Announcement

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 08:28 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Interesting Week 16 NFL games:

— Rams @ 49ers (-6.5)

— Lions @ Broncos (-6.5)

— Raiders @ Chargers (-6)

— Giants @ Redskins (-2.5)

— Cardinals @ Seahawks (-9.5)

— Chiefs (-5) @ Bears

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……

13) One thing about the new baseball rule that will get talked about a lot in the spring; relievers will have to face 3+ batters in an appearance, unless they finish an inning, then they can be replaced between innings, even if they faced only one or two hitters.

Idea of the rule is to reduce pitching changes within a half-inning, to keep the pace of the game flowing better. There was a game last year where a team had five batters bat in the 8th inning, and they faced five different pitchers. Not good.

12) Appearances that would not have been allowed had the new rule been in effect during the las three seasons:
2019: 649— Oliver Perez had 22 of them, out of his 65 appearances.
2018: 712
2017: 720

11) In month of November, $316.5M was bet on sports in Pennsylvania, $562.7M was wagered in New Jersey; thats $879.2M, just in those two states.

10) North Carolina’s star freshman Cole Anthony is out 4-6 weeks after getting his knee scoped. Tar Heels are +69 this year when Anthony is in the game, minus-47 when he is on the bench.

9) Seth Greenberg and Sean Farnham were talking on ESPN2 last nite about leagues adding more teams to improve their profile in basketball- they were talking about Gonzaga. My thing is this: No league should have more than 12 teams in it; anything more becomes cumbersome.

ACC has 15 basketball teams: too many. Big 14/Atlantic 14? Same thing.

8) Detroit Lions announced that their coach/GM will both come back next year, which during a 3-10-1 season, is a little surprising. If I was a Lions’ fan, I’d have a stronger opinion on this, but thats there business. Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Cincinnati Reds signed P Wade Miley
— Houston Astros gave P Joe Smith $8M for two years.

6) More than 25% of all grievances filed league-wide by NFL players for violations of the league’s CBA were filed against the Jacksonville Jaguars, which could be bad news for Jaguars’ VP Tom Coughlin. Dante Fowler is going to get about $700,000 back that the Jaguars fined him.

5) Dallas Mavericks upset the Bucks 120-116 in Milwaukee Monday, snapping the Bucks’ 18-game win streak, even with Dallas star Doncic (ankle) sitting out.

4) College football stuff:
— Former Rutgers coach Chris Ash in the new DC at Texas.
— Fresno State named Indiana OC Kalen DeBoer its new football coach.

3) Median sale price for a single-family house in San Francisco:
2010: $751,000
2019: $1.65M

2) RIP to former Iowa football coach Hayden Fry, who passed away Tuesday at age 90. Fry was the Iowa coach back when I was in college; he revitalized their program, going 96-61-5 in Big 10 games back when Michigan/Ohio State had been totally dominating the league.

1) Something to think about while you’re shoveling snow this week: Only 100 days until Opening Day of baseball season.

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 08:29 AM

513 CHICAGO -514 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the last 3 seasons.

515 TORONTO -516 DETROIT
TORONTO is 33-19 ATS (12.1 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

519 MIAMI -520 PHILADELPHIA
MIAMI is 32-13 ATS (17.7 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

521 NEW ORLEANS -522 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a combined score of 235 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

525 BOSTON -526 DALLAS
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

527 ORLANDO -528 DENVER
ORLANDO is 23-11 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

529 GOLDEN STATE -530 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 08:30 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (10 - 19) at WASHINGTON (8 - 17) - 12/18/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (18 - 8) at DETROIT (11 - 16) - 12/18/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (12 - 17) at CLEVELAND (6 - 21) - 12/18/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 88-119 ATS (-42.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 39-58 ATS (-24.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 221-268 ATS (-73.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 51-70 ATS (-26.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (19 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (20 - 8) - 12/18/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-42 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 165-127 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (6 - 21) at MINNESOTA (10 - 15) - 12/18/2019, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (10 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 14) - 12/18/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-81 ATS (-28.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (17 - 7) at DALLAS (18 - 8) - 12/18/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 355-300 ATS (+25.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 117-92 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 83-63 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (12 - 14) at DENVER (17 - 8) - 12/18/2019, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (5 - 23) at PORTLAND (11 - 16) - 12/18/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-74 ATS (-25.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 08:33 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 18

Bulls–Wizards
Chicago lost five of its last seven games, but covered five of last six; they covered their last four road games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Washington lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-6 SU at home. Three of their last four games went over.

Bulls won four of last five games with the Wizards; they covered their last five trips to Washington. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.

Hornets–Cavaliers
Charlotte won four of its last five games; they’re 4-1 ATS if they played night before, 7-7 ATS as a road underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Cleveland lost 10 of last 11 games; they’re 3-10 SU at home, 0-1 ATS as a home favorite. Cavaliers’ last three games went over.

Hornets won three of last four games with the Cavaliers; they covered three of last four visits to Cleveland.Five of last six series games stayed under.

Heat-76ers
Miami won seven of last 10 games; they’re 4-5-1 ATS as a road underdog. Heat’s last five games went over the total. 76ers won five of their last six games; they covered seven of last nine home games. Four of their last six games went over.

Heat lost six of last seven games with the 76ers; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Philly. Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Raptors-Pistons
Toronto won three of last four games; they won six of last nine road games SU. Three of their last four games stayed under. Detroit won five of last eight games; they’re 7-4 ATS in last 11 home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Raptors lost three of last four games wth the Pistons; they’re 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Detroit. Last three series games went over.

Grizzlies-Thunder
Memphis won four of its last five games; they’re 5-6 ATS as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Oklahoma City won six of its last nine games; they’re 3-4 ATS as a home favorite. Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Grizzlies lost nine of last ten games with OKC but covered three of last four; they’re 2-4 ATS as a in last six visits to Oklahoma. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Pelicans-Timberwolves
New Orleans lost their 13th straight game to Nets in OT last nite; Pelicans covered once in their last six games as a road underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Minnesota lost its last seven games overall and also seven in row at home; they’re 1-6-1 ATS as a home favorite. Wolves’ last six games went over the total.

Home side won last six New Orleans-Minnesota games; Pelicans covered once in their last five visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Magic-Nuggets
Orlando lost four of last five games; they’re 5-5 ATS as a road underdog. Magic’s last three games went over. Denver won eight of its last nine home games; they’re 6-8 ATS as a home favorite. Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Magic lost its last seven games wit the Nuggets (0-6-1 ATS); they’re 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Denver. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Celtics-Mavericks
Boston lost four of its last five road games; they’re 4-3 ATS as a road favorite. Celtics’ last three road games went over. Dallas won 12 of its last 15 games, but Doncic is hurt; they’re 8-6 SU at home, 0-1 ATS as a home underdog. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Celtics won six of last seven games with Dallas; they’re 2-2 ATS in last four visits here. Over is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

Warriors-Trailblazers
Golden State lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 8-5 ATS in last 13 road games. Four of their last five road games went under. Portland is 6-4 SU in its last ten games; they’re 4-6 ATS as a home favorite. Blazers’ last four games went under.

Warriors won their last five games with Portland (3-1-1 ATS). Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS in their last five visits to Oregon. Three of last four series games went over.

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 08:36 AM

NBA

Wednesday, December 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington Wizards
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 24 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Chicago's last 24 games when playing on the road against Washington

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Charlotte
Cleveland is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Charlotte Hornets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games
Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Charlotte is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
Charlotte is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
Charlotte is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Charlotte is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Charlotte is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Detroit Pistons
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Toronto is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Heat
Miami is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing New Orleans
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games
Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Oklahoma City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games at home
Oklahoma City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Memphis is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games at home
Denver is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Denver is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Orlando
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Orlando's last 18 games
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games on the road
Orlando is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Orlando is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Denver
Orlando is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games
Dallas is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Dallas's last 25 games
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games at home
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Dallas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Boston
Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Boston's last 21 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 5-10-2 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Portland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Portland is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Golden State
Portland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Portland's last 15 games when playing at home against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Golden State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games
Golden State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Portland
Golden State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
Golden State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Golden State's last 15 games when playing on the road against Portland

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 01:45 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 18

Chicago @ Washington

Game 513-514
December 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
115.202
Washington
118.158
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3
240
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1
230
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-1); Over

Charlotte @ Cleveland

Game 517-518
December 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
114.635
Cleveland
107.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 7 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+3 1/2); Under

Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 519-520
December 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
121.169
Philadelphia
120.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+7 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Detroit

Game 515-516
December 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.871
Detroit
115.071
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Oklahoma City

Game 523-524
December 18, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
113.705
Oklahoma City
123.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6
219
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-6); Over

New Orleans @ Minnesota

Game 521-522
December 18, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
106.599
Minnesota
117.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 10 1/2
239
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 7
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-7); Over

Orlando @ Denver

Game 527-528
December 18, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
115.670
Denver
121.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 9 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+9 1/2); Under

Boston @ Dallas

Game 525-526
December 18, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
123.279
Dallas
127.284
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 4
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Portland

Game 529-530
December 18, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
104.352
Portland
116.799
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 12 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 9
219
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-9); Over

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 02:41 PM

Wednesday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Top Game – Celtics (-2/218.5) at Mavericks, 9:35 p.m.

The Mavs got about the most difficult task the schedule could possibly dream up on the heels of losing Luka Doncic to an ankle injury likely to keep him out a few weeks.

Go play the Bucks in Milwaukee on Monday with no practice scheduled on Sunday.

They only had an 18-game winning streak going and led the NBA in margin of victory, so yes, it’s stunning that as an 11-point underdog, Dallas not only won outright, but led most of the way. Building an edge of as many as 16 points, they held on for a 120-116 upset, overcoming a 48-point, 14-rebound night from Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Mavs became the first team in league history ever to end a streak of 15-plus victories without their leading scorer.

With Doncic now unlikely to be too adversely affected by an ankle sprain that looked absolutely dreadful when it took place on Saturday night in Milwaukee, Dallas head coach Rick Carlisle now has an opportunity to get the confidence of his supporting task up to speed in what might ultimately wind up being a blessing for a team that has unexpectedly elevated itself from being one of those teams that will be vying for one of those final playoff berths in the Western Conference to one being counted on to do finish top-six.

On that note, staying afloat without Doncic, who may be sidelined until the beginning of January, becomes imperative.

The Celtics arrive in Dallas to play what will end up being the penultimate home game the team will play at American Airlines Center in 2019. The Mavs will host the Spurs on Dec. 26 and play exclusively on the road for five of their remaining six of the calendar year following tonight’s contest.

They ironically have the NBA’s third-best record away from home (10-2) but are just 8-6 at the AAC, so it’s not exactly stunning that Boston would be favored given the absence of Dallas’ primary catalyst. The Mavs are 0-2 when not favored in their arena, suffering blowout losses at the hands of the Lakers and Clippers. The Celtics are a solid 7-6 SU on the road, winning five of their seven games when favored (3-3-1 ATS).

Boston still remains without Marcus Smart due to his eye infection and will miss his versatility on the defensive end. Center Robert Williams and power forward Robert Williams are also out for the Celtics, who did see Gordon Hayward return early last week but are in danger of losing a third straight game for the first time all season after falling at Indiana and suffering their first home loss against Philadelphia last Thursday. The Celtics should be fresh upon having ample practice time to regroup and refocus, but not getting Smart back after what was termed “a miserable week” for him by head coach Brad Stevens is unfortunate. 7-foot-6 Tacko Fall, the only player in the league bigger than Mavs’ 7-foot-4 reserve center Boban Marjanovic, might get called up to the active roster.

The Celtics return home for four of their next five games following this one, playing the Raptors twice. A single game separates Philly, Toronto and Boston in the Atlantic Division.

Dallas’ upset of Milwaukee kept it ahead of the Rockets in the Southwest despite Houston’s 26-point comeback win over the Spurs. Road games against the 76ers and Raps are up next for the Mavs, but this should be the only game where they’re not catching at least six or seven points as an underdog.

Almost immediately after it was revealed that Doncic had avoided a significant injury, Kristaps Porzingis, the team’s lone maximum salary player who has embraced his role as a No. 2 as he works his way back from the ACL injury that ended his tenure with the Knicks, was asked about his new role. Would the same player who averaged over 22 points per game and was dubbed “Unicorn” while making the All-Star team emerge?

Porzingis scored 26 points, grabbed 12 rebounds and hit half of his 3-point attempts in leading the way against the Bucks. That’s a pretty definitive answer. Dallas passed the first challenge of an extremely tough two-week stretch consisting of six road games it has to play between now and the start of 2020.

The Mavs may not have Doncic for any of them, and while ending the league’s longest sustained run of success this season as an 11-point underdog sets a high bar, you can see why this might end up proving beneficial.

Porzingis’ confidence is likely to receive a significant boost. Delon Wright, languishing on the bench after a hot start while still working his way back from an ankle injury, played his best game in weeks. Jalen Brunson finished with 18 points, seven boards and eight assists to aid the comeback bid against Miami and remained in the playmaker role against the Bucks, finishing with 13 points and a league-high 11 assists. J.J. Barea, taking his time in returning from an Achilles tear last January, can start earning more minutes. Seth Curry matched Porzingis with 26 points and four 3-pointers, helping overcome the fact Hardaway shot 1-for-10.

That Dallas beat the Bucks on a night when the guy they envisioned carrying a lot of the scoring burden shot so poorly tells you just how much depth there is for Carlisle to work with. They’ll look to keep Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Howard from proving overwhelming, but not having to deal with Smart will certainly aid the cause since he’s terrorized Porzingis in the past and is capable of disrupting the rhythm of most playmakers.

This total is the largest involving the Celtics since the number closed at 227 for their Nov. 18 visit to Phoenix 11 games ago. The ‘under’ is 4-3 in Boston games that close with a total higher than 218. Dallas has lost six of the past seven games in the series but won its only home game against the Celtics on Nov. 24, 2018. Boston won the first meeting this season on Nov. 11, overcoming Doncic’s 34 points in a 116-106 triumph at TD Garden. Walker led the way with 29 points and an 8-for-14 effort from 3-point range as the C’s went 15-for-35 from beyond the arc. This game will air on ESPN.

Best of the Rest

Heat at 76ers (-2/210.5), 7:10 p.m. ET: Jimmy Butler hopes this return goes better than the first matchup, a 113-86 setback where his Heat managed just 13 first-quarter points. That loss came on the second night of a back-to-back, so the Heat should at least be better-rested despite coming off a disappointing loss in Memphis on Monday where it surrendered 118 or more points in a third straight game for the first time all season. Josh Richardson torched his former team with 32 points on 11-for-15 shooting and will suit up here. Philadelphia is expected to have Joel Embiid back from his upper respiratory illness and saw him get the better of reigning Eastern Conference Player of the Week Bam Adebayo in the first meeting. The 76ers will be as healthy as they’ve been all season if Embiid suits up. Miami remains without starting wing Justise Winslow, sixth man Goran Dragic and key reserve forward James Johnson.

Grizzlies at Thunder (-6.5/219), 8:10 p.m. ET: Don’t look now, but Memphis has won four of five and is starting to get nightly greatness from Rookie of the Year frontrunner Ja Morant in addition to more consistency out of power forward Jaren Jackson, Jr. and center Jonas Valanciunas. Although the Griz may not enjoy many stretches like the one they’re currently embarked upon where they’ve won four of five, their run hasn’t been smoke and mirrors. The same can be said about the Chris Paul-led Thunder now that he fully has his clutches in the group and appears invested. Paul refused to let them lose to Chicago in producing a dramatic comeback win where he took the game completely over to ensure a five-game homestand that sees the Grizzlies come through twice gets off to a good start. Expect the matchup between a future Hall of Fame point guard and the latest gem to come into the league to produce some highlights. While the high side has prevailed in Memphis’ last three games, the ‘under’ is 4-1 over its last five road contests.

Magic at Nuggets (-9.5/203), 9:10 p.m. ET: A bench-led flurry turned a double-digit deficit into an unexpected fourth-quarter lead for the Magic in Utah on Tuesday, but an inability to close out to shooters and execute offensively down the stretch led to them failing to even cover the 6.5-point spread. Jonathan Isaac, the NBA’s top shot blocker, didn’t have his usual energy while center Nikola Vucevic and shooting guard Evan Fournier, Orlando’s top scorers, struggled to find the range. They’ll be playing their fourth back-to-back of the season and the Nuggets are the beneficiary for the second time, having won 91-87 on Nov. 2 at Amway Center after Orlando had hosted Milwaukee the previous night. The Magic are 1-2 SU on the second night but 2-0-1 ATS. If the number remains where it is, this will be the second-highest spread they’ll be saddled with all season, having covered at the Bucks as a 13-point underdog on Dec. 9. Denver is 3-0 on its current five-game homestand and is 11-3 at Pepsi Center on the season, coming in with a 7-7 ATS mark.

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/18

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/18

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment