Announcement

**Udog** · 01-11-2020, 09:04 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Most passing yards prop bet from Caeser’s for this weekend:

3-2— Patrick Mahomes

4-1— Deshaun Watson

6-1— Russell Wilson

7-1— Aaron Rodgers

10-1— Jimmy Garoppolo

22-1— Lamar Jackson

22-1— Ryan Tannehill

30-1— Kirk Cousins

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……

13) Most underrated sports story of this century so far:

Chris Correa was a St Louis Cardinals scouting director; he hacked the Houston Astros’ database illegally and not only was banned from the sport, he was given a 46-month prison sentence.

Almost four years in jail, thats a big deal.

Now the Astros are awaiting their penalty in this sign-stealing debacle; it sounds like GM Jeff Luhnow and maybe even manager AJ Hinch are going to be suspended, possibly for a decent amount of time. Pretty big mess on MLB’s hands.

12) One way around future problems with teams stealing signs electronically; just make it legal. Leave it up to teams to find a better way to pass signs along.

11) Eight years ago, Clemson lost its bowl game 70-33 to West Virginia; since then, they’re 9-2 SU in playoff/bowl games (10-1 ATS), despite being an underdog in nine of the 11 games.

10) LSU’s defensive coordinator Dave Aranda makes $2.5M a year; Clemson’s DC Brent Venables makes $2.2M- thats $4.7M a year for two guys who aren’t head coaches!!!!

9) By the way, the strength coach at Iowa makes $800,000 a year; very important position- the strength coach may have more contact with the players in off season training than the coaches do, but $800K seems a bit excessive.

8) When Golden State Warrior rookie Ky Bowman was in high school, he was such a good football player that he was offered football scholarships by both Alabama and Auburn. He played basketball at Boston College instead, and now it is paying off.

7) Apparently, Seinfeld and Curb Your Enthusiasm creator Larry David once called the Jets’ front office before the 2018 NFL Draft and advised them to take Lamar Jackson.

David says he got former Jets GM Mike Maccagnan on the phone and passed along his advice, which obviously was ignored. Must be nice to have enough clout to get the GM on the phone.

6) Georgia QB Jake Fromm declared for the NFL Draft; Mel Kiper Jr has Fromm listed as the #5 QB in the draft.

5) When giving out assists in basketball, an assist on a 3-point shot should be 1.5 assists; a pass that leads to a free throws taken should also count 0.5 assists for every foul shot made.

4) Scapegoat watch: Philadelphia Eagles fired OC Mike Groh.

3) Eagles’ QB Josh McCown played in his first NFL playoff game last week at age 40; now it turns out that he played the second half of that game with a torn hamstring, and will have surgery next week. Ouch.

2) Former Michigan coach Brady Hoke is taking over as the head coach at San Diego State with Rocky Long stepping down as the Aztecs head coach.

1) There is a movie coming out where John Malkovich plays the Pope; I’ve seen Malkovich in two things- as Teddy KGB, the Russian gangster in Rounders, and Grigor Andolov, a Russian business tycoon in Billions. I’m guessing the collection plate would be pretty full on Sundays if Malkovich became the Pope. Or else.

**Udog** · 01-11-2020, 09:22 AM

529MINNESOTA -530 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

531NEW ORLEANS -532 BOSTON
NEW ORLEANS are 55-88 ATS (-41.8 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games since 1996.

533CHICAGO -534 DETROIT
CHICAGO is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) when the total is 210-219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

535LA LAKERS -536 OKLAHOMA CITY
LA LAKERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

535LA LAKERS -536 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent in the current season.

537PHILADELPHIA -538 DALLAS
DALLAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

539CLEVELAND -540 DENVER
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

541MILWAUKEE -542 PORTLAND
MILWAUKEE is 32-16 ATS (14.4 Units) in road games vs. losing teams in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-11-2020, 09:26 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 11

Timberwolves-Rockets
Minnesota won three of its last four games; they’re 2-7-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over. Houston won eight of its last 11 games; they covered their last three home games. Under is 6-2 in last eight Houston games.

Rockets won four of last six games with the Timberwolves; three of last four series games went under. Minnesota covered once in its last five visits to Houston.

Pelicans-Celtics
New Orleans won seven of its last nine games (9-0 ATS); they covered seven of last eight road games. Pelicans’ last seven games went over total. Boston lost its last three games; they’re 0-4 ATS in last four home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Celtics won seven of last ten games with the Pelicans; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. New Orleans is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Boston.

Bulls-Pistons
Chicago lost its last six games; they’re 0-2-1 ATS in last three road games. Bulls’ last four games went over total. Detroit lost five of its last seven games; they’re 3-7 ATS in last ten home games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Bulls won/covered their last three games with the Pistons; they covered once in their last five trips to Detroit. Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Lakers-Thunder
Lakers won their last seven games; they covered twice in last six road games. Four of their last six games stayed under total. OKC won 11 of its last 13 games; they covered four of their last five home games (under 4-1).

Lakers won five of last seven games with the Thunder; they’re 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma. Three of last four series games went over.

76ers-Mavericks
Philly lost its last four road games; home side is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Dallas lost five of its last seven games; they’re 1-7-1 ATS in last nine home games. Four of their last five games went over.

Dallas is 6-4 in its last ten games with the 76ers, covering last four series games. Sixers covered once in their last four visits to Dallas. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Cavaliers-Nuggets
Cleveland lost five of its last six games; they’re 8-9-1 ATS on road this year. Cavaliers’ last five games went over. Denver won five of its last seven games; they’re 1-3-2 ATS in last six home games. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games.

Cavaliers lost four of last five games with the Nuggets; they’re 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Denver. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Bucks-Kings
Milwaukee won 28 of its last 31 games; they’re 12-8 ATS on road TY. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Portland lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 6-11 ATS at home. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Bucks won eight of last ten games with Portland; they’re 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Oregon. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

**Udog** · 01-11-2020, 09:31 AM

NBA

Saturday, January 11

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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Houston
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

New Orleans @ Boston
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston
Boston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Philadelphia @ Dallas
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Cleveland @ Denver
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games

Milwaukee @ Portland
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Milwaukee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games

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**Udog** · 01-11-2020, 11:26 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 11

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MINNESOTA (15 - 22) at HOUSTON (25 - 12) - 1/11/2020, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 122-157 ATS (-50.7 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 77-113 ATS (-47.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 9-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 10-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (14 - 25) at BOSTON (25 - 11) - 1/11/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 123-98 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 78-47 ATS (+26.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
BOSTON is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 139-182 ATS (-61.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (13 - 26) at DETROIT (14 - 25) - 1/11/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 93-59 ATS (+28.1 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
DETROIT is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
DETROIT is 232-280 ATS (-76.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (31 - 7) at OKLAHOMA CITY (22 - 16) - 1/11/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 223-180 ATS (+25.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (25 - 14) at DALLAS (23 - 15) - 1/11/2020, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 67-51 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (11 - 27) at DENVER (26 - 11) - 1/11/2020, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (34 - 6) at PORTLAND (16 - 23) - 1/11/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 290-347 ATS (-91.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 63-45 ATS (+13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 60-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-11-2020, 11:50 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, January 11

Minnesota @ Houston

Game 529-530
January 11, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
110.900
Houston
124.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 14
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11
230
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-11); Under

New Orleans @ Boston

Game 531-532
January 11, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
115.295
Boston
126.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 11
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9 1/2
224
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-9 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Detroit

Game 533-534
January 11, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
113.978
Detroit
111.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
4
217
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4); Over

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City

Game 535-536
January 11, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
123.734
Oklahoma City
126.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 1
215
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+1); Over

Philadelphia @ Dallas

Game 537-538
January 11, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
120.857
Dallas
118.818
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+2); Over

Cleveland @ Denver

Game 539-540
January 11, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
110.146
Denver
117.109
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 7
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 13
216
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+13); Over

Milwaukee @ Portland

Game 541-542
January 11, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.338
Portland
113.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 11 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 6
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-6); Under

**Udog** · 01-11-2020, 12:31 PM

Hoop Trends - Saturday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Mavericks are 13-0-1 ATS (6.61 ppg) with no rest off a 10+ point loss after being outscored in the paint by double digits.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Pistons are 0-14 ATS (-9.11 ppg) when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Celtics are 12-0 OU (10.29 ppg) as a home favorite off a loss in which they led by 15+ points.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Rockets are 0-12-1 OU (-9.08 ppg) off a loss as a road favorite.

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/11

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/11

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