Announcement

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 07:54 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 14 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Bills (747) +5.5- L

5) Saints (787) -2.5- L

4) Chiefs (803) +3- W

3) 49ers (809) +2.5- W

2) Bengals (895) +8.5- W

1) Rams (899) even- W

2019 record: 45-36-3

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

49ers 48, Saints 46:
— 49ers’ first five drives: 22 plays, 296 yards, four TD’s.
— Niners are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog, 5-0 TY.
— 49ers drove 63 yards in seven plays, kicked GW 30-yard GW FG at the gun.

— Saints’ first four drives: 32 plays, 240 yards, four TD’s.
— Game went over the total in the 2nd quarter.
— Saints are 10-15 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY.

Broncos 38, Texans 24:
— Broncos ran 63 plays; only eight were on 3rd down.
— Rookie QB Lock was 22-27/309 passing, with three TD’s.
— Broncos are now 5-4 in last nine games, after an 0-4 start.

— Texans beat New England LW; gambling is hard.
— Houston is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 1-5 TY
— Denver led 31-3 at halftime; this score makes no sense..

Ravens 24, Bills 17:
— Lamar Jackson is now 17-3 as an NFL starter,
— Baltimore won its last nine games, covering six of last seven.
— Both teams went well under their rushing averages (118-104, Balt).

— Buffalo averaged only 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Teams had a combined 42 net passing yards in first half.
— Teams combined to convert only 7-28 third down plays.

Packers 20, Redskins 15:
— Redskins’ first four drives: 16 plays, 32 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
— Redskins’ last six drives: 44 plays, 246 yards, 16 first downs, 15 points.
— Washington is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY.

— Green Bay is 24-15-2 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 4-3 TY
— Four of Packers’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Green Bay had 12-yard advantage in field position.

Browns 27, Bengals 19:
— Cincy outgained Browns 451-333, running 20 more plays than Cleveland.
— Bengals scored one TD, three FG’s on five trips to red zone.
— Under is 6-1-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight games

— Cleveland won four of its last five games.
— Browns had six plays of 20+ yards; four of them came on 3rd down.
— Cleveland’s first TD came on a pick-6 when they trailed 3-0.

Falcons 40, Panthers 20:
— Guess it wasn’t Ron Rivera’s fault.
— Carolina turned ball over four times (-4), converted 3-10 on 3rd down.
— Panthers lost field position battle by 18 yards.

— Ryan broke the game open with a 93-yard TD pass to Zaccheaus in 3rd quarter, making score 27-10.
— Falcons in 2nd half: 6 drives: 30 plays, 207 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
— Koo kicked four FG’s, recovered a fumble on a kickoff.

Vikings 20, Lions 7:
— Predictable result for rookie QB making first NFL road start.
— Detroit lost its sixth game in a row.
— Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4-1 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2-1 TY.

— Vikings sacked Blough five times, held Detroit to 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Minnesota converted 23 of last 40 third down plays.
— Under Zimmer, Vikings are 25-9-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2-1 TY.

Jets 22, Dolphins 21:
— Miami covered seven of its last nine games.
— Dolphins had ball ten times, kicked seven FG’s, missed an 8th try.
— 15 points on six trips to the red zone is no bueno.

— Ficken kicked a 44-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Darnold drove Jets 51-49 yards for FG’s on Jets’ last two drives.
— Jets won four of last five games overall.

Buccaneers 38, Colts 35:
— Colts lost five of last six games after a 5-2 start.
— All six Indy road games have been decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Not too many NFL teams lose with a +3 turnover ratio.

— Wnston threw for 456 yards, four TD’s, three INT’s.
— Buccaneers have turned ball over 32 times in 13 games (-10).
— This game was over the total at halftime; over is 10-3 in Bucs’ games.

Chargers 45, Jaguars 10:
— Chargers had ball nine times, scored six touchdowns.
— LA averaged 11.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Chargers ran 58 plays, only 8 of them on third down.

— Jaguars lost last five games, allowing 34.8 ppg, with all five losses by 17+ points.
— It is fair to say that Jacksonville has packed it in for the season.
— Jaguars lost for 7th time in last eight meetings with Chargers.

Chiefs 23, Patriots 16:
— Chiefs won four of last five games, clinch AFC West title.
— Under Reid, Kansas City is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog
— Penalty yards: Chiefs 136, Patriots 25

— Patriots lost 2nd game in row, converting 2-12 on third down.
— New England is #2-seed in AFC; they’re 0-3 vs #1-3-4 seeds.
— Under is 9-4 in Patriot games this season.

Steelers 23, Cardinals 17:
— Steelers won seven of last eight games after a 1-4 start.
— Pittsburgh is 3-0 with 3rd-string QB Hodges starting.
— Under is 9-2 in Steelers’ last ten games.

— Arizona lost its last six games, but covered six of last nine.
— Cardinals scored only 10 points in three trips to red zone.
— Total yardage was 275-236 Steelers; only five plays of 20+ yards.

Titans 42, Raiders 21:
— Tennessee won six of its last seven games after a 2-4 start.
— Titans converted 8-11 third down plays, gained 552 yards on 59 plays.
— Tannehill averaged 14.5 yards/pass attempt— his resurgence is one of the big stories in the league this season.

— Raiders in first half: 4 drives: 29 plays, 194 yards, 12 first downs, 21 points.
— Raiders in second half: 6 drives: 31 plays, 163 yards, 10 first downs, 0 points.
— Oakland gave up a defensive TD for third week in a row.

Rams 28, Seahawks 12:
— This was Seattle’s first road loss this season.
— Seahawks’ only TD scored n a pick-6 early in third quarter.
— 49ers move back on top of NFC West standings.

— Rams outgained Seattle 455-308; their best performance in long time.
— Seven of Rams’ last eight games went under the total.
— Gurley/Higbee/Woods are first trio of teammates to all gain 100+ yards from scrimmage in consecutive weeks since the 2000 Vikings.

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 08:02 AM

821COLUMBIA -822 DUQUESNE
DUQUESNE is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997.

823MINNESOTA -824 IOWA
MINNESOTA is 94-136 ATS (-55.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 9

Columbia @ Duquesne

Game 821-822
December 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbia
47.648
Duquesne
61.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duquesne
by 13 1/2
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duquesne
by 11 1/2
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duquesne
(-11 1/2); Under

Alabama State @ South Dakota

Game 1245-1246
December 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama State
38.903
South Dakota
50.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota
by 11 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota
by 15
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama State
(+15); Over

Minnesota @ Iowa

Game 823-824
December 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
64.371
Iowa
72.251
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 8
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 6 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(-6 1/2); Under

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 9

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COLUMBIA (3 - 7) at DUQUESNE (7 - 0) - 12/9/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 125-93 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 125-93 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (4 - 4) at IOWA (6 - 3) - 12/9/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 94-136 ATS (-55.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
IOWA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 9

Duquesne is 7-0 vs schedule #326, with only two top 200 wins (Indiana State/LMU); Dukes are experience team #267 that is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#59)- they won a 3-day tourney in the Bahamas. Columbia is 3-7 vs schedule #162, losing last two games by total of 10 points; Lions are experience team #135 that is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing at Wake Forest by 2, at Virginia by 18, by 19 at St John’s. Columbia is shooting only 34% on arc, but is getting 38.6% of their points on arc (#37). Best team they’ve beaten is #248 Lehigh.

Home side won last five Iowa-Minnesota games; Gophers lost last two visits to Iowa City, by 14-4 points. Iowa lost two of its last three games after a 5-1 start (vs schedule #83); they gave up 103 points in a 12-point loss at Michigan Friday. Hawkeyes are experience team #235 that gave up 93-83-103 points in their losses, 74 or less in their six wins. Minnesota hasn’t played in a week; they’re 4-4 vs schedule #256- they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, with best win over Clemson by 18. Minnesota is shooting 25.3% on arc (#90), getting 39.9% of their points on 3’s (#25).

Alabama State hasn’t played in nine days; they’re 1-6 vs schedule #6, getting guarantee checks to pay for their program. Hornets are 1-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100, beating Chicago State in last game, losing by 9 to Missouri State, 18 to Chattanooga. State is experience team #14 that is turning ball over 24.3% of time (#335). South Dakota is 6-3 vs schedule #228; they experience team #10 that is making 42.9% of its 3’s, best in country. Coyotes lost three of last four D-I tilts after starting out 5-0; their loss at #304 Northern Arizona is a red flag.

NCAAB

Monday, December 9

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Trend Report
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Columbia @ Duquesne
Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbia's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbia's last 10 games
Duquesne
Duquesne is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Duquesne is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Alabama State @ South Dakota
Alabama State
No trends to report
South Dakota
South Dakota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
South Dakota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

Minnesota @ Iowa
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 13 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iowa
Iowa
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/9

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/9

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