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**Udog** · 01-21-2020, 08:45 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Big 14 basketball standings:

6-1— Michigan State

5-2— Illinois, Rutgers

4-3— Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Wisconsin

4-4— Minnesota

3-4— Penn State, Purdue

2-4— Michigan

2-5— Nebraska, Ohio State

1-6— Northwestern

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) This from VISN, the terrific Las Vegas-based radio station, with regards to betting on over/under win totals in baseball:

If you add up all the season win totals for MLB teams at William Hill books, it comes to 2,457 wins.

One small problem; there are only 2,430 baseball games in a season, so they’ve basically inflated each team’s total by one win.

Sharp bettors turn this in their favor by emphasizing under plays. Just a thought.

12) Rutgers is ranked 24th in the AP basketball poll this week, first time the Scarlet Knights have been in the top 25 since 1979, when ESPN didn’t exist yet and I had a full head of hair.

11) CBS Sports’ Jon Rothstein said something over the weekend that was probably true, and also a little disappointing; “The day of mid-majors building programs is over”

Someone in the game he was covering was a transfer from North Texas, usually an also-ran in Conference USA; when a team like North Texas gets its players poached by the bigger $$ teams, all they can hope for is to catch lightning in a bottle now and then to make the NCAA’s, and that is too bad.

10) You know the NFC title game sucked when Las Vegas oddsmakers posted Super Bowl odds at halftime of Sunday’s game in Santa Clara. Not many conference title games are 27-0 at the half.

9) Golfer Andrew Landry won the PGA event in LaQuinta this weekend, after blowing a six-stroke lead on the back nine Sunday; it was his second PGA Tour win.

In Landry’s five outings prior to this weekend, he won $0, as in five missed cuts in a row; now he is exempt thru 2022, and will be in the tournament of Champion at Kapalua next January, plus The Masters in April.

91 golfers have already qualified for The Masters; 87 players were in LY’s field.

8) Interesting bit of strategy for Villanova Saturday; coming out of a TV timeout with 7:42 left in a 43-43 game with UConn, Villanova came out with five guards on the floor, in order to defend better. Wildcats eventually won a sluggish game 61-55 against a UConn team they’ll be Big East rivals with once again next season.

7) There will be scapegoats; Houston Texans lost 51-31 in the playoffs at Kansas City, and now word comes that DC Romeo Crennel is done with the Texans.

72-year old Crennel has been a football coach for 50 years, the last 39 in the NFL; he’s been head coach in Cleveland, Kansas City. Now his career may be over after one cruddy game. Go figure.

6) Miami Hurricanes landed transfer QB D’Eriq King from Houston.

Former Florida Gators QB Feleipe Franks transfers to another SEC team, Arkansas.

5) Home teams won 41 of the first 48 Big 14 conference games this season, but ACC home teams are only 22-29 SU. Go figure.

4) When UNLV beat New Mexico 99-78 Saturday night, Marvin Coleman became the first Rebel player in 21 years to post a triple-double. Mark Dickel got the last one one against Mississippi Valley State on November 19, 1999. Coleman came to UNLV as a walk-on, but has a scholarship now. UNLV started Mountain West play 6-1, but their schedule has been soft do far.

3) Pelicans 126, Grizzlies 116— Last 11 New Orleans game went over the total; Wednesday is their next game, with Zion Williamson making his NBA debut. Is Williamson going to slow the Pelicans down? He is going to take 20:00 or so away from someone; will they run as much?

2) Baylor 61, Oklahoma 57— Bears improve to 16-1, 6-0 in Big X play.

1) Celtics 139, Lakers 107— This was the 29th time Kemba Walker played against Lebron James, but the first time his team won. Longest-such streak in NBA history? Sherman Douglas went 0-30 against Michael Jordan.

**Udog** · 01-21-2020, 08:50 AM

529LA CLIPPERS -530 DALLAS
LA CLIPPERS are 27-14 ATS (11.6 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 21

Clippers-Mavericks
Clippers won seven of their last nine games; they’re 2-4 ATS in last six road games. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Dallas won its last four games; they’re 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Clippers won three of last four games with Dallas; they covered once in their last five visits here, four of which stayed under the total.

NBA

Tuesday, January 21

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Trend Report
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Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

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**Udog** · 01-21-2020, 09:20 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 21

LA Clippers @ Dallas

Game 529-530
January 21, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
122.367
Dallas
118.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1
229
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+1); Under

**Udog** · 01-21-2020, 10:56 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 21

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LA CLIPPERS (30 - 13) at DALLAS (27 - 15) - 1/21/2020, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-21-2020, 11:12 AM

Clippers at Mavericks Preview
Kevin Rogers

Betting Odds Breakdown

Dallas opened as a 1-point home favorite with a total of 229.

Eye Test

The Clippers remain behind the Lakers for the top spot not only in the Pacific division but also in the Western Conference. Los Angeles owns a 30-13 record, but a majority of that damage has been done at Staples Center (19-4). The Clips are 11-9 on the highway, but their 10 losses against the West are the most among the top five teams in the conference.

Dallas has taken over first place in the Southwest division after winning four straight games, coupled with Houston's four-game losing streak. The Mavericks have compiled the worst home record among the top seven teams in the West at 13-10, but Dallas has put together a solid 16-8 mark against teams within the conference.

Current Form

The Mavericks dropped a pair of home games to the Nuggets and Lakers before catching fire with a four-game hot streak. Dallas topped the 120-point mark in each of the last three wins, including in a 120-112 triumph over Portland on Friday as 7 ½-point favorites. Luka Doncic dropped 35 points for Dallas, including knocking down eight three-pointers.

Since getting shocked by the Grizzlies at home on January 4, the Clippers are riding a 5-1 run the last six games. L.A. started a six-game road trip by edging New Orleans, 133-30 on Saturday, but failed to cash as 5 ½-point favorites. The Clippers overcame an eight-point fourth quarter deficit led by Kawhi Leonard's 39 points, as L.A. continues to play without Paul George, who is sidelined by a hamstring injury.

Head-to-Head

In the first matchup at American Airlines Center on November 26, the Clippers crushed the Mavericks as 1 ½-point favorites, 114-99. Los Angeles jumped out to a commanding 62-46 halftime lead and never looked back as Leonard and George combined for 54 points. Doncic finished with 22 points, but struggled from three-point range by going 0-for-8, while hitting 14 free throws. The home team had won nine consecutive games before the Clippers' victory in November, while the 'under' has hit in four of the past five meetings in Dallas.

Inside the Stats (Home/Away)

Points Per Game:
Los Angeles 116.2 (114.4)
Dallas 116.7 (115.1)

Points Allowed:
Los Angeles 109.6 (112.0)
Dallas 109.4 (108.4)

Home-Away Records
-- Los Angeles 11-9 SU, 9-11 ATS
-- Dallas 13-10 SU, 9-13-1 ATS

Situational (Western Conference Matchup)

The Clippers have slumped to a 2-5 ATS record in the role of a road underdog, which includes losses to Utah, Oklahoma City, Denver, and Houston.

The Mavericks are 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS in the last eight home games against Western Conference foes, while winning all three contests with three days of rest this season.

Betcha Didn’t Know

The Clippers have scored at least 130 points in seven games this season, coming off the win at New Orleans. L.A. has cashed the 'under' in five of six contests in the following contest, as the Clippers have actually limited opponents to 100 points or less five times in this situation.

Total Talk (Over-Under)

Los Angeles: 21-21-1 (Away, 10-10 Under)
Dallas: 22-18-2 (Home, 14-9 Under)

The Clippers have hit the 'under' in three of the past four road games, but are 5-2-1 to the 'over' in eight January contests.

The Mavericks are coming off a pair of 'overs' in their last two games, while cashing the 'over' in five of the past seven at home.

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/21

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/21

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