Announcement

**Udog** · 03-07-2020, 09:27 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

NBA trends for a Saturday night:

— Utah covered six of last seven games with Detroit.

— Portland covered six of last eight games with the Kings.

— Golden State covered once in last seven games as a home dog.

— Charlotte covered its last five games.

— Under is 6-2 in last eight Atlanta-Memphis games.

— Five of last seven Cleveland games went over.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) Missouri Valley tournament:
Drake 77, Northern Iowa 56— Every mid-major’s nightmare; after going 25-5 during the regular season, UNI lays an egg in the first round of Arch Madness and gets bounced to the NIT, becoming the first #1 seed ever to lose to an 8-seed in this tournament.

Valparaiso 74, Loyola 73 OT— Total chaos in St Louis, with top two seeds going out in their first tournament game.

12) Milwaukee Brewers signed OF Christian Yelich to a 9-year, $215M contact that takes his to age 36. Yelich didn’t want an opt-out clause, so he is a Brewer for the rest of his career.

Yelich trivia: His great-grandfather was Fred Gehrke, who played in the NFL for 11 years and is the person who first painted the Rams’ logo on their helmets in 1948, the first NFL team to have a logo on their helmets.

11) San Diego State 81, Boise State 68— Aztecs were down 16 in first half of this game, rallied to tie by halftime; they advance to Mountain West final, but there has to be some concern- they haven’t led at halftime in any of their last five games.

10) Brown 64, Harvard 55— Crimson’s loss gives Yale the regular season title in Ivy League. Brown/Penn are tied for 4th, the last spot to get into the Ivy tournament next week.

9) Richmond 73, Duquesne 62— Huge win for the bubblelicious 24-7 Spiders, who start five juniors, have four sophs and a freshman coming off bench. In other words, Richmond should be really good next season; they’ve won four in row, nine of last ten games.

8) Hampton 86, Redford 78— Pirates are 15-18, tied for 5th in their second season in Big South, but they’ve pulled upsets the last two nights and now get a day off before playing Winthrop, the #2-seed in the Big South final Sunday.

7) Upsets:
— Brown (+10.5) 64, Harvard 55
— Hampton (+10) 86, Redford 78
— Drake (+9) 77, Northern Iowa 56
— Valparaiso (+5.5) 74, Loyola 73 OT
— Fairfield (+5.5) 66, Manhattan 50

6) OVC tournament
Belmont 60, Eastern Kentucky 50:
Murray State 73, Austin Peay 61:

Ohio Valley Conference tournament is in Evansville, even though there are no teams from Indiana in the OVC. Go figure (Evansville is close to lot of OVC schools).

5) Bronx OF Aaron Judge has a stress fracture in a rib, is out at least two more weeks; regular season starts on March 26. Last two years, Judge has played in only 214 games.

4) From CBSSports.com: Miami Marlins announced that “…….the Clevelander night club located behind the left field wall has been shut down for the year. As a result, those shots of people swimming during Marlins games will be a thing of the past as the pool, dancers and DJs that were all once a prominent part of the park are no more. Fans will reportedly still be allowed to access the area with different seating, and without the pool.”

3) Russell Westbrook hasn’t played in both ends of back-to-back games all season, and this time around he won’t play in Charlotte Saturday- the Thunder hosts Orlando Sunday.

Westbrook isn’t hurt; he makes $38,178,000, but has missed 10 of OKC’s 61 games.

By way of comparison, Artis Gilmore played in 81+ games 13 times in his 17-year career, and I’m pretty sure they didn’t have private planes in the ABA or in the NBA in the 80’s.

2) Nothing is quite as irrelevant as spring training standings, but the Padres are 11-2, the Marlins and Phillies 10-4, best records so far.

Pittsburgh is 3-11, Arizona 3-9, which means absolutely nothing.

1) Utah State 89, Wyoming 82— During the Wyoming-Nevada game Thursday night, Evan Washburn of CBS Sports interviewed a guy in the stands named Cowboy Ken, who wasn’t wearing a shirt, but had a yellow barrel on- the guy is like 60. If he walked around Fremont Street in downtown Las Vegas later that night, he would’ve fit right in.

Wyoming was down pretty good before the interview, made a big comeback after the interview and upset Nevada; no interview Friday, and the Cowboys lost to Utah State.

**Udog** · 03-07-2020, 09:27 AM

557MEMPHIS -558 DALLAS
DALLAS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

559PORTLAND -560 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games on Friday nights in the last 3 seasons.

561MILWAUKEE -562 LA LAKERS
MILWAUKEE is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

563HOUSTON -564 CHARLOTTE
HOUSTON is 237-164 ATS (56.6 Units) in road games after a loss since 1996.

565UTAH -566 DETROIT
DETROIT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

567DENVER -568 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

569ATLANTA -570 MEMPHIS
ATLANTA is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

571PHILADELPHIA -572 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 52-80 ATS (-36 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

573SACRAMENTO -574 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

**Udog** · 03-07-2020, 09:30 AM

571 PHILADELPHIA @ 572 GOLDEN STATE
Play Against PHILADELPHIA using the Money Line in Road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game
The record is 5 Wins and 18 Losses This Season(-19.35 units)
4.8 out of 5

565 UTAH @ 566 DETROIT
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 292 Wins and 703 Losses All Time(381.8 units)
4.5 out of 5

565 UTAH @ 566 DETROIT
Play On DETROIT using the Money Line in Home games in March games
The record is 13 Wins and 0 Losses Last 3 Years(13 units)
4.2 out of 5

565 UTAH @ 566 DETROIT
Play On DETROIT using the Money Line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 20 Wins and 4 Losses This Season(15.6 units)
4.2 out of 5

569 ATLANTA @ 570 MEMPHIS
Play On MEMPHIS using the Money Line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 29 Wins and 20 Losses This Season(26.5 units)
4.1 out of 5

571 PHILADELPHIA @ 572 GOLDEN STATE
Play Against GOLDEN STATE using the Money Line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 12 Wins and 16 Losses Last 2 Years(-27.2 units)
4 out of 5

573 SACRAMENTO @ 574 PORTLAND
Play On PORTLAND using the Money Line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 35 Wins and 9 Losses Last 3 Years(25.2 units)
4 out of 5

573 SACRAMENTO @ 574 PORTLAND
Play On SACRAMENTO using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 9 Wins and 35 Losses Last 3 Years(25.1 units)
3.9 out of 5

569 ATLANTA @ 570 MEMPHIS
Play Against ATLANTA using the Money Line in Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 4 Wins and 19 Losses This Season(-16.9 units)
3.9 out of 5

573 SACRAMENTO @ 574 PORTLAND
Play On PORTLAND using the Money Line in Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 24 Wins and 7 Losses Last 2 Years(18.2 units)
3.7 out of 5

**Udog** · 03-07-2020, 10:08 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 7

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HOUSTON (39 - 22) at CHARLOTTE (21 - 41) - 3/7/2020, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 57-90 ATS (-42.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 199-249 ATS (-74.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (40 - 22) at DETROIT (20 - 43) - 3/7/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 69-54 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 45-61 ATS (-22.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (42 - 20) at CLEVELAND (17 - 45) - 3/7/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 105-136 ATS (-44.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 48-76 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-86 ATS (-28.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (19 - 45) at MEMPHIS (31 - 32) - 3/7/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (38 - 25) at GOLDEN STATE (14 - 49) - 3/7/2020, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-91 ATS (-27.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-79 ATS (-26.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (27 - 35) at PORTLAND (28 - 36) - 3/7/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PORTLAND is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-07-2020, 10:10 AM

NBA

Saturday, March 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games
Charlotte is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Charlotte's last 25 games when playing Houston
Charlotte is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Houston is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 4-0-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Houston's last 25 games when playing Charlotte
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Charlotte

Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Utah
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Utah
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 12 games on the road
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 10 games when playing Detroit
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Denver
Cleveland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Memphis Grizzlies
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Memphis is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Memphis
Atlanta is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games
Golden State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Golden State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Golden State's last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
Golden State is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Golden State
Philadelphia is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games when playing Golden State
Philadelphia is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Portland's last 21 games
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Portland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Sacramento
Portland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Portland's last 20 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Sacramento is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Sacramento's last 24 games
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Sacramento is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland
Sacramento is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing Portland
Sacramento is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Sacramento's last 20 games when playing on the road against Portland

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**Udog** · 03-07-2020, 10:18 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, March 7

Houston @ Charlotte

Game 563-564
March 7, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
119.199
Charlotte
114.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8
220
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+8); Under

Utah @ Detroit

Game 565-566
March 7, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.600
Detroit
113.266
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 3 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 8
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+8); Over

Denver @ Cleveland

Game 567-568
March 7, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
119.904
Cleveland
108.027
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 12
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-8 1/2); Over

Atlanta @ Memphis

Game 569-570
March 7, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
111.156
Memphis
121.207
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 10
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 5 1/2
234 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-5 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Golden State

Game 571-572
March 7, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
119.482
Golden State
113.274
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 6
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-2); Over

Sacramento @ Portland

Game 573-574
March 7, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
113.755
Portland
119.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 5 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 2 1/2
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-2 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 03-07-2020, 11:15 AM

NBA Betting Odds, Preview and Tips for Saturday March 7
Tony Mejia

Top Game: Philadelphia 76ers (-2, 227) at Golden State Warriors
Chase Center – 8:30 p.m. ET, ABC
PHI: 38-25 SU, 29-33-1 ATS, 32-30-1 O/U
GSW: 14-49 SU, 30-32-1 ATS, 28-35 O/U

Last 10 games:
PHI: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U
GSW: 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS, 3-7 O/U

Head-to-Head:
The Sixers beat Golden State 115-104 when these teams played on Jan. 28 despite shooting just 11-for-32 from 3-point range. D’Angelo Russell, now with Minnesota, led the Warriors with 28 points while current members of the team, Glenn Robinson II and Alec Burks combined for 32 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons, both of whom are sidelined tonight, combined for 41 points and 14 boards. Backup point guard Raul Neto, who made huge shots in Sacramento the other night, chipped in 19 points in 20 minutes off Philly’s bench in the previous encounter. The Warriors have won 11 of the last 13 in this series, having pulled off victories in 10 straight from Nov. 2013-’17.

Essentials to Know:
-- Warriors star Stephen Curry debuted with 23 points, seven boards and seven assists over 27 minutes of work in Thursday’s 121-113 loss to Toronto. He said he didn’t expect to feel as spry as he did and will likely not adhere to such strict minute restrictions going forward. It would be safe to assume that barring an in-game injury or foul trouble, he’ll play more than 30 minutes in this one.

-- 76ers guard Josh Richardson took a shot to the face in the second quarter of Philadelphia’s loss to the Clippers to open this four-game road trip and will attempt to clear concussion protocol in order to return to the lineup. He and Shake Milton would likely be the primary defenders on Curry. Draymond Green is attempting to return to the lineup after battling knee soreness and is considered ‘questionable,’ though he practiced on Friday, which is an indication he’ll play.

-- Philadelphia avoided a 10th straight road loss in Thursday’s 125-108 win in Sacramento. It hasn’t won consecutive games in opposing arenas since beating the Nets and Knicks on Jan. 18-20 and have only accomplished that feat twice all season.

Houston Rockets (-8/222) at Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center – 5:05 p.m. ET

HOU: 39-22 SU, 29-31-1 ATS, 27-34 O/U
CHA: 21-41 SU, 31-29-2 ATS, 29-33 O/U

Last 10 games:
HOU: 6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 4-6 O/U
CHA: 5-5 SU, 8-2 ATS, 2-8 O/U

Head-to-Head:
The Rockets have won 17 of the last 18 meetings with the Hornets, only losing in Charlotte in March of ‘16 since 2011. Houston won 125-110 , making 20 3-pointers, when these teams played on Feb. 4. Miles Bridges and Terry Rozier each scored 20 points for the Bees, who led 34-22 after the opening quarter before ultimately failing to cover as a 13-point underdog. The ‘over’ connected in a game that didn’t include Robert Covington, who hadn’t been acquired yet, or Russell Westbrook, who sat out and won’t play on Saturday night. James Harden finished with 40 points and 12 assists.

Essentials to Know:
-- Charlotte matched its fourth-largest scoring output in a loss in Wednesday’s 114-112 setback against the Nuggets. It has been held under 90 points in four of its last 10 games, riding with a youth movement that has slowed down the pace and locked in defensively. The ‘under’ is on 8-2 run in games involving the Hornets.

-- The Rockets are in danger of dropping a third straight game for just the third time all season and the first time since a run of four consecutive setbacks from Jan. 14-20. Harden is mired in a shooting slump, going 19-for-63 over his last three contests. He’s missed 38 of his 45 3-point attempts in that span. With Westbrook sitting out the first part of a back-to-back as he continues his maintenance program and Eric Gordon dealing with a sore left knee, Harden will be paired with Austin Rivers and Ben McLemore more and the team will need more offense out of forwards Robert Covington and Danuel House, Jr.

-- Charlotte guard Devonte’ Graham missed Tuesday’s 104-103 loss to the Spurs after twisting his ankle over the weekend. The Hornets’ leading scorer (17.8 ppg) returned with 24 points in the near-upset of Denver and should suit up here next to Rozier. Charlotte has lost six of its last seven home games.

Utah Jazz (-8.5, 214) at Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena – 7:05 p.m. ET

UTA: 40-22 SU, 30-30-2 ATS, 32-30 O/U
DET: 20-43 SU, 25-37-1 ATS, 37-25-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
UTA: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 5-5 O/U
DET: 1-9 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:
Utah has never lost in Detroit’s new downtown arena, last falling to the Pistons at home in Jan. 2016 and in Auburn Hills back in late October of ‘15. The Jazz have won three straight over the Pistons in Michigan and seven in a row overall following this season’s 104-81 conquest on Dec. 30. Utah trailed 40-39 at the break before dominating the second half in a game where the Pistons shot just 38 percent. Derrick Rose, now likely done for the season, scored a team-high 20 points. Donovan Mitchell, who the Pistons famously passed on in the ’17 NBA Draft, scored a game-high 23 points while All-Star center Rudy Gobert chipped in 13 points and 19 rebounds.

Essentials to Know:
-- The Jazz improved to 4-0 as an underdog since Dec. 28 with its conquest in Boston on Friday night, earning a fourth straight win since coming out of the All-Star break with four consecutive home losses. Utah is looking to wrap up a perfect four-game roadie here and has won five straight out of a suitcase, covering the spread in four of their victories. The Jazz hit 13 first-half 3-pointers in racing out against the Celtics and leads the NBA in 3-point shooting percentage. Mike Conley, Jr. made six shots from beyond the arc and finished with 25 points, looking more like his old self in producing his second-largest scoring output since joining the Jazz.

-- The Pistons have seen forward Christian Wood averaged 21.2 points and 10.1 rebounds over their last 11 games since Andre Drummond was dealt and he became the new face of the franchise. Guard Bruce Brown has missed the past four games due to knee soreness but is expected to return in this one. Detroit has a different look at guard with former Wizard Jordan McRae on board after being let go by Denver earlier this week. He scored 15 points in 26 minutes in his Pistons debut.

-- Utah is just 1-3 SU and ATS on the second night of a back-to-back since Dec. 1. For the season, they’re 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS in this situation.

Denver Nuggets (-7.5) at Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse – 7:35 p.m. ET

DEN: 42-20 SU, 29-30-3 ATS, 30-31-1 O/U
CLE: 17-45 SU, 27-32-3 ATS, 35-27 O/U

Last 10 games:
DEN: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U
CLE: 4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U

Head-to-Head:
The Cavs pulled off a stunning 111-103 upset in Denver as a 12.5-point underdog on Jan. 11, snapping a two-game losing streak in this series. Cleveland is looking for its first sweep of the Nuggets since the 2015-16 season when LeBron James was running the show. Collin Sexton scored 25 points while Kevin Love, Thompson and Cedi Osman all came up with double-doubles. Jamal Murray led Denver with 24 points.

Essentials to Know:
-- This is the second in a stretch of nine roadies over 11 games that Denver must play between now and March 25. The Nuggets are 18-12 away from home but they have failed to cover in their last three road games. Their last six visits to Eastern Conference cities have resulted in a 6-0 run for the ‘over.’
-- Cleveland has dropped four straight games after matching a season-best run with four victories in five outings. The Cavs are 3-5 under new head coach J.B. Bickerstaff, going 4-3-1 ATS in those contests.

-- Cavs centers Andre Drummond (calf) and Tristan Thompson (knee) practiced on Friday and could return to the lineup to give Bickerstaff multiple options to throw at Nuggets All-Star center Nikola Jokic. Larry Nance, Jr. and Kevin Love have been doing the bulk of the work in the post of late, getting contributions from Ante Zizic.

Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies (-5.5)
FedEx Forum – 8:05 p.m. ET

ATL: 19-45 SU, 29-34-1 ATS, 38-26 O/U
MEM: 31-32 SU, 33-29-1 ATS, 29-34 O/U

Last 10 games:
ATL: 4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS, 6-4 O/U
MEM: 4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS, 2-8 O/U

Head-to-Head:
The Grizzlies posted a 127-88 rout over the Hawks on Monday night, dominating the first matchup between last year’s Rookie of the Year runner-up Trae Young and this season’s likely recipient, Ja Morant. Memphis won the second half 75-39 as the Hawks collectively hung their heads in an awful performance. Nine Grizzlies players scored in double-figures, led by Gorgui Dieng’s 17 points off the bench. Young finished just 5-for-17 from the field, missing all four of his 3-point attempts. Atlanta was just 9-for-35 from beyond the arc in the loss. These teams have split the season series in three straight years. Memphis last won consecutive games in ’17. Atlanta hasn’t won back-to-back games against the Griz since ’15-’16.

Essentials to Know:
-- The Grizzlies had allowed fewer than 90 points in three straight games prior to Friday’s 121-96 loss at Dallas. The NBA hadn’t seen a team do that defensively since the ’17-18 season (Jazz). Memphis became the first team since 1970 to win consecutive road games by 39 or more points but struggled mightily in wrapping up a three-game road trip. This will be the team’s first home game of the month. It went 3-1 SU and ATS at FedEx Forum in February.

-- The Hawks fell in Washington D.C. against the Wizards 118-112 as Young sat out with the flu. He’s hoping to feel well enough to participate in this game but his status in unclear. Rookie Cam Reddish scored 28 points for Atlanta in the loss. Jeff Teague started for Young at the point. The ‘under’ has connected in the last two games involving the Hawks and is on a 7-1 run in games featuring the Griz, cashing five straight times.

-- With both teams playing on the second night of a back-to-back, it’s worth pointing out that Memphis is 6-3 SU and ATS in the closer, winning and covering in six of its last seven on that second night. The Hawks have been atrocious, coming in 2-9 SU (3-8 ATS) in those situations, although they managed to win the most recent one by defeating Portland on Feb. 29.

Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers (-3/230)
Moda Center – 10:05 p.m. ET

SAC: 27-35 SU, 32-29-1 ATS, 32-30 O/U
POR: 28-36 SU, 26-36-2 ATS, 36-28 O/U

Last 10 games:
SAC: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U
POR: 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:
These teams are wrapping up their season series, playing for the first time since meeting in December. They played in the second game back on Oct. 25 in Sacramento and got together on Nov. 12 as well. After splitting the games in California’s capital city, Portland won the most recent matchup on Dec. 4 by a 127-116 score, shooting 16-for-32 from 3-point range. C.J. McCollum scored 33 points in the win and has been more aggressive of late, scoring 20 or more points in 10 straight games. The Blazers have won seven of the last nine matchups. The teams have nearly identical records and are 3.5 games behind Memphis for the final playoff berth in the West, making this game vital to both.

Essentials to Know:
-- The Blazers fell 127-117 in Phoenix on Friday night, losing in wire-to-wire fashion despite the Suns being down multiple starters. Portland is 4-11 over its last 15 road games .

-- Sacramento hasn’t won in Portland since Dec. 8, 2012, dropping 12 consecutive games there. The Kings are 13-19 on the road but have won three of their last four outright and have gone 4-0 ATS away from home since the All-Star break. They return to Sacramento to play their next four and won’t be back out on the road until March 19.

-- The ‘over’ is 2-1 in the season series and 3-1 over Portland’s last four games. The Trail Blazers are 3-7 on the second night of a back-to-back (4-5-1 ATS).

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Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/7

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/7

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