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Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/1

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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, December 1

    Good Luck on day #335 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Music enters our bodies, commandeering the pulse in our veins, and reminds us that pleasure isn't a matter of feeling good but of feeling more alive.


    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Some interesting Week 13 NFL spreads:
    — Detroit @ Chicago (-3)
    — Cincinnati @ Miami (-11)
    — Indianapolis (-2.5) @ Houston
    — Jacksonville @ Minnesota (-9.5)
    — Las Vegas (-8) @ NJ Jets
    — New Orleans (-3) @ Atlanta

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 267,600
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

    12) NFL pushed Ravens-Steelers game back to Wednesday at 3:40 in the afternoon, so maybe Baltimore can get in some practicing Tuesday. This also means Sunday’s Washington-Pittsburgh game will have to be moved back in the schedule.

    Game is in the afternoon because NBC is showing the Christmas tree lighting in Rockefeller Center Wednesday night- that’s a lucrative gig they didn’t want to give up. What TV wants, TV gets.

    11) 49ers are moving to Arizona for a few weeks, because of Santa Clara County’s ban on contact sports. 49ers will host Buffalo/Washington in the Cardinals’ stadium in Glendale.

    10) Bad news for the Indiana Hoosiers; QB Michael Penix Jr is done for the year with a torn ACL. Indiana is having an excellent season; this puts a major damper on it.

    9) Jacksonville Jaguars won their opener, haven’t won since; they fired GM Dave Caldwell Sunday, but kept coach Doug Marrone, at least until they have a new GM.

    8) Last NFL team to shut out a divisional rival twice in same year? 2002 Falcons blanked Carolina 20-0/41-0.

    7) One of the bad beats of last week was Pepperdine (+7) at UCLA. Visiting Waves were up 7 at the half, but wound up losing 107-98, in triple OT. The right side doesn’t always win the bet.

    6) This season, there are 17 Division I basketball coaches who are coaching their son(s)

    5) Texas 78, Davidson 76— They’re playing the Maui Classic this week in Asheville, NC; this was a good ballgame. Longhorns shot 68% inside arc, Davidson 78%. Game was 43-all at the half; Wildcats had couple of shots to tie/take lead at the end, but Texas prevailed and plays Indiana in the semifinal Tuesday.

    4) Thru Sunday, these basketball conferences were doing well ATS:
    7-3 ATS: MAC, Mountain West
    5-3: SoCon
    9-6: ACC
    8-6: WCC

    3) Thru Sunday, these basketball conferences were doing poorly ATS:
    3-8: C-USA
    3-6: AAC
    2-4: Big West
    4-6: SEC

    2) Houston Texans WR Will Fuller has been suspended six games for violating the NFL’s performance enhancing drug policy.

    1) Last year, Mississippi State beat Ole Miss 21-20 in the Egg Bowl rivalry game; Rebels scored a TD with 0:04 left, but missed a longer PAT after the Ole Miss player who scored the TD got an excessive celebration penalty for miming a dog peeing in the end zone. Not good.

    After the game, both teams fired their head coach; those firings ended up impacting the jobs of nearly 300 coaches or staffers throughout the country, in a remarkable chain reaction.

    52 I-A schools lost or hired a coach or off-field staffer as a result of the post-Egg Bowl shakeups. I-AA, Division II, D-III, junior college, high school and even six NFL staffs were affected

    Comment


    • #3
      601USC -602 BYU
      USC is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

      603OAKLAND -604 PURDUE
      OAKLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

      605NEBRASKA-OMAHA -606 CREIGHTON
      CREIGHTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

      605NEBRASKA-OMAHA -606 CREIGHTON
      NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

      609WI-GREEN BAY -610 WISCONSIN
      WI-GREEN BAY is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

      611W KENTUCKY -612 LOUISVILLE
      LOUISVILLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

      613CLEVELAND ST -614 TOLEDO
      CLEVELAND ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

      613CLEVELAND ST -614 TOLEDO
      Dennis Gates is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots (Coach of CLEVELAND ST)

      615VALPARAISO -616 IL-CHICAGO
      IL-CHICAGO is 30-14 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers since 1997.

      617OKLAHOMA ST -618 MARQUETTE
      MARQUETTE is 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-01-2020, 12:16 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Tuesday, December 1


        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Tuesday, December 1


          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-01-2020, 12:17 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Tuesday, December 1


            Maui Classic (@ Asheville, NC)
            Texas vs Indiana

            Texas (2-0)
            — 5 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
            — picked 5th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #9 by KenPom
            — Texas beat Davidson 78-76 Monday; three starters played 31:00+.
            — Texas shot 66.2% inside arc in its first two games.
            — Longhorns start two juniors, two seniors.

            Indiana (2-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
            — picked 8th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #14 by KenPom
            — Indiana won its first two games by 30-21 points.
            — Hoosiers mainly play six guys; two played 30:00+ Monday.
            — Indiana won 20 games last year, first time in four years.

            Davidson vs Providence
            Davidson (1-1)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
            — picked 4th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #77 by KenPom; jumped six spots after Monday’s loss.
            — Davidson lost 78-76 to Texas Monday.
            — Wildcats played nine guys double digit minutes yesterday.
            — Davidson made 69.5% of their shots inside the arc.

            Providence (1-1)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
            — picked 5th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #61 by KenPom
            — Friars lost by 21 to Indiana yesterday, shooting 3-17 on arc.
            — Providence was minus-9 on boards vs Indiana; they also have young guards.
            — Providence was 12-6 in Big East LY, its best record in 23+ years.

            UNLV vs Alabama
            UNLV (0-2)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
            — picked 3rd in MW by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #148 by KenPom
            — Rebels lost first two games, by 13-27 points.
            — UNLV led 13-0 yesterday, but was down by 33 eventually.
            — Losing to North Carolina is no big deal, but they lost by 13 to Montana State.

            Alabama (1-1)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
            — picked 3rd in SEC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #58 by KenPom- dropped 10 spots yesterday.
            — Alabama lost 82-64 to Stanford, going 7-29 on arc.
            — Crimson Tide starts three seniors, two sophs.
            — Alabama wants to play fast, shoot 3’s; they’re 14-60 in two games.

            Stanford vs North Carolina
            North Carolina (2-0)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 14-19 team
            — picked 3rd in ACC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #15 by KenPom
            — Carolina beat Charleston by 19, UNLV by 27 so far.
            — Tar Heels start a freshman, two sophs.
            — UNC was down 13-0 yesterday, but were up 7 by halftime.

            Stanford (2-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
            — picked 4th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #26 by KenPom
            — Stanford used a 6-man rotation Monday, took only 15 3-pointers.
            — Cardinal turned ball over 22 times; all five starters played 29:00+.
            — Cardinal has an experienced team, is expected to make NCAA’s.

            Elsewhere……
            USC vs BYU (@ Mohegan Sun)

            USC (2-0)
            — 1 starter back from LY’s 22-9 team
            — picked 8th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #59 by KenPom
            — Trojans beat Cal Baptist in OT, beat Montana by 14.
            — USC starts a freshman, two sophs; they were 24-39 on foul line vs Montana.
            — Trojans were 2-0 vs WCC teams LY, winning by 11-7 points.

            BYU (3-0)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 24-8 team
            — picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #79 by KenPom
            — BYU beat New Orleans by 25, Utah Valley by 22 in its D-I games.
            — Cougars turned ball over 23.9% of time in first three games.
            — BYU starts two juniors, two seniors; they’re 21-52 on arc last two games.

            Michigan State @ Duke
            Michigan State (2-0)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 22-9 team
            — picked 4h in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #12 by KenPom
            — Spartans won first two games, over Eastern Michigan by 16, Notre Dame by 10.
            — MSU starts four juniors and a senior.
            — Spartans played 9 guys vs Notre Dame, none more than 26:00.

            Duke (1-0)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
            — picked 2nd in ACC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #3 by KenPom
            — Duke won its opener 81-71 over Coppin State.
            — Blue Devils turned ball over 22 times (-14).
            — 8 of their 10 guys who played are frosh/sophs.

            Western Kentucky @ Louisville
            Western Kentucky (2-1)
            — 5 starters back from LY’s 20-10 team
            — picked 1st in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #68 by KenPom
            — WKU went 2-1 in Sioux Falls; all three games were decided by 6 points.
            — Hilltoppers start four seniors, one junior; big man Bassey played only 19:00 vs WVU.
            — WKU went 2-1 despite opponents shooting 34-71 on arc against them.

            Louisville (3-0)
            — Louisville has 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
            — picked 5th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #27 by KenPom.
            — Louisville beat two stiffs, nipped Seton Hall 71-70.
            — Cardinals start two frosh, two sophs; they used a 7-man rotation.
            — Louisville lost 75% of scoring, 66% of rebounding from LY.

            Oklahoma State @ Marquette
            Oklahoma State (2-0)
            — 1 starter back from LY’s 18-14 team
            — picked 8th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #35 by KenPom
            — Cowboys can’t go to NCAA’s this year; probation.
            — OSU beat Tex-Arlington by 7, Texas Southern by 20.
            — Cunningham is one of nation’s best freshmen; he’s so good they hired his brother as an assistant coach. Go figure.

            Marquette (2-0)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 18-12 team
            — picked 7th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #28 by KenPom
            — Marquette beat couple stiffs by 42-25 points.
            — Marquette starts three seniors; they got to foul line 34 times vs Eastern Illinois.
            — Under Wojciechowski, Marquette is 49-57 in Big East conference games.

            Kentucky vs Kansas (@ Indianapolis)
            Kentucky (2-0)
            — 0 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
            — picked 2nd in SEC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #21 by KenPom
            — Kentucky hammered Morehead St, lost to Richmond by 12.
            — Kentucky was 0-10 on arc vs Richmond; they play 7 guys.
            — Wildcats start four freshmen; there will be growing pains.

            Kansas (2-0)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 29-3 team
            — picked 2nd in Big X by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #5 by KenPom
            — Kansas scored 92 ppg in splitting pair with Gonzaga, St Joe’s.
            — Jayhawks have decent depth; talent may be down some this year.
            — Kentucky won last meeting 71-63 at home two years ago; not many guys on either side are left from that day.

            Omaha @ Creighton
            Omaha (1-2)
            — Creighton is in Omaha, but teams haven’t met since Omaha has been D-I, so this has to be a pretty big deal for Omaha.
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
            — picked 5th in Summit by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #201 by KenPom
            — Mavericks went 1-2 on Florida trip, scoring only 61.3 ppg.
            — Omaha turned ball over 28% of time, shot 18.2% on arc; no bueno.

            Creighton (1-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
            — picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #17 by KenPom
            — Won their opener by 11 over North Dakota State.
            — Creighton was only 8-35 on arc in their opener, 7-9 on line.
            — Bluejays have good guards; they only had 4 turnovers.

            Oakland @ Purdue
            Oakland (0-4)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 14-19 team
            — picked 7th in Horizon by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #298 by KenPom
            — Grizzlies scored 54 ppg in first three games, then took Michigan to OT before losing.
            — Oakland led Michigan by 6 with 11:10 left.
            — Oakland starts two freshmen, three juniors.

            Purdue (1-1)
            — Purdue has 3 starters back from LY’s 16-15 team
            — picked 11th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #32 by KenPom
            — Purdue split pair in Florida, beating Liberty, losing 81-70 to Clemson.
            — All of Purdue subs who played so far are freshmen.
            — A 7-foot-4 freshman scored 36 points in 37:00 in the two games.

            Green Bay @ Wisconsin
            Green Bay (0-1)
            — 1 starter back from LY’s 17-16 team
            — picked 7th in Horizon by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #267 by KenPom.
            — Green Bay is coached by Will Ryan, Bo Ryan’s son; this will be a big deal for him.
            — Phoenix lost their opener by 30 at Minnesota; was 53-22 at halftime.
            — They’re changing styles; the last coach played fast tempo. Going from fast to slow tempo isn’t going to be easy.

            Wisconsin (2-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
            — picked 1st in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #8 by KenPom.
            — Badgers won first two games, by 10-34 points.
            — Wisconsin made 40.5% of its 3’s in first two, stress-free games.
            — Badgers play Marquette Friday; will they look ahead?

            South Dakota @ Nebraska
            South Dakota (0-2)
            — 1 starter back from LY’s 20-12 team
            — picked 2nd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #230 by KenPom

            — Lost five of top six scorers from LY.
            — Scored 57 ppg in losses by by 23-16 to Colorado/Drake.
            — Coyotes made 5-34 on the arc in first two games.

            Nebraska (2-1)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 7-25 team
            — picked last in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #104 by KenPom
            — Cornhuskers won two of three games, losing by 3 to Nevada.
            — Nebraska made only 18-73 on arc in last two games; lot of 3’s.
            — Nebraska starts three juniors and a senior.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-01-2020, 12:19 PM.

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            • #7
              NCAAB

              Tuesday, December 1


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              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-01-2020, 12:20 PM.

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