Announcement

**Udog** · 12-14-2019, 08:07 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Top seven college hoop teams on foul line:

7) Colgate 80.9%

5) Campbell/Sacred Heart 81%

4) Texas-El Paso 81.7%

3) Northeastern 81.9%

2) Pepperdine 85.5%

1) Western Illinois 88.3%

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……

13) Personal update: Retina in my right eye detached nine weeks ago today; I had an operation on my right eye October 22- they inserted a gas bubble in the eye, which helps the retina get back where it belongs. Not sure I realized at the time that this is a serious operation.

Went to the eye surgeon yesterday (Friday); the retina has been re-attached, so that is good and the gas bubble is now roughly 80% gone. The bubble is expected to be gone in the next couple of weeks, and then things can get totally back to normal.

12) Thanks for your patience during the last couple months; I’m guessing my proofreading has slipped some. I can see out of the right eye, but can’t really read with it. I’ve tried to reduce any stress in my life, so the bubble will go away faster. Hopefully we’ll get back to picking games when the calendar turns to January- we’ll see.

11) Gerrit Cole’s 9-year contract is the longest any pitcher has gotten since 1976, when the Indians gave Wayne Garland a 10-year, $2.3M deal.

Thats $230,000 a year, for ten years. Was pretty big news way back then, when I was a junior in high school.

Garland went 20-7 for the ’76 Orioles, coming out of nowhere after starting his career 7-11 in his first three seasons. Remember, the Orioles were the better team back then.

Garland went 10-19 for a 74-87 Cleveland team in ’77, making 38 starts, then his career unraveled, going 15-29 in the last four years of his career.

10) Random fact: LSU QB Joe Burrow is older than Lamar Jackson.

9) Topeka, the state capital of Kansas, is offering potential new residents up to $15,000 to move there, providing they purchase or rehabilitate a home, and live and work there for a year.

8) New York Mets reached an agreement on a re-done contract with Yoenis Cespedes, which is expected to lower their 2020 payroll a decent amount. Cespedes didn’t play at all LY because of foot injuries; he’s played a total of 119 games the last three years.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Brewers signed oft-injured P Brett Anderson to a 1-year deal; Anderson was 13-9 LY, his career high in wins.

6) New Jersey Giants released CB Janoris Jenkins, after he refused to apologize for an offensive tweet he sent to a critical fan. In his 8-year career, teams Jenkins played for are a combined 48-77-1, losing their one playoff game (Packers beat Giants 38-13 in ’16 Wild Card game).

5) Actors have to play a variety of roles to have a successful career; Scottish actor Brian Cox has an excellent resume- he is currently the star of HBO’s series Succession, but in 2002 he was the Army father who disliked baseball in the real-life story The Rookie, about a high school science teacher who becomes a major league relief pitcher.

Three years earlier, Cox played the longtime owner of the Detroit Tigers in For Love of the Game, the Kevin Costner movie. Funny seeing the same guy playing such different roles.

4) Bucks 127, Grizzlies 114— Milwaukee has won its last 17 games.

3) Clippers 124, Timberwolves 117— Kawhi Leonard scored 31 in the first half, wound up with 42 points; Paul George scored 46 points for the Clippers. Minnesota lost its 7th home game in a row.

2) Josh Donaldson told his mom that if she quit smoking he’d get her a Maserati; because it is 2019 and everything gets filmed now, they posted the video on Twitter of Donaldson driving up to her house in the car, and then the mom’s (extremely) enthusiastic reaction. Hope the car doesn’t have an ashtray in it.

1) Get well soon to former NBA commissioner David Stern, who had emergency surgery after a brain hemorrhage Thursday. Stern was NBA commish for 30 years; he is 77 now.

**Udog** · 12-14-2019, 08:10 AM

549SAN ANTONIO -550 PHOENIX
SAN ANTONIO is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

551BROOKLYN -552 TORONTO
BROOKLYN is 42-21 ATS (18.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

553LA CLIPPERS -554 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

555WASHINGTON -556 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

557MIAMI -558 DALLAS
MIAMI is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

559CLEVELAND -560 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

561DETROIT -562 HOUSTON
DETROIT is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is 22-229.5 in the last 3 seasons.

563OKLAHOMA CITY -564 DENVER
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-14-2019, 08:11 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 14

Spurs–Suns
San Antonio won three of its last five games; their last three games went to OT. Spurs are 1-5 ATS as a road underdog. Five of their last seven road games went over. Phoenix split its last six games; they’re 3-5 ATS as a home favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Spurs won seven of last eight games with the Suns; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Phoenix. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Nets–Raptors
Brooklyn won eight of its last 11 games; they’re 4-2 ATS as a road underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Toronto lost four of its last five games; they’re 7-4 ATS as a home favorite. Over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

Nets lost nine of last ten games with Toronto (4-6 ATS); they’re 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Canada (last three went over).

Clippers-Bulls
Clippers won/covered six of last seven games; they’re 5-4 ATS as a road favorite. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Chicago lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 5-3 ATS as a home favorite. Under is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

Clippers won their last seven games with Chicago; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five trips to the Windy City. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Wizards-Grizzlies
Washington lost eight of last ten games; they’re 8-5 ATS on the road. Three of their last four games went under. Memphis lost its last six home games; they’re 5-7 ATS in last dozen home games. Five of their last seven games went under.

Wizards won four of last five games with Memphis (under 4-1); they’re 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.

Heat-Mavericks
Miami lost a tough home game with the Lakers Friday, their 2nd loss in last eight games; they covered once in last five road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Dallas won six of last seven games; they’re 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Heat won seven of last eight games with Dallas (6-1-1 ATS); they covered four of last five visits here. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Cavaliers-Bucks
Cleveland lost eight of last nine games; they covered once in last six road games (over 5-1). Milwaukee won its last 17 games; they covered four of last five home games. Three of their last four home games went under.

Cavaliers lost five of last six games with the Bucks (2-4 ATS); they’re 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee. Four of last six series games went under.

Pistons-Rockets
Detroit won four of its last six games; they’re 2-7 ATS as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Houston won six of last eight games; they’re 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite. Over is 4-2 in their last six home games.

Pistons covered seven of last eight games with Houston, winning five of the games SU; they’re 4-1 ATS in last five visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under.

Thunder-Nuggets
OKC won five of last seven games; they’re 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog. Under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Denver won six of its last seven home games; they’re 4-2 ATS in last six home games. Under is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

Denver won/covered their last six games with the Thunder; OKC covered once in their last five visits to Colorado. Three of last four series games went under.

**Udog** · 12-14-2019, 08:15 AM

NBA

Saturday, December 14

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Trend Report
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San Antonio @ Phoenix
San Antonio
San Antonio is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing San Antonio

Brooklyn @ Toronto
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Toronto is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Brooklyn

LA Clippers @ Chicago
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Washington @ Memphis
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Washington

Cleveland @ Milwaukee
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Miami @ Dallas
Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Detroit @ Houston
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit
Houston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Denver
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Denver
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

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**Udog** · 12-14-2019, 09:50 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 14

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SAN ANTONIO (9 - 15) at PHOENIX (11 - 13) - 12/14/2019, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 176-137 ATS (+25.3 Units) in December games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 372-294 ATS (+48.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 226-163 ATS (+46.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 444-369 ATS (+38.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 51-72 ATS (-28.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (13 - 11) at TORONTO (16 - 8) - 12/14/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (20 - 7) at CHICAGO (9 - 18) - 12/14/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 138-188 ATS (-68.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (7 - 16) at MEMPHIS (8 - 17) - 12/14/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-68 ATS (-36.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (18 - 7) at DALLAS (17 - 7) - 12/14/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 354-299 ATS (+25.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (6 - 19) at MILWAUKEE (23 - 3) - 12/14/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 88-117 ATS (-40.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 78-121 ATS (-55.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (10 - 15) at HOUSTON (17 - 8) - 12/14/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
DETROIT is 32-45 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 13) at DENVER (15 - 8) - 12/14/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-14-2019, 11:55 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, December 14

San Antonio @ Phoenix

Game 549-550
December 14, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
110.541
Phoenix
114.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 4 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-1 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Toronto

Game 551-552
December 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
111.065
Toronto
124.631
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 13 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-7 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ Chicago

Game 553-554
December 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.610
Chicago
120.111
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4 1/2); Under

Washington @ Memphis

Game 555-556
December 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
112.581
Memphis
114.271
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 1 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1
236
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+1); Under

Miami @ Dallas

Game 557-558
December 14, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
122.402
Dallas
126.424
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 4
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 8
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+8); Under

Cleveland @ Milwaukee

Game 559-560
December 14, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
114.135
Milwaukee
124.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 10 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 13
225
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+13); Under

Detroit @ Houston

Game 561-562
December 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
119.953
Houston
123.316
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3 1/2
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+8 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Denver

Game 563-564
December 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
119.973
Denver
122.160
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 7
204
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+7); Over

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/14

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/14

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