Announcement

**Udog** · 12-13-2019, 09:05 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Too-early 2020 baseball over/under in totals:

— Mariners 66.5

— Cardinals 88.5

— Rays 92.5

— Rangers 75.5

— Blue Jays 73.5

— Nationals 89.5

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……..

13) This year, if your college basketball team is making 33.3% of their 3’s, they’re 156th in country. Last year, teams that shot 33.3% on the arc were 225th.

Moving the arc back has created more missed shots; I’m wondering if more long rebounds has resulted in more fast breaks going the other way.

12) Florida Atlantic hired Willie Taggart as its new football coach; FAU will be his 5th head coaching job in 11 years, making him the Larry Brown of college football.

2010-12: Western Kentucky: 16-20, 13-11 Sun Belt
2013-16: South Florida: 24-25, 18-14 AAC
2017: Oregon 7-5, 4-5 Pac-12
2018-19: Florida State 9-12, 6-9 ACC

Total: 56-62, 44-42 conference

11) Apparently Dallas Mavericks’ star Luke Doncic is the best player in the NBA who doesn’t have a shoe contract, which means his bank account will get a lot bigger fairly soon, as all the sneaker companies try to sign him up.

10) Home teams won the first ten Big 14 conference games so far this season; Michigan looked like a damn good team until they went to Louisville/Illinois.

9) The more I think about it, the more I like the 0:08 half court rule that the NBA has; makes a team get into motion a little quicker, not just walk the ball up the court.

8) I’m mystified that Harold Baines is in the Hall of Fame, but Dale Murphy isn’t.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Mets signed P Rick Porcello to a 1-year, $10M contract.
— Bronx re-signed OF Brett Gardner to a 1-year, $12.5m deal.

6) It is December 13 and Yale has already played four OT games this season, winning three of them. Bulldogs won their last six games overall, are 9-3 vs schedule #83.

5) Baseball will have some rules changes this year; a big one for September is the elimination of the 40-man roster. Rosters will be capped at 28 in September.

4) Another rule change will be that relievers having to face 3+ hitters in an appearance; it’ll reduce the often-tedious L-R-L pitching changes that stretch out the end of games.

In exchange for that, rosters all season increase from 25 to 26 players.

3) Handicapping bowl games can be dicey; you don’t know how excited a team or its fans are about their particular matchup. Iowa State sold out of its allotment of tickets for the Camping World Bowl against Notre Dame; safe to say that people in Ames are excited about this game.

2) NBA is putting a G-League team in Mexico City, starting next season. Very high altitude in Mexico City; the Nuggets don’t have a G-League affiliate yet. Maybe they do now.

1) Ravens 42, Jets 21
— Baltimore wins the AFC North.
— Lamar Jackson completed 15 passes, five of them for TD’s.
— Only 8 of Ravens’ 59 plays came on third down.
— Jets scored a TD on aa blocked punt.

**Udog** · 12-13-2019, 09:13 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 13

Gardner-Webb @ Kennesaw St

Game 1295-1296
December 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Gardner-Webb
54.578
Kennesaw St
35.275
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gardner-Webb
by 19 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gardner-Webb
by 9 1/2
134
Dunkel Pick:
Gardner-Webb
(-9 1/2); Over

Colorado @ Colorado State

Game 675-676
December 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
64.462
Colorado State
56.514
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 8
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 4 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-4 1/2); Over

TX-Rio Grande @ Creighton

Game 673-674
December 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-Rio Grande
44.956
Creighton
65.917
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Creighton
by 21
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Creighton
by 18
141
Dunkel Pick:
Creighton
(-18); Under

Nebraska @ Indiana

Game 671-672
December 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
50.373
Indiana
69.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 19
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 16 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-16 1/2); Under

Prairie View @ Loyola Marymount

Game 1297-1298
December 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Prairie View
50.212
Loyola Marymount
54.148
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 4
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 7 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Prairie View
(+7 1/2); Under

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 13

Nebraska beat Indiana in last three meetings, winning here LY, but Cornhuskers are in a total rebuild (continuity team #352), starting out 4-5 vs schedule #203- they lost their two top 100 games by 17-19 points, also their only two true road games this year. Nebraska might be worst rebounding team in country. Indiana is 9-1 vs schedule #252; they’re 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with all six wins by 14+ points. Hoosiers survived 2-13 shooting on arc in their 57-54 win over UConn, Tuesday in NYC- they’re forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#88).

Colorado lost its last two games after a 7-0 start, getting upset at home by Northern Iowa on Tuesday; Buffs are continuity team #3 that forces turnovers 25.3% of the (#16)- they also turn ball over 21.3% of time (#271) while playing pace #123. Colorado’s eFG% is #249, not good. State is 7-5 vs schedule #165, losing its only top 100 games by 34-22 points. Rams are #52 continuity team that that is shooting 35.6% on arc (#85). Colorado State won three of last five games with Colorado; Buffs lost three of last five visits to Fort Collins.

NCAAB

Friday, December 13

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Trend Report
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UTRGV @ Creighton
UTRGV
The total has gone OVER in 7 of UTRGV's last 9 games on the road
UTRGV is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Creighton
Creighton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Creighton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Colorado @ Colorado State
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado State
Colorado State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Nebraska @ Indiana
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nebraska's last 9 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nebraska's last 8 games
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Prairie View A&M @ Loyola Marymount
Prairie View A&M
No trends to report
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Loyola Marymount is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 12-13-2019, 10:50 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 13

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NEBRASKA (4 - 5) at INDIANA (9 - 1) - 12/13/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 108-149 ATS (-55.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTRGV (4 - 5) at CREIGHTON (7 - 2) - 12/13/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 137-105 ATS (+21.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
UTRGV is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO (7 - 2) at COLORADO ST (7 - 5) - 12/13/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 137-178 ATS (-58.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
COLORADO ST is 176-223 ATS (-69.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GARDNER WEBB (3 - 6) at KENNESAW ST (1 - 8) - 12/13/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENNESAW ST is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KENNESAW ST is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENNESAW ST is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
KENNESAW ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KENNESAW ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENNESAW ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GARDNER WEBB over the last 3 seasons
GARDNER WEBB is 1-0 straight up against KENNESAW ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (3 - 6) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (4 - 5) - 12/13/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 51-77 ATS (-33.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 67-97 ATS (-39.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 112-148 ATS (-50.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 112-148 ATS (-50.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-0 straight up against PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-13-2019, 11:07 AM

671NEBRASKA -672 INDIANA
NEBRASKA is 108-149 ATS (-55.9 Units) in road games vs. winning teams since 1997.

673UTRGV -674 CREIGHTON
UTRGV is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

675COLORADO -676 COLORADO ST
COLORADO is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

1295GARDNER WEBB -1296 KENNESAW ST
GARDNER WEBB is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

1297PRAIRIE VIEW A&M -1298 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 5-23 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game since 1997.

Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

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