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Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/11

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  • Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 11

    Good Luck on day #285 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    NFL’s all-time regular season passing yardage leaders:
    78,422— Drew Brees
    75,946— Tom Brady
    71,940— Peyton Manning
    71,838— Brett Favre
    61,361— Dan Marino
    60,255— Philip Rivers

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 214,171
    PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Oklahoma 53, Texas 45 OT:
    — Texas scored two TD’s in last 3:17 to force OT.
    — Both kickers missed a field goal in one of the OT’s.
    — Oklahoma benched QB Rattler in 2nd quarter, but he played 2nd half.
    — Texas is 1-2 in Big X: 63-56/31-33/45-53. Wild games.

    12) Texas A&M 41, Florida 38:
    — Florida QB Kyle Trask is named after Kyle Field, where A&M plays their games; both his parents went to Texas A&M.
    — Gators led 28-17 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
    — A&M gained 543 yards, converted 12-15 on third down.
    — Aggies scored 10 points in last 4:30, kicking a 26-yard FG for the win.

    11) Missouri 45, LSU 41:
    — LSU had ball 1st-and-goal on 1-yard line in last minute, didn’t score- they threw the ball on 3rd and 4th down.
    — LSU is 1-2, with 44-34/45-41 losses. Tough time to be the defensive coordinator.
    — Missouri gained 586 yards, threw for 406.
    — LSU scored 41 points, despite going 0-10 on third down.

    10) Duke 38, Syracuse 24— Misleading final score:
    — Total yardage: 645-286, Duke
    — First downs: 36-11, Duke
    — Blue Devils ran ball for 363 yards.
    — If I looked at the team stats without knowing the score, would’ve said Duke, by 28-30 points, but Blue Devils were minus-4 in turnovers, which kept Syracuse within reach.

    9) Auburn 30, Arkansas 28:
    — Auburn led 17-0 midway thru second quarter.
    — Tigers kicked 39-yard FG with 0:07 left for the win, but a controversial call on a spiked ball/fumble in the last minute saved Auburn’s bacon.
    — Arkansas QB Franks was 22-30/318 yards passing, with four TD’s.
    — Auburn ran for 259 yards on a soggy field; surprisingly, no turnovers either way.

    8) Alabama 63, Ole Miss 48:
    — Total yardage was 723-647; truly terrible defense.
    — Ole Miss allowed 51-41-63 points in their first three games.
    — Alabama ran 71 plays, only 7 on third down- they converted 6 of them.
    — Crimson Tide gained 723 yards on 71 plays, over 10 yards/play.

    7) Upsets of the Week:
    — Missouri (+14) 45, LSU 41
    — Kansas State (+10.5) 21, TCU 14
    — NC State (+7) 21, Virginia 14
    — Boston College (+6.5) 31, Pitt 30
    — Middle Tennessee (+6.5) 31, FIU 28
    — Texas A&M (+6) 41, Florida 38
    — East Carolina (+6) 44, South Florida 24

    6) Boston College 31, Pittsburgh 30 OT:
    — BC led 24-14 with 3:00 left in third quarter.
    — Pitt’s kicker tied game with a 58-yard FG in last minute, then missed a PAT in overtime.
    — Pitt was only 4-18 on 3rd down, but converted 3-4 on 4th down.

    5) Georgia 44, Tennessee 21:
    — Georgia poached QB’s from Wake Forest/USC to play this year, but former walk-on Bennett is now the starter, and the Dawgs are 3-0- he was 16-27/238 passing in this game.
    — Bennett had to go play at Smith JC in Mississippi before Georgia gave him a scholarship.
    — Dawgs ran football for 193 yards, outgained Tennessee 431-214.

    4) Kentucky 24, Mississippi State 2:
    — Two weeks ago, Miss State QB Costello threw for 623 yards; he got benched in this game, came back in 4th quarter and threw a pick-6. No bueno.
    — Kentucky lost 42-41 to Ole Miss last week, so great job by their defense here.

    3) NC State 38, Virginia 21:
    — Virginia turned ball over four times (-3), converted only 4-18 on 3rd down.
    — Cavaliers threw ball for 323 yards, outgained State 405-363.
    — Wolfpack is off to a 3-1 start, despite playing three road games.

    2) Home favorites/home underdogs against spread, by conference:
    AAC 2-3-1……2-0
    ACC 6-6-1……6-2
    Big X 6-3……3-2
    C-USA 0-7……1-2
    SEC 5-6……5-4
    Sun Belt 1-1……3-1

    1) I miss watching Pac-12 football until 2am on Saturday nights; look forward to when they start their season, on November 7th.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-11-2020, 11:47 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA public betting, line movement for October 11
      Patrick Everson

      As usual, the Lakers are the public play, attracting 68 percent of tickets and money at FanDuel Sportsbook through Saturday afternoon for Sunday's Game 6.

      NBA betting odds are on the board for Game 6 of the NBA Finals, set for Sunday night. The Miami Heat look to stretch this series to seven games, while the Los Angeles Lakers aim to finish off this battle and raise the trophy.

      FanDuel Sportsbook provided early insights on NBA Finals opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s matchup, along with odds to win the NBA championship.

      NBA line movement

      Jimmy Butler willed Miami to victory in Friday’s must-win Game 5, finishing with 35 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists in a 111-108 victory over Los Angeles. The Heat pulled with 3-2 in the best-of-seven series heading into another must-win in a 7:30 p.m. ET tipoff Sunday.

      FanDuel opened the Lakers at -5.5 and moved to -5 late Friday night, where the line remained Saturday afternoon. The total opened at 216 and dropped to 214.5.

      NBA public betting

      The Lakers are always the public play, and it’s showing up in the early betting splits at FanDuel. Los Angeles was attracting 68 percent of tickets and money, through Saturday afternoon. Sixty-two percent of early bets were on the Over, but money was almost dead even, with 51 percent on the Under.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-11-2020, 11:49 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        711LA LAKERS -712 MIAMI
        MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in playoff games in the current season.




        NBA
        Dunkel

        Sunday, October 11


        LA Lakers @ Miami

        Game 711-712
        October 11, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        LA Lakers
        124.969
        Miami
        126.414
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Miami
        by 1 1/2
        212
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        LA Lakers
        by 5
        216 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Miami
        (+5); Under





        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Sunday, October 11


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        LA LAKERS (67 - 24) vs. MIAMI (58 - 35) - 10/11/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA LAKERS are 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
        MIAMI is 50-40 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
        MIAMI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
        MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all playoff games this season.
        MIAMI is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        MIAMI is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
        MIAMI is 43-35 ATS (+4.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        LA LAKERS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        LA LAKERS is 8-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        NBA

        Sunday, October 11


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        Trend Report
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        LA Lakers @ Miami
        LA Lakers
        LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
        LA Lakers is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
        Miami
        Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers


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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-11-2020, 11:50 AM.

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