Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/4

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, August 4

Good Luck on day #217 of 2019!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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WNBA Matchups

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds on whether NFL teams will make the playoffs this year:
Saints— yes -330, no +270
Giants— yes +330, no -400
Jets— yes +355, no -425
Eagles— yes -185, no +165
Steelers— yes, -150, no +130
49ers— yes, -330, no +270

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 155,191
Please wear a mask when you go out.


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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

I’m going on the disabled list for a couple days; am having eye surgery Tuesday morning. Will be back as soon as I can.

13) Watching NBA games on TV from Disney in Florida reminded me of when I used to go down to Florida in July every summer 15 or so years ago, to watch AAU games in that same building.

Toronto Raptors’ coach Nick Nurse was wearing a pullover while he coached; you might think, why a pullover when it is so hot down there, but the air conditioning in those places is very strong. One year I had to go to a **** to get a sweatsuit to wear in gyms because of the A/C.

Think the school was Cypress Creek HS outside of Kissimmee; Amare Stoudamire played there. They have a sign above the door to their chilly gym:

“The coldest winter day you’ll ever spend is a summer day in our gym”

12) Miami Marlins get back on the field tonight, but now the Cardinals have had an outbreak of coronavirus, so their games this week with Detroit have been postponed.

11) The healthy Marlins have been on the road for 17 days; the Marlins who tested positive had to be bused from Philly to Miami a while back, where they’re being quarantined.

What poor bastards got elected to drive that bus? Did they go rock-paper-scissors, and losers had to drive?

10) Watching the Milwaukee-Houston NBA game on ESPN Sunday night, high quality game. Could listen to Jeff Van Gundy/Mark Jackson talk all night; they’re great together.

Houston plays a different style of ball; they took 61 3’s vs Milwaukee, only 30 2-point shots.

9) Was surprised to see Portland’s Damian Lillard play all 24:00 in the 2nd half of the Blazers’ 128-124 loss to Boston Sunday; he scored 22 points, had 10 assists, just in the 2nd half.

8) Mets 7, Braves 2- Jacob deGrom gets his first win of the year. Was weird hearing thunder during this game; weather in Atlanta was fine, but the Mets’ announcers are working from Citi Field, and it was stormy there, so you could hear the thunder on TV.

Three Mets’ infielders were scratched early or left this game with injuries; Cano, McNeil and Rosario. Atlanta P Soroka suffered what looked like a serious leg injury when he was trying to cover first base on a ground ball.

7) Shohei Ohtani has a strained flexor tendon, won’t pitch for six weeks, but he can still DH. Ohtani has faced 20 batters in two starts, got only five of them out.

Phillies-Bronx game for Tuesday has already been postponed by storms; it will be made up as part of a Wednesday twinbill in Philly, with Bronx as the home team in one of the games.

6) Seattle Mariners put a cardboard cutout of Cubs’ fan Steve Bartman in their stands down the left field line, pretty much where Bartman was in that infamous playoff game at Wrigley.

5) Actor Dwayne Johnson and some partners bought the XFL Monday, for $13M; “The Rock” was a defensive lineman at Miami FL back in the day, and played briefly in the CFL. Will be curious how that group runs the league.

4) Some prominent names on the disabled list: Votto, Hosmer, Tim Anderson, Homer Bailey.

3) Best wishes to Brewers bench coach Pat Murphy, who had a heart attack during a Brewers’ workout Saturday. He is said to be resting comfortably, good news.

2) Get well soon wishes to Eagles’ coach Doug Pedersen, who tested positive for coronavirus; he is asymptomatic, but will quarantine for a couple weeks.

1) Happy birthday to Hall of Fame coach Marc Levy (95) and Hall of Fame singer Tony Bennett (94).

Found a picture on the Interweb Monday of Bennett playing pinball with Lady Gaga backstage before one of Lady Gaga’s concerts in Las Vegas. They’re dressed up, looks like they’re ready to go on stage, and he is playing pinball.

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, August 4

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Phoenix @ Atlanta
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

Connecticut @ Seattle
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Connecticut's last 13 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 4

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DALLAS (2 - 2) vs. CHICAGO (3 - 1) - 8/4/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (2 - 2) vs. ATLANTA (2 - 2) - 8/4/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (0 - 4) vs. SEATTLE (3 - 1) - 8/4/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

WNBA Betting Trends, Records to Watch
Joe Williams

The first weekend of the WNBA regular season is in the books from the IMG Academy bubble in Bradenton, Florida, or the "Wubble", as the players have affectionately called it.

Betting Results
Last Week/Year to Date

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under - O/U



The first weekend of WNBA saw plenty of over results, but the first full week in the Central Florida bubble saw plenty of defense and a lot more under results. Underdogs also edged the favorites against the spread, and 'dogs are barking a little more loudly so far.

WNBA Team Trends

Atlanta Dream
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-2-1 O/U)

Last Game - L 93-77 (-1) vs. Indiana (Push 170)
Have alternated straight-up wins and losses so far, W-L-W-L
Under is 2-0-1 across past three after an over result in Game 1 vs. Dallas
Have allowed 93 or more points in three of their four outings

Chicago Sky
Record (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-2-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 88-86 (+4, ML +170) vs. Washington (Under 178.5)
After over went 1-0-1 in first two, under has cashed in past two
Two of their three victories have been exactly by an 88-86 score
Have scored 88.3 points per game (PPG), ranking fourth in WNBA


Connecticut Sun
Record (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 O/U)

Last Game - L 78-69 (-3.5) vs. Minnesota (Under 156)
One of only two winless teams in the WNBA
0-2 SU/ATS vs. Minnesota in the Wubble, hitting under both times
Ranked second-to-last (11th) in points per game (75.8) and field-goal percentage (37.7), while checking in 12th in free-throw percentage (70.5)

Dallas Wings
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 79-70 (+6.5) vs. Las Vegas (Under 171)
2-1 SU/ATS against Eastern Conference teams, 0-1 SU/ATS vs. Western Conference teams
After Over connected in first two games, Under has cashed in the past two
Averaged 94.0 PPG in first two outings, averaged 73.0 PPG in previous two

Indiana Fever
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-1-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 93-77 (+1, ML +100) vs. Atlanta (Push 170)
Have alternated straight-up wins and covers so far, L-W-L-W
Over hit in first two contests, Under 1-0-1 in the previous two outings
No. 2 in the league in free-throw percentage (85.4)
Second-to-last in field-goal percentage allowed (46.8)

Las Vegas Aces
Record (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-2-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 79-70 (-6.5) vs. Dallas (Under 171)
Have allowed exactly 70 points in two of the past three games (both under results)
Playing without C Liz Cambage, who has opted out for the season
Despite no Cambage, Aces lead the WNBA in rebounds per game with 39.8

Los Angeles Sparks
Record (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 75-81 (+4.5) vs. Seattle (Under 162.5)
After covering in opening game win vs. Phoenix, Sparks are 0-3 ATS across past three
After Over hit in first two outings, Under has connected in previous two
Rank No. 4 in WNBA in points per game allowed (82.3)

Minnesota Lynx
Record (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U)

Last Game - W 78-69 (+3.5, ML +140) vs. Connecticut (Under 156)
3-1 SU/ATS as an underdog so far
Under is 3-0 in each of their three victories, Over is 1-0 in their lone loss
Lynx rank 2nd in WNBA in points per game allowed (77.3) and defensive field-goal percentage (42.0)

New York Liberty
Record (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 67-96 (+11) vs. Phoenix (Under 169.5)
One of only two winless teams in the WNBA
Only team which has yet to cover through four games
Over hit in first two outings, Under has hit in each of the past two
Rank No. 1 in WNBA in free-throw percentage (86.3)
Dead-last in offensive points per game (74.0), field-goal percentage (35.2) and 3-pointer percentage (23.1)

Phoenix Mercury
Record (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U)

Last Game - W 96-67 (-11) vs. New York (Under 169.5)
Have scored 96 or more points in each of the past three outings (99.3 PPG)
Merc have yielded 95 or more points in three of their four games
Under cashed in game Aug. 2 after three Over results to open the season

Seattle Storm
Record (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - W 81-75 (-4.5) vs. Los Angeles (Under 162.5)
No. 1 in WNBA in scoring defense (75.3) and defensive field-goal percentage (38.0)
After Over hit in first two outings, Under has connected in each of the past two
2-0 ATS as a favorite of 9.5 points or better

Washington Mystics
Record (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U)

Last Game - L 88-86 (-4) vs. Chicago (Under 178)
After going 3-0 SU/ATS, loss and non-cover vs. Sky was first of the season
Over cashed in first two outings of the season, Under hit in past two contests
No. 2 in WNBA in offensive points per game (92.5), No. 1 in 3-pointer percentage (40.6)
No. 3 in scoring defense, allowing just 81.0

[Udog]

WNBA picks and predictions for August 4
Jason Logan

Seattle faces winless Connecticut Tuesday, but the Storm are averaging only 40 points per first half so far in 2020.

WNBA betting is back on the board after a Monday pause to the 2020 schedule, with three games on deck.

We no longer have any undefeated teams but there are a couple winless clubs looking for their first taste of victory, including the Connecticut Sun who are in action versus the Seattle Storm in Tuesday’s late game.

We size up the odds and give our favorite WNBA free picks and predictions for August 4.

Dallas Wings vs Chicago Sky

The Sky could be worth a wager when it comes to WNBA futures, currently sitting at +1,500 to win the title. Chicago is 3-1 to start the season and coming off a big win over the defending champion Washington Mystics on Saturday.

Chicago is likely to be without center Stefanie Dolson again but gets guard Sydney Colson in the lineup, after she missed the start of the season due to COVID. That adds depth to an offense averaging more than 88 points per game to start the year.

Dallas backs into Tuesday off a loss to the Las Vegas Aces. The Wings have struggled mightily from beyond the arc in their past two games, shooting just 12.7 percent from distance, including a 4-for-30 night beyond the arc in the loss to the Aces. Dallas is depending on those 3-balls to fall, and until they do, we'll be fading the Wings.

PREDICTION: Chicago -8 (-110)


Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm

The Sun can’t seem to keep the momentum going in the final 20 minutes this season. Connecticut is averaging 41.8 points per first half – 55 percent of its total offense – then falls off a cliff after the break, with a league-low 34 points per second half.

That’s nearly the opposite for the Seattle Storm, who have started slow in the opening two frames and finished strong in the second half. Seattle is averaging only 40 points per first half so far in 2020.

The extra day off on Monday is a blessing for Connecticut, which has had to lean heavily on its starters for big minutes due to a thinned roster. Head coach Curt Miller has even limited practice time between games in order to keep his players fresh. As a bright spot, the Sun are hoping to have Briann January back from quarantine later in the week.

Connecticut hasn’t played since Saturday, so we expect a strong push from the Sun in the first half as they try to avoid going 0-5 to start the schedule.

PREDICTION: Connecticut first half +5.5 (-110)

Sunday's record: 1-1
Season record: 9-8


WNBA Betting Card August 4

Chicago -8 (-110)
Connecticut first half +5.5 (-110)

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 4

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 613-614
August 4, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
103.334
Chicago
116.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 13 1/2
177
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 7
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-7); Over

Phoenix @ Atlanta

Game 615-616
August 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
111.325
Atlanta
95.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 15 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 7 1/2
176
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-7 1/2); Over

Connecticut @ Seattle

Game 617-618
August 4, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
112.622
Seattle
111.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1 1/2
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 10 1/2
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+10 1/2); Over