Announcement

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 07:39 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 14 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Bills (747) +5.5- L

5) Saints (787) -2.5- L

4) Chiefs (803) +3- W

3) 49ers (809) +2.5- W

2) Bengals (895) +8.5- W

1) Rams (899) even- W

2019 record: 45-36-3

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

49ers 48, Saints 46:
— 49ers’ first five drives: 22 plays, 296 yards, four TD’s.
— Niners are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog, 5-0 TY.
— 49ers drove 63 yards in seven plays, kicked GW 30-yard GW FG at the gun.

— Saints’ first four drives: 32 plays, 240 yards, four TD’s.
— Game went over the total in the 2nd quarter.
— Saints are 10-15 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY.

Broncos 38, Texans 24:
— Broncos ran 63 plays; only eight were on 3rd down.
— Rookie QB Lock was 22-27/309 passing, with three TD’s.
— Broncos are now 5-4 in last nine games, after an 0-4 start.

— Texans beat New England LW; gambling is hard.
— Houston is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 1-5 TY
— Denver led 31-3 at halftime; this score makes no sense..

Ravens 24, Bills 17:
— Lamar Jackson is now 17-3 as an NFL starter,
— Baltimore won its last nine games, covering six of last seven.
— Both teams went well under their rushing averages (118-104, Balt).

— Buffalo averaged only 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Teams had a combined 42 net passing yards in first half.
— Teams combined to convert only 7-28 third down plays.

Packers 20, Redskins 15:
— Redskins’ first four drives: 16 plays, 32 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
— Redskins’ last six drives: 44 plays, 246 yards, 16 first downs, 15 points.
— Washington is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY.

— Green Bay is 24-15-2 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 4-3 TY
— Four of Packers’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Green Bay had 12-yard advantage in field position.

Browns 27, Bengals 19:
— Cincy outgained Browns 451-333, running 20 more plays than Cleveland.
— Bengals scored one TD, three FG’s on five trips to red zone.
— Under is 6-1-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight games

— Cleveland won four of its last five games.
— Browns had six plays of 20+ yards; four of them came on 3rd down.
— Cleveland’s first TD came on a pick-6 when they trailed 3-0.

Falcons 40, Panthers 20:
— Guess it wasn’t Ron Rivera’s fault.
— Carolina turned ball over four times (-4), converted 3-10 on 3rd down.
— Panthers lost field position battle by 18 yards.

— Ryan broke the game open with a 93-yard TD pass to Zaccheaus in 3rd quarter, making score 27-10.
— Falcons in 2nd half: 6 drives: 30 plays, 207 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
— Koo kicked four FG’s, recovered a fumble on a kickoff.

Vikings 20, Lions 7:
— Predictable result for rookie QB making first NFL road start.
— Detroit lost its sixth game in a row.
— Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4-1 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2-1 TY.

— Vikings sacked Blough five times, held Detroit to 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Minnesota converted 23 of last 40 third down plays.
— Under Zimmer, Vikings are 25-9-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2-1 TY.

Jets 22, Dolphins 21:
— Miami covered seven of its last nine games.
— Dolphins had ball ten times, kicked seven FG’s, missed an 8th try.
— 15 points on six trips to the red zone is no bueno.

— Ficken kicked a 44-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Darnold drove Jets 51-49 yards for FG’s on Jets’ last two drives.
— Jets won four of last five games overall.

Buccaneers 38, Colts 35:
— Colts lost five of last six games after a 5-2 start.
— All six Indy road games have been decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Not too many NFL teams lose with a +3 turnover ratio.

— Wnston threw for 456 yards, four TD’s, three INT’s.
— Buccaneers have turned ball over 32 times in 13 games (-10).
— This game was over the total at halftime; over is 10-3 in Bucs’ games.

Chargers 45, Jaguars 10:
— Chargers had ball nine times, scored six touchdowns.
— LA averaged 11.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Chargers ran 58 plays, only 8 of them on third down.

— Jaguars lost last five games, allowing 34.8 ppg, with all five losses by 17+ points.
— It is fair to say that Jacksonville has packed it in for the season.
— Jaguars lost for 7th time in last eight meetings with Chargers.

Chiefs 23, Patriots 16:
— Chiefs won four of last five games, clinch AFC West title.
— Under Reid, Kansas City is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog
— Penalty yards: Chiefs 136, Patriots 25

— Patriots lost 2nd game in row, converting 2-12 on third down.
— New England is #2-seed in AFC; they’re 0-3 vs #1-3-4 seeds.
— Under is 9-4 in Patriot games this season.

Steelers 23, Cardinals 17:
— Steelers won seven of last eight games after a 1-4 start.
— Pittsburgh is 3-0 with 3rd-string QB Hodges starting.
— Under is 9-2 in Steelers’ last ten games.

— Arizona lost its last six games, but covered six of last nine.
— Cardinals scored only 10 points in three trips to red zone.
— Total yardage was 275-236 Steelers; only five plays of 20+ yards.

Titans 42, Raiders 21:
— Tennessee won six of its last seven games after a 2-4 start.
— Titans converted 8-11 third down plays, gained 552 yards on 59 plays.
— Tannehill averaged 14.5 yards/pass attempt— his resurgence is one of the big stories in the league this season.

— Raiders in first half: 4 drives: 29 plays, 194 yards, 12 first downs, 21 points.
— Raiders in second half: 6 drives: 31 plays, 163 yards, 10 first downs, 0 points.
— Oakland gave up a defensive TD for third week in a row.

Rams 28, Seahawks 12:
— This was Seattle’s first road loss this season.
— Seahawks’ only TD scored n a pick-6 early in third quarter.
— 49ers move back on top of NFC West standings.

— Rams outgained Seattle 455-308; their best performance in long time.
— Seven of Rams’ last eight games went under the total.
— Gurley/Higbee/Woods are first trio of teammates to all gain 100+ yards from scrimmage in consecutive weeks since the 2000 Vikings.

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 07:41 AM

555LA CLIPPERS -556 INDIANA
INDIANA is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

557CLEVELAND -558 BOSTON
BOSTON is 110-86 ATS (15.4 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

559TORONTO -560 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

561DETROIT -562 NEW ORLEANS
DETROIT is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when the total is 22-229.5 in the last 3 seasons.

563SACRAMENTO -564 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

565ORLANDO -566 MILWAUKEE
ORLANDO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

567MINNESOTA -568 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

569OKLAHOMA CITY -570 UTAH
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

571MEMPHIS -572 GOLDEN STATE
MEMPHIS are 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 07:46 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 9

Clippers-Pacers
Clippers won 10 of last 12 games; they’re 4-6 SU on road. Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Indiana won eight of its last ten games; they’re 7-2 SU at home. Pacers’ last three games went under the total.

Indiana covered five of last series games; under is 13-3 in last 16 series games played here.

Cavaliers-Celtics
Cleveland lost 12 of their last 13 games; they’re 4-5-1 ATS as a road underdog. Cavaliers’ last four road games went over. Boston won five of its last six games; they’re 6-3 ATS as a home favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Cavaliers covered once in last six visits to Boston; over is 4-1 in last five series games.

Raptors-Bulls
Toronto lost its last three games; they’re 6-5 SU on road, 3-1 ATS as a road favorite. Under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Chicago lost five of its last seven games; they’re 1-4 ATS as a home underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Raptors covered their last five visits to Chicago, four of which stayed under the total.

Pistons-Pelicans
Detroit won three of its last four games; they’re 2-9 SU on road. Four of their last five games went over. New Orleans lost its last eight games (1-7 ATS); they’re 3-8 SU at home. Five of their last six games went under.

New Orleans covered 10 of last 14 series games; under is 4-1 in last five.

Kings-Rockets
Sacramento lost five of last seven games; they’re 6-4 ATS as a road underdog. Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight road games. Houston won four of its last five games; they’re 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite. Under is 7-5 in their last 12 games.

Houston covered last four series games; under is 5-2 in last seven.

Magic-Bucks
Orlando won its last four games; they’re 4-5 ATS as a road underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Milwaukee won its last 14 games, covered last four; they’re 6-5 ATS as a home favorite. Three of their last four home games stayed under.

Milwaukee is 3-1-1 ATS in last five series games (under 3-1-1). Last five series games played here stayed under.

Timberwolves-Suns
Minnesota lost its last four games; they’re 5-4 ATS as a road underdog. Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Phoenix lost eight of its last 11 games; they lost five of their last six home games SU. Five of their last six home games went over.

Phoenix is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine series games; under is 9-2 in last 11 series games played here.

Thunder-Jazz
OKC won four of its last five games; they’re 6-3 ATS as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. Utah lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Thunder covered six of last seven series games, five of which stayed under.

Grizzlies-Warriors
Memphis lost eight of last nine games; they’re 3-6 ATS as a road underdog. Three of their last four games stayed under. Golden State lost four of last five games; they’re 2-7 SU at home, 0-1 ATS as a home favorite. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Golden State covered four of last five series games; under is 15-7 in last 22.

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 07:51 AM

NBA

Monday, December 9

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Trend Report
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Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Indiana is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Indiana is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Indiana is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
LA Clippers is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
LA Clippers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Indiana
LA Clippers is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana

Boston Celtics
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games
Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 17 games when playing on the road against Boston

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Orlando's last 13 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
Orlando is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

Houston Rockets
Houston is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Houston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games
Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Sacramento is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Houston
Sacramento is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Chicago is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago's last 19 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toronto's last 19 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
New Orleans is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Detroit
New Orleans is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Orleans's last 16 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 1-7-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
Detroit is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Utah is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Utah's last 14 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oklahoma City's last 14 games when playing on the road against Utah

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 15 games
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Phoenix is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Minnesota is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Golden State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Memphis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Memphis is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State

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**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 08:40 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 9

LA Clippers @ Indiana

Game 555-556
December 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
124.996
Indiana
119.684
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 5
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-2); Under

Cleveland @ Boston

Game 557-558
December 9, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
102.730
Boston
125.529
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 23
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 13 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-13 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Chicago

Game 559-560
December 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
118.391
Chicago
116.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Houston

Game 563-564
December 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
113.973
Houston
128.859
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 15
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-11 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Milwaukee

Game 565-566
December 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
117.090
Milwaukee
134.264
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 17
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 11 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-11 1/2); Over

Detroit @ New Orleans

Game 561-562
December 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.167
New Orleans
109.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 10
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+1 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Phoenix

Game 567-568
December 9, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
113.832
Phoenix
115.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4
233 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+4); Under

Oklahoma City @ Utah

Game 569-570
December 9, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
118.946
Utah
115.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 8 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+8 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Golden State

Game 571-572
December 9, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
111.076
Golden State
107.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 3
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 3
218
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3); Under

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 08:42 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 9

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LA CLIPPERS (17 - 7) at INDIANA (15 - 8) - 12/9/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (5 - 17) at BOSTON (16 - 5) - 12/9/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 116-90 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-6 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (15 - 7) at CHICAGO (8 - 16) - 12/9/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (9 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 17) - 12/9/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
DETROIT is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (9 - 13) at HOUSTON (15 - 7) - 12/9/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 59-44 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (11 - 11) at MILWAUKEE (20 - 3) - 12/9/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 129-166 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 69-48 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-43 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 76-120 ATS (-56.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (10 - 12) at PHOENIX (10 - 12) - 12/9/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 76-109 ATS (-43.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 50-71 ATS (-28.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (10 - 12) at UTAH (13 - 10) - 12/9/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 74-52 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-6 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (6 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (5 - 19) - 12/9/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-71 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-60 ATS (-22.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 12:15 PM

Hoop Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

PLAY-ON TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Jazz are 11-0 ATS (9.86 ppg) at home after they had 20+ turnovers last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Pelicans are 0-10 ATS (-13.35 ppg) with rest after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Cavaliers are 11-0 OU (10.77 ppg) as a road dog after a loss in which they never led.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Thunder are 0-15-1 OU (-14.28 ppg) as a dog after they had fewer than 15 assists last game.

**Udog** · 12-09-2019, 01:49 PM

Monday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Thunder at Jazz (-8/210.5), 9 p.m. ET

The Jazz dusted themselves off after absorbing a vicious 121-96 home rout last Wednesday by hammering the depleted Grizzlies on Saturday night, improving to 9-2 in Salt Lake City. Only the Clippers have worse disparity between home and away, so it’s important that a team still figuring one another out due to offseason turmoil handles business this week.

Utah visits Minnesota on Wednesday and will host Golden State and Orlando between now and Tuesday, so this is a manageable point in its schedule before the grind sets in since it will find itself on the road for seven of nine between Dec. 19-Jan. 6. The holidays are hard enough on teams, but spending the bulk of that time in hotels and different cities adds to the burden.

Despite a shaky start from point guard Mike Conley and struggles from a bench that has dealt with injuries and guys struggling to find their place, the Jazz opened Monday just two games behind the Nuggets after Denver’s upset loss in Brooklyn on Sunday. They’re one of only two teams in the division sporting a winning record and are part of a Western Conference top-six that unexpectedly includes the Mavericks but looks sturdy enough to hold serve as the main group that will compete for a Finals appearance.

To that end, visiting Oklahoma City is in that “other” group, but unlike say San Antonio, Portland or Minnesota, has actually performed better than expected. Following a 108-96 rout in Portland on Sunday night to open a four-game trip that culminates with games in Sacramento and Denver later this week, the Thunder are closing in on a .500 record when many expected that they would be bringing up the rear in the West.

Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum shot a combined 4-for-18 from 3-point range against the OKC perimeter defense while Carmelo Anthony made just one of his five looks from beyond the arc, finishing up 4-for-18. Guards Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and sixth man Dennis Schroder combined for 62 points, all getting at least 20, helping build a lead that ultimately reached 18 points.

Oklahoma City has now won four of its last five and is also on a 4-1 ‘under’ run, controlling games by slowing the pace and defending while leaning on savvy guard play and big men Steven Adams and Nerlens Noel to protect the paint. The Thunder have the highest-scoring effort against the mighty Lakers (in a 130-127 loss on Nov. 22) and have been tremendous against the spread since a Nov. 15 upset of the 76ers, coming in on an 8-3 covering the number.

The Thunder have cashed in five of seven as an outright underdog, the role they find themselves in tonight.

Meanwhile, the Jazz have failed to cover as a favorite in nine of 16 contests this season, including its season-opening 100-95 win against OKC. Unless you’re scared off by the Thunder being stuck in a back-to-back situation, this would seem like the ideal spot to clench your fist and take the points, especially with Conley still limited by a hamstring issue that kept him out the past few games and may linger into this week.

The typical starting five of Bojan Bogdanovic, Royce O’Neale, Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell and Conley has a terrific plus-minus, so monitor Conley’s availability before pulling the trigger here.

Conley shot 1-for-16 in that Oct. 23 season-opening Jazz win, which came on the strength of Mitchell shooting 14-for-22 and finishing with 32 points and 12 boards to fuel a fourth-quarter comeback. Paul and Gilgeous-Alexander combined for 48 points but neither Adams nor Noel played well, contributing to the Jazz being outscored 58-34 in the paint. How that duo deals with Gobert’s length will be telling here.

Oklahoma City swept all four of last season’s meetings with the Jazz, but that was obviously with Russell Westbrook leading the charge. The Thunder are 0-2 on the second night of back-to-backs but covered in a 116-112 loss at Houston and a 112-107 loss at the Lakers as double-digit ‘dogs.

Best of the Rest

L.A. Clippers (-1/217) at Indiana, 7:05 p.m. ET: You have a better chance of suiting up for L.A. then Kawhi Leonard on the second night of a back-to-back after L.A. rebounded from its worst loss of the season by pulling away from the Wizards in D.C. Paul George has suited up on consecutive nights, doing so the last time the Clips were in this situation in blowout wins at Dallas and Memphis, so the expectation is that he’ll be out there in his old stomping grounds.

L.A.’s win over Washington was just its fourth in 10 road games and snapped a two-game skid outside Staples Center, but Doc Rivers has to be a little concerned that his team has surrendered 119 or more points in four of their last six outings. The ‘under’ has connected in three straight Pacers games, but they’re coming back after finishing a five-game road trip and will be playing at home for the first time all month. Indiana has won four consecutive home games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse and hope to get back point guard Malcolm Brogdon, who is dealing with a hand injury and warmed up this weekend in New York before deciding he couldn’t go. Center Myles Turner helped swing the 104-103 win with his shot-blocking but Indy is still having issues on the boards that would really hurt them here. Look for L.A. to prioritize getting physical with he and Domantas Sabonis early, which creates an opportunity for Ivica Zubac to play a large role.

Sacramento at Houston (-12.5/227), 8:05 p.m. ET: The Kings improved to 4-9 on the road in winning in Dallas on Sunday but may find the goings much tougher here since the Rockets are 9-2 at the Toyota Center and have averaged 129 points there over their last five games. Russell Westbrook has looked increasingly comfortable of late and James Harden is rolling, so the Kings may have to fill it up offensively to hang around here. Sacramento got a career game from forward Nemanja Bjelica in Dallas and could get a huge boost with second-year forward Marvin Bagley potentially making his return from a broken thumb.

The Rockets won all four meetings last season, averaging 127 points per game in doing so. They won’t have to deal with pesky point guard De’Aaron Fox, who remains out a few weeks with an ankle injury. Sacramento is 0-2 on the second night of back-to-backs, suffering a 113-81 loss in Utah and nearly winning outright in Boston on Nov. 25.

Orlando at Milwaukee (-12.5/218), 8:05 p.m. ET: The Magic dominated the Bucks at Fiserv Forum 103-83 in their last visit to downtown Milwaukee, but Giannis Antetokounmpo didn’t suit up in that game. The Bucks have otherwise won six of seven since the start of 2018 against Orlando with its star in the lineup, losing a shootout the only time they fell. This matchup is always an interesting one since the brain trust that drafted the Greek Freak and put the bulk of Milwaukee’s team together has spent the last few seasons building up the Magic with some success.

Milwaukee has won and NBA-best 14 straight games and has covered in four straight, posting a ridiculous margin of victory of over 37 points. Although the Hornets, Knicks and Pistons were the first three victims, the Clippers are the fourth team that got destroyed and both Leonard and George were in the lineup. Milwaukee wn’t face a team with a winning record until next Monday when they host the Mavs to open a week in which they’ll host the Lakers in a nationally televised affair on Thursday night. Getting back All-Star guard Khris Middleton has made the team all the more imposing, so we’ll see if they can cover this number against a Magic team that prides itself on defense and owns a four-game win streak that has allowed them to climb back to .500.

Center Nikola Vucevic has missed the past few weeks with an ankle injury and won’t be back for this one, putting extra pressure on Khem Birch and Mo Bamba to continue protecting the paint. Head coach Steve Clifford has a number of strong athletes he can try throwing at Antetokounmpo, but both Jonathan Isaac and Aaron Gordon are smaller and must avoid foul trouble to give the visitors a chance. Orlando’s opponents during its current run have been the Warrior, Wizards, Suns and Cavs, so take its perfect December with a grain of salt. It will be interesting to see whether Markelle Fultz can continue progressing as the schedule intensifies since he’ll be playing the Lakers and Rockets at home later this week after dealing with Eric Bledsoe and the Bucks in this one.

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/9

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/9

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