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  • Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 2

    Good Luck on day # 62 of 2020!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    NBA knowledge for the second day of March:

    — Houston is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 road games.

    — Portland won/covered once in its last seven games.

    — Under is 6-2 in last eight Cleveland games.

    — Memphis covered once in its last five road games.

    — Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS if it played the night before.

    — Miami’s last six games went over the total.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Studying up for conference tournaments

    Notes on conference tournaments (in order of when they start)
    13) Horizon: #1 seed won twice in last six years
    — IUPUI won one tourney game the last eight years.
    — Northern Kentucky won two of last three tourneys.
    — Wright State is 8-3 in tourney games last four years.
    — Youngstown is 2-6 in tourney games last six years.

    12) Mountain West: #1 seed won five of last nine years
    — Last 17 years, Air Force is 5-17 in tourney games.
    — Last 11 years, Boise State is 5-11 in tourney games.
    — Despite playing at home, UNLV went W-L six of last nine years; their last tourney title was in 2008.
    — Last eight years, San Diego State is 16-7, but only one tourney title- they went W-W-L six of those eight years.
    — Utah State is 5-1 in tourney last two years.

    11) Ohio Valley: Team that finished 1st/tied 1st won five of last eight years.
    — Belmont is 7-5 in seven OVC tourneys, with two titles (last in ’15).
    — Murray State won last two titles, is 15-6 in last 21 tourney games.

    10) Missouri Valley: #1 won four of last seven years.
    — Drake won one game in last six tournaments.
    — Illinois State is 10-8 last eight years, with no tourney titles.
    — Indiana State won one tourney game the last five years.
    — Last five years, Northern Iowa is 9-3 in tourney games.

    9) West Coast: Gonzaga won 12 of last 16 tourneys
    — Last six years, BYU is 8-6 in tourney games (no titles).
    — Gonzaga won 33 of last 37 tourney games; they lost to Saint Mary’s LY.
    — Last 12 years, Saint Mary’s is 13-9 in tourney games (3 titles)

    8) SoCon: Team that finished 1st/tied 1st won last five tourneys.
    — Since 2011, Chattanooga won tourney in ’16, is 1-8 otherwise.
    — East Tennessee State is 8-3 last four years (one title).
    — Last three years, NC-Greensboro is 7-2 in tourney games.
    — Wofford won five of last ten tourneys.

    7) CAA: Team that finished 1st/tied 1st won four of last six years
    — Charleston is 6-2 last three tourneys.
    — Delaware went W-L six of last nine years.
    — Since 2009, Hofstra is 2-9 in its second tourney game.
    — Last five years, Northeastern is 9-3 in tourney games.

    6) Summit: Team that finished 1st/tied 1st won five of last seven years
    — Last six years, North Dakota State is 11-3 in tourney games (3 titles)
    — Last eight years, South Dakota State is 18-3 in tourney games (5 titles)

    5) MAC: #1 seed won four of last seven tourneys, Buffalo won 4 of last 5.
    — Akron won its first tourney game the last 15 years; they last won a tourney in 2013.
    — Ball State is 2-8 in last eight tourneys.
    — Buffalo won 11 of last 12 MAC tourney games.
    — Kent State lost first tourney game four of last six years.
    — Since 2004, Northern Illinois is 5-16 in tourney games.

    4) ACC: #1 seed won four of last seven years.
    — Duke won 2 of last 3 years, after not winning in previous five years.
    — Georgia Tech is 2-9 in tourney games the last nine years.
    — Louisville won tourneys in 2012-14 (10-0); they’re 1-4 in tourney games since.
    — Miami won its first tourney game nine of last ten years.
    — Notre Dame won its first tourney game 10 of last 11 years.
    — Syracuse is 2-5 in ACC tournament games.
    — Wake Forest is 2-12 in tourney games last 12 years.

    3) MAAC: Iona won last four and 5 of last 7 tourneys, lost in final other two years
    — Canisius is 4-9 the last nine years.
    — Iona is 19-2 in last 21 tourney games.
    — Manhattan won tourney is 2014-15, is 2-4 last four years.
    — Marist won one tourney game last seven years.
    — Rider is 3-8 last 11 years.
    — Last six years, Saint Peter’s is 7-6 in tourney.
    — Last nine years, Siena is 8-9; those were all at home.

    2) Big East: Villanova won four of last five years (11-1)
    — Butler is 1-6 in Big East tourney last six years.
    — Creighton last first tourney game three of last four years.
    — Last 10 years, DePaul is 1-10 in tourney games.
    — Georgetown is 0-3 last three years, 2-6 last eight years.
    — St John’s plays on its home court; they’re 3-8 last eight years.

    1) Big X: #1 seed won twice in last six years
    — Baylor lost its first tourney game last three years
    — Iowa State won tourney four of last six years.
    — Last 13 years, Kansas is 27-6 in Big X tourney.
    — Kansas State went W-L last four tourneys.
    — Oklahoma is 2-6 in last eight tourneys.
    — Texas Tech is 2-9 last nine tourneys.
    — West Virginia went W-W-L last four years.

    Comment


    • #3
      577HOUSTON -578 NEW YORK
      HOUSTON is 75-45 ATS (25.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

      579PORTLAND -580 ORLANDO
      PORTLAND is 27-13 ATS (12.7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

      581UTAH -582 CLEVELAND
      CLEVELAND is 15-42 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games when the total is 210-219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

      583MEMPHIS -584 ATLANTA
      MEMPHIS are 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

      585MILWAUKEE -586 MIAMI
      MIAMI is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

      587DALLAS -588 CHICAGO
      DALLAS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games vs. losing teams in the current season.

      589INDIANA -590 SAN ANTONIO
      SAN ANTONIO is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more in the last 3 seasons

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Monday, March 2


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOUSTON (39 - 20) at NEW YORK (18 - 42) - 3/2/2020, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW YORK is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW YORK is 46-62 ATS (-22.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PORTLAND (26 - 35) at ORLANDO (27 - 33) - 3/2/2020, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PORTLAND is 24-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
        PORTLAND is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
        PORTLAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
        PORTLAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        ORLANDO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        PORTLAND is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
        PORTLAND is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTAH (37 - 22) at CLEVELAND (17 - 43) - 3/2/2020, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTAH is 67-53 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        UTAH is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        UTAH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 105-134 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 48-74 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UTAH is 3-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        UTAH is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS (29 - 31) at ATLANTA (19 - 43) - 3/2/2020, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MEMPHIS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        ATLANTA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MEMPHIS is 180-134 ATS (+32.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
        MEMPHIS is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        ATLANTA is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MILWAUKEE (51 - 8) at MIAMI (38 - 22) - 3/2/2020, 7:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DALLAS (36 - 24) at CHICAGO (20 - 40) - 3/2/2020, 8:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        INDIANA (36 - 24) at SAN ANTONIO (25 - 33) - 3/2/2020, 8:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
        INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Monday, March 2


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          587 DALLAS @ 588 CHICAGO
          Play Against CHICAGO using the Money Line in Home games after scoring 115 points or more
          The record is 2 Wins and 16 Losses Last 2 Years(-17 units)
          4.7 out of 5

          581 UTAH @ 582 CLEVELAND
          Play On UTAH using the Money Line in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
          The record is 290 Wins and 703 Losses All Time(384 units)
          4.5 out of 5

          581 UTAH @ 582 CLEVELAND
          Play Against UTAH using the Money Line in All games after scoring 115 points or more
          The record is 25 Wins and 26 Losses Last 2 Years(-39.55 units)
          4.1 out of 5

          587 DALLAS @ 588 CHICAGO
          Play Against CHICAGO using the Money Line in Home games after allowing 115 points or more
          The record is 5 Wins and 25 Losses Last 2 Years(-22.2 units)
          4 out of 5

          583 MEMPHIS @ 584 ATLANTA
          Play On MEMPHIS using the Money Line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
          The record is 27 Wins and 19 Losses This Season(24.9 units)
          3.9 out of 5

          587 DALLAS @ 588 CHICAGO
          Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
          The record is 23 Wins and 6 Losses This Season(16.4 units)
          3.9 out of 5

          577 HOUSTON @ 578 NEW YORK
          Play On HOUSTON using the Money Line in Road games after 3 or more consecutive wins
          The record is 0 Wins and 10 Losses This Season(10 units)
          3.6 out of 5

          577 HOUSTON @ 578 NEW YORK
          Play On HOUSTON using the Money Line in All games in the second half of the season
          The record is 34 Wins and 13 Losses Last 2 Years(22.8 units)
          3.6 out of 5

          585 MILWAUKEE @ 586 MIAMI
          Play On MILWAUKEE using the Money Line in Road games revenging a home loss vs opponent
          The record is 0 Wins and 11 Losses Last 2 Years(11 units)
          3.6 out of 5



          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Monday, March 2



            Utah @ Cleveland

            Game 581-582
            March 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Utah
            120.561
            Cleveland
            107.987
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 12 1/2
            230
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 8 1/2
            219
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-8 1/2); Over

            Houston @ New York


            Game 577-578
            March 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            120.668
            New York
            114.968
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Houston
            by 5 1/2
            222
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Houston
            by 10
            229 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            New York
            (+10); Under

            Portland @ Orlando


            Game 579-580
            March 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Portland
            114.504
            Orlando
            114.404
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Portland
            Even
            229
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Orlando
            by 7
            222 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Portland
            (+7); Over

            Memphis @ Atlanta


            Game 583-584
            March 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            113.782
            Atlanta
            119.168
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Atlanta
            by 5 1/2
            246
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Atlanta
            by 2
            239
            Dunkel Pick:
            Atlanta
            (-2); Over

            Milwaukee @ Miami


            Game 585-586
            March 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            130.903
            Miami
            115.941
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 15
            235
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 3
            224 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Milwaukee
            (-3); Over

            Dallas @ Chicago


            Game 587-588
            March 2, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Dallas
            119.956
            Chicago
            109.969
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Dallas
            by 10
            232
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Dallas
            by 4
            224 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (-4); Over

            Indiana @ San Antonio


            Game 589-590
            March 2, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Indiana
            116.950
            San Antonio
            118.361
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Antonio
            by 1 1/2
            213
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Indiana
            by 2 1/2
            220 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Antonio
            (+2 1/2); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA Injuries

              HOUSTON
              No significant injuries.

              NEW YORK
              [PG] 02/29/2020 - Dennis Smith Jr. is "?" Monday vs Houston ( Concussion )
              [SG] 02/29/2020 - Reggie Bullock is "?" Monday vs Houston ( Illness )

              PORTLAND
              [G] 02/29/2020 - Anfernee Simons left last game, is "?" Monday vs Orlando ( Ankle )
              [PG] 02/19/2020 - Damian Lillard is out indefinitely ( Groin )

              CLEVELAND
              [SF] 03/01/2020 - Alfonzo McKinnie is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Utah ( Plantar Fasciitis )
              [C] 03/01/2020 - Tristan Thompson is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Utah ( Knee )
              [PG] 03/01/2020 - Darius Garland is OUT Monday vs Utah ( Groin )

              MEMPHIS
              [PF] 02/25/2020 - Brandon Clarke is OUT 2-3 weeks ( Hip )
              [F] 02/23/2020 - Jaren Jackson Jr. is OUT 2-3 weeks ( Knee )

              ATLANTA
              [SG] 03/01/2020 - DeAndre' Bembry is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Memphis ( Abdominal )
              [SF] 03/01/2020 - Cameron Reddish is "?" Monday vs Memphis ( Back )

              MILWAUKEE
              [SF] 03/01/2020 - Khris Middleton is "?" Monday vs Miami ( Neck )
              [SG] 03/01/2020 - Kyle Korver is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Miami ( Back )

              DALLAS
              [PG] 03/01/2020 - Luka Doncic is "?" Monday vs Chicago ( Thumb )
              [PF] 03/01/2020 - Kristaps Porzingis is "?" Monday vs Chicago ( Rest )

              CHICAGO
              [F] 03/01/2020 - Wendell Carter Jr. is probable Monday vs Dallas ( Ankle )
              [SG] 03/01/2020 - Coby White is probable Monday vs Dallas ( Back )

              SAN ANTONIO
              [C] 03/01/2020 - LaMarcus Aldridge is downgraded to doubtful Monday vs Indiana ( Shoulder )

              Comment


              • #8
                NBA Hoop Trends Monday
                Vince Akins

                ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

                -- The Bucks are 11-0 ATS (8.45 ppg) off a road game where they allowed 15+ points less than Vegas projected.

                ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

                -- The Spurs are 0-11 ATS (-10.86 ppg) as a home favorite with rest after playing as a home favorite last game.

                OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Heat are 12-0 OU (15.88 ppg) off a win as a favorite that had 8+ lead changes.

                OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Knicks are 0-12-1 OU (-7.54 ppg) at home off a home win in which they shot over 50% from the field.

                Comment

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