Announcement

**Udog** · 12-23-2019, 09:15 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 16 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Arizona +9.5 (781)- W

5) Tennessee +3 (813)- L

4) Green Bay +5.5 (829)

3) Kansas City -6.5 (845)- W

2) Houston -3 (907)- T

1) Buffalo +6.5 (909)- L

2019 record: 50-40-4

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den; Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Jets 16, Steelers 10:
— Rudolph replaced Hodges at QB at 9:00 mark in 2nd quarter, with Jets up 10-0; Hodges went back in when Rudolph got hurt early in 4th quarter.
— Steelers scored 7-10-10 points in their last three losses.
— Pittsburgh in 2nd half: 30 plays, 61 yards, 5 first downs, zero points.

— When Ficken kicked a FG to make it 10-0, it was first FG of day league-wide, after 13 TD’s had been scored. Unusual.
— Over last 11 years. Jets are 23-12-2 ATS as a home underdog, 4-2 TY.
— Jets scored 36.5 ppg in winning their last four home games.

Saints 38, Titans 28:
— Michael Thomas set an all-time record with his 144th catch of the year.
— Saints won 10 of their last 12 games, winning last six on road
— NO is 11-3 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite, 3-0 TY.

— Titans led this game 14-0 after the first quarter.
— Tennessee had three TD plays of 36+ yards; that is explosive.
— Eight of Titans’ last nine games went over the total.

Falcons 24, Jaguars 12:
— Jaguars lost six of last seven games, were outscored 82-9 in first half last four games.
— Jacksonville is 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog, 3-4 TY.
— Atlanta converted 7-13 on third down, Jaguars 3-14.

— Falcons scored TD on opening drive, Jaguars fumbled kickoff, Atlanta scored again and led 14-0 after 5:32 of play. Game, set, match.
— Falcons won five of last seven games, covered six of last eight.
— Julio Jones caught 10 balls for 166 yards.

Giants 41, Redskins 35 OT:
— Jones threw a TD pass to Smith on first drive in OT to end this game.
— Barkley ran ball 22 yards for 189 yards, including a 67-yard TD.
— Giants won five of their last seven visits here; they won two road games this year, and gave up 30+ points in both of them.

— Rookie QB Haskins hurt his ankle; veteran Keenum came in and rallied Washington back from a two-TD deficit to tie game with 0:29 left.
— With the loss, Redskins move up to the #2 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.
— Washington was outgained 552-381; Giants ran ball for 206 yards.

Dolphins 38, Bengals 35 OT:
— Bengals went 55-137 from 1991-2002, under four different coaches.
— Bengals were 131-122-3 with Marvin Lewis as coach, from 2003-18.
— Bengals are 1-14 in first year after they fired Lewis; why did they fire him?

— Miami led this game 35-12 with 6:30 left, but blew the lead.
— 80 different players have played for Miami this year, an NFL record.
— Dolphins split their last eight games, after an 0-7 start.

Colts 38, Panthers 6:
— Carolina lost its last seven games.
— Last four weeks, Panthers are minus-11 (1-12) in turnovers.
— Carolina had ball in red zone three times, scored total of 3 points.

— Nyheim Hines had punt returns of 84-71 yards for TD’s.
— Colts won for only second time in their last eight games.
— Indy is +6 in turnovers in its last three games.

Ravens 31, Browns 15:
— Ravens’ first four drives: 23 plays, 120 yards, no points.
— Ravens’ next five drives: 42 plays, 353 yards, four TD’s, one FG
— Baltimore won its last 11 games, covering eight of last nine.

— Browns are 7-17-1 ATS in last 25 games as a home underdog, 0-2 TY.
— Cleveland allowed 451-445-481 TY in last two games; they’re 0-5 giving up 400+ TY.
— Baltimore scored 35 TD’s on its last 72 drives.

Eagles 17, Cowboys 9:
— Cowboys are 7-0 when they score 31+ points, 0-8 when they don’t.
— Dallas lost four of its last five games.
— Cowboys ran ball for 54 yards here, after running it for 263 yards LW.

— Eagles need a win or tie next week (vs Giants) to win the NFC East.
— Philly gained 120 yards on 18 plays, 10 points on first two drives.
— Eagles outscored opponents 54-16 in 2nd half of last three games

Cardinals 27, Seahawks 13:
— Cardinals covered last five trips to Seattle, winning four of them SU.
— Arizona covered six of seven road games TY.
— QB Murray hurt his hamstring, didn’t play last 20:00 of game.

— Seahawks converted only 1-12 on third down.
— Seattle is 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 2-5 TY.
— Seahawks host 49ers next week for NFC West title, possible bye in playoffs.

Broncos 27, Lions 17:
— Detroit’s first TD came on a 64-yard punt return.
— Lions lost their last eight games, outscored 48-13 in 1st half the last three weeks.
— Detroit scored four TD’s on 44 drives in last four road games.

— Denver is 3-1 with rookie QB Lock starting; they won four of last five home games
— Broncos outgained Detroit 348-191, held Lions to 3.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Under is 7-4 in Denver’s last 11 games.

Raiders 24, Chargers 17:
— Oakland snaps its four-game losing skid.
— Raiders are 6-15-1 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.
— There is still a weird scenario where Oakland makes the playoffs.

— Chargers’ first five drives: 21 plays, 55 yards, 2 first downs, zero points.
— LA is 2-10 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite, 0-5 TY.
— Chargers lost five of their last six games overall.

Chiefs 26, Bears 3:
— Chiefs didn’t allow a TD on 15 drives in their last two games.
— KC won/covered their last five games, allowing total of only 31 points in last four.
— Chiefs outscored last four opponents 73-10 in first half.

— Bears got into KC territory on four drives, but scored only three points.
— Seven of their last nine games went under the total.
— Bears were outgained 350-234, averaged only 3.6 yards/pass attempt.

**Udog** · 12-23-2019, 09:19 AM

801CANISIUS -802 SIENA
SIENA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.

803LONG BEACH ST -804 SEATTLE
LONG BEACH ST is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

805GA SOUTHERN -806 GEORGIA
GA SOUTHERN is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

807GEORGIA ST -808 SMU
SMU is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) in the last 3 seasons.

809SAN FRANCISCO -810 FRESNO ST
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

1631GRAMBLING -1632 DAYTON
GRAMBLING is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

1631GRAMBLING -1632 DAYTON
Anthony Grant is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less (Coach of DAYTON)

1631GRAMBLING -1632 DAYTON
Donte Jackson is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds (Coach of GRAMBLING)

**Udog** · 12-23-2019, 09:21 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 23

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CANISIUS (5 - 5) at SIENA (3 - 5) - 12/23/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-1 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (4 - 9) at SEATTLE (6 - 7) - 12/23/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GA SOUTHERN (8 - 4) at GEORGIA (7 - 3) - 12/23/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA ST (8 - 3) at SMU (8 - 2) - 12/23/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGIA ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
GEORGIA ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 3) at FRESNO ST (4 - 7) - 12/23/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 105-140 ATS (-49.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 102-139 ATS (-50.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GRAMBLING (6 - 6) at DAYTON (9 - 2) - 12/23/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-23-2019, 09:26 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 23

Canisius won five of its last six games with Siena; they’re they won four of last visits to Siena. Favorites are 8-4 ATS in last dozen series games. Canisius lost three of last four games overall; they’re 5-5 vs schedule #249, turning ball over 22.3% of time (#307), making 30.3% of their 3’s (#273). Griffins are experience team #211 that is 1-4 in true road games, with lone win over #220 Ill-Chicago. Siena is 3-0 at home, 0-5 on road (vs schedule #85), winning two of three games vs teams ranked outside top 200. Saints have #252 eFG%, #268 on defense.

Long Beach State lost five of its last six games, beating Utah Valley Saturday; 49ers are 3-9 vs schedule #27, losing all five of their true road games. Long Beach is experience team #322 that is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#313)- their eFG% defense is #315. Seattle got upset as a 14-point favorite Saturday; they’re 4-7 vs schedule #289, winning four of six games vs teams ranked outside top 200. Redhawks are experience team #6 that is shooting 26.9% on arc (#337), 42.4% inside arc (#329)- their eFG% is #343- they play pace #226.

Georgia is 6-3 vs schedule #201; they beat SMU in double OT Friday. Dawgs are experience team #323 with a future NBA player in Edwards- they’re 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Georgia is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#18), getting 55.1% of their points on 2’s (#62)- they’re shooting 30.6% on arc (#263). Georgia Southern won couple of conference games by 3 points each Thursday/Saturday; Eagles are lost their only true road game by 9 at Auburn. GSU is 6-4 vs schedule #231, forcing turnovers 23% of time (#41).

Georgia State won its last seven games, winning two conference games Thursday/Saturday; Panthers lost their two top 100 games, by 11 at Duke, 8 at Georgetown. State is experience team #210 that is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#95)- they’re making 39.9% of their 3’s (#13) but don’t take that many of them. SMU lost in double OT at Georgia Friday; they’re 8-2 vs schedule #345- their best win is at #187 UNLV. Mustangs are experience team #251 that is playing pace #344- very slow. SMU is rebounding 37.8% of their own missed shots (#8).

San Francisco split its last six games after a 6-0 start (vs schedule #273); Dons are experience team #95 that split its four true road games, winning at Southern Illinois, Fullerton. USF has #38 eFG%, but their eFG% on defense is #259- teams are making 38.7% of their 3’s against USF (#335). Fresno State won its last two games after a 1-7 start; Bulldogs are experience team #282; 52% of their shots are 3’s, but they’re only making 31.4% of them (#228). Fresno is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 14-10-7 points- their best win is over #172 Winthrop.

@ Hawai’i
Boise State is 5-5 vs schedule #81, losing by 14 to Ga Tech Sunday after they led by 8 with 18:42 left; Broncos played their two best guys 37-38 minutes vs GT- they’re experience team #9 that lost four of five games away from home, with a triple OT win at Pacific their only road win. Portland lost four of its last five games, losing by 25 to Houston Sunday; Pilots didn’t play any guys more than 23:00 Sunday- they’re 6-5 vs schedule #350, losing their two top 200 games by 11-25 points. Portland is making 40.7% of its 3’s (#8).

Houston won six of its last seven games after a 2-2 start; Cougars are experience team #284 whose only losses are to top 50 teams. Houston is rebounding 40.1% of its own missed shots (#2); they had a stress-free win over Portland yesterday. Georgia Tech lost three of its last three games, beating Boise by 14 Sunday; Jackets are 5-5 vs schedule #45- they’re turning ball over 24.3% of time (#339), shooting 27.8% on arc (#324)- they’re experience team #194 whose bench doesn’t play much (#332 minutes). Tech played three guys 31:00+ Sunday.

UTEP is 5-0 at home, 0-3 on road; Miners lost by 4 at Hawai’i last nite, after leading by 9 early in 2nd half. Miners played played three guys 34:00+ Sunday. UTEP is 5-0 when it scores more than 63 points; they’re forcing turnovers 23.1% of time. Ball State is 5-5 vs schedule #261- they lost by 21 to Washington Sunday. Cardinals start two frosh, two seniors; they’re making 36.4% of their 3’s (#43), getting 40.9% of their points on arc (#15). Ball St is shooting 37.1% on arc (#44), getting 41.7% of their points on 3’s (#9)- 46.8% of their shots are 3’s (#21).

Washington is 9-2 vs schedule #224; Huskies are 3-2 away from home, playing one game in Toronto, one in Alaska. Washington is experience team #330 that doesn’t sub much (#342 bench minutes) or use arc much- they get 53.6% of their points inside arc (#101). This is Huskies’ first true road game of the season. Hawai’i beat UTEP in a tough game last nite, after being down nine early in 2nd half; Rainbows played four starters 34:00+- they survived 12-25 shooting on foul line, 3-13 on the arc.

**Udog** · 12-23-2019, 09:29 AM

NCAAB

Monday, December 23

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Trend Report
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Portland @ Boise State
Portland
Portland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
Portland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
Boise State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
Boise State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Portland

Long Beach State @ Seattle
Long Beach State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Long Beach State's last 5 games on the road
Long Beach State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Canisius @ Siena
Canisius
Canisius is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Siena
Canisius is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Siena
Siena
Siena is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Georgia Southern @ Georgia
Georgia Southern
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia Southern's last 7 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games at home

Grambling State @ Dayton
Grambling State
No trends to report
Dayton
Dayton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Dayton is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Georgia State @ Southern Methodist
Georgia State
Georgia State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

San Francisco @ Fresno State
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Fresno State
San Francisco is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Fresno State
Fresno State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Fresno State's last 7 games

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**Udog** · 12-23-2019, 10:37 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 23

Portland @ Boise State

Game 811-812
December 23, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
43.967
Boise State
57.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 13 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 11
137
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-11); Under

Canisius @ Siena

Game 801-802
December 23, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Canisius
49.508
Siena
50.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Siena
by 1
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Siena
by 7
142
Dunkel Pick:
Canisius
(+7); Over

Long Beach St @ Seattle

Game 803-804
December 23, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Long Beach St
47.486
Seattle
43.370
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Long Beach St
by 4
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 5
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Long Beach St
(+5); Over

Georgia State @ SMU

Game 807-808
December 23, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
57.446
SMU
59.538
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 8
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(+8); Under

Grambling @ Dayton

Game 1631-1632
December 23, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Grambling
45.305
Dayton
68.878
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 23 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 26
148
Dunkel Pick:
Grambling
(+26); Under

Georgia Southern @ Georgia

Game 805-806
December 23, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
53.627
Georgia
59.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 5 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 9
160
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+9); Under

Houston @ Georgia Tech

Game 813-814
December 23, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
67.768
Georgia Tech
56.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-7 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ Fresno State

Game 809-810
December 23, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
60.823
Fresno State
56.932
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 4
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 1
145
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-1); Under

Washington @ Hawaii

Game 815-816
December 23, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
67.849
Hawaii
55.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
146
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

Ball State @ TX-El Paso

Game 817-818
December 23, 2019 @ 1:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
54.266
TX-El Paso
57.025
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-El Paso
by 3
120
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 1
124
Dunkel Pick:
TX-El Paso
(+1); Under

Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/23

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/23

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