Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/2

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, January 2

Good Luck on day #2 of 2020!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Teams who’ve played fastest tempo up to this point:

6) Eastern Washington

5) Central Arkansas

4) Alabama

3) Mississippi Valley State

2) Eastern Kentucky

1) Houston Baptist


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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Oregon 28, Wisconsin 27:
— Badgers outgained Oregon, 322-204.
— Wisconsin converted 4-5 4th down plays, but turned ball over four times.

12) Alabama 35, Michigan 16— Crimson Tide averaged 13.1 yards/pass attempt with their backup QB playing.

11) Why would any NFL team draft Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa in the first round? He’s been hurt a lot; very doubtful he could withstand the physical demands of a 16 (or 17)-game NFL season. I’m guessing a dislocated hip will be very difficult to recover from, and still be the elite athlete he was before the injury.

2019— Dislocated hip, nasal fracture
2018— Sprained knee

He’s also sprained both ankles in the last year.

10) Minnesota 31, Auburn 24— Gophers’ WR Tyler Johnson may have made the Catch of the Year on January 1, a 2-yard TD that put Minnesota up 31-24 at halftime. Johnson had 12 catches for 204 yards, two TD’s. He will play on Sundays, and play very well.

9) Arizona State 20, Florida State 14— Not often you win a game when your offense doesn’t score a TD; Sun Devils scored the winning TD on a pick-6 with 10:06 left in a game where the two teams combined to convert only 6-33 third down plays.

Florida State outgained ASU 470-282, but turned the ball over six times.

8) There is a sportswriter named Art Spander who has been to 67 consecutive Rose Bowls; now thats impressive. Pretty sure Mr Spander wrote for The Sporting News when I was a kid.

7) Here’s the deal with instant replay reviews:
— Look at the replay from a couple angles.
— Was the call on the field an obvious error?
— If it wasn’t an obvious error, the call stands. None of this 5-7 minute stuff. If you can’t find an error in two minutes, move the game along.

6) Washington Redskins hired Ron Rivera as head coach, Jack Del Rio as defensive coordinator, as they rebuild their organization.

5) Point guard James Akinjo transfers from Georgetown to Arizona; Akinjo averaged 13.4 ppg, 5.1 assists, and 1.3 steals per game in 40 career games (39 starts) at Georgetown, but was criticized for being not a good enough distributor of the ball.

4) There have been ten Big Sky conference basketball games so far; one game was a pick ‘em, and underdogs covered the other nine.

3) ESPN runs ads for The Masters on New Year’s Eve, because there isn’t any golf on TV between now and April.

2) From Tom Crouch: Since 2003, there have been 575 drives over 400 yards on the PGA Tour; 319 of those have been at Kapalua, where the PGA Tour resumes today.

96 of those 319 drives have been on the 18th hole; 29 of those 96 were hit by Dustin Johnson.

1) RIP to former NBA commish David Stern, who passed away Wednesday at age 77.

Stern was an excellent businessman who made the NBA a much more profitable enterprise; he also totally screwed over the city of Seattle when they wouldn’t build a new arena, facilitating the Sonics’ sale, and subsequent move to Oklahoma City.

But that was business, and Stern’s job was to make the NBA more profitable, which he was very, very good at.

[Udog]

545CHARLOTTE -546 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 13-37 ATS (-27.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

547DENVER -548 INDIANA
DENVER is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

549TORONTO -550 MIAMI
MIAMI is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

551GOLDEN STATE -552 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 162-205 ATS (-63.5 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

557BROOKLYN -558 DALLAS
DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the current season.

559MEMPHIS -560 SACRAMENTO
MEMPHIS are 175-130 ATS (32 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

561DETROIT -562 LA CLIPPERS
DETROIT is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 2

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CHARLOTTE (13 - 23) at CLEVELAND (10 - 23) - 1/2/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-121 ATS (-41.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 222-269 ATS (-73.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (23 - 10) at INDIANA (22 - 12) - 1/2/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (23 - 11) at MIAMI (24 - 9) - 1/2/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (9 - 26) at MINNESOTA (12 - 20) - 1/2/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (21 - 12) at CHICAGO (13 - 21) - 1/2/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 139-188 ATS (-67.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (18 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (14 - 18) - 1/2/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 868-748 ATS (+45.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (16 - 16) at DALLAS (21 - 12) - 1/2/2020, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (13 - 21) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 22) - 1/2/2020, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 175-130 ATS (+32.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (12 - 22) at LA CLIPPERS (24 - 11) - 1/2/2020, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 2

Hornets-Cavaliers
Charlotte lost its last six games; they’re 4-8 ATS in last 12 road games. Over is 7-3 in their last tn road games. Cleveland won four of last six games (5-1 ATS); they covered their last four home games. Four of their last five home games stayed under.

Hornets are 3-5 in last eight games with Cleveland; they covered three of last four visits to Ohio. Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Nuggets-Pacers
Denver won nine of last 11 games; they’re 1-5 ATS in last six road games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Indiana won its last six home games (5-0-1 ATS); home team is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games. Five of their last six games went over.

Nuggets won seven of last ten games with the Pacers; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five trips to Indiana. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Raptors-Heat
Toronto lost three of last five games; they’re 3-4-3 ATS as a road underdog. Under is 8-4 in their last dozen games. Miami won four of its last five games; they’re 10-4 ATS as a home favorite. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Raptors won four of last five games with Miami; they’re 2-2 ATS in last four trips to South Beach. Last seven series games went over the total.

Warriors–Timberwolves
Golden State won four of last six games (5-1 ATS); they’re 9-6 ATS in last 15 road games. Four of their last six games went under. Minnesota lost 13 of last 15 games; they’re 1-9 ATS in last ten home games. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Warriors won seven of last ten games with Minnesota, covering three of last four; they’re 2-2 ATS in last four visits to the Twin Cities. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Jazz-Bulls
Utah won eight of last nine games, covered last five; they’re 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Chicago won five of its last nine games SU; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight home games. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.

Jazz won three of last four games with Chicago; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five trips to the Windy City. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Thunder-Spurs
Oklahoma City won seven of its last eight games; they covered six of last seven road games. Five of their last six games went under. San Antonio is 8-5 in its last 13 games; they’re 3-10 ATS as a home favorite. Five of their last six games went over.

Home side won last eight Thunder-Spur games; OKC is 0-5 ATS in its last five visits to the Alamo. Three of their last four games went over.

Nets-Mavericks
Brooklyn lost four of its last five games; they’re 1-4 ATS in last five road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Dallas is 5-6 SU in its last 11 games; they’re 6-8 ATS as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went under.

Nets won three of last four games with the Mavericks; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five trips to Dallas. Four of last five series games went over.

Grizzlies-Kings
Memphis is 7-5 SU in its last 12 games; they’re 4-1-1 ATS in last six road games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Sacramento lost its last eight games; they’re 0-7 ATS in last seven home games. Under is 5-1 in their last six home games.

Grizzlies lost five of last seven games wth the Kings; they’re 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Sacramento. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Pistons-Clippers
Detroit lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 4-11-1 ATS as a road underdog. Four of their last five games went over. Clippers split their last eight games; they’re 4-2 ATS in last six home games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight home games.

Road team won last four Piston-Clipper games; Detroit is 2-3 ATS in last five series games played here. Five of last six series games went under.

[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, January 2

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Trend Report
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Denver @ Indiana
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

Charlotte @ Cleveland
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Charlotte

Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Miami
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Miami is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home

Golden State @ Minnesota
Golden State
Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Golden State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

Utah @ Chicago
Utah
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Utah

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Brooklyn @ Dallas
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Memphis @ Sacramento
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 11 games when playing at home against Memphis

Detroit @ LA Clippers
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Detroit


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 2


Charlotte @ Cleveland

Game 545-546
January 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
111.493
Cleveland
109.998
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 1 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+2); Under

Denver @ Indiana

Game 547-548
January 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
120.169
Indiana
118.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+1 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Miami

Game 549-550
January 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
124.076
Miami
118.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+5 1/2); Over

Utah @ Chicago

Game 553-554
January 2, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
123.223
Chicago
116.344
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 7
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 3 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-3 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Minnesota

Game 551-552
January 2, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
113.150
Minnesota
111.172
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(+3 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ Dallas

Game 557-558
January 2, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
111.958
Dallas
122.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 10 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 8 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-8 1/2); Under

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio

Game 555-556
January 2, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
118.308
San Antonio
122.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 2
217 12
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-2); Over

Memphis @ Sacramento

Game 559-560
January 2, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
110.402
Sacramento
117.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 7
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 4
224
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-4); Under

Detroit @ LA Clippers

Game 561-562
January 2, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
112.852
LA Clippers
121.363
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 12 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+12 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Hoop Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS (8.04 ppg) after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Spurs are 0-13 ATS (-10.50 ppg) at home coming off a win last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Nuggets are 13-0 OU (11.35 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest coming off a loss as a dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Thunder are 0-12 OU (-14.71 ppg) as a road dog with rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts last game.