Announcement

**Udog** · 11-27-2020, 09:16 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Over/under win totals for NBA teams (72-game season):
47.5— Lakers
46.5— Clippers, Boston
45.5— Brooklyn
44.5— Denver, Miami, Philadelphia
42.5— Dallas
41.5— Toronto, Utah

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 261,136
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Roger Goodall must’ve had some indigestion with his turkey when he heard that Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson tested positive for COVID.

If the Baltimore-Pittsburgh game gets postponed out of this week, it probably creates a Week 18 of the regular season, which would push the playoffs back a week and eliminate the extra week between conference title games and the Super Bowl.

12) Texans 41, Detroit 25
— Texans won three of their last four games, after a 1-6 start.
— JJ Watt had a pick-6 in the first quarter.
— Two of Houston’s four TD drives were shorter than 40 yards.

— Detroit lost four of last five games, giving up 32.6 ppg.
— Lions are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog, 0-3 TY.
— From 2014-17, Detroit was 36-28 under Jim Caldwell; he got fired.
— Last three years, Detroit is 13-29-1 under Matt Patricia; he still has a job.

11) Since Barry Sanders retired in 1999, Detroit has averaged 92.2 rushing yards/game, the lowest amount of any NFL team during that time.

10) Washington 41, Dallas 16
— Washington won three of its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
— Washington scored a defensive TD, had short TD drives for 19-23 yards.
— Washington is 3-2 inside the division, with losses by 1-3 points.
— Washington is 17-12-1 ATS in last 30 games as a road underdog.

— Things unraveled for Dallas after an ill-fated fake punt failed badly.
— Cowboys lost five of their last six games.
— Last nine games, Dallas is minus-13 in turnovers.
— Cowboys are 2-9 ATS this year; their three wins by total of 7 points.
— Dallas lost four of its last six Thanksgiving games.

9) Western Kentucky 75, Memphis 69:
— WKU big man Charles Bassey had 21 points, 14 rebounds.
— Hilltoppers play West Virginia in the tournament final Friday.

8) Gonzaga 102, Kansas 90:
— Game was tied with 16:35 left; Zags pulled away late.
— Gonzaga scored 1.24 points/possession, very efficient.
— Talent level for Kansas is down a little this season.

7) Villanova 83, Arizona State 74
— Villanova was +16 on the boards in this game.
— Arizona State was 12-21 on foul line, after going 34-46 Wednesday.

6) Virginia Cavaliers scored 89 points in their season opener Wednesday; they averaged 57 ppg last year, with a season-high of 78, in a win over Boston College. Tony Bennett added shooters, and Virginia looks poised for another excellent year.

5) ESPN’s Paul Biancardi was saying this week that this year’s freshman class in college hoop is one of the most talented in years. Something to keep an eye on this winter.

4) Strange/ominous scores from this week so far:
— USC 95, Cal Baptist 87 OT
— St Francis PA 80, Pittsburgh 70

3) When Sam Merrill got drafted by Milwaukee, it was the first time in 34 years the NBA had drafted a Utah State Aggie (Greg Grant).

2) After he passed away in 2015, former North Carolina basketball coach Dean Smith sent each of his former players a $200 check for a night out on him- he had a lot of former players.

1) Belated congratulations to the NC Dinos, who won the Korean World Series in six games over the Doosan Bears. I enjoyed learning about the KBO this year, but the 5am first pitch for lot of their games was a bit much.

**Udog** · 11-27-2020, 09:20 AM

Friday's College Basketball Tech Trends & Probabilities
Thom Cunningham

College basketball tip off continues with Friday action, and what a slate it is.

There are plenty of games to wager on for Friday, with the biggest games of the day listed below.

Check out the betting trends and implied probabilities for college basketball's top games today.

Friday's College Basketball Top Games

GONZAGA vs. AUBURN (11 a.m., FOX)
Venue: Suncoast Credit Union Arena
Location: Fort Myers, Florida
Implied Probability: Gonzaga - 91.8%

TECH TRENDS
Gonzaga has won five straight games
Auburn has won 15 of its last 16 games when playing on a neutral court
Gonzaga has won 24 of its last 25 games

VIRGINIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO (11:30 a.m., ESPN)
Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Location: Uncasville, Connecticut
Implied Probability: Virginia - 92.6%

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

TOLEDO at XAVIER (Noon, FS1)
Venue: Cintas Center
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
Implied Probability: Xavier - 86.2%

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

OHIO at ILLINOIS (1 p.m., BTN)
Venue: State Farm Center
Location: Champaign, Illinois
Implied Probability: Illinois - 96.2%

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. WEST VIRGINIA (1:30 p.m., ESPN)
Venue: Sanford Pentagon
Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
Implied Probability: West Virginia - 78.9%

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

ST. JOSEPH'S vs. KANSAS (2 p.m., FS1)
Venue: Suncoast Credit Union Arena
Location: Fort Myers, Florida
Implied Probability: Kansas - 96.2%

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

SAM HOUSTON STATE at TEXAS TECH (2 p.m., ESPNU)
Venue: United Supermarkets Arena
Location: Lubbock, Texas
Implied Probability: Texas Tech - 99%

TECH TRENDS
Texas Tech has won 31 of its last 36 home games

BOISE STATE at HOUSTON (3 p.m., ESPN+)
Venue: Fertitta Center
Location: Houston, Texas
Implied Probability: Houston - 90.1%

TECH TRENDS
Houston has won 11 straight home games

SETON HALL at LOUISVILLE (4 p.m., ESPN2)
Venue: KFC Yum! Center
Location: Louisville, Kentucky
Implied Probability: Louisville - 72.6%

TECH TRENDS
Louisville has won 10 of its last 13 games when facing Seton Hall

UTAH STATE vs. UNI (4 p.m., ESPNU)
Venue: Sanford Pentagon
Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
Implied Probability: UNI - 57.3%

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. SAINT MARY'S (6:30 p.m., ESPN2)
Venue: Sanford Pentagon
Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
Implied Probability: TBD

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

LITTLE ROCK vs. UNC-GREENSBORO (7 p.m., ESPN3)
TV-Time: ESPN3 , 7 p.m.
Venue: KFC Yum! Center
Location: Louisville, Kentucky
Implied Probability: UNC-Greensboro - 59.7%

TECH TRENDS
Little Rock has lost six straight prime-time games when playing on a Friday
Little Rock has won the second half in four of its last five games

UC-IRVINE at SAN DIEGO STATE (7 p.m., MWN)
Venue: Viejas Arena
Location: San Diego, California
Implied Probability: San Diego State - 91.8%

TECH TRENDS
San Diego State has won 31 of its last 33 games

COLORADO at KANSAS STATE (8:30 p.m., ESPNU)
Venue: Bramlage Coliseum
Location: Manhattan, Kansas
Implied Probability: Colorado - 73.3%

TECH TRENDS
Kansas State has won eight straight prime-time home games when playing on a Friday

VCU vs. MEMPHIS (9 p.m., ESPN2)
Venue: Sanford Pentagon
Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
Implied Probability: Memphis - 75.9%

TECH TRENDS
Coming Soon

**Udog** · 11-27-2020, 09:24 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, November 27

**Udog** · 11-27-2020, 09:27 AM

NCAAB

Friday, November 27

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 11-27-2020, 09:30 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 27

Gonzaga vs Auburn (@ Ft Myers, FL)
Gonzaga (1-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 31-2 team
— picked 1st in WCC, 1st in country by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Gonzaga whipped Kansas 102-90 yesterday; they shot 77% inside arc.
— Game was 56-all with 16:35 left to play.
— Zags have a 7-man rotation; one of their subs played 32:00.

Auburn (1-0)
— Auburn is ineligible for the NCAA’s this season.
— 0 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
— picked 7th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #68 by KenPom
— Auburn blew an 11-point lead, needed OT to beat St Joe’s yesterday.
— Tigers were 9-32 on arc, 29-43 on foul line- they played 10 guys 11:00+.

Western Kentucky vs West Virginia (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Western Kentucky (2-0)
— WKU has all 5 starters back from LY’s 20-10 team
— picked 1st in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #69 by KenPom.
— Hilltoppers won the last two days, by 6 points each.
— WKU played seven guys 16:00+ yesterday; they shortened rotation a little.
— WKU won twice despite opponents shooting 29-59 on arc.

West Virginia (2-0)
— West Virginia has 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— WVU is picked 4th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #7 by KenPom.
— WVU won last two days by 8-12 points, scoring 79-78 points.
— WVU played eight guys 13:00+ last nite.
— Mountaineers were +14 on boards vs VCU, survived 20 turnovers.

Kansas vs St Joe’s (@ Ft Myers, FL)
Kansas (0-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 28-3 team
— picked 6th in country, #2 in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #6 by KenPom.
— Jayhawks lost 102-90 to Gonzaga; game was 54-46 at halftime.
— Kansas played two guys more than 28:00.
— Jayhawks Gonzaga shot 77% inside arc; lot of layups.

St Joe’s (0-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 6-26 team
— picked 13th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #161 by KenPom, moved up 3 spots with the loss.
— Hawks’ new point guard is a transfer from Gonzaga.
— St Joe’s lost 96-91 in OT to Auburn; they were down 10 at half.
— Three Hawks played 36:00+.

Boise State @ Houston
Boise State
— season opener for Boise.
— 2 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 4th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Deeper, more talented than they’ve been in a while
— Guys on TV were talking Boise up as a Mountain West contender.

Houston (1-0)
— Cougars waxed Lamar 89-45 Wednesday.
— 3 starters back from LY’s 23-9 team
— picked 1st in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Houston starts three seniors.
— 6-5 Tramon Mack was 10-13 on line in only 17:00 vs Lamar.

UCLA vs Pepperdine (@ San Diego)
UCLA (0-1)
— Bruins lost to San Diego State in opener; they were missing 2 of top 6 guys.
— UCLA has all 5 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
— Bruins are picked 2nd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— UCLA is ranked #40 by KenPom.
— UCLA played three guys 31:00+ vs Aztecs; when do other two come back?
— This is the Super Bowl for Pepperdine; pressure on Bruins to win here.

Pepperdine (1-0)
— Pepperdine has 4 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
— picked 4th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #100 by KenPom.
— Waves have a very good senior point guard.
— Beat Cal-Irvine 86-72 Wednesday, shooting 60% inside arc.
— Lorenzo Romar was an assistant at UCLA when they won national title in ’95.

Seton Hall @ Louisville
Seton Hall
— This is Seton Hall’s opener.
— Pirates have 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team.
— Pirates are picked 3rd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— Seton Hall is ranked #52 by KenPom.
— Seton Hall won 20+ games the last five years.
— Pirates lost three key seniors, are still expected to be good.

Louisville (1-0)
— Louisville has 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 5th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #25 by KenPom.
— Louisville pounded Evansville 79-44 in its opener. .
— Cardinals start two frosh, two sophs; they used a 7-man rotation.
— Louisville lost 75% of scoring, 66% of rebounding from LY.

Northern Iowa vs Utah State(@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Northern Iowa (0-2)
— UNI lost its first two games by total of 8 points.
— 3 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
— picked 2nd in MVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— UNI is 0-2, despite shooting 27-55 on arc in two games.
— Three Panthers played 31:00+ yesterday.

Utah State (0-2)
— Utah State lost its first two games, by 16-24 points.
— 3 starters back from LY’s 26-6 team
— picked 2nd in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #91 by KenPom, down 16 slots in two days
— Aggies turned ball over 23.7% of time in first two games.
— Utah State starts four juniors; no one played more than 28:00 yesterday.

Fresno State @ Pacific
Fresno State (1-0)
— Fresno State beat up on an NAIA stiff in their opener
— 1 starter back from LY’s 11-19 team
— picked 9th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Fresno State had 7 players transfer last year.
— Bulldogs have a big rebuild here; lot of new players.

Pacific (1-0)
— Pacific beat Riverside 66-60 in their opener, going only 13-24 on line.
— 3 starters back from LY’s 23-10 team
— picked 6th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #125 by KenPom
— Riverside shot 57% inside arc vs Pacific Wednesday.

— Fresno beat Pacific at home in OT in last meeting, two years ago.

South Dakota State vs Saint Mary’s (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
South Dakota State (1-1)
— all 5 starters back from LY’s 22-10 team
— picked 1st in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #76 by KenPom, up 19 slots in two days
— Jackrabbits made 15-27 on arc, beat Utah State 83-59 yesterday.
— SD State played nine guys 11:00+ last nite.

Saint Mary’s (1-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 26-9 team
— picked 5th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #77 by KenPom
— Gaels nipped Northern Iowa 66-64 last nite; they were down 7 with 4:00 left.
— Saint Mary’s split its first two games, shooting 10-47 on arc.
— Senior guard Kuhse played 73:00 the last two days.

Tex-Arlington @ Louisiana Tech
Tex-Arlington (0-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
— picked 8th in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #159 by KenPom
— UTA lost opener 75-68 at home to Oklahoma State; they were up a hoop with 10:20 left.
— Mavericks start 3 sophs, 2 juniors; they were 5-26 on arc vs OSU.

Louisiana Tech
— This is Tech’s season opener.
— Tech has one starter back from LY’s 22-8 team.
— picked 9th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #111 by KenPom.
— Bulldogs have five seniors, but also have a new point guard.

Colorado @ Kansas State
Colorado (1-0)
— has 3 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Have senior PG, but lost Tyler Bey to NBA.
— Buffs beat South Dakota 84-61 in their opener.
— Colorado starts three seniors, two juniors.

Kansas State (0-1)
— K-State starts a freshman, three sophs.
— 2 starters back from LY’s 11-21 team
— picked last in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #127 by KenPom
— Wildcats got upset 80-70 at home by Drake Wednesday.
— Wildcats led by 7 early in 2nd half; Drake shot 59.5% inside arc.

VCU vs Memphis (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
VCU (1-1)
— VCU has all 1 starter back from LY’s 18-13 team
— Rams are picked 10th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— VCU is ranked #80 by KenPom
— Rams shot 3-21 from arc in 78-66 loss to West Virginia last nite.
— VCU made only 7-38 shots on arc in first two games.
— Rams didn’t play anyone more than 27:00 last nite.

Memphis (1-1)
— Memphis has 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 2nd in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #31 by KenPom.
— Tigers lost 75-69 to WKU yesterday; they played two guys 33:00/34:00.
— Memphis led 18-8 early on, had no answer for WKU’s big guy Bassey.
— Memphis starts three sophs and a freshman.

Cal-Irvine @ San Diego State
Cal-Irvine (0-1)
— UCI has 1 starter back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 2nd in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #122 by KenPom.
— Anteaters played in last two NCAA tourneys.
— Irvine lost 86-72 to Pepperdine; they’re lot younger than usual this year.
— Anteaters played 11 guys 10:00+; they’re looking for answers.

San Diego State (1-0)
— Trap game for San Diego State after beating UCLA.
— Aztecs has 2 starters back from LY’s 30-2 team
— picked 2nd in Mountain West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #36 by KenPom.
— Aztecs poached grad transfer PG Gomez from Northridge.
— 8 of San Diego State’s 12 scholarship guys are juniors/seniors.
— Aztecs scored 1.18 ppp in the UCLA, that’s pretty good.

**Udog** · 11-27-2020, 09:59 AM

This report might update....

601AUBURN -602 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 61-85 ATS (-32.5 Units) in road games as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997.

603SAN FRANCISCO -604 VIRGINIA
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-81 ATS (-36.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

605TOLEDO -606 XAVIER
XAVIER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 15 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

609OHIO U -610 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game since 1997.

611FLA ATLANTIC -612 JACKSONVILLE ST
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) neutral court, total is 135-139.5 since 1997.

613DRAKE -614 S DAKOTA
DRAKE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest in the last 3 seasons.

619BRADLEY -620 OAKLAND
BRADLEY is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest in the last 3 seasons.

623BOISE ST -624 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.

625CAL DAVIS -626 SANTA CLARA
CAL DAVIS are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

627SETON HALL -628 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 162-125 ATS (24.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1997.

**Udog** · 11-27-2020, 10:03 AM

This report should update, but.....

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, November 27

Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/27

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/27

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