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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 8/20

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, August 20

    Good Luck on day #233 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Matchup Links

    NBA SAGARIN RATINGS

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Trends

    NBA Database


    Sports Matchups

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Week 3 NFL odds
    — Miami (-1) @ Jacksonville
    — Chicago @ Atlanta (-2)
    — Rams @ Buffalo (-3)
    — Washington @ Cleveland (-9)
    — Tennessee @ Minnesota (-3.5)
    — Las Vegas @ New England (-5.5)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 172,048
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo:Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

    13) I’m thinking NBA refs must be loving these games in the bubble; not many people are there to yell at them, no rich people in the first row spilling their drinks on the floor, and if someone does yell at them, TV mikes pick up everything, so chances are the criticism is toned down.

    12) These 7-inning games in doubleheaders take some getting used to; after watching 9-inning major league games for the last 55 years, a game is tied in the 5th inning, and I’m slow to realize that the game is in the late innings already.

    11) In 2018-19, of the 277 hits that came on 3-0 counts, 86 of them were home runs. This season, 12 of the first 14 hits that came on 3-0 counts were homers.

    10) Orioles’ catcher Chance Sisco batted leadoff the last couple of days for Baltimore; he is the first Orioles’ catcher to bat leadoff since June 26, 1985, when Floyd Rayford batted leadoff for the O’s.

    9) This is the first time since 2003 that both #8-seeds upset both #1-seeds in the first game of the NBA playoffs.

    8) Former Cubs’ SS Addison Russell is hitting .314 in his first 17 games for the Kiwoom Heroes in the KBO; Russell played in 82 games for the Cubs last year- he hit .242 in five big league seasons.

    7) Things I learned watching TV: Rams’ QB Jared Goff throws a football right-handed, but plays golf left-handed.

    6) Miami Marlins have two pitchers named Josh Smith; one is righty, one is lefty. They came in one after the other in their loss to the Mets Wednesday.

    NBA playoff games (all Game 2’s):
    5) Raptors 104, Nets 99 (Toronto leads series 2-0)
    — Brooklyn led this game most of the way, was up 6 after three quarters.
    — Three Nets’ subs who played were a combined minus-43.
    — Norman Powell scored 24 off the bench for Toronto.

    4) Utah 124, Denver 105 (series 1-1)
    — Jazz made 20-44 shots behind the arc.
    — Gobert/Mitchell were a combined 17-24 from the floor; Mitchell made six of his seven 3’s.
    — Denver made 13-27 on the arc, after making 22-41 in Game 1; Jazz forced them off the arc more.

    3) Celtics 128, 76ers 101 (Boston leads series 2-0)
    — Boston outscored Sixers 71-42 in quarters 2-3.
    — Tatum scored 33 for the Celtics, making 8-12 3’s.

    2) Mavericks 127, Clippers 114 (series 1-1)
    — Seth Curry was +30 in 26:00 off the Dallas bench.
    — Doncic has 28 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists.
    — Paul George was only 4-17 from the floor for LA.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- New York, Tampa Bay
    AL Central- Minnesota, Cleveland
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Baltimore, Chicago

    NL East- Miami, Atlanta
    NL Central- Chicago, Milwaukee
    NL West- Los Angeles, Colorado
    NL Wild Cards- San Diego, Arizona

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA public betting, line movement, sharp money for August 20
      Patrick Everson

      CJ McCollum and the Trail Blazers look to pull another upset of the Lakers in Game 2 Thursday night. Los Angeles opened a 6-point favorite at The SuperBook and moved to -6.5 Wednesday.

      NBA betting odds are up for Thursday’s conference quarterfinal contests, which became a little more intriguing when both No. 1 seeds tumbled in their respective Game 1s. The Los Angeles Lakers fell to the surging Portland Trail Blazers, while the Milwaukee Bucks were dealt an absolutely shocking loss by the Orlando Magic.

      The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s matchups.

      NBA line movement

      The Lakers were 6.5-point favorites in Game 1 against the eighth-seeded Blazers, but ultimately fell short 100-93, as the Damian Lillard show continued in a 34-point performance. Los Angeles opened a 6-point favorite for Game 2 and moved to -6.5 for a 9 p.m. ET clash.

      The Bucks’ loss was a much bigger surprise, as they were 14-point favorites against the eighth-seeded Magic, yet fell 122-110. Milwaukee opened as 12-point chalk for Game 2, and The SuperBook moved to -12.5 Wednesday night for a 6 p.m. ET tipoff.

      Russell Westbrook missed Game 1 in the Houston Rockets’ series against the Oklahoma City Thunder, but James Harden picked up the slack with 37 points and 11 rebounds in a 123-108 win. Westbrook (quad strain) will sit again for the 3:30 p.m. ET Game 2 tilt, but the Rockets are 2.5-point favorites, after opening -2.

      NBA sharp money

      Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook, said there wasn’t much in the way of early sharp action.

      NBA public betting

      The public loves the Lakers, and the Game 1 outcome did nothing to change that fact.

      “Early money is on the Lakers, no surprise there,” Osterman said, noting the aforementioned half-point increase to Los Angeles -6.5 at The SuperBook.

      Public bettors are also involved in the first game of the day, with the Miami Heat facing the Indiana Pacers at 1 p.m. ET.

      “The Pacers are getting some bets on the moneyline +165. It’s mostly public money,” Osterman said. “We’re also seeing some parlay money with the Pacers and Over.”

      Indiana is a 4.5-point underdog, and the total is 215.

      Comment


      • #4
        711MIAMI -712 INDIANA
        MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

        713OKLAHOMA CITY -714 HOUSTON
        HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more in the current season.

        717PORTLAND -718 LA LAKERS
        LA LAKERS are 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.




        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, August 20


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        DALLAS (43 - 33) vs. LA CLIPPERS (50 - 23) - 8/19/2020, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA CLIPPERS are 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 75-61 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
        LA CLIPPERS are 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
        LA CLIPPERS are 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 86-70 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 455-369 ATS (+49.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
        DALLAS is 231-184 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
        DALLAS is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 71-51 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        DALLAS is 72-51 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        LA CLIPPERS are 243-297 ATS (-83.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
        LA CLIPPERS is 8-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MIAMI (45 - 29) vs. INDIANA (45 - 29) - 8/20/2020, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        INDIANA is 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all games this season.
        INDIANA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        INDIANA is 8-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        INDIANA is 6-6 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 29) vs. HOUSTON (45 - 28) - 8/20/2020, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HOUSTON is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        HOUSTON is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        ORLANDO (34 - 40) vs. MILWAUKEE (56 - 18) - 8/20/2020, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ORLANDO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        MILWAUKEE is 95-72 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 79-60 ATS (+13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 84-63 ATS (+14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 51-35 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 76-58 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        MILWAUKEE is 74-57 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        ORLANDO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
        MILWAUKEE is 9-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PORTLAND (37 - 39) vs. LA LAKERS (52 - 20) - 8/20/2020, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PORTLAND is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
        LA LAKERS are 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA LAKERS is 6-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        PORTLAND is 7-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NBA

        Thursday, August 20


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        Trend Report
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        Miami @ Indiana
        Miami
        Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Indiana
        Indiana
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
        Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

        Oklahoma City @ Houston
        Oklahoma City
        Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
        Houston
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
        Houston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

        Orlando @ Milwaukee
        Orlando
        The total has gone OVER in 11 of Orlando's last 12 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
        Milwaukee
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Orlando
        Milwaukee is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Orlando

        Portland @ LA Lakers
        Portland
        Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Portland is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
        LA Lakers
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 11 games when playing at home against Portland
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home


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        Comment


        • #5
          Game 2 Predictions & Odds: Heat vs. Pacers
          Michael Crosson

          The fourth-seeded Indiana Pacers will be looking to even up their opening round series against the fifth seeded Miami Heat on Thursday when the pair square off in Game 2 of their NBA Playoff first round matchup from Orlando, Florida.

          Betting Resources

          Matchup: Eastern Conference Game 2
          Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
          Location: Orlando, Florida
          Date: Thursday, Aug. 20, 2020
          Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
          TV: ESPN

          Line Movements

          The oddsmakers have indicated they feel comfortable with the line they set in game one, and we are seeing a similar trend in line movement for game two, as Miami opened as five and a half point favorites and Pacers bettors bringing have knocked the spread down to four and a half in favor of the Heat at most books.

          ‘Under’ bettors cashed tickets in Tuesday night’s affair, but they sweat it out as the total OU closed at 216.0 for game one, and these teams combined for 214 points in Miami’s 113-101 victory. Thursday night’s contest sits at 215.0 at most books, exactly one point higher than the previous contest’s total.

          Indiana has now jumped up to a +500 underdog to advance to the 2nd round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs, after opening at +240, indicating the confidence the oddsmakers have in the Heat after their statement win in game one.

          Spread: Miami -4.5
          Money-Line: Miami -185, Indiana +165
          Total: 215
          Updated Series Price: Miami -700, Indiana +500

          Game 1 Recap

          Miami’s All-Star shooting guard, Jimmy Butler, tried to clear the air prior to game one regarding his and TJ Warren’s beef coming into the series, but after seeing the look in Jimmy’s eyes down the stretch in the first game, it is clear he still has the hole in his heart for Indiana he had going into the bubble, entering the 4th quarter with a one-point lead, then scoring 10 points in the final minutes, burying the Pacers and winning the final quarter by an 11-point margin.

          Butler out-dueled Warren 28-22 on the scoreboard and tallied four rebounds and 3 assists in Miami’s 113-101 game one victory. Goran Dragic got the playoff start on Tuesday and made a night out of it, complementing Jimmy’s 28 points with 24 points of his own along with six rebounds and five assists.

          It took them a little while to find their rhythm, but the Brogdon-Warren duo finished the game with 22 points each, and will likely need to contribute more than that on Thursday, now with Victor Oladipo 'questionable' for tonight’s tilt already down in an 0-1 hole.

          The Miami Heat outscored the Indiana Pacers by 21 combined points in the second and fourth quarters in their Game 1 victory. (AP)

          Game 1 Betting Results

          The Pacers won the first (33-27) and third (28-25) quarters in Game 1 but the Heat outscored them by 21 points in the second and fourth quarters. Indiana's inability to make any shots in the final 12 minutes helped bettors playing the 'under' for both the game and second-half.
          Outcome: Heat 113 Pacers 101

          Game: Heat Win, Heat Cover (-4), Under 216
          First Quarter: Pacers Win (33-27), Pacers Cover (+1), Over 54
          First-Half: Heat Win (56-52), Heat Cover (-2.5), Under 109.5
          Second-Half: Heat Win (57-49), Heat Cover (-1.5), Under 106

          Heat Betting Outlook

          Inside the Stats


          Overall: 45-29 SU, 37-36-1 ATS, 43-31 O/U
          Bubble: 3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS, 4-5 O/U

          The ‘under’ cashed in game one, but it was no thanks to Miami, as there were times during the contest when things were looking gloom for ‘under’ bettors, as the Heat finished the game with 113 points, and the offense looked fluent for the majority of the game.

          No Kendrick Nunn, no problem for the Heat as Butler and Dragic combined for 52 points in game one for the Miami’s backcourt, while Nunn did not see the floor on Tuesday after starting the majority of the games for them during regular season.

          Miami got behind the 8-ball early in the first contest in this series, trailing the Pacers 33-27 at the end of the first quarter in game one. The key for the Heat in game two should be to come out of the gate playing tight defense early, and for Butler and Dragic to establish their dominance over Brogdon and company.

          Pacers Betting Outlook

          Inside the Stats


          Overall: 45-29 SU, 39-30-5 ATS, 37-36-2 O/U
          Bubble: 6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS, 3-6 O/U

          Malcom Brogdon, Warren, and Aaron Holiday came out shooting in game one, the trio tallying a combined 21 points in the first quarter on Tuesday, jumping out to an early six-point lead.

          That was short lived though, as Butler and company turned it around defensively in the 2nd quarter, holding the Pacers to just 19 points and stealing a four-point lead heading into the half.

          Brogdon and Warren ended up finishing the contest with 44 of the Pacer’s 101 total points, partly because of the early exit from Oladipo, but they are going to need more out of their supporting cast if they are going to get it done in game two. Indiana got outscored from three-point land in game one 30-39, and if they want any shot at game two, they can not allow that to happen.

          Key Injuries

          Indiana


          SG Victor Oladipo: Eye - Game Time Decision
          PF Domantas Sabonis: Foot - Out
          SG Jeremy Lamb: Knee - Out

          Miami

          PG Gabe Vincent: Shoulder - Out
          SF KZ Okpala: Personal - Out

          Domantas Sabonis is set to miss his second straight contest in this series, but the real story here is Oladipo still being listed on the injury report as a game-time decision for game two, after leaving Tuesday’s game with a scratched eye. If Oladipo is unable to go on Thursday, look for Warren and Brogdon to eat up his missing volume again.

          Comment


          • #6
            Game 2 Predictions & Odds: Thunder vs. Rockets
            Michael Crosson

            Betting Resources

            Matchup: Western Conference Game 2
            Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
            Location: Orlando, Florida
            Date: Thursday, Aug. 20, 2020
            Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
            TV: ESPN

            Line Movements

            With Russell Westbrooks set to miss his second straight game in the opening round of the Western Conference Playoffs, the Rockets open as just two-point favorites after winning game one by a 15-point margin.

            The Houston Rockets have gone from underdogs in Game 1 to favorites in Game 2 in their series versus the Oklahoma City. (AP)

            After cashing the ‘over’ by scoring 231 total points in their first contest, the total OU is set for game two 227.5, with not much movement in either direction yet, but make sure to keep track of all the line movements.

            Oklahoma City shifted from +120 to +290 underdogs to advance to the second round after getting routed in game one, and will look to even up this series at 1-1 on Thursday evening.

            Spread: Houston -2
            Money-Line: Houston -140, Oklahoma City +120
            Total: 227.5
            Updated Series Price: Houston -350, Oklahoma City +290

            Game 1 Recap

            The Rockets were missing one of their All-Star guards in game one of this opening series, leading the line for the first contest to close at -1 in favor of Houston.

            But clearly the absence of Westbrook was not missed too dearly, as James Harden went for 37 points over 34 minutes, sitting out the majority of the 4th quarter in the Rockets 123-108 win.

            Houston racked up 20 three-point bombs, shooting 38.5 percent from downtown, which is a tough clip to keep up with for a Oklahoma City team that doesn’t shoot the three particularly well.

            Chris Paul and Steven Adams combined for 37 points and 22 rebounds, but it simply wasn’t enough as Houston cruised to a game one victory without its second-best player.

            Game 1 Betting Results

            It was a wire-to-wire performance for the Houston Rockets in Game 1 as they covered the game, first-quarter, first-half and they even managed to hang around in cash the final 24 minutes too.

            Make a note that the teams combined for less than 50 points (48, 44) in both the first and fourth quarters but posted 72 and 67 combined points in the second and third stanzas respectively.
            Outcome: Rockets 123 Thunder 108

            Game: Rockets Win, Rockets Cover (+1.5), Over 225
            First Quarter: Rockets Win (28-20), Rockets Cover (+0.5), Under 57
            First-Half: Rockets Win (68-52), Rockets Cover (+1), Over 116
            Second-Half: Thunder Win (56-55), Rockets Cover (+5.5), Under 117

            Thunder Betting Outlook

            Inside the Stats


            Overall: 44-29 SU, 44-29 ATS, 35-37-1 O/U
            Bubble: 5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 O/U

            It’s back to the drawing board for Paul and company as the Thunder fell to the short-handed version of his old team in the opening game of this playoff series.

            CP3 was just one assist shy of a tripledouble on Tuesday night, but clearly it wasn’t even close to being enough as he got outscored by 17 points by his former teammate.

            The one real bright spot for Oklahoma City team was Danilo Gallinari, who tallied 29 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists in game one utilizing a mismatch all game drawing a Rocket’s guard off the bench defensively.

            With no Russ in this game again, ride Gallinari’s points ‘over’ as the Thunder are really going to need their three-point shooters to step up in game two if they intend on keeping this one close.

            Rockets Betting Outlook

            Inside the Stats


            Overall: 49-28 SU, 34-39 ATS, 31-42 O/U
            Bubble: 5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 3-6 O/U

            There were obviously some concerns coming into game one for Houston being without one of their allstar guards, but Harden continues to pacify critics time-after-time with another jaw-dropping performance from the field.

            This team is built completely around him, and as long as the Beard is in the lineup, the Rockets will be just fine and they proved that in game one. Harden’s total points line was set at 37.5 for game one, and Coach Mike D’Antoni took him out of the game right as he scored his 37thpoint in the 4th quarter followed by a Thunder timeout.

            Look for Harden to go over his total points +rebounds + assists line in this game 2 contest as I expect this game to be closer and for the Beard to tally more minutes.

            Key Injuries

            Houston


            PG Russell Westbrook: Quadriceps - Out

            Oklahoma City

            SG Luguentz Dort: Knee - Out

            Comment


            • #7
              Game 2 Predictions & Odds: Magic vs. Bucks
              Kevin Rogers

              After getting stunned in Game 1 on Tuesday, the top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks will look to rebound against the No. 8 Orlando Magic as they meet in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference first round matchups on Thursday evening from the NBA Bubble in Orlando.

              Betting Resources

              Matchup: Game 2
              Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
              Location: Orlando, Florida
              Date: Thursday, Aug. 20, 2020
              Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
              TV: ESPN

              Line Movements

              Spread: Milwaukee -12.5
              Money-Line: Milwaukee -1400, Orlando +800
              Total: 227.5
              Updated Series Price: Milwaukee -4000, Orlando +1500

              Game 1 Recap

              For the second time inside the bubble, the Milwaukee Bucks lost outright as a double-digit favorite. The Bucks were tripped up by the Nets earlier this month as 18.5-point chalk, but that was a meaningless regular season game to top-seeded Milwaukee. The eighth-seeded Magic, who seemed like they would be lucky to win one game in this series, led from start to finish in a 122-110 stunner as 14-point underdogs.

              Orlando built a 10-point lead after the first quarter and had an 18-point advantage late in the second quarter. Milwaukee cut the deficit to 69-68 with 8:33 remaining in the third quarter, but that's as close as the Bucks got as the Magic pulled away late in the period to grab a 92-79 cushion.

              Nikola Vucevic torched the Bucks as the Magic forward scored 35 points and pulled down 14 rebounds, while Orlando knocked down 16 three-pointers. The Bucks were limited to 43% shooting from the floor and missed 10 free throws in the loss, as last season's MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo put up 31 points for Milwaukee.

              Game 1 Betting Results

              Outcome: Magic 122 Bucks 110

              Game: Magic Win, Magic Cover (+14), Over 225.5
              First Quarter: Magic Win (33-23), Magic Cover (+4), Under 58
              First-Half: Magic Win (62-52), Magic Cover (+8), Under 114.5
              Second-Half: Magic Win (60-58), Magic Cover (+9.5), Over 117

              Magic Betting Outlook

              Inside the Stats


              Overall: 34-40 SU, 36-36-2, 39-32-3 O/U
              Bubble: 4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS, 6-3 O/U

              Orlando is the only team that didn't have to travel to the bubble, but the Magic endured a five-game skid after winning their first two contests against the Nets and Kings. The Magic lost all five games to Eastern Conference playoff teams, including double-digit defeats to Toronto and Indiana.

              In the last nine opportunities as an underdog dating back to before the pandemic, the Magic have compiled an impressive 7-2 ATS mark. Orlando beat Milwaukee for the first in five meetings this season, but the Magic have cashed in both opportunities as a double-digit underdog against the Bucks.

              Bucks Betting Outlook

              Inside the Stats


              Overall: 56-18 SU, 39-35 ATS, 35-37-2 O/U
              Bubble: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS, 6-3 O/U

              Milwaukee lost its second-round playoff opener to Boston by 22 points last season. However, the Bucks bounced back with four consecutive wins and covers, so losing Game 1 to Orlando isn't exactly doomsday for Milwaukee. On the flip side, Orlando upset Toronto in Game 1 of the first round as nine-point underdogs, then was blown out in Game 2 by a 111-82 count.

              The Bucks have done a good job of bouncing back off a non-cover as a double-digit favorite this season by putting together a 12-6 ATS mark in the following game. Milwaukee is 4-0 SU and ATS off an outright loss as a favorite of 10 points or more this season.

              Key Injuries

              Milwaukee


              Ersan Illyasova: Elbow – Questionable

              Orlando

              Michael Carter-Williams: Foot - Doubtful
              Aaron Gordon: Hamstring - Questionable

              Gordon has missed the last five games with a hamstring injury as the Magic are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS in this stretch. The forward's status is still up in the air for Thursday's contest.

              Comment


              • #8
                Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Game 2 Predictions, Odds, Preview
                Tony Mejia

                Thursday's NBA playoff finale will pit the No. 1 L.A. Lakers squaring off against the No. 8 Portland Trail Blazers in Game 2 of their first-round series. The "Purple and Gold" look to rebound from a Game 1 upset loss.

                Betting Resources

                Matchup: Game 2
                Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
                Location: Orlando, Florida
                Date: Thursday, Aug. 20, 2020
                Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
                TV: ESPN

                The L.A. Lakers opened as a 5-point favorite for Game 2 at DraftKings and 5.5 at Westgate SuperBook, but most shops had top-seeded L.A. as a 6-point 'chalk. You can still find -6 at a number of books but most have the Lakers listed as a 6.5-point favorite as of Wednesday evening.

                The total opened at 227 at Caesars, but has hovered in the 228-229 range as tip-off approaches.

                Be sure to follow all the line movements.

                Spread: Los Angeles -6.5
                Money-Line: Los Angeles -280, Portland +240
                Total: 229
                Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -240, Portland +200

                Game 1 Recap

                The Trail Blazers closed on a 19-6 run over the final 6:38 to defeat the Lakers in a game where they let a 16-point first half edge slip away. A LeBron James' 3-pointer with 7:21 left gave L.A. a game-high six-point lead but he was limited to a tip-in and Anthony Davis managed only a dunk in the entire fourth quarter, missing a pair of free throws as well.

                The Lakers shot a horrendous 5-for-32 from 3-point range (15.6 percent) while only Kyle Kuzma and Danny Green joined Davis and James in scoring in double-figures. The Lakers shot 35 percent from the field against a Blazers defense that was regularly roasted in seeding games despite their 7-2 record to reach the playoffs. Portland gave up 121 points in seven of their nine contests and hadn't held an opponent under 100 points since Jan. 7, a span of 37 games.

                Damian Lillard led Portland with 34 points, five rebounds and five assists while backcourt mate C.J. McCollum added 21 points. Jusuf Nurkic and Carmelo Anthony chipped in with double-doubles.

                Game 1 Betting Results

                Outcome: Trail Blazers 100 Lakers 93

                Game: Trail Blazers Win, Trail Blazers Cover (+6.5), Under 234
                First Quarter: Trail Blazers Win (36-25), Trail Blazers Cover (+1.5), Over 60.5
                First-Half: Trail Blazers Win (57-56), Trail Blazers Cover (+3.5), Under 119
                Second-Half: Trail Blazers Win (43-37), Trail Blazers Cover (+5.5), Under 116

                Trail Blazers Betting Outlook

                Inside the Stats


                Overall: 36-39 SU, 33-40-3 ATS, 45-31 O/U
                Bubble: 8-2 SU, 6-3-1 ATS, 8-2 O/U

                Portland cited the fact that it has been playing playoff games for the duration of its stay in the bubble as one reason it was able to respond as effectively as it was able to in the first half. The Blazers racked up 36 first-quarter points and ended up winning three of the four quarters.

                The Blazers hadn't been this heavy an underdog since action resumed prior to the closing number for Game 1 reaching 6.5. They were last this heavy a 'dog when they were getting 10 points at Indiana on Feb. 27.

                In case the line gets to Blazers +7, you should be aware that it went 2-9 straight up in games as an underdog of seven or more points (5-6 ATS).

                Lakers Betting Outlook

                Inside the Stats


                Overall: 52-20 SU, 36-35-1 ATS, 34-38 O/U
                Bubble: 3-6 SU, 1-8 ATS, 4-5 O/U

                The Lakers lacked intensity throughout the contest and need to figure out how to solve their offensive woes before they find themselves in a major hole in the series. James has found it difficult to get himself going without fans in the stands but still came through with a triple-double in Game 1 while shooting 9-for-20.

                While Kuzma is considered the third member of L.A.'s "Big Three" and finished third on the team in scoring (12.8 ppg), he's not out there with Davis and James often and does his damage while giving those guys their breather. Someone who sees minutes in that starting lineup has to step up as the third option. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shot 0-for-9, missing all five 3-point attempts. He finished with one point, one rebound and one assist in Game 1 despite playing nearly 30 minutes.

                L.A. ranked last in the bubble in scoring, 3-point shooting and assists despite James leading the league in that latter category for the first time in his storied career. Dion Waiters played just one minute while Alex Caruso got the bulk of the reserve backcourt minutes. I expect that will change in Game 2.

                Key Injuries

                Portland


                Zach Collins: Ankle – Out

                L.A. Lakers

                LeBron James: Groin - Probable
                Anthony Davis: Knee - Probable
                Rajon Rondo: Hand - Questionable
                Avery Bradley: Personal - Out

                Blazers power forward Zach Collins missed Game 1 and has been ruled out until at least Game 5 due to a stress reaction in his left ankle. Wenyen Gabriel started in Game 1 but Hassan Whiteside played most of the meaningful minutes, contributing seven points, eight boards and five blocks.

                James and Davis were listed on the injury report with nagging ailments but are otherwise fine. Bradley opted not to play in the bubble, while Rondo is still recovering from surgery and was upgraded to 'questionable' on Wednesday night, fueling hope that he'll debut this weekend if not in this Game 2. Green says a lingering headache has prevented him from playing to his potential but he expects to be himself soon.

                Comment


                • #9
                  NBA
                  Dunkel

                  Thursday, August 20


                  Miami @ Indiana

                  Game 711-712
                  August 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Miami
                  124.161
                  Indiana
                  112.528
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Miami
                  By 11 1/2
                  218
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Miami
                  By 4
                  214 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Miami
                  (-4); Over

                  Oklahoma City @ Houston


                  Game 713-714
                  August 20, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Oklahoma City
                  109.956
                  Houston
                  120.965
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Houston
                  By 11
                  228
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Houston
                  By 2 1/2
                  225 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Houston
                  (-2 1/2); Over

                  Orlando @ Milwaukee


                  Game 715-716
                  August 20, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Orlando
                  109.900
                  Milwaukee
                  125.188
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Milwaukee
                  By 15
                  233
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Milwaukee
                  By 12 1/2
                  227
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Milwaukee
                  (-12 1/2); Over

                  Portland @ LA Lakers


                  Game 717-718
                  August 20, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Portland
                  121.091
                  LA Lakers
                  115.206
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Portland
                  By 6
                  227
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  LA Lakers
                  By 6 1/2
                  229
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Portland
                  (+6 1/2); Under

                  Comment

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