Announcement

**Udog** · 11-28-2020, 09:34 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Over/under win totals for NBA teams (72-game season):
22.5— Knicks, Cavaliers
23.5— Pistons, Thunder
25.5— Hornets
27.5— Timberwolves
28.5— Kings, Spurs
29.5— Bulls, Wizards

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 263,455
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

13) San Francisco 61, Virginia 60— Playing for third day in a row, Dons pulled a big upset, going 13-28 on the arc. Not often do you beat a top 10 team, 48 hours after losing to Mass-Lowell.

12) Illinois 77, Ohio U 75— Visiting Bobcats led by 8 with 13:47 left, but couldn’t hang on; they were 4-9 on foul line, Illinois 15-24.

Ohio was +9 in turnovers (16-7); they have kid Jason Preston who scored 31 points- only reason Ohio offered him a scholarship is because they saw a highlight reel he made himself and posted it on Twitter. He wasn’t even on the varsity at the prep school he went to in Florida.

11) UCLA 107, Pepperdine 98 3OT— Rough start to season for the Bruins, splitting pair with a couple of teams they would never normally schedule. Pepperdine led this game by 7 at the half; PG Ross scored 33 points, but Pepperdine was only 9-41 on the arc- they shot 62% inside arc.

UCLA played only seven guys; three of them played 51:00+. They’re missing two players right now; judging from this week, they must be two valuable guys.

10) West Virginia 70, Western Kentucky 64- Both teams were winners this week; West Virginia was down 9 in second half, rallied to win the tournament and improve to 3-0. Hilltoppers were not originally in this event; they gained lot of national respect and got a win over Memphis that will resonate on Selection Sunday.

WKU star Bassey got banged up, only played 19:00; if they keep him healthy all season, it is likely that the Hilltoppers will be in the NCAA’s.

9) Syracuse 85, Bryant 84— Syracuse kids hadn’t practiced in 10-12 days because of COVID; they were down 13 in second half of this game. Bryant put five guys in double figures but turned ball over 21 times (-7) and missed some open shots in last minute.

There were total of 72 3’s taken in this game, 74 2-point shots; playing in an empty dome, not the best shooting background, it is like playing outdoors.

8) This week’s Ravens-Steelers game has been pushed back to Tuesday night; next week’s Cowboy-Raven game has been pushed back to Monday, December 7.

7) NFL QB knowledge:
— Sam Darnold will start for the Jets this week.
— Mitch Trubisky will start for the Bears this week.

6) Over the last six games, Ron Rivera’s Washington team has outscored opponents 90-26 in the second half of games- they lead the NFC East, albeit with a 4-7 record.

5) Sign of the times: Baylor’s basketball team flew to Las Vegas Thursday, where they’re going to play two games, against Louisiana Saturday, Washington Sunday. The game with the Ragin’ Cajuns was put together Friday- the team flew to the desert not knowing who their first opponent would be. Baylor coach Scott Drew is still in self-isolation with COVID.

4) Lot of football coaches are nomads; they wander all over the country, getting jobs in various places. Todd Bowles has been a highly successful coach (NFL coaches make good bank); he was even head coach of the Jets, but he has done his share of moving. Here is how Bowles spent his last 21 years:

2000— Jets, secondary coach
2001-04— Browns, secondary coach, nickel package
2005-07— Cowboys, secondary coach
2008-11— Dolphins, assistant head coach, secondary coach
2012— Eagles, secondary coach
2013-14— Cardinals, defensive coordinator
2015-18— Jets, head coach
2019-20— Buccaneers, defensive coordinator

3) Contrast that resume to Steve Alford’s resume as a basketball coach; there was a time when I would have wagered that Alford would be the coach at Indiana someday, since he was such a good player there. Doesn’t look like that will happen, but he’s also had an interesting career:

1991-95— Manchester
1995-99— Missouri State
1999-2007— Iowa
2007-13— New Mexico
2013-18— UCLA
2019-20— Nevada

2) Baseball’s postseason star Randy Arozarena was in some hot water in his native Mexico this past week, getting locked up after a fracas with his ex-wife and her father, which revolved around custody of their child; he is out of jail now and will not be charged.

If he keeps hitting during the season, Arozarena is going to be really rich in a couple years, but he needs to stay out of the headlines in the off-season.

1) Villanova-Virginia Tech are playing Saturday at Mohegan Sun, a matchup cobbled together Thursday night/Friday. Thats part of what will make this season so much fun, things changing on the fly— the teams that handle the chaos the best will likely win the most.

**Udog** · 11-28-2020, 09:37 AM

705TROY -706 UNC-WILMINGTON
UNC-WILMINGTON is 48-30 ATS (15 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

709LSU -710 SAINT LOUIS
SAINT LOUIS are 66-97 ATS (-40.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

717VMI -718 PENN ST
VMI is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

719CS-NORTHRIDGE -720 AIR FORCE
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 21-9 ATS (11.1 Units) in road games as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

721MONTANA -722 USC
MONTANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

725SE MISSOURI ST -726 MISSOURI-KC
SE MISSOURI ST is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

727N TEXAS -728 ARKANSAS
N TEXAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

729LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT -730 MINNESOTA
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 54-85 ATS (-39.5 Units) off a home win since 1997.

739E WASHINGTON -740 WASHINGTON ST
WASHINGTON ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls since 1997.

743TULSA -744 TCU
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 11-28-2020, 09:42 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, November 28

**Udog** · 11-28-2020, 09:44 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 28

**Udog** · 11-28-2020, 09:47 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 28

Drexel vs Pitt
Drexel
— This is Drexel’s season opener.
— 4 starters back from LY’s 14-19 team
— picked 8th in CAA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #166 by KenPom
— Drexel is deeper than usual this year.
— Last five years, Dragons are 25-65 in CAA games.

Pitt (0-1)
— Pitt lost its opener 80-70 to St Francis.
— 3 starters back from LY’s 16-17 team
— picked 11th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Panthers turned ball over 23 times, were down 20 at one point in their opener.
— Pitt starts, two sophs, two juniors and a freshman.

North Dakota State @ Nebraska
North Dakota State (0-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 25-8 team
— picked 3rd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #186 by KenPom
— ND State never led in its 62-48 loss to Nevada Wednesday.
— Bison shot 29.1% from floor, were -6 in turnovers vs Nevada.

Nebraska (1-1)
— Nebraska is playing its third game in four days.
— 2 starters back from LY’s 7-25 team
— picked last in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #112 by KenPom
— Nebraska led Nevada by 10 with 9:34 left Thursday, lost 69-66.
— Huskers forced 21 turnovers (+12); they were -18 on boards.
— Nebraska won its opener by 50 over McNeese State.

LSU @ Saint Louis
LSU (1-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 4th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— LSU led its opener 26-4, won 94-81 over SIU-Edwardsville; lead got down to 2 at one point.
— Tigers made 12-26 on arc; SIUE scored 1.17 ppp against them.

Saint Louis (1-0)
— Saint Louis won its opener 89-52 over that same SIUE team.
— all 5 starters back from LY’s 23-8 team
— picked 2nd in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Billikens were up 48-18 in their opener.
— SLU made 10-21 on arc; forced 25 turnovers (+11)

Idaho State vs Cal-Davis (@ Santa Clara)
Idaho State (0-2)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 8-22 team
— picked 10th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #318 by KenPom
— Idaho State scored 49-51 points in losses by 13-19 points.
— Bengals have turned ball over 34.6% of time so far; no bueno.
— Only one of their guys played more than 25:00 in yesterday’s loss.

Cal-Davis (0-2)
— Davis lost its first two games, by 8-3 points.
— 4 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
— picked 4th in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #68 by KenPom
— Aggies shot 12-45 on arc in first two games.
— Davis only had five guys score more than 2 points yesterday.

Montana vs USC
Montana
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked 3rd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #159 by KenPom
— This is Montana’s season opener.
— Griz lost by 11-17-32 points in games vs Pac-12 teams last year.
— If Montana’s transfers pan out, they could contend in Big Sky again.

USC (1-0)
— USC won its opener 95-87 in OT over Cal Baptist
— 1 starter back from LY’s 22-9 team
— picked 8th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Trojans were down 5 with 1:39 left in their opener.
— USC was 16-30 on line, Cal Baptist was 3-5, but Lancers made 20-41 on arc.

North Texas @ Arkansas
North Texas (1-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
— picked 2nd in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #103 by KenPom.
— UNT beat a stiff by 54 in their opener, making 21-33 on arc.
— Mean Green starts four seniors and a junior.

Arkansas (1-0)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 8th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Arkansas beat the same stiff UNT beat 142-62 the night before.
— Razorbacks made 20-40 on arc in their opener.
— 10 of 12 Arkansas players weren’t on the team last year.

— Arkansas beat North Texas 66-43 here last year.

Rhode Island vs South Florida
Rhode Island (0-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
— picked 7th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #101 by KenPom
— URI lost its first two games, by 6-5 points, shooting 30-53 on foul line; they were outscored 54-30 on foul line in the two close losses.
— Rams were up 6 in 2nd half on BC, shot 59% inside arc, but let it slip away.

South Florida (1-0)
— USF beat an NAIA team by 10 in their opener.
— 3 starters back from LY’s 14-17 team
— picked 5th in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Bulls were torched for 28 points by a 6-1 guard in their opener.
— Won 24 games two years ago, 14 LY, but had lot of injuries.

Loyola Marymount @ Minnesota
LMU (1-0)
— LMU lost its coach and 4 starters from LY’s 11-21 team
— picked 8th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #151 by KenPom.
— LMU won its opener, 85-83 at home over Southern Utah, after trailing by 12 early.
— Lions shot 57% inside arc, made 21-31 on foul line vs SUU.

Minnesota (1-0)
— Minnesota has 2 starters back from LY’s 15-16 team
— Gophers are picked 7th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #29 by KenPom.
— Minnesota won its first game 99-69 over Green Bay (53-22 at half)
— This is Minnesota’s 2nd strait game over a team with a new coach.
— Gophers start four juniors, one senior; they were 7-34 on arc in the opener.

Wm & Mary vs Old Dominion
Wm & Mary
— 1 starter back from LY’s 21-14 team
— picked 10th (last) in CAA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #288 by KenPom.
— This is the Tribe’s season opener.
— W&M will be way smaller than last year’s team.
— Freshmen will be asked to contribute immediately.

Old Dominion (0-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 13-19 team
— picked 16th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #107 by KenPom
— Monarchs lost their opener 85-67 at Maryland.
— ODU starts three juniors, two seniors.
— ODU shot 57.6% inside arc, 6-33 on arc vs Maryland.

— Home side won this game between former conference rivals the last three years. W&M won last year’s game 63-46 at home.

Notre Dame @ Michigan State
Notre Dame
— 3 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 13th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #77 by KenPom.
— This is Notre Dame’s season opener.
— Irish are 21-35 in ACC games the last three years.
— Notre Dame lost its last 21 games vs top 25 teams.

Michigan State (1-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 22-9 team
— picked 4th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Spartans won their opener 83-67 over Eastern Michigan.
— MSU starts four juniors and a senior.
— Spartans were -9 in turnovers, shot 12-28 on arc in their opener.

Utah Valley vs BYU
Utah Valley
— UVSU lost all 5 starters from LY’s 11-19 team
— picked 5th in WAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #285 by KenPom, 1st in Big East.
— This is Utah Valley’s season opener.
— Wolverines brought in lot of D-I and JC transfers.
— BYU’s coach was Utah Valley’s coach before bolting to BYU.

BYU (2-0)
— BYU has 2 starters back from LY’s 24-8 team
— picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— BYU beat up on a couple stiffs, by 49-25 points.
— Cougars start 3 juniors, 2 seniors.
— BYU was only 8-21 on foul line in its last game, 86-61 win over New Orleans.

Villanova vs Virginia Tech (@ Mohegan Sun)
Villanova (2-0)
— Villanova has 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 1st in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Wildcats beat Boston College, Arizona State already, by 9-9 points.
— Villanova is shooting 59% inside the arc.
— Wildcats are using a short rotation, seven guys.

Virginia Tech (1-0)
— Tech has 3 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
— picked 12th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tech won its opener 77-62 at home over Radford.
— Hokies starts three sophs; they made 11-26 on arc in the opener.
— Villanova already played two games in this arena, Tech hasn’t.

— This matchup was put together two days ago.

Baylor vs Louisiana (@ Las Vegas)
Baylor
— 4 starters back from LY’s 26-4 team
— picked 1st in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— This is Baylor’s season opener.
— Baylor coach Drew has COVID, won’t be there.
— Baylor was 26-4 last year, won 23 games in row, won at Kansas.

Louisiana
— ULL has 3 starters back from LY’s 14-19 team
— picked 73rd in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #162 by KenPom
— This is Louisiana’s season opener.
— Ragin’ Cajuns were 18-20 last two years, after going 27-7 three years ago.
— ULL has a strong backcourt, need better health this season.

— This matchup was put together yesterday. Seriously.

**Udog** · 11-28-2020, 09:50 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, November 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/28

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/28

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment