Announcement

**Udog** · 02-22-2020, 10:05 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
—
Clippers covered eight of last nine games with Sacramento.

— Brooklyn is 3-9 ATS in its last dozen road games.

— Hawks covered eight of their last ten games with Dallas.

— Miami covered seven of its last eight games with Cleveland.

— Suns are 3-6 ATS if they played the night before.

— 76ers are 1-11-1 ATS in their last thirteen road games.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Trends that could help you fill out your brackets…….

13) Over last decade, 40 teams made the Final Four; 19 of those won their conference tournament that year. Four of the 19 teams had to win more than three games to win the conference tourney:
2011— UConn 5-0
2012— Louisville 4-0
2018— Michigan 4-0
2019— Auburn 4-0

12) Only four of the 40 teams lost their first conference tourney game:
2010— Michigan State
2016— Syracuse
2017— South Carolina
2019— Texas Tech

7 of 40 teams went W-L in their conference tournament.

11) Seven of last ten years, a #1 seed won the NCAA Tournament.
— In 2016, Villanova won the title as a 2-seed.
— UConn won as a 3-seed in 2011, as a 7-seed three years later.

10) The last seven years, eight teams ranked lower than a 4-seed reached the Final Four; in 2014, UConn was a 7-seed, Kentucky an 8-seed.

9) Last team to win the national title after going unbeaten in conference play? Kentucky in 2012, one of four teams over last decade to make Final Four after going unbeaten in conference games.

8) Last eight years, 27 of 32 Final Four teams were ranked in KenPom’s top 20 before the NCAA Tournament started. 2014 UConn was only one of the five to win the national semifinal; they also won the national title- they were #23.

In 2011, the Final Four had seeds 3-4-8-11, only time in last decade there wasn’t a #1 or #2 seed in Final Four.

7) Only nine of 40 Final Four teams were in top 100 in experience; 12 of 40 teams were outside top 200. Talent outweighs experience.

6) Looking at continuity instead of experience, only 12 of 40 teams ranked in top 100; 14 of 40 teams ranked outside top 200.

5) 14 of 40 Final Four teams ranked in top 100 in forcing turnovers; another 14 ranked outside the top 200.

4) eFG% defense seems like an important category; 33 of last 40 Final Four teams were in top 100 in eFG% defense. 21 of those 33 teams were in the top 50.

3) NCAA Tournament has longer TV commercials, which means that depth isn’t as important; only four of last 40 Final Four teams had benches in top 100 of minutes played. 26 of 40 teams had teams that ranked outside top 200.

They don’t call as many fouls in the NCAA tournament.

2) Some in-tournament trends about the eventual national champ:
— Last 14 years, national champ was 12-2 ATS in first round
— Last 18 years, national champ was 16-2 ATS in second round.
— Last 12 years, national champ was 10-2 ATS in regional semis.

1) Of the last 20 defending national champs, 2007 Florida Gators were only team to return to Sweet 16; Florida won consecutive national titles.

Since 2004, the defending national champ is 2-8-1 ATS in its first round game, 3-7 in its second round game, 0-5 ATS in regional semifinals.

**Udog** · 02-22-2020, 10:06 AM

531SACRAMENTO -532 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.

535DALLAS -536 ATLANTA
DALLAS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games vs. losing teams in the current season.

537CLEVELAND -538 MIAMI
MIAMI is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons

539PHOENIX -540 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

541PHILADELPHIA -542 MILWAUKEE
PHILADELPHIA is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

543HOUSTON -544 UTAH
HOUSTON is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) after a huge blowout win by 30 or more since 1996

**Udog** · 02-22-2020, 10:09 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 22

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SACRAMENTO (22 - 33) at LA CLIPPERS (37 - 18) - 2/22/2020, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 179-223 ATS (-66.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (25 - 29) at CHARLOTTE (19 - 36) - 2/22/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games after a division game since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 53-78 ATS (-32.8 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (34 - 22) at ATLANTA (16 - 41) - 2/22/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DALLAS is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games this season.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
DALLAS is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (15 - 40) at MIAMI (35 - 20) - 2/22/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 102-133 ATS (-44.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 63-83 ATS (-28.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 156-121 ATS (+22.9 Units) in February games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (22 - 34) at CHICAGO (19 - 37) - 2/22/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 61-76 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 47-64 ATS (-23.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 45-65 ATS (-26.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 59-76 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 140-191 ATS (-70.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 44-59 ATS (-20.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (35 - 21) at MILWAUKEE (47 - 8) - 2/22/2020, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-93 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 218-265 ATS (-73.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (35 - 20) at UTAH (36 - 19) - 2/22/2020, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 67-50 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-7 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 15-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**BettorsChat** · 02-22-2020, 11:05 AM

Injuries

SACRAMENTO
[C] 02/20/2020 - Alex Len is "?" Saturday vs LA Clippers ( Hip )

LA CLIPPERS
[SF] 02/21/2020 - Paul George is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Sacramento ( Hamstring )
[PG] 02/21/2020 - Reggie Jackson is probable Saturday vs Sacramento ( Acquired )
[PG] 02/21/2020 - Patrick Beverley is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Sacramento ( Groin )

ATLANTA
[SG] 02/21/2020 - DeAndre' Bembry is doubtful Saturday vs Dallas ( Abdominal )
[PF] 02/21/2020 - De'Andre Hunter is OUT Saturday vs Dallas ( Personal )

CLEVELAND
[SF] 02/21/2020 - Alfonzo McKinnie is "?" Saturday vs Miami ( Plantar Fasciitis )

MIAMI
[PF] 02/21/2020 - Meyers Leonard is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Cleveland ( Ankle )

CHICAGO
[SF] 02/21/2020 - Chandler Hutchison is out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[PF] 02/21/2020 - Luke Kornet is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Phoenix ( Ankle )
[F] 02/21/2020 - Wendell Carter Jr. is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Phoenix ( Ankle )
[SG] 02/21/2020 - Denzel Valentine is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Phoenix ( Hamstring )

PHILADELPHIA
[SG] 02/21/2020 - Ben Simmons is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Milwaukee ( Back )

MILWAUKEE
[SG] 02/22/2020 - Kyle Korver is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Philadelphia ( Back )

HOUSTON
[SG] 02/20/2020 - Eric Gordon is "?" Saturday vs Utah ( Leg )

**Udog** · 02-22-2020, 12:20 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, February 22

Sacramento @ LA Clippers

Game 531-532
February 22, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
110.868
LA Clippers
123.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 13
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-9 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Charlotte

Game 533-534
February 22, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
120.918
Charlotte
112.020
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 9
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 3 1/2
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-3 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Atlanta

Game 535-536
February 22, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
116.900
Atlanta
114.876
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6
240 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+6); Under

Cleveland @ Miami

Game 537-538
February 22, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
110.467
Miami
115.099
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 4 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 13 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+13 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Chicago

Game 539-540
February 22, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
115.657
Chicago
108.437
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 7
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-2); Over

Philadelphia @ Milwaukee

Game 541-542
February 22, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
116.611
Milwaukee
128.461
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 12
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 8 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-8 1/2); Over

Houston @ Utah

Game 543-544
February 22, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.097
Utah
118.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 2
232 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+2); Under

**Udog** · 02-22-2020, 01:15 PM

NBA Hoop Betting Trends and Angles - Saturday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Heat are 10-0 ATS (14.30 ppg) at home off a loss in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The 76ers are 0-11 ATS (-9.64 ppg) on the road after a win in which they trailed by double digits.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Mavericks are 9-0 OU (14.83 ppg) as a road favorite off a road game in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Rockets are 0-14 OU (-11.68 ppg) on the road with rest off a win where they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/22

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/22

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