Announcement

**Udog** · 12-12-2019, 08:42 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Too-early 2020 baseball over/under in totals:

— Astros 99.5

— Dodgers 98.5

— Twins 90.5

— Padres 84.5

— Giants 68.5

— Mariners/Royals 66.5

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Los Angeles Angels signed 3B Anthony Rendon to a 7-year, $245M contact Wednesday night; Angels have a potent lineup, but they still lack pitching.

12) Want to know why fantasy baseball is increasingly popular? I’ll repeat something that I posted yesterday; it tells a story of why it is difficult to be a fan of a small market team:

2020 Bronx Bombers:
— Gerrit Cole, $36M
— Giancarlo Stanton, $26M
— Masahiro Tanaka, $23M
— Aroldis Chapman $17.2M

That adds up to $101.5M…….for four guys.

Oakland A’s made the playoffs the last two years; their ENTIRE payroll last year?

$92,178,333

11) If you and I play checkers, and you start wth 12 checkers but I start with 24, then I’m going to win most of the time, even if you’re smarter than me.

Gerrit Cole is going to make $1,090,909 per start next year; Oakland’s five starting pitchers LY made a total of roughly $12,500,000 for the whole season.

10) So having your own fantasy team where there are no salaries and you compete against people you know eliminates a lot of that BS and makes the summer more fun. At least if you have a cruddy season, you can blame yourself, instead of a ridiculous system that rewards the teams with the most money to spend.

9) 84 basketball players left college early LY and declared for the NBA Draft; only 44 of them were taken in the draft.

8) College football stuff:
— Colorado State hired former BC coach Steve Addazio as its new football coach.
— UNLV hired Oregon OC Marcus Arroyo as its new football coach.
— Florida Atlantic hired former Florida State coach Willie Taggart.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Mets signed P Michael Wacha to a 1-year deal, $3M deal (with incentives).
— Dodgers signed P Blake Treinen for one year, $10M.
— Blue Jays gave P Tanner Roark $24M for two years.

6) Adam Jones signed an $8M deal to play baseball for the Orix Buffaloes in Japan; Jones has played 14 years in the majors, mostly with the Orioles.

5) I’d track the movement of college football coaches on here, but those guys are nomadic- they constantly change jobs, especially assistants. Coaches’ wives must be experts at packing.

4) There have been 12 NBA games this season where a player had 20+ points and 20+ rebounds; Detroit’s Andre Drummond has five of those 12 games.

3) Diamondbacks/Padres will play two regular season games in Mexico City April 18-19; the first regular season MLB games in Mexico City. Games had previously been played in Monterrey.

2) Bad beat of the week: NBA’s Atlanta Hawks (+8.5) led Miami by 6 points with 0:59 left in regulation Tuesday night, but they didn’t cover. Seriously.

Miami scored the next 22 points and won by 14 in OT. It was the NBA’s widest margin of victory in an OT game since October 31, 2009, when Philadelphia beat the Knicks, 141-127.

1) Good trivia; Denver rookie QB Drew Lock plays against the Chiefs this week; Lock’s dad Andy was the starting right guard for the Missouri Tigers in 1989, when KC coach Andy Reid was his offensive line coach. 30 years later, they cross paths again.

**Udog** · 12-12-2019, 08:50 AM

661AUSTIN PEAY -662 W VIRGINIA
AUSTIN PEAY is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

663IOWA -664 IOWA ST
IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

665N IOWA -666 GRAND CANYON
N IOWA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in December games in the last 3 seasons.

1291SOUTHERN U -1292 WRIGHT ST
WRIGHT ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons.

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 12

Austin Peay @ West Virginia

Game 661-662
December 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Austin Peay
49.642
West Virginia
67.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 18 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 15 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-15 1/2); Under

Southern @ Wright State

Game 1291-1292
December 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern
42.399
Wright State
54.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 12 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 17 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Southern
(+17 1/2); Over

Iowa @ Iowa State

Game 663-664
December 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
67.411
Iowa State
73.6-4
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 6
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 3 1/2
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-3 1/2); Under

Northern Iowa @ Grand Canyon

Game 665-666
December 12, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Iowa
57.487
Grand Canyon
54.625
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Iowa
by 3
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Iowa
by 5 1/2
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Grand Canyon
(+5 1/2); Over

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 12

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AUSTIN PEAY (4 - 4) at W VIRGINIA (7 - 1) - 12/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUSTIN PEAY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA (7 - 3) at IOWA ST (6 - 3) - 12/12/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 162-126 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 162-126 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 267-217 ATS (+28.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N IOWA (9 - 1) at GRAND CANYON (4 - 7) - 12/12/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N IOWA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
N IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
N IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
N IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GRAND CANYON is 1-0 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
GRAND CANYON is 1-0 straight up against N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN U (3 - 6) at WRIGHT ST (7 - 3) - 12/12/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 12

Austin Peay won three of last four games after an 0-3 start; they’re 3-4 vs schedule #152, losing top 100 games by 22 at Western Kentucky, 8 at Arkansas. Governors are experience team #274 that turns ball over 20% of time- their eFG% defense is #296. West Virginia is 7-1 vs schedule #46- they sub a lot (bench minutes #20), and have #5 eFG% defense in country. WVU lost its last game at St John’s Saturday; they won their two games vs teams ranked outside top 100, by 8-25 points. Mountaineers are grabbing 37% of their own misses (#15).

Home side won last four Iowa-Iowa State games; Hawkeyes lost last three visits to Ames, by 3-1-6 points. Iowa split its last four games after a 5-1 start; they split two true road games, winning at Syracuse, losing by 12 at Michigan. Iowa is experience team #236 that 3-3 vs top 100 teams, with best win over Texas Tech on a neutral floor. State is 6-3 vs schedule #76; they’re 2-3 vs top 100 teams, splitting pair with Seton Hall. Cyclones are experience team #233 that is forcing turnovers 24% of time (#25)- they’re playing pace #28.

NCAAB

Thursday, December 12

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Trend Report
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Wright State Raiders
Wright State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
Wright State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Southern Jaguars
No Trends to Report

West Virginia Mountaineers
West Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
West Virginia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 7 games
West Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Austin Peay Governors
Austin Peay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Austin Peay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Austin Peay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Austin Peay's last 16 games on the road

Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games
Iowa State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Iowa State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Iowa State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iowa
Iowa State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Iowa State's last 11 games when playing Iowa
Iowa State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Iowa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games
Iowa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Iowa is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Iowa is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Iowa's last 19 games on the road
Iowa is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Iowa's last 11 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa State

Grand Canyon Antelopes
Grand Canyon is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Grand Canyon is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Grand Canyon's last 6 games
Grand Canyon is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Grand Canyon is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Northern Iowa Panthers
Northern Iowa is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Northern Iowa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Iowa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Iowa is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Northern Iowa's last 9 games on the road

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Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/12

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/12

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