Announcement

**Udog** · 09-04-2020, 09:08 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Teams that were worst in college football in turnover margin last year:
-15— Akron, New Mexico, New Mexico State
-13— Rutgers, NC State
-12— Kansas
-11— Central Michigan, Colorado State, Duke, Hawai’i, Southern Miss
-10— Northwestern, USC

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 186,392
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a fun summer night

13) We start today with a movie review…….

The Way Back stars Ben Affleck as a guy (Jack Cunningham) who was a high school basketball star who walked away from the game rather than play in college; he got married, had a kid, but then his 8-year old son died of cancer, and he developed a drinking problem that ruined his marriage.

The movie starts with people from his old high school asking Jack Cunningham to come back to his old school to coach the basketball team; the previous coach had fallen ill. Reluctant at first, he takes the job and after a slow start, the team begins to turn it around.

This is a good movie because there is some laughter and some darkness; Jack Cunningham not only drinks a lot, he curses even more, much to the chagrin of the team’s chaplain. Basketball scenes in this movie are very well done.

This movie is making the rounds on HBO this month; it is worth your time.

12) Watching this movie, I was reminded that I once rebounded for a guy who made 126 foul shots in a row- seriously, he did.

I was student manager of our basketball team in college; rebounding for guys was part of my job, actually one of the best parts, but not when a guy makes 126 in a row and won’t stop until he misses one. I was hungry and wanted to go have dinner; tried throwing him a couple bad passes to get him off his mark, but that didn’t work.

Very impressive display of shooting by a guy who never played a significant minute for us; all he could do was shoot. We had a really good team, which made my job a lot more fun.

11) This week the Braves played in Fenway Park:
— Tuesday, Marcell Ozuna hit three homers.
— Wednesday, Adam Duvall hit three homers.

I was really surprised by this, but this was the first time EVER that teammates hit 3+ homers in consecutive games.

10) Defending World Series champion Washington Nationals are 12-23 this year, are headed nowhere; last year, they were 19-31 after 50 games, but they had a whole summer to bounce back, plus they had Rendon and a healthy Strasburg.

You can start to sense that reality has set in for a few of these terrible teams (Nationals, Red Sox, Pirates, Angels); they don’t have enough pitching to compete in such a compressed season. Will be interesting to see how many changes teams make this winter.

9) Arizona Diamondbacks were the last team to play an extra inning game under the new rules; they lost to the Dodgers in extra frames Wednesday night.

Last two years, with the new rule being used in the minor leagues, 73% of extra inning games ended after the first extra inning, whether it be the 8th or 10th inning. The two years before that, only 45% of extra inning games had ended in the first extra frame.

8) As of Wednesday night, seven major league teams still didn’t have a sacrifice bunt this season. One of the basic tenets of the analytics movements is not to make an out on purpose, and with pitchers not batting anymore, that is becoming the norm.

7) Mets have been outscored 51-28 in the first two innings of games this season.

6) Unusual stat; since 2014, New Orleans Saints are 58-38 SU in regular season games, but only 15-25-1 ATS as a home favorite. I would’ve thought they fared better at home.

5) Bronx Bombers are 20-16 this year; 2-8 vs Tampa Bay, 3-3 against the Mets, 15-5 against everyone else. Lot of their games with the Mets were really interesting; all six were decided by 3 or fewer runs.

4) South Alabama 29, Southern Miss 21:
— Jaguars were 12.5-point underdogs; it was their first road win in three years.
— USA quarterback Desmond Trotter is Ozzie Newsome’s grandson.
— Frank Gore Jr is a freshman RB for USM; his dad is still playing in the NFL.

3) Raptors 104, Celtics 103 (Boston leads 2-1)
— OG Anunoby drained a 3 at the buzzer to keep the series interesting.
— Raptors were down 10 at the half; huge win for them.
— Toronto was +12 with Siakam in the game; minus-11 in the 10:00 he sat out.
— Jayson Tatum was only 5-18 from the floor.

2) Clippers 120, Nuggets 97 (LA leads 1-0)
— Nuggets haven’t recovered from the Utah series yet.
— Leonard scored 29 points in 32:00 for the Clippers.
— Clippers shot 57% from the floor, unusually good for an NBA game.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, NY/Tor
AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, Tor/NY

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, Colorado

**Udog** · 09-04-2020, 09:11 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, September 4

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CHICAGO (11 - 7) vs. WASHINGTON (4 - 12) - 9/4/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in August or September games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a division game this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (12 - 5) vs. DALLAS (6 - 11) - 9/4/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (14 - 3) vs. LOS ANGELES (13 - 4) - 9/4/2020, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Friday, September 4

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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Washington
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Chicago's last 23 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Minnesota @ Dallas
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Seattle @ Los Angeles
Seattle
Seattle is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

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**Udog** · 09-04-2020, 11:05 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, September 4

Chicago @ Washington

Game 613-614
September 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
113.617
Washington
103.003
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 10 1/2
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 7 1/2
168 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-7 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Dallas

Game 615-616
September 4, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
114.953
Dallas
106.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 8
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
165
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5); Under

Seattle @ Los Angeles

Game 617-618
September 4, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
118.728
Los Angeles
110.263
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 8 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 4 1/2
161
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-4 1/2); Over

Announcement

Friday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/4

Friday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/4

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