Announcement

**Udog** · 02-28-2020, 08:00 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

NBA knowledge for a Friday night:

— Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last ten road games.

— Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games.

— Hornets are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine road games.

— Over is 14-8 in last 22 Dallas games.

— Sacramento is 5-2-1 ATS if it played night before.

— Thunder are 8-0 ATS if they played the night before.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

13) Most important part of the NFL Combine are the interviews teams do with prospective draft picks. The running and workouts and measurements have their value, but game tape means more than any workout ever will. Workouts can trick people into making draft mistakes.

That said, Arizona State punter Michael Turk beat all 33 WR’s and all the tight ends but one in weightlifting Thursday at the Combine. Very, very unusual.

12) USC 57, Arizona 48— Our Bill Walton non-basketball facts of the night:
— Thursday was the great writer John Steinbeck’s birthday.
— USC has more graduate students than non-graduate students.
— USC’s campus is 226 acres, smallest campus in the Pac-12.

11) Purdue 57, Indiana 49— This was an awful game to watch, tons of effort, no offense, but the most interesting thing here was Hoosiers coach Archie Miller having a VERY animated talk with assistant coach Bruiser Flint on the bench, during the game.

Rough night for the Miller family, with neither Arizona/Indiana scoring 50 points.

Indiana is only 8-9 in conference and they got swept by their rival here, but it is very unusual to see coaches jawing at each other during a game.

10) North Dakota State 71, South Dakota State 69 OT— These teams are now tied for first place in Summit League, clearly best teams in league; league tournament is at a neutral site, so not a huge deal, but sharing the regular season title means something.

9) Wichita State 72, Temple 69— Shockers ended game on a 14-4 run, giving coach Marshall a win on his 57th birthday; they’re 21-7 and a bubble team.

8) Wisconsin 81, Michigan 74— Badgers won five of seven games since starting G Kobe King quit the team; there is such a thing as addition by subtraction. Badgers scored 76.3 ppg in their last three games.

7) California 76, Colorado 62— Red flag for a veteran team like Colorado, getting squashed on the road by a scrappy but sub-par Cal squad.

6) Upsets:
— California (+9) 76, Colorado 62
— Towson (+7.5) 76, Hofstra 65
— Cleveland State (+7) 70, Milwaukee 68
— Wisconsin (+6.5) 81, Michigan 74
— SIU-Edwardsville (+5) 90, Tenn-Martin 75

Some notes on NBA teams playing back/back nights:
5) Best teams ATS when playing for 2nd night in a row:
Thunder 8-0, Bucks 7-1, Lakers/Wizards 6-1

4) Worst teams ATS when playing for 2nd night in a row:
Pistons 2-8, Hawks 2-7-1, Wolves 1-5-1, Knicks 1-5-2, Pacers 1-4-1

3) Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS if they played the night before, but they won all eight games; their only non-cover was a 137-129 (-14) win over Portland November 29.

2) New Orleans hasn’t had any back/backs since Zion Williamson started playing; am curious how they’ll handle that when they play next Tuesday/Wednesday.

1) League-wide, road dogs who played at home the night before are 27-21-2 ATS.

**Udog** · 02-28-2020, 08:03 AM

527MINNESOTA -528 ORLANDO
MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

531BROOKLYN -532 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

533CLEVELAND -534 NEW ORLEANS
CLEVELAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

535SACRAMENTO -536 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.

537OKLAHOMA CITY -538 MILWAUKEE
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-28-2020, 08:05 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (17 - 40) at ORLANDO (26 - 32) - 2/28/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
MINNESOTA is 391-463 ATS (-118.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 80-119 ATS (-50.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (20 - 38) at TORONTO (42 - 16) - 2/28/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 46-60 ATS (-20.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (26 - 31) at ATLANTA (17 - 43) - 2/28/2020, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 8-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 9-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (17 - 41) at NEW ORLEANS (25 - 33) - 2/28/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (24 - 33) at MEMPHIS (28 - 30) - 2/28/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 22) at MILWAUKEE (50 - 8) - 2/28/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-93 ATS (-43.3 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 142-181 ATS (-57.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 85-131 ATS (-59.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (36 - 23) at MIAMI (36 - 22) - 2/28/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (21 - 36) at UTAH (36 - 22) - 2/28/2020, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 166-219 ATS (-74.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 67-53 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (19 - 41) at PHOENIX (24 - 35) - 2/28/2020, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (40 - 18) at LA CLIPPERS (39 - 19) - 2/28/2020, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 180-224 ATS (-66.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 235-295 ATS (-89.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-28-2020, 09:42 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, February 28

Minnesota @ Orlando

Game 527-528
February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
108.716
Orlando
119.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 10 1/2
247
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 7 1/2
233
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-7 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Atlanta

Game 531-532
February 28, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
114.580
Atlanta
115.758
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 3
232 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+3); Under

Charlotte @ Toronto

Game 529-530
February 28, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
106.697
Toronto
126.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 19 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 13
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-13); Over

Dallas @ Miami

Game 539-540
February 28, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
120.309
Miami
113.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

Sacramento @ Memphis

Game 535-536
February 28, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
112.426
Memphis
119.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 7
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 4
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-4); Over

Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee

Game 537-538
February 28, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
118.790
Milwaukee
132.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 14
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 10 1/2
229
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-10 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ New Orleans

Game 533-534
February 28, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
113.822
New Orleans
122.151
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 8 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 12
237
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+12); Under

Detroit @ Phoenix

Game 543-544
February 28, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
108.156
Phoenix
119.353
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 11
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 7 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-7 1/2); Under

Washington @ Utah

Game 541-542
February 28, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
114.980
Utah
114.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10 1/2
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+10 1/2); Under

Denver @ LA Clippers

Game 545-546
February 28, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.187
LA Clippers
126.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 9
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 5 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-5 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 02-28-2020, 06:45 PM

NBA Hoop Trends for Friday, Feb. 28, 2020
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Mavericks are 13-0-1 ATS (9.36 ppg) on the road after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Suns are 0-13 ATS (-10.31 ppg) as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Timberwolves are 11-0 OU (12.05 ppg) after a game as a road dog in which they shot over 50% from the field.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-15 OU (-11.20 ppg) as a dog off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment