Announcement

**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 08:51 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NBA trends for Wednesday night:

— 76ers won/covered their last five games with Detroit.

— Knicks are 1-6-2 ATS if they played the night before.

— Miami is 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight games with Charlotte.

— Thunder covered seven of their last eight games with Utah.

— Mavericks covered only one of last five games.

— Pelicans covered five of their last six games with Sacramento.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Ivy League cancelled its two-day basketball tournament, because of growing coronavirus outbreak concerns. Yale won the regular season title, so they’ll go to the NCAA tournament.

MAC, Big West tournaments will be played without fans, because of health concerns.

12) In a related subject, MGM Resorts will temporarily close its Las Vegas buffets, starting Sunday, obviously because of growing coronavirus fears- it affects buffets at Aria, Bellagio, MGM Grand, Mandalay Bay, The Mirage, Luxor and Excalibur.

I’m heading out to America’s favorite city pretty soon; hope they keep the pizza place and In ’n Out Burger open. A guy’s got to eat.

11) WCC tournament:
Gonzaga 84, Saint Mary’s 68— Gaels are 26-8, but 0-3 vs Gonzaga; Jordan Ford scored 27 points in a losing cause, playing the whole game. What a week he had.

10) CAA tournament:
Hofstra 70, Northeastern 61— Pride win CAA tourney for first time; they won America East a couple times 20+ years ago, are experience team #7 with a bench that plays fewest minutes in the whole country.

9) Summit tournament:
North Dakota State 89, North Dakota 53— Horrible game; North Dakota ruined tournament when they upset South Dakota State- that would’ve been the ideal final. Game was 23-5 after 10:00 and it only got worse from there.

8) Horizon tournament:
Northern Kentucky 71, Ill-Chicago 62— 23 short days ago, NKU lost 73-43 at home to UIC; game was 44-18 at halftime. Norse shot 68% inside arc in this game, a fairly comfortable win.

7) NEC tournament:
Robert Morris 77, St Francis PA 67— Colonials won 16 of their last 21 games after starting season 4-9; this was teams’ third meeting in three weeks. St Francis starts three seniors and was a road favorite in this game; they were only 3-17 on arc, are shooting 36% for season on arc.

6) Upsets:
— Hartford (+7) 64, Stony Brook 58
— Howard (+6) 70, South Carolina State 63
— Niagara (+1.5) 56, Marist 54
— Robert Morris (+1.5) 77, St Francis PA 67

6) Nebraska’s basketball team was down to seven scholarship players for the Big 14 tournament this week, so they added a couple of football players to the roster. One is a backup QB, the other an offensive lineman who I assume will set a lot of screens.

Nebraska plays Indiana Wednesday, is a heavy underdog.

5) ESPN was trying to make a trade with NBC and get Al Michaels to broadcast its Monday night games with Peyton Manning, but NBC apparently turned down their request.

4) NFL’s Hall of Fame Game in Canton this summer will be Steelers-Cowboys.

3) North Carolina 78, Virginia Tech 56— Still weird that UNC is the #14 seed in ACC tourney; I mean,. Syracuse is the #6-seed, had a bye yesterday, is playing the last place team, but it is freakin’ North Carolina, which won four of its last five games. Not an easy path.

2) Baseball Hall of Famer Larry Walker will fulfill a lifelong dream this weekend; he will be an honorary emergency goaltender for NHL’s Colorado Avalanche in their game Sunday against the Vegas Golden Knights. Walker was a goalie growing up in Canada, and once tried out for the Western Hockey League’s Regina Pats, but luckily for him, he got cut and played baseball.

1) Celtics 114, Pacers 111— Boston blew a 19-point lead, but won and clinched a playoff spot, their sixth year in a row in the playoffs.

**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 08:52 AM

547NEW YORK -548 ATLANTA
NEW YORK is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

549DETROIT -550 PHILADELPHIA
DETROIT is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

551CHARLOTTE -552 MIAMI
MIAMI is 152-111 ATS (29.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

553UTAH -554 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

555DENVER -556 DALLAS
DENVER is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

557NEW ORLEANS -558 SACRAMENTO
SACRAMENTO is 48-32 ATS (12.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 08:54 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 11

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NEW YORK (20 - 44) at ATLANTA (20 - 46) - 3/11/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 49-63 ATS (-20.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (20 - 45) at PHILADELPHIA (38 - 26) - 3/11/2020, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (22 - 42) at MIAMI (41 - 23) - 3/11/2020, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (41 - 23) at OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 24) - 3/11/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (43 - 21) at DALLAS (39 - 26) - 3/11/2020, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (28 - 36) at SACRAMENTO (28 - 36) - 3/11/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 132-100 ATS (+22.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 08:56 AM

NBA

Wednesday, March 11

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Miami Heat
Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games
Miami is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Charlotte
Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Charlotte
Miami is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami's last 19 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 12 games
Charlotte is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami
Charlotte is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Charlotte's last 18 games when playing Miami
Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Charlotte is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Charlotte's last 19 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami

Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Atlanta's last 25 games
Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 22 games when playing New York
Atlanta is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New York
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing at home against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 8 games
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
New York is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New York's last 22 games when playing Atlanta
New York is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Utah
Oklahoma City is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 14 games on the road
Utah is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Utah is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Utah is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 8-13-3 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Denver
Dallas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Denver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Sacramento is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 7-14-2 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Sacramento is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 15 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento

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**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 08:59 AM

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in Road games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 53 Wins and 164 Losses All Time(105.7 units)
4.9 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 108 Wins and 289 Losses All Time(170.2 units)
4.6 out of 5

549 DETROIT @ 550 PHILADELPHIA
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 15 Wins and 35 Losses This Season(-27.3 units)
4 out of 5

547 NEW YORK @ 548 ATLANTA
Play Against ATLANTA using the Money Line in All games after scoring 130 points or more
The record is 5 Wins and 18 Losses All Time(-21.6 units)
3.8 out of 5

555 DENVER @ 556 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 13 Wins and 4 Losses This Season(13.45 units)
3.6 out of 5

557 NEW ORLEANS @ 558 SACRAMENTO
Play On SACRAMENTO using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 10 Wins and 35 Losses Last 3 Years(24 units)
3.5 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against UTAH using the Money Line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 6 Wins and 9 Losses This Season(-18.95 units)
3.5 out of 5

555 DENVER @ 556 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 14 Wins and 2 Losses This Season(11.8 units)
3.4 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against OKLAHOMA CITY using the Money Line in Home games in the second half of the season
The record is 5 Wins and 21 Losses Last 2 Years(-18.1 units)
3.1 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against OKLAHOMA CITY using the Money Line in All games in the second half of the season
The record is 13 Wins and 36 Losses Last 2 Years(-26.6 units)
3.1 out of 5

**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 09:58 AM

NBA Betting Essentials, Odds and Angles for Wednesday, March 11
Tony Mejia

New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5, 235) at Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center – 10:35 p.m. ET, ESPN
NO: 28-36 SU, 32-29-3 ATS, 36-28 O/U
SAC: 28-36 SU, 33-29-2 ATS, 34-30 O/U

Last 10 games:
NO: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-5 O/U
SAC: 7-3 SU, 7-2-1 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:
This is the second of three meetings between the teams tied for ninth place in the Western Conference standings. Although the Grizzlies remain well-positioned to reach the playoffs since they’ll remain three games up on the winner of this one, this is obviously enormous for both of these teams, who will meet for the final time on March 22 in New Orleans. The Pels won this season’s only matchup 117-115 on Jan. 4 in a game that was played before Zion Williamson debuted. Lonzo Ball finished with 24 points and 10 assists, helping overcome Harrison Barnes’ 30-point outburst.

Essentials to Know:
-- New Orleans was outrebounded 51-44 by the Kings in their win but are better equipped to win the battle of the boards with Williamson in the fold. The Pels are 6-3 on the road in Williamson’s first games in opposing arenas.

-- The Kings are playing the second of a four-game homestand but won’t play again until Sunday night against the Nets. Sacramento is in the midst of a stretch where it will play 10 of 14 at home.

-- The over has connected in four straight games involving the Kings, who have surrendered an average of 120 points per game in that span. The Pels have scored at least 120 points in three of the last four.

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers (-12)
Wells Fargo Center – 7:05 p.m. ET
DET: 20-45 SU, 26-38-1 ATS, 38-26-1 O/U
PHI: 38-26 SU, 29-34-1 ATS, 33-30-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
DET: 1-9 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U
PHI: 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U

Head-to-Head:
This is the last of three encounters between these teams this season and the only matchup set to be played in Philly. The Pistons lost the first two matchups at home, falling 117-111 on Oct. 26 and 125-109 on Dec. 23. While the 76ers have the NBA’s top home mark (28-2), Detroit’s 9-23 mark on the road is tied for fifth-worst in the league. Andre Drummond was present for both of the Pistons’ two losses against the Joel Embiid-led Sixers, so with neither big man in the equation tonight, this should be a completely deifferent game.

Essentials to Know:
-- The last five 76ers’ games have all gone ‘over’ the posted total with Embiid and Simmons out. Josh Richardson is hoping to clear concussion protocol in order to return to the lineup and it’s clear Philadelphia has missed one of their top on-ball defenders.

-- Detroit shot 4-for-19 in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s loss to the Knicks and lost new starting center John Henson to an ankle injury that will probably keep him out tonight. The Pistons’ 84 points was their fourth-lowest scoring output of the season.

Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat (-9.5)
AmericanAirlines Arena – 7:35 p.m. ET
CHA: 22-42 SU, 32-29-3 ATS, 30-34 O/U
MIA: 41-23 SU, 33-30-1 ATS, 38-25-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
CHA: 4-6 SU, 7-2-1 ATS, 3-7 O/U
MIA: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U

Head-to-Head:
This is the first of three meetings between these Southeast Division squads over the next month. Charlotte will host the next two matchups on March 30 and April 13 but is a heavy underdog here against a Heat squad that has posted a 27-4 home mark, the third-best home record in the league. Miami won the first matchup 117-100, dominating on the boards as Kelly Olynyk pulled down 16 rebounds.

Essentials to Know:
-- Jimmy Butler left Sunday’s win over Washington with a toe injury. Although he’s feeling better, it remains to be seen whether he’ll suit up. Tyler Herro (ankle) and Jae Crowder (concussion) each practiced on Tuesday and will likely play.

-- Terry Rozier scored a career-high 40 points in a double-overtime loss to Atlanta the other night. He had 19 points and nine rebounds in the first matchup against Miami and will look to get the better of Heat rookie Kendrick Nunn to give his team a chance.

New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks (-4.5/231)
State Farm Arena – 7:35 p.m. ET, TNT
NYK: 20-45 SU, 34-30-1 ATS, 30-34-1 O/U
ATL: 20-46 SU, 29-35-2 ATS, 39-27 O/U

Last 10 games:
NYK: 3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS, 7-3 O/U
ATL: 5-5 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:
Neither one of these teams are going to make the playoffs and have nearly identical records that rank just ahead of Cleveland in the Eastern Conference standings. This is the third and final matchup between the squads and each of the first two encounters were extremely high-scoring. New York won 143-120 on Dec. 17 and fell 140-135 on Feb. 9, getting victimized by a 48-point, 13-assist night from Trae Young. The 140-point night is the Hawks’ second-highest scoring output of the season.

Essentials to Know: -- Atlanta connected on a season-best 21 3-pointers in a double-overtime win over the Hornets. Young is averaging 45 points per game through his first two matchups with New York.

-- Knicks point guard Dennis Smith, Jr. practiced over the weekend and is close to returning from a concussion that has kept him out since Feb. 27. The ‘over’ is on a 7-2 run in games involving New York.

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks (-1.5)
AmericanAirlines Center – 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN
DEN: 43-21 SU, 30-31-3 ATS, 30-33-1 O/U
DAL: 39-27 SU, 34-29-3 ATS, 40-26 O/U

Last 10 games:
DEN: 5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS, 5-5 O/U
DAL: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U
Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. (AP)

Head-to-Head:
The Nuggets and Mavs have played twice this season and will meet one more time on April 13, so they’ll determine how things will shake out in the Western Conference playoff picture. At the moment, Denver is third and Dallas is seventh, so there’s a possibility that these teams could meet in a first-round matchup. The Nuggets won 107-106 on Jan. 8, getting 33 points and seven assists from Nikola Jokic to overcome 27 points, nine boards and 10 assists from Luka Doncic.

Essentials to Know:
-- Jokic has averaged just nine points over his last two games, shooting 8-for-24 from the field. He had a fantastic run in over the last few weeks after starting slowly and played himself into better shape along the way, losing over 20 pounds in-season. There’s a good chance he’s getting his body ready for the playoff grind, so this slump may continue in the short-term as he tries to get himself ready. Denver overcame his sluggish play to beat the Bucks on Monday, taking advantage of Giannis Antetokounmpo’s absence.

-- Tim Hardaway, Jr. has averaged 23.5 points over the past four games but will be looking to help Dallas bounce back from a disappointing loss to San Antonio in which it blew a second-half lead. Hardaway’s contributions will be vital since Seth Curry will remain out of the lineup due to an ankle injury. The Mavs are 6-5 SU and ATS on the second night of a back-to-back.

Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder (-2)
Chesapeake Energy Arena – 8:05 p.m. ET
UTA: 41-23 SU, 30-31-3 ATS, 33-31 O/U
OKC: 40-24 SU, 34-29-3 ATS, 30-33-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
UTA: 5-5 SU, 2-8 ATS, 4-6 O/U
OKC: 8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:
These teams met to open the season way back on Oct. 23 and will square off again in Game No. 81 on April 13. The Thunder won the most recent matchup 104-90 behind 27 points from Dennis Schroder. Separated by a single game, these teams aren’t likely to meet one another in the postseason unless they end up as the 4-5 matchup but are likely going to be jockeying for seeding the rest of the way.

Essentials to Know:
-- The Jazz have struggled at home but have won their last six road games. OKC is on a 17-5 run and has posted three consecutive wins. The first two matchups between these teams were played in Oklahoma City.

-- Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander missed Sunday’s win at Boston with a hip contusion but practiced on Tuesday and is expected to return if he suffers not setbacks prior to the contest. -- The ‘under’ is on a 3-1 run in games involving Utah, which has scored under 100 points in two of the last three contests, which is only the second time that’s happened all season.

**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 11:40 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 11

Detroit @ Philadelphia

Game 549-550
March 11, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
106.682
Philadelphia
121.121
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 14 1/2
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 11
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-11); Over

New York @ Atlanta

Game 547-548
March 11, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
107.565
Atlanta
115.761
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 8
243
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-4 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Miami

Game 551-552
March 11, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
113.869
Miami
119.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 10
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+10); Over

Utah @ Oklahoma City

Game 553-554
March 11, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
119.614
Oklahoma City
118.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+2); Under

Denver @ Dallas

Game 555-556
March 11, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
121.076
Dallas
116.237
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-2 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Sacramento

Game 557-558
March 11, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
121.771
Sacramento
115.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 6
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
235 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-1 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 01:21 PM

NBA Hoop Trends Wednesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS (6.95 ppg) as a road favorite off a win where they allowed 50-plus points in the paint.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks (7:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Knicks are 0-12 ATS (-7.79 ppg) off a loss as a road dog in which they led by 15+ points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Pistons are 10-0 OU (14.25 ppg) off a 10+ point loss in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Thunder are 0-12 OU (-13.46 ppg) as a home favorite off a game as a dog where they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

**Udog** · 03-11-2020, 01:50 PM

By: Monique Vág

NEW YORK KNICKS AT ATLANTA HAWKS
BIG JOHN STUD

The Hawks are 4.5-point home favorites hosting the New York Knicks. Atlanta will be without Clint Capela, Skal Labissiere, De'Andre Bembry and have three other key players listed as questionable or probable for tonight's matchup.

For Atlanta, John Collins has posted big numbers over his last 10 games, scoring 20 points or more eight times throughout that stretch. When these two teams met earlier in the season, Collins shot 12 of 19 from the floor for 32 points. Expect much of the same today and bet Over his points total of 21.5.

UTAH JAZZ AT OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
HISTORY LESSON

The Jazz have won six of their last seven road games overall, but have really struggled versus the Thunder at Chesapeake Energy Arena, posting a 1-18 SU record playing there.

Coming into tonight's matchup, the Thunder have been one of the league's hottest teams winning 15 of their last 20 matchups overall. Look for the Thunder to take care of business and continue their home dominance versus the Jazz. Take Oklahoma City -150 on the moneyline.

DENVER NUGGETS AT DALLAS MAVERICKS
MOUNTAIN MEN

The Nuggets have rotated wins and losses over their last six contests, but have still won 13 of their last 20 games overall. They travel to Dallas to take on a Mavericks team which has lost two straight contests, including a 119-109 loss to the Spurs last night.

Give Denver the edge here as it comes in well rested and playing very well defensively, surrendering the third-fewest points per game over its last three at 103.7. While my counterpart Jared Smith likes the value with the home underdog on the second night of back-to-back games, I’m taking Denver to cover the 2.5-point spread.

POINTS AT A PREMIUM

The last time the Nuggets and Mavericks met up, it was Denver that snuck away with a 107-106 victory on January 8. Despite both teams shooting over 48 and 50 percent from the field in that contest, it was still very low scoring. When these two teams meet up, look for defense first. Expect the same tonight and bet Under the game total of 218.5.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS AT SACRAMENTO KINGS
RELYING ON THE LONG BALL

The Pelicans are small 1.5-point road favorites in Sacramento – game which boasts the highest Over/Under on the NBA odds board Wednesday night.

In their prior meeting this season, Buddy Hield had an off night shooting a poor percentage from inside the arc but connected on 4 of 7 from 3-point range. Hield has made three or more 3-point shots in seven of his last eight games and will find success today versus a Pelicans team allowing opponents to shoot 35.5 percent from distance. Bet Over Hield's points total of 16.5.

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/11

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/11

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