Announcement

**Udog** · 09-13-2020, 09:34 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Major league leaders in runs scored:
46— Fernando Tatis, SD
43— Dansby Swanson, Atl
39— Mike Trout, LAA
38— Freeman Atl, TAnderson CWS, TTurner Wash
37— Manny Machado, SD
35— Story Col, Abreu CWS, Yastrzemski SF, Conforto NYM, Hoskins Phil

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 193,482
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo:Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Like everything else in 2020, the first real Saturday of college football was odd, capped off by a Coastal Carolina-Kansas game that kicked off at 9pm local time in Lawrence, followed by a 1am ET Korean baseball game. Fun for the whole family.

I’m not a scientist, but I’m pretty sure playing football in this environment isn’t a great idea, especially when the players do not get paid, but college sports is big business, and if you don’t believe that, well Oklahoma charged $55 or so on pay-per-view for their opener against I-AA juggernaut Missouri State. Sooners won 48-0; thrilling.

12) If the presidents/AD’s in the Big X knew what was going to happen on the field Saturday, they might’ve thought a quarantine wasn’t such a bad idea.

Coastal Carolina 38, Kansas 23— Second year in row the Chanticleers upset Kansas in Lawrence; this game was 28-0 until just before halftime.

11) Texas Tech 35, Houston Baptist 33— Houston Baptist is I-AA, so this is kind of like a loss for Tech, except it isn’t officially a loss. I mean, Tech was a 40-point favorite and won by 2.

10) Louisiana 31, Iowa State 14— Ragin’ Cajuns’ DB’s dominated the Iowa State receivers; it helped that the refs didn’t seem interested in throwing any flags for defensive holding or PI. Iowa State was a 13-point favorite.

Louisiana missed two easy field goals, but ran a punt back for a TD and also ran a kickoff back for a TD. Saturday looked like it was a very rough day for placekickers, especially young ones.

9) Arkansas State (+14.5) 35, Kansas State 31— Arkansas State’s coach is Blake Anderson; he deserves some joy in his life- his wife passed away just before last season started, and then he lost his dad this offseason. Guy is a good coach who could be moving up soon.

8) Game of the Day: Tex-San Antonio 51, Texas State 48 OT— Down 41-35, Texas State ran a punt back 91 yards for a TD with 1:13 left, but they missed the PAT, then missed a short FG in overtime, and the Roadrunners escaped with a win in Jeff Traylor’s debut as USTA’s coach.

Texas State played without its starting QB, who sat out with COVID-related issues.

7) Saturday’s football upsets:
— Louisiana (+13) 31, Iowa State 14
— Arkansas State (+14.5) 35, Kansas State 31
— Georgia Tech (+13) 16, Florida State 13
— Coastal Carolina (+6) 38, Kansas 23

6) Kansas State (8-1) won the SouthPoint’s prop bet by scoring the first touchdown of the day; the favorites were North Carolina (3-1), Appalachian State (7-2).

5) Some NFL guys had big paydays Saturday; Saints’ RB Alvin Kamara, Vikings’ RB Dalvin Cook and Rams’ WR Cooper Kupp all got contract extensions.

4) Oakland A’s got some very bad news; 3B Matt Chapman will have hip surgery, is out for the season. Thats a big loss- they somehow acquired Jake Lamb from Arizona right before I typed this. They must pay Arizona under the table to cut him, then they signed Lamb up when no one else claimed him.

3) Arizona/Red Sox are first two teams to clinch their under bets in season win total wagering.

2) Lakers 119, Rockets 96— Lakers win series 4-1; you get the feeling Mike D’Antoni will be the scapegoat for Houston’s 2nd-round exit. Now the Lakers hope Denver can force a Game 7 against the Clippers tonight, just to tire both teams out.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

15 days left in the season, and the Marlins are still a playoff team.

**Udog** · 09-13-2020, 09:36 AM

NBA public betting, line movement September 13
Patrick Everson

Jamal Murray and the Nuggets meet Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers in Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals Sunday. The SuperBook has Los Angeles an 8.5-point favorite.

NBA betting odds are up for the lone playoff game on the Sunday schedule, Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals. The Denver Nuggets look to once again extend this series against the Los Angeles Clippers.

The SuperBook provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s matchup.

NBA line movement

Denver trailed Los Angeles 3-1 in this best-of-7 series and was down a dozen at halftime of Game 5 on Friday. But the Nuggets rallied to grab a 111-105 victory and push the Clippers to Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET Game 6. The Clippers opened -8 at The SuperBook and reached -9 Saturday night, but quickly ticked back to -8.5.

The total opened at 213.5 and moved to 214 late Saturday night.

NBA public betting

Perhaps surprisingly, the Consensus is showing strong support for Denver to cover the number in Game 7. Through Saturday night, the Nuggets were landing 69 percent of picks, and on the total, 67 percent of picks were on the Over.

On the total, 71 percent of early Consensus picks were on the Over.

**Udog** · 09-13-2020, 09:40 AM

725LA CLIPPERS -726 DENVER
LA CLIPPERS are 46-25 ATS (18.5 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 13

LA Clippers @ Denver

Game 725-726
September 13, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
128.357
Denver
114.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 14
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 13

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LA CLIPPERS (56 - 27) vs. DENVER (52 - 33) - 9/13/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 248-302 ATS (-84.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Sunday, September 13

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Trend Report
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LA Clippers @ Denver
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Clippers is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

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Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 9/13

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 9/13

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