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Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 9/17

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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 9/17

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, September 17

    Good Luck on day #261 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Work joyfully and peacefully, knowing that right thoughts and right efforts will inevitably bring about right results.




    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    MLB leaders in RBI:
    49— Jose Abreu, CWS
    46— Freddie Freeman, Atl
    45— Luke Voit, NYY
    44— Marcell Ozuna, Atl
    41— Manny Machado, SD
    40— Mike Trout LAA, Fernando Tatis SD
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 196,103
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's Den: 13 athletes who excelled at more than one sport

    (listed alphabetically)
    — Danny Ainge— Played 14 years in the NBA, after a great career at BYU. He also hit .220 in 211 games over three years for the Toronto Blue Jays.

    — Jim Brown— One of the best running backs in NFL history, he led the NFL in rushing in 8 of his 9 seasons. Brown also played basketball, ran track, and was a great lacrosse player while in college at Syracuse.

    — Wilt Chamberlain— Scored 31,419 points in his NBA career; once scored 100 points in a game- he averaged over 30 ppg for his career. He preferred track in high school, high jumping, long jumping, running the quarter-mile and half-mile events while also throwing the shot put.

    When he was in the NBA, Wilt got annoyed that he was criticized for shooting too much so the next season (1967-68) he led the league in assists.

    — Bob Hayes— Played wide receiver for the Dallas Cowboys for 11 years; he also won two gold medals in track at the 1964 Olympics. Hayes caught 371 passes for 20 yards/catch in his NFL career, scoring 73 touchdowns.

    — Bo Jackson— Was a great running back at Auburn, and played 38 games for the Raiders, averaging 5.4 yards/carry. He played eight years in the major leagues, hitting 141 homers- he played the last two years with an artificial hip.

    — Michael Jordan— Not much to add here; won a national title at North Carolina, six NBA titles with the Chicago Bulls, and out of nowhere, he hit .202 for the AA Birmingham Barons in 1994, as an outfielder, during his sabbatical from the NBA.

    Hitting .202 doesn’t sound like much, but I was an official scorer for two years at the AA level; there are guys who were career baseball players who didn’t hit .200 at that level. Jordan also stole 30 bases that season.

    — Kenny Lofton— Played 17 years in the big leagues, with a .372 on-base %age and 622 stolen bases— hell of a ballplayer, a 6-time All Star. Lofton also played college basketball at Arizona; he is one of only two people EVER to play in the Final Four and World Series.

    — Nate Robinson— Played 11 years in the NBA, he won the Slam Dunk title three times even though he is only 5-9; he scored 11 ppg for his professional career. Robinson originally went to U of Washington on a football scholarship; he played football for the Huskies as a freshman, but gave football up after that season.

    — Bill Russell— Played 13 seasons in the NBA, won 11 titles, lost in the finals another year. San Francisco won consecutive NCAA titles with Russell as their center in 1955-56. Russell also was a high jumper at USF; at one time, he was ranked as the 7th-best high jumper in the world, but had to choose between track and basketball as far as the Olympics went- he chose basketball.

    — Deion Sanders— Played 14 years in the NFL for five teams; he picked off 53 passes in his pro career, running back nine of them for touchdowns. He also played baseball, playing nine years in the major leagues, hitting .263 for four teams, with 186 stolen bases.

    — Tim Stoddard— First person ever to play in a Final Four and a World Series; he was a starting forward on NC State’s championship team in 1974. He also pitched in the major leagues for 13 years, winning a World Series ring with the ’83 Orioles. He also got a hit in his only at-bat in a World Series game.

    — Charlie Ward— He won the 1993 Heisman Trophy, leading Florida State to their first-ever national title on the gridiron. Ward also played 11 years in the NBA for three teams, mostly the Knicks, scoring 6.3 ppg for his career.

    — Dave Winfield— Played both baseball/basketball for the Minnesota Gophers; his college basketball coach was Bill Musselman, who later coached in the NBA. Winfield was also drafted by the NFL’s Vikings, but he never played college football.

    Winfield was a great baseball player; he played 22 years in the majors, hit .283 with 465 career homers and an on-base %age of .353.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-17-2020, 01:51 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA public betting, line movement September 17
      Patrick Everson

      The Heat’s impressive playoff work aside, DraftKings opened Game 2 at Celtics -2 and moved to -2.5 early Wednesday. Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET Thursday.

      NBA betting odds are back on the board after a one-day respite, with Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals on the Thursday playoff schedule. The red-hot Miami Heat aim to take a 2-0 lead in their best-of-7 series against the Boston Celtics.

      DraftKings Sportsbook provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s matchup.

      NBA line movement

      Miami is a scorching 9-1 SU and ATS in the NBA playoffs, including a 117-114 overtime victory against Boston in Game 1 on Tuesday. The Heat’s impressive playoff work aside, DraftKings opened Game 2 at Celtics -2 and moved to -2.5 early Wednesday. Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET Thursday.

      DraftKings opened the total at 208 and moved to 208.5 early Wednesday.

      NBA public betting

      Ticket count at DraftKings is running almost even, with a slight lean toward the Celtics at 52 percent. But the money is a little more impressed by the Heat’s Game 1 victory, with Miami getting 61 percent of point-spread cash as of Wednesday afternoon.

      The public is also hitting the Over early, at 78 percent of tickets and 76 percent of money. Moneyline wagering has two-way action, with 54 percent of bets on Miami and 55 percent of money on Boston.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-17-2020, 01:54 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        701MIAMI -702 BOSTON
        BOSTON is 52-29 ATS (20.1 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.




        NBA
        Dunkel

        Thursday, September 17


        Miami @ Boston

        Game 701-702
        September 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Miami
        123.560
        Boston
        128.555
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Boston
        by 5
        205
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Boston
        by 2
        209 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Boston
        (-2); Under





        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, September 17


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MIAMI (53 - 30) vs. BOSTON (56 - 28) - 9/17/2020, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
        BOSTON is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
        BOSTON is 158-116 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
        BOSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
        BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
        BOSTON is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        BOSTON is 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        BOSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
        BOSTON is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        BOSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
        MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all playoff games this season.
        MIAMI is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 7-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        BOSTON is 6-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NBA

        Thursday, September 17


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Miami @ Boston
        Miami
        Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Boston
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games
        Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-17-2020, 01:55 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Game 2 Odds: Heat vs. Celtics
          Michael Crosson

          The Eastern Conference Finals will continue Thursday from the NBA Bubble in Orlando, Florida and the Boston Celtics will look to rebound after dropping an overtime setback to the Miami Heat in Game 1 on Tuesday.

          Betting Resources

          Matchup: Eastern Conference Finals Game 2
          Series: Miami Heat lead 1-0
          Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
          Location: Orlando, Florida
          Date: Thursday, Sept. 17, 2020
          Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
          TV: ESPN

          Miami Heat rookie Tyler Herro almost recorded a triple-double in Game 1, finishing with 12 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists. (AP)

          Line Movements

          The red-hot Miami Heat pulled off the 117-114 overtime upset in Game 1, but that has not swayed the oddsmakers prior to the second contest of this series as the Celtics still head into Game 2 as two and a half-point favorites, already trailing Miami 1-0.

          It has been a bad month to be an ‘over’ bettor in the 2020 NBA Playoffs so far, as the ‘under’ has cashed in 19 out of 26 post-season games inside the bubble.

          Game 1 between the Celtics and Heat was not one of those games though, as these teams combined for 212 points in regulation – securing ‘over 209’ before they tacked on almost 20 more in the OT stanza. The line for Thursday night’s tilt fallen a little bit though, siting at a tempting line of OU 208.5.

          Spread: Boston -2.5
          Money-Line: Boston -140, Miami +120
          Total: 208.5
          Updated Series Price: Miami -150, Boston +130

          Game 1 Recap

          It sure is a shame that there are no fans present to witness these grueling playoff battles in the bubble, because there is no doubt Boston’s TD Garden would have been rocking for Game 1 on Tuesday night.

          It could have even been just what some of the Celtics’ young stars needed to push them over their competitive edge in overtime during their first battle with Miami in these Eastern Conference Finals.

          No complaints from Brad Stevens’ corner though as Jayson Tatum and Marcus Smart combined for 56 points on 45% shooting in their 2020 ECF debuts – putting their team in a reasonable position to extend/win the game by closing the gap to a two-point differential in OT with just 12 ticks remaining on the clock.

          Tatum had his game-tying dunk attempt emphatically denied at the rim by Bam Adebayo though, earning Erik Spoelstra’s team its first victory in an Eastern Conference Finals matchup since the LeBron James years (2014).

          Game 1 Betting Results

          Outcome:
          Heat 117 Celtics 114 (OT)

          Game: Heat Win, Heat Cover (+2), Over 2019
          First Quarter: Celtics Win (26-18), Celtics Cover (-0.5), Under 54.5
          First-Half: Tied (55-55), Heat Cover (+0.5), Over 108
          Second-Half: Heat Win (62-59), Heat Cover (+1.5), Over 103.5

          Heat Betting Outlook

          Inside the Stats


          Overall: 12-6 SU, 12-6 ATS, 8-9-1 O/U
          Bubble: 9-1 SU, 9-1 ATS, 4-6 O/U

          Miami came out of the gates flat and it looked like the Celtics might run away with the opening game of this series in the early-goings when they jumped out to a 26-18 first quarter lead. However, that shifted rather quickly as the Heat lit up the scoreboard in the second stanza for 37 points on 68.2 percent shooting to close out the half.

          The Heat managed to post another insane offensive column of basketball in the fourth quarter of Game 1, racking up 35 points on 71.4 percent shooting to force OT in the final stanza of the contest.

          The Heat needed every bit of the 72 points they dropped in the second and fourth quarters to force overtime in series opener, PLUS and insane block from Adebayo at the buzzer to seal the deal.

          Not to rain on Miami’s parade here, but they cannot afford to ride the roller coaster in this series like they did in Game 1. The Heat need to string together four good quarters of basketball in Game 2 if they want to take a two-game advantage over a Boston team that has been devastatingly consistent this season. And somebody tell Duncan Robinson to stay out of foul trouble, holy cow.

          Celtics Betting Outlook

          Inside the Stats


          Overall: 13-6 SU, 11-7-1 ATS, 6-11-2 O/U
          Bubble: 8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS, 3-9 O/U

          No need to panic if you are a Celtics series bettor following their loss on Tuesday night, but if Boston fails to get over the hump again in Game 2 then it might be time to admit that Jimmy Butler and company are just on a magical run and may need to avoid betting against them at all costs for the near future.

          I do not believe that is the kind of situation we are dealing with here though, as the heroes in Game 1 for Miami were Goran Dragic and Jae Crowder who went for a combined 51 points in the contest on 60% shooting.

          The Dragic-Crowder-Butler trio shot a combined 10 of 18 from downtown in the contest, and I have a tough time believing they are going to be able to replicate those numbers over the course of a series.

          I think Boston ultimately comes out on top in this series, but there is no doubt the Heat will make me eat those words if their role-players keep burying 3’s at a 55% clip the rest of the way.

          Key Injuries

          Miami


          PF Chris Silva: Pelvis - Out

          Boston

          SG Javonte Green: Knee - Game Time Decision
          SF Gordon Hayward: Ankle - Game Time Decision

          Celtics forward, Gordon Hayward, has been upgraded to a “game-time decision” for Boston’s Game 2 tilt with the Heat on Thursday night.

          The Butler product has not played since injuring his ankle in Game 1 of their opening round playoff series with the 76ers – his return should add some much needed size and scoring depth to Celtic rotation moving forward in this series.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-17-2020, 01:56 PM.

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