carolina (3-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 14-19 team
— picked 3rd in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Carolina won first two games by 19-27; they beat Stanford by 4 Tuesday.
— UNC turned ball over 24 times (-11), but outscored Stanford 14-5 overt the final 7:08.
— Tar Heels start a freshman, two sophs (#235 in experience)

Indiana vs Stanford
Indiana (2-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 8th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Indiana scored 84 ppg in first two games, but got waxed 64-44 Tuesday.
— Hoosiers PG Durham got hurt late in game; check status.
— Indiana scored 0.66 ppp yesterday; it was their worst FG% in at least 10 years.

Stanford (1-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 4th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Stanford was up 4 at the half Tuesday; they’re good, but thin.
— Four of five Stanford starters played 29:00+ the last two days.
— Cardinal allowed only 65.5 ppg in its first two games.

Davidson vs UNLV
Davidson (1-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
— picked 4th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Davidson lost the last two days by a combined three points.
— Wildcats played four starters 31:00+ yesterday.
— Davidson is playing pace #353, very slow.

UNLV (0-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 3rd in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Rebels lost first three games, by 13-27-12 points.
— UNLV took 35 3-pointers Tuesday, only four foul shots.
— Four starters played 34:00+ Tuesday.
— 6-11 Cheikh Diong has played 85:00, taken 4 shots; give him the ball?!?!?!

Providence vs Alabama
Providence (2-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
— picked 5th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Friars led by 19 yesterday, never trailed, but damn near lost.
— Providence played three guys 33:00+; they had only 4 turnovers (+9)
— Providence was 7-29 on arc the last two days.

Alabama (2-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
— picked 3rd in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Alabama outscored UNLV 48-36 in second half Tuesday.
— Crimson Tide took 40 3’s, only 20 2’s; they shot 70% inside arc.
— Alabama went 15-40 on arc Tuesday, after going 14-60 in first two games..

Elsewhere……
VCU @ Penn State
VCU (2-1)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked 10th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— VCU won two of three games in South Dakota LW, beating Memphis.
— Rams forced turnovers 25.7% of time last week.
— VCU forced 19 turnovers vs Memphis, shooting 60.9% inside arc.

Penn State (1-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 12th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Beat VMI by 21 in their first game Tuesday.
— Lions took 36 3’s, 36 2’s in the opener, forced 25 turnovers (+14)
— PSU starts two juniors, two seniors, usually a good thing.

Seton Hall @ Rhode Island
Seton Hall (1-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
— picked 3rd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Pirates lost by a point at Louisville, waxed Iona by 22.
— Seton Hall starts three seniors, two juniors (#18 experience)
— Pirates made only 13-45 on the arc in first two games.

Rhode Island (2-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
— picked 7th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— URI won last two games, scoring 84-84 points.
— Rams are already playing their 5th game; they didn’t play last two nites.
— URI starts two juniors, two seniors; they took 40 FT’s vs USF.

West Virginia vs Gonzaga (@ Indianapolis)
West Virginia (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 4th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— West Virginia went 3-0 in Sioux Falls, scoring 75.7 ppg.
— Mountaineers rebounded 43% of their missed shots LW (#8)
— WVU start three juniors, two sophs; they play seven guys.

Gonzaga (2-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 31-2 team
— picked 1st in country by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #1 by KenPom.
— Zags beat Kansas by 12, Auburn by 20
— Gonzaga shot 70.3% inside arc in first two games.
— Gonzaga played first two games at pace #24, very fast.

San Francisco @ Nevada
San Francisco (2-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 22-12 team
— picked 3rd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Dons are playing their 5th game in eight nights.
— USF upset Virginia, also lost to Mass-Lowell. Go figure.
— Dons were outscored 34-10 on foul line in last game, a loss to URI.

Nevada (3-0)
— Nevada has 1 starter back from LY’s 19-12 team
— Wolf Pack starts four sophs, one junior.
— picked 6th in Mountain West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #103 by KenPom
— Lost five of top six scorers from last year.
— Nevada allowed only 57.3 ppg in winning first three games.
— First three opponents shot only 37.1% inside arc vs Wolf Pack.

Tex-Arlington @ Arkansas
Tex-Arlington (1-2)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
— picked 8th in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #157 by KenPom
— UTA lost to Oklahoma St by 7, La Tech by 5; they beat Northwestern St by 9.
— Mavericks are shooting only 43.8% inside arc, 29.0% on arc.
— Mavericks start three juniors, two sophs.

Arkansas (2-0)
— 1 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 7th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Arkansas beat up on a stiff, then beat North Texas by 15.
— Razorbacks played only six guys more than 8:00 in last game.
— Arkansas beat North Texas 66-43 here last year.

Illinois vs Baylor (@ Indianapolis)
Illinois (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 4th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Illinois crushed two stiffs, then nipped Ohio U by a hoop.
— Illini has been best rebounding team in country so far.
— Illinois is an experienced team (#45 in continuity).

Baylor (2-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Beat Louisiana by by 30, Washington by 34 to start season.
— Bears start three juniors, two seniors.
— Baylor better not look ahead to Saturday’s Gonzaga game.

BYU vs St John’s (@ Mohegan Sun)
BYU (3-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 24-8 team
— picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— Cougars got crushed 79-53 by USC yesterday.
— BYU turned ball over 22.1% of time so far.
— BYU is #56 experience team; can they handle pressure?

St John’s (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 9th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Red Storm is 3-0, nipping Boston College by 4 here on Monday
— Johnnies are playing #3 pace in country.
— St John’s forced turnovers 25.9% of time in first three games.

Oregon vs Missouri (@ Omaha)
Oregon
— 2 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 1st in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #20 by KenPom.
— This is Oregon’s season opener.
— Ducks will use multiple point guards this year.
— Oregon won 20+ games each of the last 10 years.

Missouri (1-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 15-16 team
— picked 13th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #55 by KenPom.
— Tigers won their opener by 27 over Oral Roberts last Wednesday.
— Mizzou starts three seniors and a junior.
— Tigers are 12-24 in SEC the last two years.

Oregon State @ Washington State
Oregon State (2-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked last in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Beavers beat Cal by 8 at home, then whacked a stiff.
— OSU starts three seniors, two juniors.
— Beavers took only 11 3-pointers in the Cal game.

Washington State (2-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
— picked 11th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #138 by KenPom
— WSU beat Texas Southern/Eastern Washington by total of 7 points.
— Coogs start a freshman, two sophs; they were down 13 early vs EWU.
— Wazzu made only 15-58 3’s in first two games.

— This is a non-conference game, just to get some games in.

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NCAAB

Wednesday, December 2

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 2