Announcement

**Udog** · 09-09-2020, 09:10 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Over/under win totals for NFL teams:
Cincinnati— 5.5 (over -150)
Cleveland— 8.5
Dallas— 10
Denver— 7.5 (over -130)
Detroit— 7 (over -130)
Green Bay— 8.5 (-120)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 189,323
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Have to be some basketball coaches, both in college and the NBA, who are a little queasy about their jobs today; Billy Donovan won’t be coming back to the Oklahoma City Thunder next year. Thunder went 243-157 under Donovan, 18-23 in playoff games, but may be headed towards a rebuild, so someone else will coach their team going forward.

If Donovan announced he wants to go back to college coaching, how many schools wouldn’t fire their coach to bring him in? His Florida teams are the last back/back NCAA champs.

12) Nigel Richards is a man from New Zealand who memorized every French word in the French scrabble dictionary and won the French Scrabble Championship without being able to speak any French. Why would you even attempt that, and how long did it take him?

Is there big money in Scrabble? Hope the guy made a fortune.

11) Sounds like college basketball could begin this season with a series of events in bubbles around the country, much like the NBA has done in Orlando, giving teams a few games to play out of conference before Christmas.

I’ve heard Mohegan Sun in Connecticut, Sioux Falls SD, Houston as potential bubble sites.

10) It snowed in Colorado, South Dakota this week; it is freakin’ September 9 and it snowed. No bueno.

Denver Broncos had to practice indoors and right before the end of practice, their star LB Von Miller hurt his ankle and is probably out for the season.

9) Orioles 11, Mets 2— This has obviously been a weird season, but right now Baltimore is only a half-game out of a playoff spot in the American League. They lost 115, 108 games the last couple of seasons, but now they’re vastly improved at 20-21.

Random observations; Orioles have very nice hats. Also, their utility guy Pat Valaika is 8-12 against the Mets this season.

8) Padres 14, Rockies 5— If you bet over 8.5, you got to go to bed early; game was 5-3 after the first inning, 10-3 after the second. San Diego won 1-0 Monday night; they scored 10 runs in first two innings of this game.

7) September 7, 1993, guy on the Cardinals named Mark Whiten hit four home runs in one game, knocked in 12 runs. Imagine going up against him in fantasy that week? Quite a night.

I bring this up because two of the four home runs that night were hit against a Reds’ pitcher named Mike Anderson, who was making his major league debut.

Mike Anderson is the brother of Brian Anderson, who is now the play-by-play guy for the Milwaukee Brewers; he also does NBA games on TNT. Brian Anderson was talking about that game with Stan Van Gundy on the NBA broadcast the other night; they were laughing, but if Mike was listening at home, maybe he wasn’t.

6) Marlins 8, Braves 0— Rookie Sixto Sanchez threw six shutout innings; Miami is 19-18 and would be in the playoffs if they started today.

5) NBA Draft was pushed back to October 16; no way the next NBA regular season starts before Christmas, maybe not even until Martin Luther King Day in January.

4) NBA players apparently bring their own food to the bubble every day; Celtics’ star Jayson Tatum brings his lunch in a Lion King lunchbox, the square, metal kind of lunchbox we all used when we were kids. Pretty cool.

I had a Volkswagen bus lunchbox back in the day; they opened a new VW dealership near my house and they were giving them away.

3) Miami 103, Milwaukee 94 (Heat wins 4-1)
— Giannis Antetokounmpo sat this one out with a bad ankle.
— Miami’s four subs were a combined +68.

2) Lakers 112, Houston 102 (LA leads 2-1)
— Kuzma/Rondo shot a combined 15-21 off the bench.
— Rockets’ starters other than Harden/Westbrook shot combined 7-19.
— Houston scored 64 points in first half, 38 in second half.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

**Udog** · 09-09-2020, 09:12 AM

NBA public betting, line movement September 9
Patrick Everson

Kyle Lowry and Jaylen Brown collide when the Raptors meet the Celtics in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals Wednesday. The SuperBook opened Boston -2.5 and moved to -3.

NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs continue Wednesday in a pair of conference semifinal games. The Boston Celtics can punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals with a win over the Toronto Raptors, and the Los Angeles Clippers aim to take control of their series against the Denver Nuggets.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

Boston rolled over Toronto 111-89 in Monday’s Game 5 to take a 3-2 lead in the best-of-seven series, so the defending NBA champion Raptors must win Wednesday night to keep their season going. The SuperBook opened the Celtics -2.5 Tuesday morning and moved to -3 a few hours later, where the line remained through Tuesday night. Tipoff is at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles fended off Denver 113-107 Monday to take a 2-1 series lead in the West semis. The Clippers opened -7.5 at The SuperBook and inched to -8 early Tuesday for a 9 p.m. ET Wednesday start.

NBA public betting

The Consensus reveals the public isn’t overwhelmingly high on Boston, but expects Team Green to finish off this series. Through Tuesday night, the Celtics were attracting 62 percent of picks against the Raptors. However, in the late game, the underdog Nuggets were drawing 74 percent of picks against the Clippers.

**Udog** · 09-09-2020, 09:15 AM

709TORONTO -710 BOSTON
BOSTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in the current season.

711LA CLIPPERS -712 DENVER
LA CLIPPERS are 42-21 ATS (18.9 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 9

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TORONTO (59 - 22) vs. BOSTON (55 - 26) - 9/9/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 228-280 ATS (-80.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
BOSTON is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (55 - 26) vs. DENVER (51 - 32) - 9/9/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 247-301 ATS (-84.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Wednesday, September 9

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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games

LA Clippers @ Denver
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

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**Udog** · 09-09-2020, 09:59 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 9

Toronto @ Boston

Game 709-710
September 9, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
123.105
Boston
130.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-2 1/2); Under

Denver @ LA Clippers

Game
September 9, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
113.283
LA Clippers
129.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 16 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8); Over

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 9/9

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 9/9

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